• Title/Summary/Keyword: Marginal Valuation

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Real Option Valuation of a Wind Power Project Based on the Volatilities of Electricity Generation, Tariff and Long Term Interest Rate (발전량, 가격, 장기금리 변동성을 기초로 한 풍력발전사업의 실물옵션 가치평가)

  • Kim, Youngkyung;Chang, Byungman
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2014
  • For a proper valuation of wind power project, it is necessary to consider volatilities of key parameters such as annual energy production, electricity sales price, and long term interest rate. Real option methodology allows to calculate option values of these parameters. Volatilities to be considered in wind project valuation are 1) annual energy production (AEP) estimation due to meteorological variation and estimation errors in wind speed distribution, 2) changes in system marginal price (SMP), and 3) interest rate fluctuation of project financing which provides refinancing option to be exercised during a loan tenor for commercial scale projects. Real option valuation turns out to be more than half of the sales value based on a case study for a FIT scheme wind project that was sold to a financial investor.

Perfect Substitution and Aggregation in A System of Marginal Valuation Functions (한계가치함수체계의 완전대체성과 상품결합성)

  • Park, Hoanjae
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.427-452
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    • 2003
  • Demand analyses often assume perfect substitution and some level of aggregation before analysis and data collection. Earlier works on this subject are carried out in the context of ordinary demand systems. However, perfect substitution is a degenerate special case in the systems and it is much more easily handled in a system of marginal value functions and no previous analysis has used the marginal value functions to test for perfect substitution and make possible aggregation with prior restrictions. In this article, we present the empirical results on a system of marginal value functions in fisheries and pose testable results of perfect substitution and aggregation. The contribution of this article is new establishment of a set of restrictions implying perfect substitutability among all commodities and the application to the problem of commodity aggregate. A system of marginal value functions is estimated in fisheries and its implication of perfect substitution is reasonably drawn.

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Valuation and Preference of Urban Agriculture Park using Choice Experiment (도시농업공원 조성에 대한 선호와 가치평가)

  • Heo, Joo-Nyung;Kim, Tae-Gon
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2013
  • The Purpose of this paper is to estimates consumers' willingness to pay for Urban Agriculture Park attributes. we analysis the marginal WTP by choice experiment method. Choice experiment (CE) is designed to elicit the marginal WTP differences among urban agriculture park attributes (garden scales, learning and experience area, leisure and relaxation area and fund). The results of multinomial logit model are meaningful, the total marginal WTP on the urban agriculture park attributes is 18,852 won. gardens scales is 2,949 won, learning and experience area is 11,284 won, leisure and relaxation area is 4,619 won. In the current laws, the facilities related to urban agriculture park is not. Taking advantage of the new urban agriculture park, Amendments of the law is required.

Engineering Valuation Based on Small Samples

  • Cho, Jin-Hyung;Lee, Sae-Jae;Seo, Bo-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2006
  • Box-Cox model and T-factor method have been widely used to measure economic depreciations for industrial property. The Box-Cox model which combines economic efficiency with depreciation pattern is here extended to the reliability function. To do so a Rayleigh distribution which has been used to estimate the reliability of current assets was chosen as an efficiency curve of marginal productivity. Such an approach provides the possibility to classify the efficiency curves into four categories. It is also possible to analyze the types of depreciation curves. Therefore, the power family of a non-linear Box-Cox model could be set at certain constant values, then the model can be transformed into a linear model to estimate the economic depreciation rates by utilizing the reliability function. Estimating the resultant linear regression equation requires minimal number of observations, while at the same time facilitating the test of hypothesis on depreciation rates.

Valuation of Nonmarketed Goods: WTP and Part-Whole Bias in CV Studies (비시장재의 가치평가 : WTP의 추정과 부분-전체 편의의 검토)

  • 박용치
    • Survey Research
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2002
  • Part-whole bias in contingent-valuation studies is a possible explanation for non-use contingent-valuation estimates that are insensitive to marginal changes in environmental commodities. To increase the quality of river water, it is tested how much WTP is paid and is tested whether there is a part-whole bias in this contingent studies. An empirical test of the component sensitivity is provided. This test rejects the hypothesis that respondents are insensitive to the scope of the good being valued. WTP estimated in this paper is 5,435.69 won for Hangang model, and 7,182.68 won for 4-river model. And it might be concluded that part-whole bias exists and it is mainly attributed to substitution and net-benefit effects.

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The Non-Market Value of Science Museum (과학관 시설의 비시장적 가치)

  • Gwak Seung Jun;Yu Seung Hun;Heo Jae Yong;Lee Ju Seok
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.73-89
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    • 2005
  • As a scientific educational facility, the role of science museum has been enlarged. However there are few study to evaluate the public value of science museum. This paper applies a conjoint analysis to measuring the public value of science museum. At first, this paper chose the attributes of science museum and derived the marginal willingness to pay, As a result, the choice works for selecting a preferred option among three alternatives were within respondents' ability and the derived marginal willingness-to-pay estimates were statistically different from zero. This paper contributes to complementing the existing valuation methods by estimating the attributes of science museum and providing policy-makers with useful methodological framework and quantitative information in the decision-making process related to the policy of cultural facilities.

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Analyzing Consumer's Preference for the Potential Value of Coastal Wetland Ecotourism Using Contingent Choice Method (갯벌생태관광에 대한 소비자의 잠재가치 측정에 관한 연구)

  • Chang, Jeong-In;Lee, Joo-Suk;Shin, Chul-Oh
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.149-157
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    • 2011
  • As tourist are becoming increasingly environmentally conscious, government and related companies need to establish policies or strategies that encourage ecotourism. The aim of this study is to analyze individual preferences and estimate shadow prices, namely, willingness to pay for coastal wetland ecotourism. This study applies a contingent choice method to measuring marginal WTP for each attribute (tour duration, number of visitors, guide, program) of coastal wetland ecotourism. The finding herein contribute to complementing the valuation methods by estimating various attributes of coastal wetland ecotourism and providing policy-makers with useful methodological framework and quantitative information in the decision-making process related to ecotourism.

Economic Valuation of Urban Riverine Restoration and A Test of Social Desirability Bias (도심하천복원 경제가치 추정에서 사회규범편의 검정)

  • Choi, Andy S.;Sung, Chan Yong;Baek, Hyojin
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.645-673
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    • 2019
  • The hypothetical nature of stated preferences can lead to a hypothetical bias that might work as a normative pressure, influencing survey responses. This paper aims to test the impact of social desirability bias by comparing economic estimates based on both subjective and objective valuation questions. The case study is about an urban riverine restoration project in Deajeon, South Korea. As valuation methods both contingent valuation and choice experiments were comparatively applied. Based on a nationally representative sample of 1,000 respondents, the test results offered contrasting conclusions between two test approaches. Accroding to the estimation results based on the conventional valuation, the marginal willingness to pay estimates are 10,500 KRW from CV; and 18,600 KRW for improving water quality, 2,200 KRW for the inside view, 8,900 KRW for the outside view, and 5,800 KRW for biodiversity from CE. A segmentation-based approach is a conventionally used method, which showed a limited impact of social desirability on willingness to pay estimates. The alternative parameterization-based approach measures a model-wide impact of social desirability, proving a significant bias. Although the study positioned a cheap-talk statement before the valuation section of the survey questionnaires, which might have pre-screened the bias, the overall implications of the results suggest a caution in reducing and observing hypothetical bias. There might remain a significant and substantial hypothetical bias even after cheap-talk, particularly in situations with strong social desirability, so that the potential role of objective valuation questions is guaranteed.

The Utilization Method of Unsold/Unused Land in Urban Development Project Areas : Estimating Feasibility of Temporary Commercial Parking Lots Using CVM (조건부가치측정법(CVM)을 활용한 개발사업지구 내 유휴부지 유료주차장 활용방안 연구)

  • Kim, Tae Gyun;Park, Ji Eun;Yun, Jeong Ran
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the author suggests utilizing unsold and unused land as temporary commercial parking lots as a way to raise funds for active public transport use. In addition, reasonable parking fee scheme is suggested by estimating marginal parking fee and marginal parking distance for the commercial parking lots based on the CVM. The author conducts a survey to investigate citizens' opinion on utilizing unsold and unused land in the urban development project area as temporary commercial transport facilities such as parking lots. Based on survey outcome, travel behavior and requirements are analyzed and marginal parking fee and marginal parking distance are estimated through the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM). The results are as follows: in the single-bounded dichotomous choice model, people are willing to pay 216 KRW for 165m in average for 10 minutes and their willingness to pay goes down against reaching distance to the parking lots from 365 KRW for 50m, 295 KRW for 100m, 173 KRW for 200m, and 51 KRW for 300m; in the double-bounded dichotomous choice model, people are willing to pay 285 KRW for 165m in average for 10 minutes and their willingness to pay goes down as well against reaching distance to the parking lots from 310 KRW for 50m, 297 KRW for 100m, 272 KRW for 200m and 248 KRW for 300m. It is clearly appeared that people's willingness to pay goes higher as distance to reach the parking lots goes shorter.

The Effects of Locational Point Representation of Apartment Complexes on Hedonic Valuation of Air Quality (공동주택 위치표현 방법이 대기질의 한계잠재가격 측정에 미치는 영향)

  • Chul Sohn
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.949-960
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    • 2003
  • The marginal implicit price of air quality can be measured by taking a partial derivative of hedonic price function (HPF) with respect to the level of air quality. It has been pointed out that the size of the marginal implicit price varies with the use of different function forms, different estimation methods, and the different ways of measuring air quality level in estimating HPF. In addition to these factors, this study shows theoretically and empirically the way housing properties are represented on a digital map could differentiate the size of marginal implicit price of air quality when GIS is used to measure location attributes of the housing properties in the Korean apartment market. Furthermore, this study shows that the degree of difference in the marginal implicit price due to the manner in which housing properties are represented on a digital map can be larger than the degree of difference in the marginal implicit price due to using different function forms and estimation methods. The major implication from the results of this study is that one should carefully try diverse ways of representing housing properties in the Korean apartment market on a digital map in the process of estimating HPF, as he or she usually tries diverse function forms and estimation methods, to see if the value of the marginal implicit price of air quality varies substantially.