• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제44권3호
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• pp.22-32
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• 2021

To meet rapidly changing market demands, manufacturers strive to increase both of productivity and diversity at the same time. As a part of those effort, they are applying flexible manufacturing systems that produce multiple types and/or options of products at a single production line. This paper studies such flexible manufacturing system with multiple types of products, multiple Bernoulli reliability machines and dedicated buffers between them for each of product types. As one of the prevalent control policies, priority based policy is applied at each machines to select the product to be processed. To analyze such system and its performance measures exactly, Markov chain models are applied. Because it is too complex to define all relative transient and its probabilities for each state, an algorithm to update transient state probability are introduced. Based on the steady state probability, some performance measures such as production rate, WIP-based measures, blocking probability and starvation probability are derived. Some system properties are also addressed. There is a property of non-conservation of flow, which means the product ratio at the input flow is not conserved at the succeeding flows. In addition, it is also found that increased buffer capacity does not guarantee improved production rate in this system.

• 전자공학회논문지S
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• 제35S권11호
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• pp.176-183
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• 1998

본 논문에서는 근전신호를 효과적으로 인식하기 위해 신경회로망에 유전알고리즘을 결합하여 근전신호를 인식하는 기법을 제안한다. 본 기법은 신경회로망이 내재한 단점들을 개선하여 근전신호의 인식률을 높이고 안정적인 인식을 행하는 것을 목표로 한다. 제안된 기법에서 유전알고리즘은 전역적인 탐색으로 신경회로망의 최적의 초기 연결강도를 선택하는데, 이로 인하여 학습속도 및 인식률이 향상하게 된다. 그리고 절대 적분치, 영교차수등의 특징벡터 이외에 히든 마르코프 모델로 전처리를 하여 시간적으로 변하는 근전신호의 특성을 입력패턴에 반영하였다. 6가지의 기본운동을 대상으로 행한 실험결과, 제안된 인식기법은 기존의 일반적인 신경회로망의 학습규칙을 이용하여 인식했을 때보다 학습속도와 인식률이 향상되었고, 국부최소점으로 수렴하는 경우가 없어 실험에 실패하지 않고 안정적으로 근전신호의 패턴을 인식하였다.

• 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.789-792
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• 2004

웹 마이닝, 바이오정보학, 통계적 자료 분석 등 여러 분야에서 매우 다양한 형태의 결측치가 발생하여 학습 데이터를 희소하게 만든다. 결측치는 주로 전처리 과정에서 가장 기본적인 평균과 최빈수뿐만 아니라 조건부 평균, 나무 모형, 그리고 마코프체인 몬테칼로 기법과 같은 결측치 대체 기법들을 적용하여 추정된 값에 의해 대체된다. 그런데 주어진 데이터의 결측치 비율이 크게 되면 기존의 결측치 대체 방법들의 예측의 정확도는 낮아지는 특성을 보인다. 또한 데이터의 결측치 비율이 증가할수록 사용 가능한 결측치 대체 방법들의 수는 제한된다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 본 논문에서는 통계적 학습 이론 중에서 Vapnik의 Support Vector Regression을 데이터 전처리 과정에 알맞게 변형하여 적용하였다. 제안 방법을 이용하여 결측치 비율이 큰 희소 데이터의 전처리도 가능할 수 있도록 하였다 UCI machine learning repository로부터 얻어진 데이터를 이용하여 제안 방법의 성능을 확인하였다.

• 한국음향학회지
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• 제18권8호
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• pp.94-99
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• 1999

성 인식 알고리즘에서 높은 인식률을 보이는 방법은 hidden Markov mode1(HMM)과 신경망의 혼합 형태이다. 이것은 통계적인 모델과 신경망 모델의 장점을 혼용하는 방법이다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 인식 알고리듬은 반연속 HMM과 radial basis function(RBF)의 새로운 형태의 혼합 구조로써 반연속 HMM 파라미터 중에서 관측 확률을 결정하는 가중치(혼합확률밀도함수계수)확률을 Baum-Welch 추정 이후 RBF로로써 재 추정하는 인식 모델을 제안한다. 제안한 방법은 RBF의 은닉층(hidden layer)의 기본 함수(basis function)와 반연속 HMM의 확률 밀도 함수의 유사함을 고려한 것으로 RBF의 학습 및 추정된 가중치로써 보다 음성 파형을 분별력 있게 구분하고자 하는 것이다. 모의 실험 결과는 반연속 HM만을 사용 할 때 보다 제안한 반연속 HMM/RBF 혼합 구조가 비 학습 화자에 대한 인식률을 개선함으로써 단순히 반연속 HMM만을 사용하는 것 보다 훨씬 분별력이 높은 방법임을 보여준다.

• Asia Marketing Journal
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.35-69
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• 2014

The impact of competition on pricing has been studied in the context of counterfactual merger analyses where expected optimal prices in a hypothetical monopoly are compared with observed prices in an oligopolistic market. Such analyses would typically assume static decision making by consumers and firms and thus have been applied mostly to data obtained from consumer packed goods such as cereal and soft drinks. However such static modeling approach is not suitable when decision makers are forward looking. When it comes to the markets for durable products with indirect network effects, consumer purchase decisions and firm pricing decisions are inherently dynamic as they take into account future states when making purchase and pricing decisions. Researchers need to take into account the dynamic aspects of decision making both in the consumer side and in the supplier side for such markets. Firms in a two-sided market typically subsidize one side of the market to exploit the indirect network effect. Such pricing behaviors would be more prevalent in competitive markets where firms would try to win over the battle for standard. While such qualitative expectation on the relationship between pricing behaviors and competitive structures could be easily formed, little empirical studies have measured the extent to which the distinct pricing structure in two-sided markets depends on the competitive structure of the market. This paper develops an empirical model to measure the impact of competition on optimal pricing of durable products under indirect network effects. In order to measure the impact of exogenously determined competition among firms on pricing, we compare the equilibrium prices in the observed oligopoly market to those in a hypothetical monopoly market. In computing the equilibrium prices, we account for the forward looking behaviors of consumers and supplier. We first estimate a demand function that accounts for consumers' forward-looking behaviors and indirect network effects. And then, for the supply side, the pricing equation is obtained as an outcome of the Markov Perfect Nash Equilibrium in pricing. In doing so, we utilize numerical dynamic programming techniques. We apply our model to a data set obtained from the U.S. video game console market. The video game console market is considered a prototypical case of two-sided markets in which the platform typically subsidizes one side of market to expand the installed base anticipating larger revenues in the other side of market resulting from the expanded installed base. The data consist of monthly observations of price, hardware unit sales and the number of compatible software titles for Sony PlayStation and Nintendo 64 from September 1996 to August 2002. Sony PlayStation was released to the market a year before Nintendo 64 was launched. We compute the expected equilibrium price path for Nintendo 64 and Playstation for both oligopoly and for monopoly. Our analysis reveals that the price level differs significantly between two competition structures. The merged monopoly is expected to set prices higher by 14.8% for Sony PlayStation and 21.8% for Nintendo 64 on average than the independent firms in an oligopoly would do. And such removal of competition would result in a reduction in consumer value by 43.1%. Higher prices are expected for the hypothetical monopoly because the merged firm does not need to engage in the battle for industry standard. This result is attributed to the distinct property of a two-sided market that competing firms tend to set low prices particularly at the initial period to attract consumers at the introductory stage and to reinforce their own networks and eventually finally to dominate the market.