• Title/Summary/Keyword: Mathematical Models

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Selection of bandwidth for local linear composite quantile regression smoothing (국소 선형 복합 분위수 회귀에서의 평활계수 선택)

  • Jhun, Myoungshic;Kang, Jongkyeong;Bang, Sungwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.733-745
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    • 2017
  • Local composite quantile regression is a useful non-parametric regression method widely used for its high efficiency. Data smoothing methods using kernel are typically used in the estimation process with performances that rely largely on the smoothing parameter rather than the kernel. However, $L_2$-norm is generally used as criterion to estimate the performance of the regression function. In addition, many studies have been conducted on the selection of smoothing parameters that minimize mean square error (MSE) or mean integrated square error (MISE). In this paper, we explored the optimality of selecting smoothing parameters that determine the performance of non-parametric regression models using local linear composite quantile regression. As evaluation criteria for the choice of smoothing parameter, we used mean absolute error (MAE) and mean integrated absolute error (MIAE), which have not been researched extensively due to mathematical difficulties. We proved the uniqueness of the optimal smoothing parameter based on MAE and MIAE. Furthermore, we compared the optimal smoothing parameter based on the proposed criteria (MAE and MIAE) with existing criteria (MSE and MISE). In this process, the properties of the proposed method were investigated through simulation studies in various situations.

An Alternative Program for the Teaching of Multiplication Concept Based on Times Idea (배 개념에 기초한 자연수 곱셈 개념의 지도 방안)

  • Kang, Heung-Kyu
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.17-37
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    • 2009
  • Concept and model of multiplication is not single. Concepts of multiplication can be classified into three cases: repeated addition, times idea, pairs set. Models of multiplication can be classified into four cases: measurement, rectangular pattern, combinatorial problem, number line. Among diverse cases of multiplication's concept and model, which case does elementary mathematics education lay stress on? This question is a controvertible didactical point. In this thesis, (1) mathematical and didactical analysis of multiplication's concept and model is performed, (2) a concrete program of teaching multiplication which is based on times idea is contrived, (3) With this new program, the teaching experiment is performed and its result is analyzed. Through this study, I obtained the following results and suggestions. First, the degree of testee's understanding of times idea is not high. Secondly, a sort of test problem which asks the testee to find times value is more easy than the one to find multiplicative resulting value. Thirdly, combinatorial problem can be handled as an application of multiplication. Fourthly, the degree of testee's understanding of repeated addition is high. In conclusion, I observe the fact that this new program which is based on times idea could be a alternative program of teaching multiplication which could complement the traditional method.

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Processing Optimization and Antioxidant Activity of Chocolate Added with Mulberry (오디 초콜릿의 제조 최적화 및 항산화 활성)

  • Park, So-Yeon;Joo, Na-Mi
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.303-314
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to determine the optimal mixing conditions for two different amounts of added mulberry powder and fresh cream to prepare functional chocolate with added mulberry powder. The experiment was designed according to the central composite response surface design, which showed 10 experimental points, and included two replicates for mulberry powder and fresh cream. The physiochemical, mechanical, and sensory properties of the test were measured, and these values were applied to the mathematical models. The results of the physiochemical and mechanical analyses of each sample, including pH, moisture content, total phenolic content, DPPH free radical scavenging activity, color L, color b, hardness, gumminess, and cohesiveness showed significant differences. The sensory characteristics of the samples tested were significantly different in flavor, texture, sourness, bitterness, and overall acceptability. The optimum formulation calculated by numerical and graphical methods was 25.76 g mulberry powder and 72.21 g fresh cream.

Production of Extrudates Formulated from Pacific Sand Lance Sauce By-Product and Dried Biji (까나리 액젓 부산물과 건조 비지를 첨가한 압출성형물의 제조)

  • Han, Gyu-Hong;Kim, Byung-Yong;Lee, Jae-Kwon
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.186-193
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to enhance the protein quality of wheat flour extrudates with the addition of fish sauce by-products and dried biji. The experimental design was used to determine the optimum ratio of each ingredient. The compositional and functional properties of test extrudate were measured, and these values were applied to the mathematical models. A canonical form and trace plot showed that the influence of each ingredient on the mixture final product. Protein content of extrudate was increased by the addition of the dried biji, and bending failure stress of extrudate became hardened due to interaction effects between dried biji and pacific sand lance sauce by-product. Also, the addition of dried biji decreased ash and salt contents. An optimum formulation was obtained as 15.83 : 44.17 : 40% with numerical and 15.74 : 44.26 : 26.40% with graphical method (pacific sand lance sauce by-product : dried biji : wheat flour). Based on the growth performance, feed conversion efficiency was slightly lower than control group, but the protein content in feed extrudate increased to a large extent compared to that mixed with wet biji.

A Simulation Model for the Study on the Forest Fire Pattern (산불확산패턴 연구를 위한 시뮬레이션 모델)

  • Song, Hark-Soo;Jeon, Wonju;Lee, Sang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.101-107
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    • 2013
  • Because forest fires are predicted to increase in severity and frequency under global climate change with important environmental implications, an understanding of fire dynamics is critical for mitigation of these negative effects. For the reason, researchers with different background, such as ecologists, physicists, and mathematical biologists, have developed the simulation models to mimic the forest fire spread patterns. In this study, we suggested a novel model considering the wind effect. Our theoretical forest was comprised of two different tree species with varying probabilities of transferring fire that were randomly distributed in space at densities ranging from 0.0 (low) to 1.0 (high). We then studied the distributional patterns of burnt trees using a two-dimensional stochastic cellular automata model with minimized local rules. We investigated the time, T, that the number of burnt trees reaches 25% of the whole trees for different values of the initial tree density, fire transition probability, and the degree of wind strength. Simulation results showed that the values of T decreased with the increase of tree density, and the wind effect decreased in the case of too high or low tree density. We believe that our model can be a useful tool to explore forest fire spreading patterns.

Mathematical Model for Predicting the Growth Probability of Staphylococcus aureus in Combinations of NaCl and NaNO2 under Aerobic or Evacuated Storage Conditions

  • Lee, Jeeyeon;Gwak, Eunji;Ha, Jimyeong;Kim, Sejeong;Lee, Soomin;Lee, Heeyoung;Oh, Mi-Hwa;Park, Beom-Young;Oh, Nam Su;Choi, Kyoung-Hee;Yoon, Yohan
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.752-759
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study was to describe the growth patterns of Staphylococcus aureus in combinations of NaCl and $NaNO_2$, using a probabilistic model. A mixture of S. aureus strains (NCCP10826, ATCC13565, ATCC14458, ATCC23235, and ATCC27664) was inoculated into nutrient broth plus NaCl (0, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, 1, 1.25, 1.5, and 1.75%) and $NaNO_2$ (0, 15, 30, 45, 60, 75, 90, 105, and 120 ppm). The samples were then incubated at 4, 7, 10, 12 and $15^{\circ}C$ for up to 60 d under aerobic or vacuum conditions. Growth responses [growth (1) or no growth (0)] were then determined every 24 h by turbidity, and analyzed to select significant parameters (p<0.05) by a stepwise selection method, resulting in a probabilistic model. The developed models were then validated with observed growth responses. S. aureus growth was observed only under aerobic storage at $10-15^{\circ}C$. At $10-15^{\circ}C$, NaCl and $NaNO_2$ did not inhibit S. aureus growth at less than 1.25% NaCl. Concentration dependency was observed for NaCl at more than 1.25%, but not for $NaNO_2$. The concordance percentage between observed and predicted growth data was approximately 93.86%. This result indicates that S. aureus growth can be inhibited in vacuum packaging and even aerobic storage below $10^{\circ}C$. Furthermore, $NaNO_2$ does not effectively inhibit S. aureus growth.

Fate and Transport of Viruses in Soil and Groundwater Environments (토양.지하수 환경에서 바이러스의 거동)

  • Park, Jeong-Ahn;Yoon, Seo-Young;Kim, Song-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.34 no.7
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    • pp.504-515
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    • 2012
  • Groundwater is widely used as drinking water supplies around the world. However, microbial contamination of groundwater is a serious environmental problem that degrades drinking water quality and poses a great threat to human health. Among the pathogenic microorganisms such as viruses, bacteria, and protozoa, viruses are not readily removed during transport through soils, having high mobility in groundwater environment due to their smaller size compared to bacteria and protozoa. Studies regarding the fate and transport of viruses in soils and aquifers are necessary to determine the vulnerability of groundwater to microbial contamination and to secure safe drinking water sources. Also, these studies provide important information to establish the regulations and policies related to public health. This review paper presented the field and laboratory studies conducted for the fate and transport of viruses in subsurface environments. Also, the paper provided the factors affecting the fate and transport of viruses, the characteristics of bacteriophages used for virus studies, and virus transport model/colloid filtration theory. Based on this review work, future researches should be performed actively to set up the viral protection zone for the protection of groundwater from viral contamination sources. Especially, the researches should be focused on the development of mathematical models to calculate the setback distance and travel time for the viral protection zone along with the accumulation of information related to the model parameters.

Modeling and Analysis of Cooperative Engagements with Manned-Unmanned Ground Combat Systems (무인 지상 전투 체계의 협동 교전 모델링 및 분석)

  • Han, Sang Woo;Pyun, Jai Jeong
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.105-117
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    • 2020
  • Analysis of combat effectiveness is required to consider the concept of tactical cooperative engagement between manned-unmanned weapon systems, in order to predict the required operational capabilities of future weapon systems that meets the concept of 'effect-based synchronized operations.' However, analytical methods such as mathematical and statistical models make it difficult to analyze the effects of complex systems under nonlinear warfare. In this paper, we propose a combat simulation model that can simulate the concept of cooperative engagement between manned-unmanned combat entities based on wireless communications. First, we model unmanned combat entities, e.g., unmanned ground vehicles and drones, and manned combat entities, e.g., combatants and artillery, considering the capabilities required by the future ground system. We also simulate tactical behavior in which all entities perform their mission while sharing battlefield situation information through wireless communications. Finally we explore the feasibility of the proposed model by analyzing combat effectiveness such as target acquisition rate, remote control success rate, reconnaissance lead time, survival rate, and enemy's loss rate under a small-unit armor reconnaissance scenario. The proposed model is expected to be used in war-game combat experiments as well as analysis of the effects of manned-unmanned ground weapons.

A Study on Factors of the Academic Achievement in Computer Training Courses as the Liberal Arts in University (대학 컴퓨터 실습 교양과목에서의 학업성취 요인에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Wanseop
    • Journal of The Korean Association of Information Education
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.433-447
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to find out the factors of the students' achievement on the computer training courses which are based on computer practice. In order to improve the academic achievement of the students, it is necessary to analyze the factors affecting academic achievement and apply the results of the analysis to education. In particular, it is necessary to study for finding out factors of the academic achievement in practical computer training courses, because these courses are different from other courses focusing on the theory. In this study, in order to find out the factors, the logistic regression analysis and the decision tree analysis which is the field of data mining were peformed. For the experimental data, the test results of the MOS certification of the S university in seoul were used. Through logistic regression analysis it is found that the factors of the professors, class size, lecture time, group(lecture period) are important in order. Through decision tree analysis of data mining, it is found that there are some additional factors ; entrance year, whether the course is retaken, and the classroom environment. and these various factors effect the academic achievement compositively as identified through the model tree. The tree model was presented as a result of the analysis, and the importance of the factors is expressed numerically from multiple tree models by using the proposed mathematical formula.

Applicability Evaluation of Flood Inundation Analysis using Quadtree Grid-based Model (쿼드트리 격자기반 모형의 홍수범람해석 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Dae Eop;An, Hyun Uk;Lee, Gi Ha;Jung, Kwan Sue
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.655-666
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    • 2013
  • Lately, intensity and frequency of natural disasters such as flood are increasing because of abnormal climate. Casualties and property damages due to large-scale floods such as Typhoon Rusa in 2002 and Typhoon Maemi in 2003 rapidly increased, and these show the limits of the existing disaster prevention measures and flood forecasting systems regarding irregular climate changes. In order to efficiently respond to extraordinary flood, it is important to provide effective countermeasures through an inundation model that can accurately simulate flood inundation patterns. However, the existing flood inundation analysis model has problems such as excessive take of analysis time and accuracy of the analyzed results. Therefore, this study conducted a flood inundation analysis by using the Gerris flow solver that uses quadtree grid, targeting the Baeksan Levee in the Nakdong River Basin that collapsed because of a concentrated torrential rainfall in August, 2002. Through comparisons with the FLUMEN model that uses unstructured grid among the existing flood inundation models and the actual flooded areas, it determined the applicability and efficiency of the quadtree grid-based flood inundation model of the Gerris flow solver.