• 제목/요약/키워드: Market demand

검색결과 2,250건 처리시간 0.031초

퍼지이론을 활용한 변동비 반영 전력시장의 용량요금 개선방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Improvement of Capacity Payment using Fuzzy Theory in CBP Market)

  • 김종혁;김발호
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권6호
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    • pp.1087-1092
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a method for improvement of capacity payment in CBP(cost based pool) market. Capacity payments have been used as common mechanisms in various pools for compensating generators recognized to serve a for reliability purpose. Ideal pricing for capacity reserves by definition achieves a balance between economic efficiency and investment incentives. That is, prices must be kept close to costs, but not so low as to discourage investment. However, the price set is not easy. This paper concludes with market design recommendations that apply fuzzy theory for improvement of capacity payment. Following this model, market participants decided on their own based on their forecast to the market demand and the payment for it.

Do Phillips Curve Respond Asymmetrically to Unemployment? Evidence from Korea and the U.S.

  • Lee, Donghae;Lee, Sangki
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This study empirically analyses the changes in unemployment rates to understand push factors of generating wage pressure and how it affects the aggregate demand in Korea and the United States. We use a structural macroeconomic model which is centered on the labor market and simultaneously explains the natural rate of unemployment and deviations. Research design, data and methodology - We attempt to empirically analyse the unemployment rates through two countries to analyse the economic effects of real wages and aggregate demand between 2000 and 2016. We introduce having estimated the whole model that the growth of unemployment into the part caused by each of these factors. Results - The results of this study show that in the long run, there is not only a natural level of employment but also a natural level of real demand are positively related. in the short run, demand can vary from bring about changes in employment by means of price or wage surprises. Conclusions - The pressure of demand in the labor market shows up strongly in both countries. The estimated labor-demand equation are consistent with this framework and generally have well defined real wage and demand effects.

통신서비스산업에서 경쟁상황을 반영한 시장점유율 예측 (Market Share Forecast Reflecting Competitive Situations in the Telecommunication Service Industry)

  • 김태환;이기광
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 2019
  • Most demand forecasting studies for telecommunication services have focused on estimating market size at the introductory stage of new products or services, or on suggesting improvement methods of forecasting models. Although such studies forecast business growth and market sizes through demand forecasting for new technologies and overall demands in markets, they have not suggested more specific information like relative market share, customers' preferences on technologies or service, and potential sales power. This study focuses on the telecommunication service industry and explores ways to calculate the relative market shares between competitors, considering competitive situations at the introductory stage of a new mobile telecommunication service provider. To reflect the competitive characteristics of the telecommunication markets, suggested is an extended conjoint analysis using service coverage and service switching rates as modification variables. This study is considered to be able to provide strategic implications to businesses offering existing service and ones planning to launch new services. The result of analysis shows that the new service provider has the greatest market share at the competitive situation where the new service covers the whole country, offers about 50% of existing service price, and allows all cellphones except a few while the existing service carrier maintains its price and service and has no response to the new service introduction. This means that the market share of the new service provider soars when it is highly competitive with fast network speed and low price.

부분균형 시장모델에 의한 밤 수급 예측 (Forecasting of Chestnut's Supply and Demand by the Partial Equilibrium Market Model)

  • 정병헌;김의경;주린원
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제97권4호
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    • pp.458-466
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 장기 밤수급 예측과 국내외 시장여건 변화가 국내 밤시장에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 수행되었다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 생밤시장과 깐밤시장을 상호 수직적으로 연결하는 부분균형모델을 개발하였다. 개발된 모델의 내생변수에 대한 예측능력을 측정하기 위하여 1990년부터 2003년까지 사후예측을 실시하였다. 전반적으로 신규재배면적 및 폐기면적을 제외하고는 모든 내생변수들에 대한 모델의 예측오차가 낮았다. 수급예측 결과 국내 생밤생산량은 2005년에 76,447톤에서 2020년에는 76,286톤으로 약간 감소할 것으로 예측되었으며, 일본으로 수출되는 깐밤의 양은 지속적으로 감소할 것으로 예측되었다.

영화의 유통전략에 대한 연구: 심플렉스 해법을 중심으로 (Cost Distribution Strategies in the Film Industry: the Simplex Method)

  • 황희중
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제14권10호
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    • pp.147-152
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - High quality films are affected by both the production stage and various variables such as the size of the movie investment and marketing that changes consumers' perceptions. Consumer preferences should be recognized first to ensure that the movie is successful. If a film is produced without pre-investigation and analysis of consumer demand and taste, the probability of success will be low. This study investigates the balance of production costs, marketing costs, and profits using game theory, suggesting an optimization strategy using the simplex method of linear programming. Research design, data, and methodology - Before the release of the movie, initial demand is assumed to be driven largely by marketing costs. In the next phase, demand is assumed to be driven purely by a movie's production cost and quality, which might also further determine consumer demand. Thus, it is essential to determine how to distribute pure production costs and other costs (marketing) in a limited movie production budget. Moreover, it should be taken into account how to optimally distribute under the assumption that the audience and production company's input resources are limited. This research simplifies the assumptions for large-scale and relatively small-scale movie investments and examines how movie distribution participant profits differ when each cost is invested differently. Results - When first movers or market leaders have to choose both quality and marketing, it has been proven that pursuing a strategy choosing only one is more likely than choosing both. In this situation, market leaders should maximize marketing costs under the premise that market leaders will not lag their quality behind the quality of second movers. Additionally, focusing on movie marketing that produces a quick effect while ceding creative activity to increase movie quality is a natural outcome in the movie distribution environment since a cooperative strategy between market competitors is not feasible. Conclusions - Government film development policy should ignore quality competition between movie production companies and focus on preventing marketing competition. If movie production companies focus on movie production quality improvement then a creative competition would ensue.

마이크로그리드 전력 거래를 위한 기준부하 추정 방법에 대한 연구 (A study on the baseline load estimation method for microgrid energy trading)

  • 위영민
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.324-329
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    • 2018
  • 전력 시스템의 환경이 변화함에 따라 새로운 전기 에너지 시장에 대한 수요와 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 특히 수요반응 프로그램을 활용하여 전력 사용 효율을 높이기 위한 노력은 선진국에서 지속적으로 연구되고 있으며 실제 시장으로 운영되고 있다. 본 논문은 수요반응, 마이크로그리드 간 거래, P2P 전력 거래 등 새로운 전력 시장에서 요구되는 기준부하 추정 방법에 대한 연구를 담고 있다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 기준부하추정 방법은 마이크로그리드 수요자원에 대한 분석을 바탕으로 기준부하추정 알고리즘을 선택하게 하였으며, 실제 데이터를 활용하여 제안된 방법의 실효성을 입증하였다.

고효율 기기의 수요자측 입찰을 고려한 수요관리 모니터링 시스템 (Demand-Side Management Monitoring System of High Efficient End-Use Appliances Considering the Demand-Side Bidding)

  • 심건보;김정훈;원종률
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.68-70
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes the demand-side management(DSM) monitoring system of high efficient end-use appliances considering demand-side bidding (DSB). The effect on the market propagation of high efficient appliances by demand side bidding is analysed. Seasonal Peak demand forecasting and propagation capacity of these appliances are analysed.

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산업화 과정에서 나타나는 가구디자인 변화 요인 연구 - 1960년대에서 2010년대까지 한국 가구산업을 중심으로 - (A Study of Furniture Design Changes Factors Appearing in the Industrialization Process - Focused on the Korea Furniture Industry, 1960~2010 Year -)

  • 김경수
    • 한국가구학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.399-411
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    • 2016
  • Korea Furniture design development process is repeated a number of changes by the change of residence and type of market demand derived from the process of industrialization. The modernization process of industrialization advances by large-scale population moves to the city to urbanization proceeds rapidly. Housing problems are concentrated in cities and sparked the furniture industry, furniture design by changes in marketing concepts that appear in the industrialization phase, growth must necessarily accommodate the needs of consumers. Including kitchen furniture, living room furniture and master bedroom furniture has been sensitively adapted changes in the structure of these houses, particularly structural changes Apartments. Starting in the 1990s, jumping over furniture industry has adapted quickly to the market demand, changes in marketing concepts. Furniture industry is growing market share in most of the country, but the entire industry had to undergo a competitive marketing overheating due to excessive supply in excess of market demand since the mid-1990s. Changes in furniture design in this process was the change in furniture design more than the change of the residential structure. The study industrial development and marketing concepts are changing to construct a model to track the changes varied styles and time changes affect whether the main furniture design.

LTE 서비스 도입에 따른 유도된 수요 발생에 관한 실증 연구 (Empirical Analysis of Induced Demand Resulted from LTE Service Launching)

  • 이상우;최선미;박준선;박명철
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제37권8C호
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    • pp.741-749
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    • 2012
  • 스마트폰 도입 이후 국내 무선인터넷 시장은 획기적으로 변화하여 왔다. 이에 따라 무선인터넷시장의 성장은 물론 무선데이터 트래픽 또한 기하급수적으로 증가하고 있다. 이러한 무선인터넷 시장 및 트래픽 증가 현상에 대해 다양한 찬반양론은 있으나, 무선인터넷 서비스 시장의 활성화는 그간 성장이 다소 정체되어 왔던 통신시장의 재도약의 발판을 마련하고 있는 것은 부정할 수 없는 사실이다. 이에 본 연구는 사건연구(Event Study) 방법론을 이용하여 망 전송 속도 및 네트워크 용량 확대에 따라 발생가능한 수요 패턴 중 하나인 유도된 수요(Induced Demand)가 LTE 도입에 따라 실제 통신시장에서도 발생하고 있는 지를 실증적으로 분석하고, 유도된 수요 발생에 따른 문제점 및 정책적 해결 방안을 제시하고자 한다.

Industry Activation Scheme through mVoIP Technology Trends and Market Analysis

  • Park, Se-Hwan;Park, Jong-Kyu;Kim, Cheong-Ghil
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.59-63
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    • 2012
  • The mVoIP service is the technology which focuses on the wireless data service as the IP network having the transmission rate of 100 Mbps classes on the high-speed middle of movement through the WiFi, WiBro and 3G mobile radio communication network, and etc. and is developed. Since 2010, the mVoIP (mobile VoIP) service shows the rapid growth due to 4G-LTE service seriously disclosed from July with the Smart phone and 2,011 it begins to be rapidly popularized. In this research, additionally the mVoIP service industry activation plan is presented with the trends of technology development including the chip-set/module/terminal, etc. based upon local and foreign market trend searchlight through the market demand analysis. The mVoIP service downloads App to the mobile apparatus and or can provide the service as the software through the WiFi network. Therefore, the change which is large in the products development aspect is to be have no. Expected to is being provided as the added service in the case of 4G-LTE as a matter of course, the service deployment where it is based on the market principle and demand needs is needed.