• Title/Summary/Keyword: Maintenance Cost Estimation Process

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A Study on Optimal Release Time for Software Systems based on Mixture Weibull NHPP Model (혼합 와이블 NHPP 모형에 근거한 소프트웨어 최적방출시기에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang Sik;Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.183-191
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    • 2010
  • Decision problem called an optimal release policies, after testing a software system in development phase and transfer it to the user, is studied. The applied model of release time exploited infinite non-homogeneous Poisson process. This infinite non-homogeneous Poisson process is a model which reflects the possibility of introducing new faults when correcting or modifying the software. The failure life-cycle distribution used mixture which has various intensity, if the system is complicated. Thus, software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement becomes an optimal release policies. In a numerical example, after trend test applied and estimated the parameters using maximum likelihood estimation of inter-failure time data, estimated software optimal release time.

Estimation of Life Expectancy and Budget Demands based on Maintenance Strategy (도로포장 유지보수 전략에 따른 기대수명과 보수비용산정)

  • Han, Dae-Seok;Do, Myung-Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.4D
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    • pp.345-356
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    • 2012
  • Road pavement requires repetitive maintenance works to maintain satisfactory service level to the public. However, the repetitive maintenance works upon deteriorated pavement structure make negative effects to deterioration speed. It often leads to inefficient use of limited budget. For that reason, the pavements require reconstruction work to recover their original performance. Recently, construction demands in the Korean national highway have already been reached to maximum level, and the aged pavements start to demand much more reconstruction works. However, in the real world, road agencies have often been confused when they determine maintenance design for such aged road sections due to budget constraint. It is because there is no reliable long-term maintenance strategy that supports their decision making. To support their decision making, this paper aimed to suggest the best maintenance strategy considering changing process of pavement performance by repetitive maintenance works. As an analysis method, probability distribution and hazard function to estimate the life expectancy were adopted, and then the results were used for long-term life cycle cost analysis with deterministic or Monte-Carlo method under various scenarios. As an empirical study, the Korean national highway data that has long-maintenance history data since 1986 has been applied. Last, this paper considered quality assurance of maintenance work to improve maintenance quality. These could be important information as a part of long-term maintenance strategy of pavement.

Economic Feasibility Study for Commercial Production of Bio-hydrogen (해양바이오수소개발 사업의 상업생산을 위한 예비경제성평가)

  • Park, Se-Hun;Yoo, Young-Don;Kang, Sung Gyun
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2016
  • This project sought to conduct an economic feasibility study regarding the commercial production of bio-hydrogen by the marine hyperthermophilic archaeon, Thermococcus onnurineus NA1 using carbon monoxide-containing industrial off-gas. We carried out the economic evaluation of the bio-hydrogen production process using the raw material of steel mill by-product gas. The process parameter was as follows: $H_2$ production rate was 5.6 L/L/h; the conversion of carbon monoxide was 60.7%. This project established an evaluation criterion for about 10,000 tonne/year. Inflation factors were considered as 3%. The operating costs were recalculated based on prices in 2014. The total investment required for development was covered 30% by capital and 70% by a loan. The operation cost for the 0.5-year test and integration, and the cost for the first three months in the 50% production period were considered as the working capital in the cost estimation. The costs required for the rental of office space, facilities, and other related costs from the construction through to full-scale production periods were considered as continuing expenses. Materials, energy, waste disposal and other charges were considered as the operating cost of the development system. Depreciation, tax, maintenance and repair, insurance, labor, interest rate charges, general and administrative costs, lubrication and miscellaneous expenses were also calculated. The hydrogen price was set at US$ 4.15/kg for the economic evaluation. As a result, the process was considered to be economical with the payback period of 6.3 years, NPV of 18 billion Won and IRR of 26.7%.

An Analysis of Grinding Effects and Economic Life of Cutting Tool with Proportional Age Reduction Model (비례 수명 감소 모형을 사용한 절삭공구의 연마효과 및 경제적 수명 분석)

  • Oh, Sung-Youl;Hong, Jung-Wan;Lee, Sang-Cheon;Lie, Chang-Hoon
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.316-323
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    • 2006
  • In this study, based on Weibull proportional age reduction model and age replacement policy, we analyze economic life of cutting tool which allows re-grinding. Re-grinding task, usually for high-priced machining tools(e.g., broaching tool), is a kind of preventive maintenance activities to extend tool life at the completion of a lot production. The numerical results are also presented. Among the parameters of Weibull proportional age reduction model, the re-grinding effect parameter and Weibull shape parameter have a strong effect on economic tool life, and in the cost parameters, shortage cost is most sensitive. With further study on the parameter estimation of tool life process and cost function, this study can be expected to give more practical contribution to management of general machining tools.

Internal Property and Stochastic Deterioration Modeling of Total Pavement Condition Index for Transportation Asset Management (도로자산관리를 위한 포장종합평가지수의 속성과 변화과정의 모델링)

  • HAN, Daeseok;DO, Myungsik;KIM, Booil
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2017
  • PURPOSES : This study is aimed at development of a stochastic pavement deterioration forecasting model using National Highway Pavement Condition Index (NHPCI) to support infrastructure asset management. Using this model, the deterioration process regarding life expectancy, deterioration speed change, and reliability were estimated. METHODS : Eight years of Long-Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) data fused with traffic loads (Equivalent Single Axle Loads; ESAL) and structural capacity (Structural Number of Pavement; SNP) were used for the deterioration modeling. As an ideal stochastic model for asset management, Bayesian Markov multi-state exponential hazard model was introduced. RESULTS:The interval of NHPCI was empirically distributed from 8 to 2, and the estimation functions of individual condition indices (crack, rutting, and IRI) in conjunction with the NHPCI index were suggested. The derived deterioration curve shows that life expectancies for the preventive maintenance level was 8.34 years. The general life expectancy was 12.77 years and located in the statistical interval of 11.10-15.58 years at a 95.5% reliability level. CONCLUSIONS : This study originates and contributes to suggesting a simple way to develop a pavement deterioration model using the total condition index that considers road user satisfaction. A definition for level of service system and the corresponding life expectancies are useful for building long-term maintenance plan, especially in Life Cycle Cost Analysis (LCCA) work.

Case Study of Cost Effect Analysis for Toxic Compounds to Developing Effluent Limitation Standards : Focus on 1,4-Dichlorobenzene (수질유해물질 배출허용기준 설정에 따른 배출시설 비용영향 분석사례 연구: 1,4-Dichlorobenzene을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Kyeongjin;Kim, Wongi;Heo, Jin;Kim, Kwangin;Kim, Jaehoon;Kim, Sanghun;Yeom, Icktae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.557-565
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    • 2010
  • Recently, regulations on toxic compounds in aquatic environment have been strengthened in korea due to the increasing public awareness of the water quality. Typically, these regulations include introduction of emerging toxic compounds and stricter effluent limitations for the already regulated compounds. However, too strict regulations may cause excessive burden on the industry. Therefore it is also important to assess the economic impacts when the new effluent limitation guidelines are introduced. The estimation of the additional cost for the wastewater dischargers to meet the new guidelines are based on the selected treatment technology to handle the hazardous substances and the regulatory levels for effluent limitations. To explore the procedures for cost estimation in enforcing new effluent limitations, a case study was performed specially for 1,4-dichlorobenzene. The pollutants of concern are surveyed for different industrial categories and various treatment technologies. For a given pollutant, the general performances of the treatment technologies are surveyed and a representative technology is selected. For a given technology, the capital cost and annual Operation and Maintenance (O&M) cost was calculated. The calculation of baseline costs to operate ordinary treatment technologies is also important. The ratio between the cost for introducing new treatment process and the baseline cost required for conventional technology was used to evaluate the economic impact on the industry. For 1,4-dichlorobenzene, steam stripping and activated carbon processes were selected as the specific treatment technologies. The cost effects to the regulation of the compound were found to be 6.4% and 14.5% increase in capital cost and O&M cost, respectively, at the flow rate over $2,000m^3/d$ for the categories of synthetic resin and other plastics manufacturing industry. For the case of petrochemical basic compounds manufacturing industry, the cost increases were 5.8% and 12.4%, respectively. It was suggested that cost effect analysis to evaluate the economic impacts of new effluent limitations on the industry is crucial to establish more balanced and reasonable effluent limitations to manage the industrial wastewater containing emerging toxic compounds in the wastewater.

A Survey on the BIM Education Status for Activating BIM Tool Instruction on School Building Construction (학교건축물 BIM 도입활성화를 위한 BIM 교육실태 조사연구)

  • Seo, Deok-Seok;Won, Ho-Sik
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2013
  • BIM(Building Information Modeling) is an indispensable tool to secure global competitiveness in construction sector, as already adapted significantly in European countries and U.S. In particular, as considering School Buildings constructed by BTL Method, using BIM tools are required for the accurate estimation of construction cost in planning stage, exact design and construction, well-judged settlement and performance of maintenance schedule. Therefore, this study investigates the BIM education status and the problems on using BIM tools through a survey of 100 BIM trainees and suggests improvement method of BIM education.

Economic Analysis of Plant Utilities Under Environment Factor (환경요소를 고려한 발전설비의 경제성 평가)

  • 정석재;김경섭;박진원
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is an economic analysis of power plant utilities by comparing electricity generating cost including environmental costs. Considering the enormous role of electricity in the national economy, it is very important to study the effect of environmental regulation on the electricity sector. Because power utilities need for large investment during construction, operation and maintenance, and also require much construction lead time. Economic analysis is the important process in the electric system expansion planning. This paper compares the costs of electricity generation including environmental costs between a coal-fired power plant and an LNG combined cycle power plants. With the simulation, this study surveys the sensitivity of fuel prices, interest rate and carbon tax. In each case, this sensitivity can help to decide which utility is economically better in environmental regulation circumstance.

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The Comparative Study of Software Optimal Release Time of Finite NHPP Model Considering Log Linear Learning Factor (로그선형 학습요인을 이용한 유한고장 NHPP모형에 근거한 소프트웨어 최적방출시기 비교 연구)

  • Cheul, Kim Hee;Cheul, Shin Hyun
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, make a study decision problem called an optimal release policies after testing a software system in development phase and transfer it to the user. When correcting or modifying the software, finite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process model, considering learning factor, presented and propose release policies of the life distribution, log linear type model which used to an area of reliability because of various shape and scale parameter. In this paper, discuss optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement. In a numerical example, the parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation of failure time data, make out estimating software optimal release time.

A Software Development of Energy Consumption for HVAC System of Building (건물에너지 소비량 해석 소프트웨어 개발)

  • Kim B. H;Jo S. B;Kim J. P
    • The Magazine of the Society of Air-Conditioning and Refrigerating Engineers of Korea
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 1990
  • The objective of this is to develop a practical software package to calculate annual energy consumption of HVAC (Heating Ventilating, and Air Conditioning) System in a building. It can quickly estimate loads and energy consumption, and have a function of economic analysis through the estimation of operating cost. Techniques of save energy consumption used in a building are necessary from the stage of design process to operation. The single most significant task is on HVAC Systems. Their installation costs, and related operating costs have enormous influence upon initial and maintenance costs. HVAC designers and engineers now have a wide variety of software choices available, but only a few of them have been developed in this country and no source program has been disclosed. Neither load culculation nor estimation of energy consumption is systematically made by the domestic HVAC design firms. Even though computer improved over the years with a trend of large scale load calculation and system selection through simulaion, the utilization of software nowadays does not make good progress due to lack of working environment. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a practical software package with which load calculation can be made with ease and kind manner. This study concerns the development of a software package which makes it possible to design HVAC system and save energy consumption in operation. The algorithm used in this program is a Modified Bin Method widely known as a simplified energy analysis means.

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