• 제목/요약/키워드: Marginal structural model

검색결과 19건 처리시간 0.02초

Modeling of self-excited forces during multimode flutter: an experimental study

  • Siedziako, Bartosz;iseth, Ole O
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.293-309
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    • 2018
  • The prediction of multimode flutter relies, to a larger extent than bimodal flutter, on accurate modeling of the self-excited forces since it is challenging to perform experimental validation by using aeroelastic tests for a multimode case. This paper sheds some light on the accuracy of predicted self-excited forces by comparing numerical predictions of self-excited forces with measured forces from wind tunnel tests considering the flutter vibration mode. The critical velocity and the corresponding flutter vibration mode of the Hardanger Bridge are first determined using the classical multimode approach. Then, a section model of the bridge is forced to undergo a motion corresponding to the flutter vibration mode at selected points along the bridge, during which the forces that act upon it are measured. The measured self-excited forces are compared with numerical predictions to assess the uncertainty involved in the modeling. The self-excited lift and pitching moment are captured in an excellent manner by the aerodynamic derivatives. The self-excited drag force is, on the other hand, not well represented since second-order effects dominate. However, the self-excited drag force is very small for the cross-section considered, making its influence on the critical velocity marginal. The self-excited drag force can, however, be of higher importance for other cross-sections.

생존자료분석에서 성향 점수를 이용한 treatment delay effect 추정법에 대한 연구 (Propensity score methods for estimating treatment delay effects)

  • 정주이;송현진;한승봉
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제36권5호
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    • pp.415-445
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    • 2023
  • 생존 자료에서 Hade 등 (2020) 은 시간-의존 교란 변수가 환자의 처치 시점에 영향을 미칠 때, 해당 효과를 보정하여 treatment delay effect를 올바르게 추정하기 위해 성향 점수 매칭 방법을 이용하였다. 이 때, treatment delay effect란 환자가 관심 있는 지연 시점만큼 늦게 처치를 받는 경우 제 때 받는 경우에 비해 사건 발생 위험에 미치는 영향을 의미한다. 본 연구에서는 또 다른 성향 점수 기반 모형인 Cox-MSM 모형 또한 해당 효과를 올바르게 추정할 수 있는지 모의 실험을 통해 확인 및 기존 매칭 모형과 비교하였다. 모의실험 결과, 세 가지 모형 모두 다양한 시나리오 내에서 treatment delay effect를 올바르게 추정함을 확인하였다. 특히 모든 시나리오 내에서 Cox-MSM의 제곱근평균제곱오차의 값이 가장 낮았으며, restricted Cox matching 모형에서 가장 큰 값을 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 결론적으로, 성향 점수에 기반하나 매칭이 아닌 방법 또한 treatment delay effect 적용이 가능하다는 결과를 제공한다. 추후 G-formula과 같이 성향 점수 기반이 아닌 모형에서도 적용이 가능한지에 대한 상세 연구가 필요하다고 사료된다.

Axial capacity of FRP reinforced concrete columns: Empirical, neural and tree based methods

  • Saha Dauji
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제89권3호
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    • pp.283-300
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    • 2024
  • Machine learning (ML) models based on artificial neural network (ANN) and decision tree (DT) were developed for estimation of axial capacity of concrete columns reinforced with fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) bars. Between the design codes, the Canadian code provides better formulation compared to the Australian or American code. For empirical models based on elastic modulus of FRP, Hadhood et al. (2017) model performed best. Whereas for empirical models based on tensile strength of FRP, as well as all empirical models, Raza et al. (2021) was adjudged superior. However, compared to the empirical models, all ML models exhibited superior performance according to all five performance metrics considered. The performance of ANN and DT models were comparable in general. Under the present setup, inclusion of the transverse reinforcement information did not improve the accuracy of estimation with either ANN or DT. With selective use of inputs, and a much simpler ANN architecture (4-3-1) compared to that reported in literature (Raza et al. 2020: 6-11-11-1), marginal improvement in correlation could be achieved. The metrics for the best model from the study was a correlation of 0.94, absolute errors between 420 kN to 530 kN, and the range being 0.39 to 0.51 for relative errors. Though much superior performance could be obtained using ANN/DT models over empirical models, further work towards improving accuracy of the estimation is indicated before design of FRP reinforced concrete columns using ML may be considered for design codes.

유체-구조 연계해석을 통한 소형민수헬기(LCH) 공력 및 구조하중 해석 (Airloads and Structural Loads Analysis of LCH Rotor Using a Loose CFD/CSD Coupling)

  • 이다운;김기로;이관중;정성남
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제47권7호
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    • pp.489-498
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 국내 개발 중인 소형 민수 헬리콥터(LCH)에 대해 유체-구조 연계 기법을 이용하여 로터 공력 및 구조 하중에 대한 고정밀 공탄성 해석을 수행하였다. LCH 로터는 일반적인 힌지형 로터와 달리 탄성체 베어링과 블레이드 상호 연계형 댐퍼 시스템을 탑재하였으며, 이에 대한 구조동역학 해석을 위해 CAMRAD-II 모델을 구축하였다. 주 운용조건인 전진비 0.28 순항조건에서 단일 로터 모델과 로터-동체 모델에 대한 유체-구조 연계해석을 수행하여 동체 모델링의 효과를 분석하였다. 동체 모델링이 로터의 하중 및 블레이드-와류 간섭에 미치는 영향은 제한적이지만, 루트에서 발생한 와류가 동체 효과에 의해 꼬리 로터에 무시할 수 없는 영향을 줄 수 있음을 수치적으로 확인하였다. 양력선 이론 기반의 구조동역학 해석 결과는 유체-구조 연계해석 결과와 대체로 부합하는 결과를 보였으나, 비정상 유동 예측 모델의 한계로 인해 공력 하중, 탄성 변위에 대한 peak-to-peak 크기를 낮게 예측하고 구조 진동 하중에서 주요한 위상 차이를 나타냈다.

거주지역 이동이 의료이용량과 의료접근성에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Residential Migration on the Utilization and Accessibility of Medical Care)

  • 이우리;최용석;이경민;김리현;유기봉
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.125-139
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    • 2021
  • Background: In Korea, the health gap widens due to the number of medical resources and access to medical services between metropolitan and rural. The purpose of this study is to identify the impact of residential migration on medical utilization and accessibility. Methods: This study extracted 528,516 claimed cases in the National Health Insurance Service-Cohort Sample Database from 2006 to 2015. Subjects were classified into two groups by the magnitude of the region, the metropolitan and the rural. The inversed probability weights were calculated for each group. And coefficients of the two-part model were estimated by generalized estimation equation. Results: Those who moved region from metropolitan to rural tend to increase the length of stay and inpatients with ambulatory care sensitive conditions (ACSC) disease. Contrariwise, those who moved areas from rural to metropolitan tend to decrease the total medical cost, the adjusted patient days, the number of outpatients and the number of outpatients and inpatients with ACSC disease. Conclusion: This study identified that between the residents who continued to reside in the region and the migrants, there were significant differences in the medical accessibility, quality of primary care, and unmet medical need.

단일 절삭가공용 왁스 디스크 내에서 순차적 절삭가공 순서에 따른 크라운의 내면 및 변연 적합도 비교 (Comparison of internal and marginal fit of crown according to milling order in a single machinable wax disc)

  • 송준범;이종혁;하승룡;최유성
    • 대한치과보철학회지
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    • 제59권4호
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    • pp.395-404
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    • 2021
  • 목적: 본 연구의 목적은 절삭가공이 순차적으로 진행됨에 따른 왁스 디스크의 구조적 안정성의 변화가 보철물의 적합도에 미치는 영향을 평가하는 것이다. 재료 및 방법: 삭제된 상악 제1대구치 인공치아를 이용하여 Ni-Cr 합금 표준모형을 제작하였고, 이를 스캔하여 크라운을 디자인한 뒤 왁스 디스크를 절삭가공하고 매몰 및 Ni-Cr 합금으로 주조하여 보철물을 제작하였다. 단일 왁스 디스크 내에서 중앙에 일렬로 위치한 납형들은 가장 처음 절삭가공 되는 WM1군부터 마지막에 절삭가공 되는 WM5군으로 총 5개의 군을 설정하였고 각 군의 수는 10개로 하였다. 적합도는 실리콘 레플리카 방법을 이용하여 변연 간극, 축면 간극, 선각간극, 교합면 간극을 측정하였다. 측정값은 일원배치분산분석(one-way ANOVA)을 사용하여 유의 수준은 95%로 그룹 간의 차이를 평가한 뒤, 사후 분석을 위해 Tukey HSD test를 시행하였다(α = .05). 결과: 각 군의 변연 간극은 WM1군(40.41 ± 2.15 ㎛), WM2군(40.44 ± 2.23 ㎛), WM3군(39.96 ± 2.25 ㎛), WM4군(39.96 ± 2.48 ㎛), WM5군(40.57 ± 2.53 ㎛)으로 각 군간에 유의한 차이를 보이지 않았다. 축면 간극, 선각 간극, 교합면 간극에서도 각 군간에 유의한 차이를 보이지 않았다. 결론: 단일 절삭가공용 왁스 디스크 내에서 순차적 절삭가공 시 크라운의 내면 및 변연 적합도는 절삭 순서에 영향 받지 않는 것으로 보인다.

뉴스생산 환경에 따른 방송 보도의 선정성 네트워크 분석·프레임 분석 : 유명인에 대한 미투운동 사례를 중심으로 (Network Analysis and Frame Analysis on the Sensationalism of News Coverage according to the Influence of News Production Environment : based on the #metoo movement of celebrity)

  • 홍주현
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제18권7호
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    • pp.103-119
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    • 2018
  • 이 연구는 계층모델을 토대로 뉴스생산 환경에 따라 미투 운동 보도의 선정성에 차이가 있는지 규명하기 위해 뉴스에 대한 네트워크 분석과 프레임 분석을 실시했다. 유명인에 대해 지상파보다 종편 뉴스의 선정성이 더 높았다. 지상파는 사건 중심으로 보도를 한 반면 종편은 피해 상황, 피해자의 심경, 가해자가 한 말이나 행동 등 성폭행 상황을 자세하게 묘사하고 안희정 전 지사에 대한 비난, 주변인 인터뷰를 통해 더 선정적으로 보도했다. 미투 운동 보도에서 방송은 가해자 중심으로 보도했다. 사건의 이름과 헤드라인에서 이러한 경향이 두드러졌는데 가해자인 안 전 지사가 '합의에 의한 관계'였다고 언급한 '합의 관계 프레임'이 일관되게 나타났다. 안 지사에 대한 '가해자 비난 프레임'도 있었다. 미투 운동 보도에서 방송은 폭로 저널리즘의 전형을 보여줬으며 미투 운동의 사회적 의미나 권력 관계를 중심으로 사건을 분석하고 해결방안을 제시한 보도는 찾아 볼 수 없었다. 연구를 통해 방송의 선정성 문제는 기자 개인의 문제가 아니라 미디어 관행, 조직적 차원의 문제로 접근해야 한다고 제안했다.

애니메이션 산업의 대안적 연구 - 아바타 서비스의 소비자 고착화(lock-in) 전략을 중심으로 (An alternative way of Animation Industry : Focusing on Avatar sevice's Lock-in Effect)

  • 한창완
    • 만화애니메이션 연구
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    • 통권6호
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    • pp.152-171
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    • 2002
  • This study analyses the avatar service, which is recognized as an alternative strategy of animation industry. The research questions of this study are following: (1) How have the avatar services been developed and what are the present dominant types? (2) Which structural characteristics of e-business environment are needed for the success of avatar services? (3) What is the economic characteristics of avatar business model? To solve these research questions, the basic conditions and the structural characteristics of avatar services have been investigated. In the first place, two forms of avatar service are classified. One is the internet service site whole primary service is to provide chatting service based on avatar service. The other is the portal site in which many kinds of products and services are presented as bundles to meet the needs of internet users. So avatar service is one of bundles which those portal sites are providing with. In this study, the big five internet service sites are selected based on the profits they earned through the sales of avatar service. The result of analysis is that the pricing strategy of those big five sites is very different from those of traditional off-line markets. The pricing mechanism are based on the value which internet users endow with the avatar items, not based on the costs of making the products. Avatar is the representative informative goods. The informative goods have the original cost structures, constant fixed costs and zero marginal costs, so the providers of avatar services make much of the subjective values of consumers. The sayclub, which is the most successful avatar service site and earn the average sales of 3 billing won a month, takes the aggressive strategy of pricing avatar items at highest price in the industry. The avatar service providers which make lots of profits are planning of making differentiate the services, introducing well-known brand items and star-named items. Nevertheless, the fact that the members of the sayclub are not decreasing means that the network effect of the site is so strongly manifest. Moreover, the costs the members have paid for the avatar items are so big not as to switch from one site to the other site, it can be very costly. These switching costs are endemic in high-technology industries and digital contents industries. It can be so large that switching suppliers is virtually unthinkable, a situation known as 'lock-in'. When switching costs are substantial, competition can be intense to attract new customers, since, one they are locked in, they can be a substantial source of profit. The consumers of avatar items have switching costs if they subscribe for the new avatar service site. The switching costs can be subscription costs as well as the costs of giving up the items they already paid for. One common example of switching costs involves specialized supplies, as with inkjet printer cartridges. In this example, the switching cost is the purchase of a new printer. The market is competitive ex ante, but since cartridges are incompatible, it is monopolized dx post. So the providers of printer/cartridges set pricing printer so cheap and cartridges expensive. On the contrary, since the avatar service can be successful with the strong network effect, the providers of avatar services have to compete aggressively for new customers. So they allow the subscription at a low price(almost marginal cost) in the early market. The network effect can be maximized when the members are sufficiently growing. The providers which have the monopoly power with sufficient subscribers. begin to raise the prices over the lifetime of the product and make profits.

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스마트폰 위치기반 어플리케이션의 이용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인: 프라이버시 계산 모형의 적용 (Factors Influencing the Adoption of Location-Based Smartphone Applications: An Application of the Privacy Calculus Model)

  • 차훈상
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.7-29
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    • 2012
  • Smartphone and its applications (i.e. apps) are increasingly penetrating consumer markets. According to a recent report from Korea Communications Commission, nearly 50% of mobile subscribers in South Korea are smartphone users that accounts for over 25 million people. In particular, the importance of smartphone has risen as a geospatially-aware device that provides various location-based services (LBS) equipped with GPS capability. The popular LBS include map and navigation, traffic and transportation updates, shopping and coupon services, and location-sensitive social network services. Overall, the emerging location-based smartphone apps (LBA) offer significant value by providing greater connectivity, personalization, and information and entertainment in a location-specific context. Conversely, the rapid growth of LBA and their benefits have been accompanied by concerns over the collection and dissemination of individual users' personal information through ongoing tracking of their location, identity, preferences, and social behaviors. The majority of LBA users tend to agree and consent to the LBA provider's terms and privacy policy on use of location data to get the immediate services. This tendency further increases the potential risks of unprotected exposure of personal information and serious invasion and breaches of individual privacy. To address the complex issues surrounding LBA particularly from the user's behavioral perspective, this study applied the privacy calculus model (PCM) to explore the factors that influence the adoption of LBA. According to PCM, consumers are engaged in a dynamic adjustment process in which privacy risks are weighted against benefits of information disclosure. Consistent with the principal notion of PCM, we investigated how individual users make a risk-benefit assessment under which personalized service and locatability act as benefit-side factors and information privacy risks act as a risk-side factor accompanying LBA adoption. In addition, we consider the moderating role of trust on the service providers in the prohibiting effects of privacy risks on user intention to adopt LBA. Further we include perceived ease of use and usefulness as additional constructs to examine whether the technology acceptance model (TAM) can be applied in the context of LBA adoption. The research model with ten (10) hypotheses was tested using data gathered from 98 respondents through a quasi-experimental survey method. During the survey, each participant was asked to navigate the website where the experimental simulation of a LBA allows the participant to purchase time-and-location sensitive discounted tickets for nearby stores. Structural equations modeling using partial least square validated the instrument and the proposed model. The results showed that six (6) out of ten (10) hypotheses were supported. On the subject of the core PCM, H2 (locatability ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA) and H3 (privacy risks ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA) were supported, while H1 (personalization ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA) was not supported. Further, we could not any interaction effects (personalization X privacy risks, H4 & locatability X privacy risks, H5) on the intention to use LBA. In terms of privacy risks and trust, as mentioned above we found the significant negative influence from privacy risks on intention to use (H3), but positive influence from trust, which supported H6 (trust ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA). The moderating effect of trust on the negative relationship between privacy risks and intention to use LBA was tested and confirmed by supporting H7 (privacy risks X trust ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA). The two hypotheses regarding to the TAM, including H8 (perceived ease of use ${\rightarrow}$ perceived usefulness) and H9 (perceived ease of use ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA) were supported; however, H10 (perceived effectiveness ${\rightarrow}$ intention to use LBA) was not supported. Results of this study offer the following key findings and implications. First the application of PCM was found to be a good analysis framework in the context of LBA adoption. Many of the hypotheses in the model were confirmed and the high value of $R^2$ (i.,e., 51%) indicated a good fit of the model. In particular, locatability and privacy risks are found to be the appropriate PCM-based antecedent variables. Second, the existence of moderating effect of trust on service provider suggests that the same marginal change in the level of privacy risks may differentially influence the intention to use LBA. That is, while the privacy risks increasingly become important social issues and will negatively influence the intention to use LBA, it is critical for LBA providers to build consumer trust and confidence to successfully mitigate this negative impact. Lastly, we could not find sufficient evidence that the intention to use LBA is influenced by perceived usefulness, which has been very well supported in most previous TAM research. This may suggest that more future research should examine the validity of applying TAM and further extend or modify it in the context of LBA or other similar smartphone apps.

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