• Title/Summary/Keyword: Market Basket Analysis

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Application of Market Basket Analysis to Personalized advertisements on Internet Storefront (인터넷 상점에서 개인화 광고를 위한 장바구니 분석 기법의 활용)

  • 김종우;이경미
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.19-30
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    • 2000
  • Customization and personalization services are considered as a critical success factor to be a successful Internet store or web service provider. As a representative personalization technique, personalized recommendation techniques are studied and commercialized to suggest products or services to a customer of Internet storefronts based on demographics of the customer or based on an analysis of the past purchasing behavior of the customer. The underlining theories of recommendation techniques are statistics, data mining, artificial intelligence, and/or rule-based matching. In the rule-based approach for personalized recommendation, marketing rules for personalization are usually collected from marketing experts and are used to inference with customers data. however, it is difficult to extract marketing rules from marketing experts, and also difficult to validate and to maintain the constructed knowledge base. In this paper, we proposed a marketing rule extraction technique for personalized recommendation on Internet storefronts using market basket analysis technique, a well-known data mining technique. Using marketing basket analysis technique, marketing rules for cross sales are extracted, and are used to provide personalized advertisement selection when a customer visits in an Internet store. An experiment has been performed to evaluate the effectiveness of proposed approach comparing with preference scoring approach and random selection.

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Korea's Optimal Basket Exchange Rate : Thoughts on the Proper Operation of the Market Average Rate Regime (우리나라의 적정(適正)바스켓환율(換率) : 시장평균환율제도(市場平均換率制度)의 운용기준(運用基準) 모색(模索))

  • Oum, Bong-sung
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.111-125
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    • 1990
  • For the last several years, considerable criticism has been leveled against Korea's exchange rate management. While Korea was designated a currency manipulator by the U.S., domestically it is often complained that the won/dollar rate did not adequately reflect changes in Korea's export competitiveness and fluctuations in the exchange rates of major currencies. In view of this situation, Korea changed its exchange regime at the beginning of March this year from the dual currency basket system to a more flexible one, called a "market average rate regime". Under this new regime, the won rate is determined in the exchange market based upon the supply of and demand for foreign exchange and is allowed to freely fluctuate each day within a + 0.4 % range. This paper, first, seeks to evaluate Korea's exchange rate management under the dual basket regime of the 1980s, and then to construct an optimal currency basket for the won which could provide a proper indicator for exchange market intervention under the new market average rate regime. The analysis of fluctuations in the real effective exchange rate (REER) of the won indicates that the won rates in the 1980s failed not only to offset changes in relative prices between home and trading partner countries, but also to properly respond to variations in major exchange rates as further evidenced by sizable fluctuations in the nominal effective rates of the won. In other words, the currency basket regime which was adopted in 1980 for the stabilization of the REER of the won has not been operated properly, mainly because authorities often resorted to policy considerations in determining the won's rate. In the second part of the paper, an optimal currency basket for Korea is constructed, designed to minimize the fluctuations in the REER of the won without including policy considerations as a factor. It is recognized, however, that both domestic and foreign price data are not available immediately for the calculation of the REER. For this problem, the approach suggested by Lipschitz (1980) is followed, in which optimal weights for currencies in the basket are determined based upon the past correlation between price and exchange rates. When the optimal basket is applied to Korea since the mid-80s, it is found that the REER of the won could have been much more stable than it actually was. We also argue for the use of variable weights rather than fixed ones, which would be determined by the changing relationship between exchange rates and relative prices. The optimal basket, and the optimal basket exchange rate based on that basket, could provide an important medium- or long-term reference for proper exchange market intervention under the market average rate regime, together with other factors, such as developments in the current account balance and changes in productivity.

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Effect of Market Basket Size on the Accuracy of Association Rule Measures (장바구니 크기가 연관규칙 척도의 정확성에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Nam-Gyu
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.95-114
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    • 2008
  • Recent interests in data mining result from the expansion of the amount of business data and the growing business needs for extracting valuable knowledge from the data and then utilizing it for decision making process. In particular, recent advances in association rule mining techniques enable us to acquire knowledge concerning sales patterns among individual items from the voluminous transactional data. Certainly, one of the major purposes of association rule mining is to utilize acquired knowledge in providing marketing strategies such as cross-selling, sales promotion, and shelf-space allocation. In spite of the potential applicability of association rule mining, unfortunately, it is not often the case that the marketing mix acquired from data mining leads to the realized profit. The main difficulty of mining-based profit realization can be found in the fact that tremendous numbers of patterns are discovered by the association rule mining. Due to the many patterns, data mining experts should perform additional mining of the results of initial mining in order to extract only actionable and profitable knowledge, which exhausts much time and costs. In the literature, a number of interestingness measures have been devised for estimating discovered patterns. Most of the measures can be directly calculated from what is known as a contingency table, which summarizes the sales frequencies of exclusive items or itemsets. A contingency table can provide brief insights into the relationship between two or more itemsets of concern. However, it is important to note that some useful information concerning sales transactions may be lost when a contingency table is constructed. For instance, information regarding the size of each market basket(i.e., the number of items in each transaction) cannot be described in a contingency table. It is natural that a larger basket has a tendency to consist of more sales patterns. Therefore, if two itemsets are sold together in a very large basket, it can be expected that the basket contains two or more patterns and that the two itemsets belong to mutually different patterns. Therefore, we should classify frequent itemset into two categories, inter-pattern co-occurrence and intra-pattern co-occurrence, and investigate the effect of the market basket size on the two categories. This notion implies that any interestingness measures for association rules should consider not only the total frequency of target itemsets but also the size of each basket. There have been many attempts on analyzing various interestingness measures in the literature. Most of them have conducted qualitative comparison among various measures. The studies proposed desirable properties of interestingness measures and then surveyed how many properties are obeyed by each measure. However, relatively few attentions have been made on evaluating how well the patterns discovered by each measure are regarded to be valuable in the real world. In this paper, attempts are made to propose two notions regarding association rule measures. First, a quantitative criterion for estimating accuracy of association rule measures is presented. According to this criterion, a measure can be considered to be accurate if it assigns high scores to meaningful patterns that actually exist and low scores to arbitrary patterns that co-occur by coincidence. Next, complementary measures are presented to improve the accuracy of traditional association rule measures. By adopting the factor of market basket size, the devised measures attempt to discriminate the co-occurrence of itemsets in a small basket from another co-occurrence in a large basket. Intensive computer simulations under various workloads were performed in order to analyze the accuracy of various interestingness measures including traditional measures and the proposed measures.

Association Analysis of Product Sales using Sequential Layer Filtering (순차적 레이어 필터링을 이용한 상품 판매 연관도 분석)

  • Sun-Ho Bang;Kang-Hyun Lee;Ji-Young Jang;Tsatsral Telmentugs;Kwnag-Sup Shin
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.213-224
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    • 2022
  • In logistics and distribution, Market Basket Analysis (MBA) is used as an important means to analyze the correlation between major sales products and to increase internal operational efficiency. In particular, the results of market basket analysis are used as important reference data for decision-making processes such as product purchase prediction, product recommendation, and product display structure in stores. With the recent development of e-commerce, the number of items handled by a single distribution and logistics company has rapidly increased, And the existing analytical methods such as Apriori and FP-Growth have slowed down due to the exponential increase in the amount of calculation and applied to actual business. There is a limit to examining important association rules to overcome this limitation, In this study, at the Main-Category level, which is the highest classification system of products, the utility item set mining technique that can consider the sales volume of products together was used to first select a group of products mainly sold together. Then, at the sub-category level, the types of products sold together were identified using FP-Growth. By using this sequential layer filtering technique, it may be possible to reduce the unnecessary calculations and to find practically usable rules for enhancing the effectiveness and profitability.

Utilizing the Effect of Market Basket Size for Improving the Practicality of Association Rule Measures (연관규칙 흥미성 척도의 실용성 향상을 위한 장바구니 크기 효과 반영 방안)

  • Kim, Won-Seo;Jeong, Seung-Ryul;Kim, Nam-Gyu
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.17D no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2010
  • Association rule mining techniques enable us to acquire knowledge concerning sales patterns among individual items from voluminous transactional data. Certainly, one of the major purposes of association rule mining is utilizing the acquired knowledge to provide marketing strategies such as catalogue design, cross-selling and shop allocation. However, this requires too much time and high cost to only extract the actionable and profitable knowledge from tremendous numbers of discovered patterns. In currently available literature, a number of interest measures have been devised to accelerate and systematize the process of pattern evaluation. Unfortunately, most of such measures, including support and confidence, are prone to yielding impractical results because they are calculated only from the sales frequencies of items. For instance, traditional measures cannot differentiate between the purchases in a small basket and those in a large shopping cart. Therefore, some adjustment should be made to the size of market baskets because there is a strong possibility that mutually irrelevant items could appear together in a large shopping cart. Contrary to the previous approaches, we attempted to consider market basket's size in calculating interest measures. Because the devised measure assigns different weights to individual purchases according to their basket sizes, we expect that the measure can minimize distortion of results caused by accidental patterns. Additionally, we performed intensive computer simulations under various environments, and we performed real case analyses to analyze the correctness and consistency of the devised measure.

A Study on Efficient Stock Arrangement of Distribution Center Using MBA Analysis and Simulation in Retail Business (유통업에서 MBA분석과 시뮬레이션을 이용한 물류센타 재고배치 효율화에 관한 연구)

  • Yeo, Sung-Joo;Seong, Kil-Young;Wang, Gi-Nam
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.234-242
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    • 2009
  • It is most important for distribution center in retail business to delivery commodities in a timely manner. Accordingly, many companies try to make distribution center effective using the Warehouse Management System(WMS) integrated legacy system. Also, the Customer Relationship Management(CRM) is the most typical paradigm in management lately. Even though the WMS and CRM are independent system of each other, WMS, coupled with CRM makes customer satisfied more effectively. In this paper, we proposed the methodology for inventory location after analyzing and applying customer buying pattern data in the CRM through the MBA(Market Basket Analysis), which is part of data mining. We used an example modeling a real distribution center in retail through a 3D simulation tool and examined correlation between commodities using customer buying pattern. After that, we applied it to the inventory location system through the MBA in an example. Finally, we identified decrease in the time for picking, which is the majority of distribution center. Besides, we proposed a simulation methodology before applying new methodology. Consequently, it removes potential errors in advance and makes a optimized inventory location system.

Application of Market Basket Analysis to One-to-One Marketing on Internet Storefront (인터넷 쇼핑몰에서 원투원 마케팅을 위한 장바구니 분석 기법의 활용)

  • 강동원;이경미
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
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    • v.2 no.9
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    • pp.1175-1182
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    • 2001
  • One to one Marketing (a.k.a. database marketing or relationship marketing) is one of the many fields that will benefit from the electronic revolution and shifts in consumer sales and advertising. As a component of intelligent customer services on Internet storefront, this paper describes technology of providing personalized advertisement using the market basket analysis, a well-Known data mining technique. The underlining theories of recommendation techniques are statistics, data mining, artificial intelligence, and/or rule-based matching. In the rule-based approach for personalized recommendation, marketing rules for personalization are usually collected from marketing experts and are used to inference with customer's data. However, it is difficult to extract marketing rules from marketing experts, and also difficult to validate and to maintain the constructed Knowledge base. In this paper, using marketing basket analysis technique, marketing rules for cross sales are extracted, and are used to provide personalized advertisement selection when a customer visits in an Internet store.

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A Study on Diversification of the Elderly Living Cost Estimate (노인가계 생계비 산정의 다양화를 위한 연구-반물량방식과 통계분석방식을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Sun-Hyung;Kim, Keun-Hong
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.473-486
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    • 2007
  • This study focused on the diversification of the elderly living cost estimate through statistical analysis method and Engel method(market basket method). The results of this study were as follows. First of all, due to Engel method, it has shown that the minimum living cost of aged couples was 566,478won on average of 2006, single aged men 306,210 won and single aged women 260,276 won. Secondly, according to the first way of statistical analysis, the minimum living cost of elderly couples was 860,043won, the standard was 1,018,669won and abundant 1,287,555won. The second way of that, the minimum(of elderly couples) was 694.916won, the standard 1,037,779won and abundant 1,556,551won. Those numbers included imputed rent. These results were changed to that the minimum is 435,416won, the standard 548,250won and the abundant 699,844won when imputed rent were excluded Moreover, it was also represented that the minimum of Engel method was between that of quasi-relative standard line and that of not imputed rent. Lastly, in the deprivation indicators method studied by Korea Institute for Health and Social Affair, it was concerned that an underestimation of elderly deprivation might have been got if some inappropriate data include. Given this study, it could not be judged that various estimating ways had been tried were consistency, but market-basket method was keenly needed. Market-basket method is being an absolute estimating way including only elderly data. Therefore, what is asking for first is - because other analysis can be limited by absolute estimating ways, particularly market-basket method - to be required systemic and all-arounded elderly living cost with more various ways.

An Investigation on Expanding Co-occurrence Criteria in Association Rule Mining (온라인 연관관계 분석의 장바구니 기준에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Mi-Sung;Kim, Nam-Gyu
    • CRM연구
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2011
  • There is a large difference between purchasing patterns in an online shopping mall and in an offline market. This difference may be caused mainly by the difference in accessibility of online and offline markets. It means that an interval between the initial purchasing decision and its realization appears to be relatively short in an online shopping mall, because a customer can make an order immediately. Because of the short interval between a purchasing decision and its realization, an online shopping mall transaction usually contains fewer items than that of an offline market. In an offline market, customers usually keep some items in mind and buy them all at once a few days after deciding to buy them, instead of buying each item individually and immediately. On the contrary, more than 70% of online shopping mall transactions contain only one item. This statistic implies that traditional data mining techniques cannot be directly applied to online market analysis, because hardly any association rules can survive with an acceptable level of Support because of too many Null Transactions. Most market basket analyses on online shopping mall transactions, therefore, have been performed by expanding the co-occurrence criteria of traditional association rule mining. While the traditional co-occurrence criteria defines items purchased in one transaction as concurrently purchased items, the expanded co-occurrence criteria regards items purchased by a customer during some predefined period (e.g., a day) as concurrently purchased items. In studies using expanded co-occurrence criteria, however, the criteria has been defined arbitrarily by researchers without any theoretical grounds or agreement. The lack of clear grounds of adopting a certain co-occurrence criteria degrades the reliability of the analytical results. Moreover, it is hard to derive new meaningful findings by combining the outcomes of previous individual studies. In this paper, we attempt to compare expanded co-occurrence criteria and propose a guideline for selecting an appropriate one. First of all, we compare the accuracy of association rules discovered according to various co-occurrence criteria. By doing this experiment we expect that we can provide a guideline for selecting appropriate co-occurrence criteria that corresponds to the purpose of the analysis. Additionally, we will perform similar experiments with several groups of customers that are segmented by each customer's average duration between orders. By this experiment, we attempt to discover the relationship between the optimal co-occurrence criteria and the customer's average duration between orders. Finally, by a series of experiments, we expect that we can provide basic guidelines for developing customized recommendation systems.

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