• Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.123-133
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• 2010

A statistical evaluation methodology was developed to determine the compliance of candidate waste stream with clearance criteria based upon distribution of radionuclide in a waste stream at a certain confidence level. For the cases where any information on the radionuclide distribution is not available, the relation between arithmetic mean of radioactivity concentration and its acceptable maximum standard deviation was demonstrated by applying widely-known Markov Inequality and One-side Chebyshev Inequality. The relations between arithmetic mean and its acceptable maximum standard deviation were newly derived for normally or lognormally distributed radionuclide in a waste stream, using probability density function, cumulative density function, and other statistical relations. The evaluation methodology was tested for a representative case at 95% of confidence level and 100 Bq/g of clearance level of radioactivity concentration, and then the acceptable range of standard deviation at a given arithmetic mean was quantitatively shown and compared, by varying the type of radionuclide distribution. Furthermore, it was statistically demonstrated that the allowable range of clearance can be expanded, even at the same confidence level, if information on the radionuclide distribution is available.

• Journal of KIISE:Information Networking
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• v.30 no.5
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• pp.581-594
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• 2003

Recently, a location management is being more important in mobile communication systems due to an explosive increase of mobile users. Current systems have used a concept of location area. Based on this concept, a mobile user performs a location update whenever it moves into a new location area. However, this scheme can not avoid unnecessary location updates when a mobile user moves around with high movement rate as compared to call arrival rate. That results in tremendous location management cost. To overcome this drawback, our proposal divides service areas into two sets: One is a set of areas that mobile users move with high speed and another is a set of areas that they move with low speed. After establishing these two sets, this paper employs different location tracking schemes for each sets. Generally, most mobile users with high speed have a low CMR and a regular direction until they arrive at their destination. Using such the moving behavior, systems can predict a mobile user's next location area in advance. When the mobile user moves into the predicted location, our proposal does not perform a location update. Thus, it can reduce overall location management cost. The Markov model is used to analyze the performance of our proposal. Using the model, this paper compares our proposal with IS-41 and TLA. The analytic results show that as CMR grows lower, an overall cost of our proposal becomes less, particularly if a mobile user frequently moves into the specific location are predicted by mobile systems. Also, our proposal has a better performance than other two schemes when the communication cost between HLR and VLR is high.

• Molecules and Cells
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.423-430
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• 2009

In order to elucidate the precise phylogenetic relationships of Korean wild boar (Sus scrofa coreanus), a partial mtDNA D-loop region (1,274 bp, NC_000845 nucleotide positions 16576-1236) was sequenced among 56 Korean wild boars. In total, 25 haplotypes were identified and classified into four distinct subgroups (K1 to K4) based on Bayesian phylogenetic analysis using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. An extended analysis, adding 139 wild boars sampled worldwide, confirmed that Korean wild boars clearly belong to the Asian wild boar cluster. Unexpectedly, the Myanmarese/Thai wild boar population was detected on the same branch as Korean wild boar subgroups K3 and K4. A parsimonious median-joining network analysis including all Asian wild boar haplotypes again revealed four maternal lineages of Korean wild boars, which corresponded to the four Korean wild boar subgroups identified previously. In an additional analysis, we supplemented the Asian wild boar network with 34 Korean and Chinese domestic pig haplotypes. We found only one haplotype, C31, that was shared by Chinese wild, Chinese domestic and Korean domestic pigs. In contrast to our expectation that Korean wild boars contributed to the gene pool of Korean native pigs, these data clearly suggest that Korean native pigs would be introduced from China after domestication from Chinese wild boars.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.27-35
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• 2015

We analyze an M/G/1/K queueing system with queue-length dependent service and arrival rates. There are a single server and a buffer with finite capacity K including a customer in service. The customers are served by a first-come-first-service basis. We put two thresholds $L_1$ and $L_2$($${\geq_-}L_1$$ ) on the buffer. If the queue length at the service initiation epoch is less than the threshold $L_1$, the service time of customers follows $S_1$ with a mean of ${\mu}_1$ and the arrival of customers follows a Poisson process with a rate of ${\lambda}_1$. When the queue length at the service initiation epoch is equal to or greater than $L_1$ and less than $L_2$, the service time is changed to $S_2$ with a mean of $${\mu}_2{\geq_-}{\mu}_1$$. The arrival rate is still ${\lambda}_1$. Finally, if the queue length at the service initiation epoch is greater than $L_2$, the arrival rate of customers are also changed to a value of $${\lambda}_2({\leq_-}{\lambda}_1)$$ and the mean of the service times is ${\mu}_2$. By using the embedded Markov chain method, we derive queue length distribution at departure epochs. We also obtain the queue length distribution at an arbitrary time by the supplementary variable method. Finally, performance measures such as loss probability and mean waiting time are presented.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.12
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• pp.1317-1328
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• 2021

This study aims to provide a predictive model based on climate models for simulating continuous daily rainfall sequences by combining bias-correction and spatio-temporal downscaling approaches. For these purposes, this study proposes a combined modeling system by applying conditional Copula and Multisite Non-stationary Hidden Markov Model (MNHMM). The GloSea5 system releases the monthly rainfall prediction on the same day every week, however, there are noticeable differences in the updated prediction. It was confirmed that the monthly rainfall forecasts are effectively updated with the use of the Copula-based bias-correction approach. More specifically, the proposed bias-correction approach was validated for the period from 1991 to 2010 under the LOOCV scheme. Several rainfall statistics, such as rainfall amounts, consecutive rainfall frequency, consecutive zero rainfall frequency, and wet days, are well reproduced, which is expected to be highly effective as input data of the hydrological model. The difference in spatial coherence between the observed and simulated rainfall sequences over the entire weather stations was estimated in the range of -0.02~0.10, and the interdependence between rainfall stations in the watershed was effectively reproduced. Therefore, it is expected that the hydrological response of the watershed will be more realistically simulated when used as input data for the hydrological model.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.40 no.5
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• pp.530-536
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• 2021

Recently, due to the development of deep learning, end-to-end speech recognition, which directly maps graphemes to speech signals, shows good performance. Especially, among the end-to-end models, conformer shows the best performance. However end-to-end models only focuses on the probability of which grapheme will appear at the time. The decoding process uses a greedy search or beam search. This decoding method is easily affected by the final probability output by the model. In addition, the end-to-end models cannot use external pronunciation and language information due to structual problem. Therefore, in this paper conformer with lexicon transducer is proposed. We compare phoneme-based model with lexicon transducer and grapheme-based model with beam search. Test set is consist of words that do not appear in training data. The grapheme-based conformer with beam search shows 3.8 % of CER. The phoneme-based conformer with lexicon transducer shows 3.4 % of CER.

• The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.134-139
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• 2021

Currently, the autonomous vehicle market is commercializing a level 3 autonomous vehicle, but it still requires the attention of the driver. After the level 3 autonomous driving, the most notable aspect of level 4 autonomous vehicles is vehicle stability. This is because, unlike Level 3, autonomous vehicles after level 4 must perform autonomous driving, including the driver's carelessness. Therefore, in this paper, we propose the Emergency-notification and Driver-response Confirmation System(EDCS) for an autonomousvehicle safety that notifies the driver of an emergency situation and recognizes the driver's reaction in a situation where the driver is careless. The EDCS uses the emergency situation delivery module to make the emergency situation to text and transmits it to the driver by voice, and the driver response confirmation module recognizes the driver's reaction to the emergency situation and gives the driver permission Decide whether to pass. As a result of the experiment, the HMM of the emergency delivery module learned speech at 25% faster than RNN and 42.86% faster than LSTM. The Tacotron2 of the driver's response confirmation module converted text to speech about 20ms faster than deep voice and 50ms faster than deep mind. Therefore, the emergency notification and driver response confirmation system can efficiently learn the neural network model and check the driver's response in real time.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.115-122
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• 2019

For Korean phoneme recognition, Hidden Markov-Gaussian Mixture model(HMM-GMM) or hybrid models which combine artificial neural network with HMM have been mainly used. However, current approach has limitations in that such models require force-aligned corpus training data that is manually annotated by experts. Recently, researchers used neural network based phoneme recognition model which combines recurrent neural network(RNN)-based structure with connectionist temporal classification(CTC) algorithm to overcome the problem of obtaining manually annotated training data. Yet, in terms of implementation, these RNN-based models have another difficulty in that the amount of data gets larger as the structure gets more sophisticated. This problem of large data size is particularly problematic in the Korean language, which lacks refined corpora. In this study, we introduce CTC algorithm that does not require force-alignment to create a Korean phoneme recognition model. Specifically, the phoneme recognition model is based on convolutional neural network(CNN) which requires relatively small amount of data and can be trained faster when compared to RNN based models. We present the results from two different experiments and a resulting best performing phoneme recognition model which distinguishes 49 Korean phonemes. The best performing phoneme recognition model combines CNN with 3hop Bidirectional LSTM with the final Phoneme Error Rate(PER) at 3.26. The PER is a considerable improvement compared to existing Korean phoneme recognition models that report PER ranging from 10 to 12.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.745-760
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• 2021

Prediction of a stock price has been a subject of interest for a long time in financial markets, and thus, many studies have been conducted in various directions. As the efficient market hypothesis introduced in the 1970s acquired supports, it came to be the majority opinion that it was impossible to predict stock prices. However, recent advances in predictive models have led to new attempts to predict the future prices. Here, we summarize past studies on the price prediction by evaluation measures, and predict the direction of stock prices of Samsung Electronics, LG Chem, and NAVER by applying various machine learning models. In addition to widely used technical indicator variables, accounting indicators such as Price Earning Ratio and Price Book-value Ratio and outputs of the hidden Markov Model are used as predictors. From the results of our analysis, we conclude that no models show significantly better accuracy and it is not possible to predict the direction of stock prices with models used. Considering that the models with extra predictors show relatively high test accuracy, we may expect the possibility of a meaningful improvement in prediction accuracy if proper variables that reflect the opinions and sentiments of investors would be utilized.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.132-144
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• 2023

Recently, the frequency and intensity of heat waves due to the increase in climate change temperature are increasing. Therefore, this study tried to compare the evaluation process and evaluation results of the heat wave disaster evaluation, which is the government's analysis of the heat wave disaster vulnerability and the risk evaluation method recently emphasized by the IPCC. The analysis of climate change disaster vulnerability is evaluated based on manuals and guidelines prepared by the government. Risk evaluation can be evaluated as the product of the possibility of a disaster and its impact, and it is evaluated using the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation based on Bayesian estimation method, which uses prior information to infer posterior probability. As a result of the analysis, the two evaluation results for Busan Metropolitan City differed slightly in the spatial distribution of areas vulnerable to heat waves. In order to properly evaluate disaster vulnerable areas due to climate change, the process and results of climate change disaster vulnerability analysis and risk assessment must be reviewed, and consider each methodology and countermeasures must be prepared.