• Title/Summary/Keyword: MaxENT

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Predicting the Suitable Habitat of Amaranthus viridis Based on Climate Change Scenarios by MaxEnt (MaxEnt를 활용한 청비름(Amaranthus viridis)의 기후변화 시나리오에 의한 서식지 분포 변화 예측)

  • Lee, Yong Ho;Hong, Sun Hee;Na, Chae Sun;Sohn, Soo In;Kim, Myung Hyun;Kim, Chang Seok;Oh, Young-Ju
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.240-245
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to predict the changes of potential distribution for invasive alien plant, Amaranthus viridis in Korea. The habitats of A. viridis were roadside, bare ground, farm area, and pasture, where the interference by human was severe. We used maximum entropy modeling (MaxEnt) for analyzing the environmental influences on A. viridis distribution and projecting on two different representative concentration pathways (RCP) scenarios, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The results of our study indicated annual mean temperature, elevation and precipitation of coldest month had higher contribution for A. viridis potential distribution. Projected potential distribution of A. viridis will be increased by 110% on RCP 4.5, 470% on RCP 8.5.

Prediction of Shift in Fish Distributions in the Geum River Watershed under Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 금강 유역의 어류 종분포 변화 예측)

  • Bae, Eunhye;Jung, Jinho
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.198-205
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    • 2015
  • Impacts of climate change on aquatic ecosystems range from changes in physiological processes of aquatic organisms to species distribution. In this study, MaxEnt that has high prediction power without nonoccurrence data was used to simulate fish distribution changes in the Geum river watershed according to climate change. The fish distribution in 2050 and 2100 was predicted with RCP 8.5 climate change scenario using fish occurrence data (a total of 47 species, including 17 endemic species) from 2007 to 2009 at 134 survey points and 9 environmental variables (monthly lowest, highest and average air temperature, monthly precipitation, monthly lowest, highest and average water temperature, altitude and slope). The fitness of MaxEnt modeling was successful with the area under the relative operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.798, and environmental variables that showed a high level of prediction were as follows: altitude, monthly average precipitation and monthly lowest water temperature. As climate change proceeds until 2100, the probability of occurrence for Odontobutis interrupta and Acheilognathus yamatsuatea (endemic species) decreases whereas the probability of occurrence for Microphysogobio yaluensis and Lepomis macrochirus (exotic species) increases. In particular, five fish species (Gnathopogon strigatus, Misgurnus mizolepis, Erythroculter erythropterus, A. yamatsuatea and A. koreensis) were expected to become extinct in the Geum river watershed in 2100. In addition, the species rich area was expected to move to the northern part of the Geum river watershed. These findings suggest that water temperature increase caused by climate change may disturb the aquatic ecosystem of Geum river watershed significantly.

A Comparative Study on HSI and MaxEnt Habitat Prediction Models: About Prionailurus bengalensis (HSI와 MaxEnt를 통한 삵의 서식지 예측 모델 비교 연구)

  • Yoo, Da-Young;Lim, Tai-Yang;Kim, Whee-Moon;Song, Won-Kyong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2021
  • Excessive development and urbanization have destroyed animal, plant, habitats and reduced biodiversity. In order to preserve species diversity, habitat prediction studies are have been conducted at home and overseas using various modeling techniques. This study was conducted to suggest optimal habitat modeling research by comparing HSI and MaxEnt, which are widely used among habitat modeling techniques. The study was targeted on the endangered species of Prionailurus bengalensis in nearby areas (5460.35km2) including Cheonan City, and the same data were used for analysis to compare those models. According to the HSI analysis, Prionailurus bengalensis's habitat probability was 74.65% for less than 0.5 and 25.34% for more than 0.5 and the top 30% were forest (99.07%). MaxEnt's analysis showed that 56.22% of those below 0.5 and 43.79% of those above 0.5 were found to have a high explanatory power of 78.3% of AUC. The Paired Wilcoxn test, which evaluated the significance of thoes models, confirmed that the mean difference between the two models was statistically significant (p<0.05). Analysis of the differences in the results of those models using the matrix table shows that score 24.43% HSI and MaxEnt was accordance,12.44% of the 0.0 to 0.2 section, 7.22% of the 0.2 to 0.4 section, 2.73% of the 0.4 to 0.6 section, 1.96% of the 0.6 to 0.8, and 0.08% of the 0.9 to 1.0. To verify where the score difference appears, the result values of those models were reset to values from 1 to 5 and overlaid. Overlapping analysis resulted in 30.26% of the Strongly agree values, 56.77% of the agree values, and 11.92% of the Disagree values. The places where the difference in scores occurs were analyzed in the order of forest (45.23%), agricultural land (34.57%), and urbanization area (7.65%). This confirmed that the analysis of the same target species within the same target site also has differences in forecasts depending on the modelling method. Therefore, a novel analysis method combining the advantages of each modeling in habitat prediction studies should be developed, and future study may be used to select Prionailurus bengalensis and species-protected areas and species protection areas in the future. Further research is judged to require higher accuracy studies through the use of various modeling techniques and on-site verification.

Evaluation of Habitat Suitability of Honey Tree Species, Kalopanax septemlobus Koidz., Tilia amurensis Rupr. and Styrax obassis Siebold & Z ucc. in the Baekdudaegan Mountains using MaxEnt Model (MaxEnt 모형을 활용한 백두대간에 자생하는 주요 밀원수종인 음나무, 피나무, 쪽동백나무의 서식지 적합성 평가)

  • Sim, Hyung Seok;Lee, Min-Ki;Lee, Chang-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.111 no.1
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    • pp.50-60
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    • 2022
  • In this study, habitat suitability was analyzed for three major honey tree species, namely Kalopanax septemlobus, Tilia amurensis, and Styrax obassis, in the Baekdudaegan Mountains using MaxEnt models. The AUC values indicating the prediction accuracies of the models were 0.747, 0.790, and 0.755 for K. septemlobus, T. amurensis, and S. obassis, respectively. The most important variables for K. septemlobus and T. amurensis were elevation, mean annual temperature, and slope, whereas mean annual temperature, elevation, and mean annual precipitation were the most important predictors for S. obassis. For all three studied species, elevation and mean annual temperature were the most important topographic and climatic factors, respectively, indicating that such variables are crucial for explaining species distribution. Honey tree species are essential resources in forest beekeeping, a high value-added process for improving forest income, and this study identified sites with the potential for management of such species in the Baekdudaegan Mountains, where it may be possible to establish a honey forest. However, the accuracy of the models should be improved through comprehensive analysis with abiotic variables, such as soil properties and aridity, which affect the distribution of honey tree species, as well as biotic variables, such as interspecific competition.

Predicting the Potential Habitat and Future Distribution of Brachydiplax chalybea flavovittata Ris, 1911 (Odonata: Libellulidae) (기후변화에 따른 남색이마잠자리 잠재적 서식지 및 미래 분포예측)

  • Soon Jik Kwon;Yung Chul Jun;Hyeok Yeong Kwon;In Chul Hwang;Chang Su Lee;Tae Geun Kim
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.335-344
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    • 2023
  • Brachydiplax chalybea flavovittata, a climate-sensitive biological indicator species, was first observed and recorded at Jeju Island in Korea in 2010. Overwintering was recently confirmed in the Yeongsan River area. This study was aimed to predict the potential distribution patterns for the larvae of B. chalybea flavovittata and to understand its ecological characteristics as well as changes of population under global climate change circumstances. Data was collected both from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) and by field surveys from May 2019 to May 2023. We used for the distribution model among downloaded 19 variables from the WorldClim database. MaxEnt model was adopted for the prediction of potential and future distribution for B. chalybea flavovittata. Larval distribution ranged within a region delimited by northern latitude from Jeju-si, Jeju Special Self-Governing Province (33.318096°) to Yeoju-si, Gyeonggi-do (37.366734°) and eastern longitude from Jindo-gun, Jeollanam-do (126.054925°) to Yangsan-si, Gyeongsangnam-do (129.016472°). M type (permanent rivers, streams and creeks) wetlands were the most common habitat based on the Ramsar's wetland classification system, followed by Tp type (permanent freshwater marshes and pools) (45.8%) and F type (estuarine waters) (4.2%). MaxEnt model presented that potential distribution with high inhabiting probability included Ulsan and Daegu Metropolitan City in addition to the currently discovered habitats. Applying to the future scenarios by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it was predicted that the possible distribution area would expand in the 2050s and 2090s, covering the southern and western coastal regions, the southern Daegu metropolitan area and the eastern coastal regions in the near future. This study suggests that B. chalybea flavovittata can be used as an effective indicator species for climate changes with a monitoring of their distribution ranges. Our findings will also help to provide basic information on the conservation and management of co-existing native species.

Bioequivalence Evaluation of Senafen Tablet and Airtal Tablet Containing Aceclofenac 100 mg (아세클로페낙(100mg) 제제인 세나펜 정과 에어할 정의 생물학적동등성 평가)

  • 박은우;송우헌;차영주;최영욱
    • Biomolecules & Therapeutics
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.423-428
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    • 1998
  • Aceclofenac is an orally effective non-steroidal anti-inflammatory agent of the phenylacetic acid derivative. Bioequivalence study of two aceclofenac preparations, the test drug (Senafe $n_{R}$: Daewon Phar-maceutical Company) and the reference drug (Airta $l_{R}$: Daewoong Pharmaceutical Company), was conducted according to the guidelines of Korea Food and Drug Administration (KFDA). Sixteen healthy male volunteers, 24$\pm$4 years old and 63.9$\pm$6.9 kg of body weight in average, were divided randomly into two groups and administered the drug orally at the dose of 100 mg as aceclofenac in a 2$\times$2 crossover study. Plasma concentrations of aceclofenac were monitored by HPLC method for 12 hr after administration. AU $Co_{-12h}$ (area under the plasma concentration-time curve from initial to 12 hr) was calculated by the linear trapezoidal method. $C_{max}$ (maximum plasma drug concentration) and $T_{max}$ (time to reach $C_{msx}$) were compiled directly from the plasma drug concentration-time data. Student's t-test indicated no significant differences between the formulations in these parameters. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) revealed that there are no differences in AU $Co_{12h}$, $C_{max}$ and $T_{max}$ between the formulations. The apparent differences between the formulations were far less than 20% (e.g., 0.25, 0.01 and 7.32 for AU $Co_{-12h}$, $C_{max}$. and $T_{max}$, respectively). Minimum detectable differences (%) between the formulations at $\alpha$=0.05 and 1-$\beta$=0.8 were less than 20% (e.g., 14.65, 12.47 and 15.46 for AU $Co_{-l2h}$, $C_{max}$ and $T_{max}$, respectively). The 90% confidence intervals for these parameters were also within $\pm$ 20% (e.g.,-10.19~10.68, -8.87~8.89 and -3.69~ 18.33 for AU $Co_{-12h}$, $C_{msx}$ and $T_{max}$, respectively). These results satisfy the bioequivalence criteria of KFDA guidelines, indicating that two formulations of aceclofenac are bioequivalent.quivalent.ivalent.ent.t.ent.

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Bioequivalence of Dong Sung Lovastatin Tablet to Mevacor Tablet (Lovastatin 20 mg) (메바코정(로바스타틴 20 mg)에 대한 동성로바스타틴정의 생물학적 동등성)

  • 최민구;최미희;김경식;김인화;이영주
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.220-226
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    • 2001
  • A bioequivalence study of Lovastati $n^{TM}$ tablets (Dong Sung Pharmaceutical Co., Korea) to Mevaco $r^{TM}$ tablets (Choong Wae Pharmaceutical Co., Korea) was conducted according to the guidelines (No. 98-56) of Korea Food and Drug Administration (KFDA). Each tablet contained 20 mg of lovastatin. Eighteen healthy Korean male subjects received each formulation at a lovastatin dose of 80 mg (i.e., four tablets) in a 2 $\times$ 2 crossover study. There was a washout period of a week between the dose of the two formulations. Plasma concentrations of lovastatin acid were monitored by a GC/MS method for over a period of 12hr after each administration. The area under the plasma concentration-time curve from time zero to 12hr (AUC) was calculated by a linear trapezoidal method. The maximum plasma drug concentration ( $C_{max}$) and the time to reach $C_{max}$ ( $T_{max}$) were compiled from the plasma drug concentration-time data. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) of these parameters revealed that there are no differences in AUC and $C_{max}$ between the formulations. The apparent differences between the formulations in these parameters were 4.87 and 8.03% for AUC and $C_{max}$, respectively. Minimum detectable differences (%) at $\alpha$=0.1 and 1-$\beta$=0.8 were 17.84 and 15.36% for AUC and $C_{max}$ respectively. The 90% confidence intervals were -15.30~5.56 and -17.02-0.95% for AUC and $C_{max}$, respective1y. Thus, the criteria of the KFDA guidelines for the bioequivalence was satisfied, indicating Mevaco $r^{TM}$ tablets and Dong Sung Lovastati $n^{TM}$ tablets are bioequivalent.ivalent.ent.alent.ent.

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Predictive Distribution Modelling of Calamus andamanicus Kurz, an Endemic Rattan from Andaman and Nicobar Islands, India

  • Sreekumar, V.B.;Suganthasakthivel, R.;Sreejith, K.A.;Sanil, M.S.
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.94-98
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    • 2016
  • Calamus andamanicus Kurz is one of the commercially important solitary rattans endemic to Andaman and Nicobar islands. The habitat suitability modeling program, MaxEnt, was used to predict the potential ecological niches of this species, based on bioclimatic variables. The study revealed high potential distribution of C. andamanicus across both Andaman and Nicobar islands. Of the 33 spatially unique points, 21 points were recorded from South and North Andamans and 12 from Great Nicobar Islands. The islands like Little Andaman, North Sentinel, Little Nicobar, Tllangchong, Teressa were also predicted positive even though this rattan is not recorded from these islands. Mean diurnal range, higher precipitation in the wettest month of the year, annual precipitation and precipitation in the driest month are the main predictors of this species distribution.

Prediction of changes in distribution area of Scopura laminate in response to climate changes of the Odaesan National Park of South Korea

  • Kwon, Soon Jik;Kim, Tae Geun;Park, Youngjun;Kwon, Ohseok;Cho, Youngho
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.529-536
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    • 2015
  • This study was performed to provide important basic data for the preservation and management of Scopura laminata, a species endemic to Korea, by elucidating the spatial characteristics of its present, potential, and future distribution areas. Currently, this species is found in the Odaesan National Park area of South Korea and has been known to be restricted in its habitat due to its poor mobility, as even fully grown insects do not have wings. Utilizing the MaxEnt model, 20 collection points around Odaesan National Park were assessed to analyze and predict spatial distribution characteristics. The precision of the MaxEnt model was excellent, with an AUC value of 0.833. Variables affecting the potential distribution area of S. laminata by more than 10% included the range of annual temperature, seasonality of precipitation, and precipitation of the driest quarter, in order of greatest to least impact. Compared to the current potential distribution area, no significant difference in the overall habitable area was predicted for the 2050s or 2070s. It was, however, demonstrated that the potential habitable area would be reduced in the 2050s by up to 270.3 km from the current area of 403.9 km; further, no potential habitable area was anticipated by the 2070s according to our predictive model. Taken together, it is anticipated that this endemic species could be significantly affected by climate changes, and hence effective countermeasures are strongly warranted for the preservation of habitats and species management.

Changes in Aporia crataegi's potential habitats in accordance with climate changes in the northeast Asia

  • Kim, Tae Geun;Han, Yong-Gu;Kwon, Ohseok;Cho, Youngho
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2015
  • This study was conducted in an effort to provide important clues pertaining to the conservation and restoration of Aporia crataegi by identifying the spatial distribution characteristics of the current habitats, prospective habitats, and future habitats of A. crataegi in accordance with climate changes. To determine the distribution of A. crataegi, data from a total of 36 collecting points throughout South Korea, North Korea, China, Japan, Mongolia, and Russia are used. The spatial distributions of the data were examined through MaxEnt modeling. The distribution probability rates exceeded 75% at 18 locations among the 36 species occurrence locations, with Gangwon province showing the highest distribution probability in South Korea. The precision of the MaxEnt model was remarkably high, with an AUC value of 0.982. The variables that affect the potential distribution of A. crataegi by more than 10% are the degree of temperature seasonality, the amount of precipitation in the warmest quarter, the annual mean temperature, and the amount of precipitation in the driest month, in that order of importance. It was found that the future potential distribution area of A. crataegi continuously moves northward over time up to 2070s. In addition, the area of the potential distribution showing a habitable probability rate that exceeds 75% in northeast Asia was $28,492km^2$, where the area of potential distribution in the north part of Korean peninsula was $20.404km^2$ in size. Thus, it is anticipated that the most important future habitats of A. crataegi in the northeast Asia will be North and South Hamgyeong provinces and Ryanggang province near Mt. Baekdoosan in the northern area of the Korean peninsula.