• Title/Summary/Keyword: Macroeconomic Analysis

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Analysis of Change of Construction Material Price by International Oil Price Fluctuation (국제유가 변동에 따른 건설자재가격 변화 분석)

  • Park, Jin-Yong;Byun, Jeong-Yoon;Yoo, Seung-Kyu;Kim, Ju-Hyung;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.319-320
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    • 2012
  • International oil prices is the world's leading macroeconomic indicators. Rising international oil price has been worsening. profitability of construction company including material cost as well stagnation in housing market. Thus, according to fluctuations in international oil prices has cost index need to see any change happening there. in this study, 2000 to 2011 interest rates, exchange rates and oil price fluctuations in construction cost is to compare the impact.

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An Empirical Investigation on the Interactions of Foreign Investments, Stock Returns and Foreign Exchange Rates

  • Kim, Yoon-Tae;Lee, Kyu-Seok;Shin, Dong-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.141-154
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    • 2002
  • Foreign investors'shares and their influences on the Korean stock market have never been larger and greater before since the market was completely open to foreign investors in 1992 Quantitatively and qualitatively as well, as a result, changes in the patterns of foreign investments have caused enormous effects on the interactions of major macroeconomic indices of the Korean economy. This paper is intended to investigate the causal relations of the four variables, foreigners'buy-sell ratios, stock returns, ₩/$ exchange rates and $\yen$/$ exchange rates, over the two time periods of the pre-IMF (1996.1.1-1997.8.15) and the post-IMF (1997.8.16-2000.6.15) based on the daily data of the variables. Granger Causality Test, Forecast Error Variance Decomposition(FEVD) using VAR model and Impulse Response Function were implemented for the empirical analysis.

The Analysis on Social Happiness and Macroeconomics Variables (사회복지에 대한 거시경제 판단지수의 예측 가능성에 관한 소고(小考))

  • Kim, Jong-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.387-397
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    • 2009
  • In these OECD countries, left-wingers Government focus on unemployment, but right-wingers Government cares more about inflation. It is that inflation and unemployment don't have differential effects across rich and poor and the happiness levels of these two groups are unaffected by identity of the Government in power. The poor people choose to left-wingers Government, but rich people prefer to right-wingers Government. I estimate whether above opinion is correct or not. Especially I check how my results change when I control for aggregate economy activity and government consumption, two variables that could be correlated with inflation and unemployment and affect each Government's happiness differentially. This paper, and I believe much of the happiness literature, can be understood as an application of experienced utility, a conception that emphasis the pleasures derived from private consumption and sentiment of it. In Granger Causality test, private consumption sentiment index related with industrial production interactively in Korea. The business cycles affect on private consumption sentiment index.

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International Inflation Synchronization and Implications

  • CHON, SORA
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.57-84
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzes global inflation synchronization and derives policy implications for the Korean economy. Unlike previous studies that assume a single global inflation factor, this study investigates if inflation in Korea can be explained further by other global inflation factors. Our principal component analysis provides three principal components for global inflation that are linked to the Korea inflation rate - the first component is closely related to OECD inflation, and the second and third components reflect China's inflation. This study empirically demonstrates via in-sample fitting and out-of-sample forecasting that the three principal components of global inflation play a significant role in explaining and predicting Korean inflation in the short-term, while their role is limited in the mid-term. Domestic macroeconomic variables are found to be more important for the mid-term movements of the Korean inflation rate. The empirical results here suggest that the Bank of Korea should focus more on domestic economic conditions than on global inflation when implementing monetary policy because global factors are likely to be already reflected in domestic macro-variables in the mid-term.

Input-Output Structure and Economic Effects of Oriental Medicine Industry in Korea (한방의료 관련 산업의 국민경제적 기여도 및 파급효과)

  • Kim Jin-Hyun;Lim Byung-Mook
    • Journal of Society of Preventive Korean Medicine
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.163-186
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this parer is to identify the input-output structure of oriental medicine and its alternative medicine industries in an inter-industry context and to estimate its forward and backward effects on macroeconomic variables such as production, employment and price level. Input-output tables released by The Bank of Korea were used as data in this research and inter-industry analysis was adopted as research methodology. The industry takes less share of production, price and trade in a Korean economy, compared with other industry. However, the industry's capability of creating value added is estimated to be well above that of other industry and that of making new employments is as more than 4 times as other industries. This result gives us policy implications that the government should enhance its subsidy policy and economic (tax) incentives for oriental medicine and its related alternative medicine industries.

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Population Aging in Korea: Importance of Elderly Workers

  • JAEJOON LEE
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.51-69
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    • 2023
  • Korea's population is aging at a faster pace than any other major country, and the adverse impact of this trend on the economy is predicted to be significant. This paper focuses on the macroeconomic effects of population aging with particular attention paid to the pace of aging in Korea. According to our analysis, it is difficult to offset the decline in the labor supply driven by rapid population aging, even if the labor force participation rate of the working-age population rises to a significantly high level. We suggest a re-orientation of policy directions to correspond to the behavioral changes of economic agents. Policies must focus on promoting labor force participation among the elderly while pushing towards human capital advancement and higher productivity.

Economic Effects of South Korea's Smart Healthcare Industry (S-헬스케어산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Ahn, Jeong-Min;Suh, Jeong-Kyo
    • The Korean Journal of Health Service Management
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2017
  • Objectives : Recently, concerns about the smart healthcare industry has increased worldwide. This study estimates the economic effects of the smart healthcare industry by employing input-output analysis. Methods : In this study, $29{\times}29$ sector statistics were also used as the major research method for the industry. The main analysis tools of this study, thus, included a comparison of backward and forward-linkage effects and the inducement effects of the own-industry and other industries, as well as inducement coefficients, including production, value-added, employee's pay, operating surplus, production tax, and employment. Results : The results of the analysis show that the industry has an immense economic impact, affecting major macroeconomic factors including value-added and forward - linkage effects. Additionally, the inducement effects of the smart healthcare industry are significant compared to other industries in terms of production, employee's pay, operating surplus, production tax, and employment. Conclusions : The smart healthcare industry is a growth engines for national development, because it is the industry of high value-added services. This paper offers alternatives for efficient industrial policies.

Exploring Factors Affecting on the Pharmaceutical Distribution Industry: the Case of Kazakhstan

  • KIREYEVA, Anel A.;ABILKAYIR, Nazerke A.;ORYNBET, Perizat Zh.;SATYBALDIN, Azimkhan A.;SATPAYEVA, Zaira T.
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This research is aimed to explore factors affecting on Kazakhstan's pharmaceutical distribution industry, selection of various factors and assessment of the level of their influence. Based on the literature review it was defined that there is a great variety of scientific works relating to pharmaceutical distribution industry competitiveness and management improvement. Research design, data and methodology: There is very little research, which to determine the issues of pharmaceutical industry distribution in developing countries, in particular EAEU countries. The algorithm was chosen for research provision: statistical and comparative analysis, correlation, and regression analysis. The data of 1993-2020 obtained from the World Bank, Bureau of National Statistics, National Bank of Kazakhstan, which is expressed by 19 factors as macroeconomic indicators. Results: The chosen variables were selected non-randomly, these economic indicators had the most reliable, unique, and utmost for the whole research period complete information. Conclusions: There could be made adequate conclusions of the research, there is a strong positive relationship for six factors: population, GDP per capita, average annual US dollar exchange rate, the minimum pension, average assigned monthly pension, minimum wage. Pension and wage are the most significant factors affecting on the pharmaceutical distribution industry in Kazakhstan.

State Management of Transfer Pricing Activities of Foreign-Invested Enterprises in Vietnam

  • LE, Ha Thanh;PHAN, Nam Tien
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2022
  • The impact of State management factors on transfer pricing activities of foreign direct investment enterprises in Vietnam is examined in this study. This adds to the empirical evidence on factors affecting transfer pricing activities of foreign-invested enterprises in Vietnam. A questionnaire survey of officials directly involved in the inspection of transfer pricing activities is used as the research method. The study yielded 226 questionnaires. The author chose 210 questionnaires after deleting those that were ineligible due to a large number of blank cells. The following procedures are used to process the data from the satisfied votes: Cronbach's Alpha test to measure the reliability of the scale; Exploratory factor analysis to break down data into smaller sets of variables to discover the underlying structure; Descriptive analysis to describe the underlying quantitative features of the data; Correlation and regression analysis to evaluate the relationship between variables with the support of SPSS 25 software. Inspection pressure, professional inspector qualifications, and inspector role, State control organization, inspector professionalism, legal corridor on transfer pricing control, macroeconomic situation, and investment environment have a positive impact on state management on transfer price operations, according to research findings. The author has provided solutions to increase the efficiency of State management on transfer pricing operations of foreign-invested businesses in Vietnam based on the research findings.

Comparative Analysis of Default Risk of Construction Company during Macroeconomic Fluctuations (거시경제변동 전후 건설기업의 부실화 비교분석 - IMF 외환위기 및 서브프라임 금융위기 전후를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Jae-Kyu;Yoo, Seung-Kyu;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.60-68
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    • 2012
  • The past IMF foreign exchange crisis and subprime financial crisis had a big influence on variability of macroeconomics, even if the origin of its occurrence might be different. This not only had a significant infrequence on the overall industries, but also produced many insolvent companies by being closely linked with a management environment of an individual construction company leading the construction industry. Actually, the level of default risk of construction companies before and after fluctuation of macroeconomics gets to experience a rapid changing process, and a difference in reaction against shock exists according to each company. Accordingly, the purpose of this paper is to confirm the fluctuation process of the default risk of construction companies under the fluctuation of macroeconomics such as the IMF financial crisis and the subprime mortgage crisis. As an analysis result, it is judged that the subprime financial crisis gave bigger shock to construction companies than the foreign exchange crisis, and it is expected that this would have a relation with the construction market before shock of macroeconomics. In addition, it was analyzed that when comparing insolvent companies with normal companies, the recovery speed of normal companies is faster. It is judged that this was affected by a difference of internal business capacity between insolvent companies and normal companies.