• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
• /
• 제13권5호
• /
• pp.1895-1899
• /
• 2012

Background and Aims: Liver cancer is a major health problem in low-resource countries. Approximately 55% of all liver cancer occurs in China. Hebei Province is one of the important covering nearly 6% of the population of China. The aim of this paper was to explore liver cancer mortality trends during past 30 years, and provide basic information on prevention strategies. Methods: Hebei was covered covered all the three national surveys during 1973-1975, 1990-1992, and 2004-2005 and one provincial survey during 1984-1986. Subjects included all cases dying from liver cancer in Hebei Province. Liver cancer mortality trend and geographic differences across cities and counties were analyzed. Results: There were 82,878 deaths in Hebei Province during 2004-2005 with an average mortality rate was 600.9/10,000, and an age-adjusted rate of 552.3/10,000. Those dying of cancer were 18,424 cases, accounting for 22.2% of all deaths, second only to cerebrovascular disease as a cause of death. Cancer mortality was 133.6/100,000 (age-adjusted rate was 119.2/100,000). Liver cancer ranked fourth in this survey with a mortality rate of 21.0/100,000, 28.4/100,000 in males and 13.35/10,000 in females, accounting for 15.7%, 17.1% and 13.4% of the total number of cancer deaths and in males and females, respectively. The sex ratio was 2.13. Since the 1970s, liver cancer deaths of Hebei province have been increasing slightly. The crude mortality rates in the four surveys were 11.3, 16.0, 17.4, 21.0 per 100,000, respectively, with age-adjusted rates fluctuating during the past 30 years, but the trend also being upwards. There is a tendency for the mortality rates to be higher in coastal than mountain areas, and is relative lower in the plain area, with crude mortality rates of 25.3, 22.1, and 19.1 per 100,000, respectively. There were no notable differences in cride data between urban and rural, but the age-adjusted mortality rate in rural was much higher. Conclusion: Our study indicated that the mortality of liver cancer in Hebei Province is lower than the national average level. There is a slightly increase trend, especially in some counties. Liver cancer is a major health problem and it is necessary to further promote prevention strategies in Hebei province.

• 대한임상독성학회지
• /
• 제17권1호
• /
• pp.21-27
• /
• 2019

Purpose: Mortality rate in the health services research field is frequently considered as a proxy for measuring healthcare quality. We compared the mortality rate and hospitalization levels among patients with poisoning. Methods: A population-based study of hospital size and level based on the Korean health insurance and assessment service was conducted to identify the impact of hospital level on patient mortality. Results: We analyzed a total of 16,416 patients, of which 7,607 were from tertiary hospitals, 8,490 were from general hospitals, and 319 were from hospitals. The highest mortality rate of diagnosis regarding poisoning was T60.31 (other herbicides and fungicides, 16%), followed by T60.0 (organophosphate and carbamate insecticides, 12.7%). There was no statistical difference in mortality among hospital levels for gender. Among age groups, tertiary hospitals had lower mortality than general hospitals and hospitals for patients aged more than 70 years (11.9% mortality at tertiary vs 14.2% at general and 23% at hospital; p=0.003, adjusted z score=-6.9), general hospitals had lower mortality than tertiary hospitals and hospitals for patients aged 18 to 29 (0.6% at general vs 2.4% at tertiary and 3.7% at hospital; p=0.01, adjusted z score=-4.3), and hospitals had lower mortality than tertiary hospitals and general hospitals for patients between 50 and 59 years of age (0% at hospital vs 6.4% at general and 8.3% at tertiary; p=0.004). Conclusion: Overall, there was no significant difference between mortality and hospital level among poisoned patients. However, to establish an efficient treatment system for patients with poisoning, further studies will be needed to identify the role of each facility according to hospital level.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제4권1호
• /
• pp.33-39
• /
• 1997

Tsutakawa(1988) proposed a mixed model for using empirical Bayes method to study the geographic variability in mortality rates of a disease. In particular cases of the analysis in mortality rate, we need to consider the effect of time. If observed data are collected annually for the time period, then time effect will be emphasized. Here, an extended model for estimating the geographic effect and the mortality rates of the disease with time effect is proposed.

• 한국보건교육건강증진학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국보건교육건강증진학회 1998년도 International Seminar
• /
• pp.11-12
• /
• 1998

The health status of a population is usually measured by mortality such as crude dealth rate, cause-specific mortality rate, infant mortality rate and life expectancy. However, these indices based upon mortality (i.e., quantity of life) are increasingly unsatisfactory to assess health status, especially in an aging society. In this presentation, I will discuss the followings as regards quality of life (QOL) in health science.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
• /
• 제38권3호
• /
• pp.283-290
• /
• 2005

Objectives : The aim of this paper was to examine the relationship between the summertime (June to August) heat index, which quantifies the bioclimatic apparent temperature in sultry weather, and the daily disease-related mortality in Seoul for the period from 1991 to 2000. Methods : The daily maximum (or minimum) summertime heat indices, which show synergetic apparent temperatures, were calculated from the six hourly temperatures and real time humidity data for Seoul from 1991 to 2000. The disease-related daily mortality was extracted with respect to types of disease, age and sex, etc. and compared with the time series of the daily heat indices. Results : The summertime mortality in 1994 exceeded the normal by 626 persons. Specifically, blood circulation-related and cancer-related mortalities increased in 1994 by 29.7% (224 persons) and 15.4% (107 persons), respectively, compared with those in 1993. Elderly persons, those above 65 years, were shown to be highly susceptible to strong heat waves, whereas the other age and sex-based groups showed no significant difference in mortality. In particular, a heat wave episode on the 22nd of July 2004 ($>45^{\circ}C$ daily heat index) resulted in double the normal number of mortalities after a lag time of 3 days. Specifically, blood circulation-related mortalities, such as cerebral infraction, were predominant causes. Overall, a critical mortality threshold was reached when the heat index exceeded approximately $37^{\circ}C$, which corresponds to human body temperature. A linear regression model based on the heat indices above $37^{\circ}C$, with a 3 day lag time, accounted for 63% of the abnormally increased mortality (${\geq}+2$ standard deviations). Conclusions : This study revealed that elderly persons, those over 65 years old, are more vulnerable to mortality due to abnormal heat waves in Seoul, Korea. When the daily maximum heat index exceeds approximately $37^{\circ}C$, blood circulation-related mortality significantly increases. A linear regression model, with respect to lag-time, showed that the heat index based on a human model is a more dependable indicator for the prediction of hot weather-related mortality than the ambient air temperature.

• 한국산림과학회지
• /
• 제106권4호
• /
• pp.450-456
• /
• 2017

본 연구는 우리나라의 침엽수와 활엽수림에서 발생하는 고사율(고사 입목의 재적량, %) 추정식을 개발하는 것이 목적이다. 고사율 추정을 위하여 적용한 모형은 지수식, Hamilton식 등 6개식이었으며, 이용한 변수는 흉고직경, 흉고단면적, 지위지수 등이었다. 고사율 추정에 이용한 원자료는 5차 및 6차 국가산림자원조사 자료였으며, 표본점별 고사목과 생존목의 재적량 비로서 고사율을 산정하였다. 적용한 식 중 침엽수와 활엽수의 고사율을 가장 잘 설명하는 식은 $P=(1+e^{(a+b{\times}DBH+c{\times}BA+d{\times}no\_ha+e{\times}density)})^{-1}$의 형태를 갖는 식이다. 침엽수는 약 34%, 활엽수는 약 51%의 적합도를 나타냈다. 두 식 모두 적합도가 높게 나타나지 않았는데, 이는 임목 고사에 영향을 미치는 인자가 지리적 환경, 토양, 기상, 지위, 경쟁 등 너무나 다양하기 때문이다. 따라서 본 분석에 이용한 흉고직경, 흉고단면적 등 2~3개의 변수로 산림 내 고사를 설명하기는 매우 어려운 일이라 판단된다. 그러나 전국적으로 활용될 수 있는 임상별 고사율 정보가 없는 현시점에서는 본 연구의 가치는 있다고 생각되며 추후 수관울폐도, 경쟁지수 등을 변수로 추가적으로 활용하여 고사율 추정식의 정도를 높여야 할 것이다.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
• /
• 제31권4호
• /
• pp.604-615
• /
• 1998

Although previous studies revealed the association of physical activity with mortality rate, it is unclear whether there is a linear trend between physical activity and mortality rate. In this study, the association of physical activity with the risk of all-cause mortality was analysed using Cox's proportional hazard model for a cohort of 14,204 healthy Korean men aged 40-59 years followed up for 4 years(Jan. 1993-Dec. 1996). Physical activity and other life style were surveyed by a postal questionnaire in December 1992. Total of 14,204 subjects were grouped into quartiles by physical activity. Using death certificate data, 123 deaths were identified. The second most active quartile had a lowest mortality .ate with relative risk of 0.44(95% C.I. : 0.23-0.84) compared with most sedentary quartile, showing a J-shape pattern of physical activity-mortality curve. By examining the difference in proportion of cause of the death between most active quartile and the other quartiles, there was no significant difference of proportional mortality from cardiovascular deaths, cerebrovascular deaths or deaths from trauma. The covariates were stratified into two group between which the trend of RR was compared to test the effect modification. There was no remarkable effect modification by alcohol intake, smoking, body mass index, calorie consumption, percent fat consumption. In conclusion, moderate activity was found to have more protective effect on all-cause mortality than vigorous activity and that the J-shape pattern of physical activity-mortality curve was not due to the difference of mortality pattern or effect modification by alcohol intake, smoking, body mass index, calorie consumption and percent fat consumption.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
• /
• 제15권14호
• /
• pp.5685-5689
• /
• 2014

Background: It is well known that smoking is a preventable factor for all-cause mortality; however, it is still questionable how many years after smoking cessation that people will have reduced risk for mortality, in particular in those with a high interest in their own health. We aimed to examine the association between time since quitting smoking and total mortality among past-smokers relative to current smokers. Materials and Methods: We enrolled 36,446 health examinees that voluntarily taken with diverse health check-up packages of high cost burden in 1995-2003 and followed them till death by 2004. The history of cigarette smoking consumption was collected using a self-administrative questionnaire at the first visit time. Mortality risk by smoking cessation years was analyzed using Cox's proportional hazard model. Results: Compared to non-smokers, male smokers over 15 pack-years had higher risk for total mortality (HR=1.60, 95%CI 1.23-2.14). The mortality risk in female smokers with same pack-years was more pronounced than that in male smokers (HR=2.83, 95%CI 1.17-7.04) despite a small number of cases. Compared to current smokers, a decrease of total mortality was observed among those who ceased smoking, and inverse dose-response was found with years after cessation: RR 0.98 (95%CI, 0.64-1.41) (<2 yrs), 0.60 (95%CI, 0.43-0.83) (3-9 yrs), and 0.58 (95%CI, 0.43-0.79) (${\geq}10$ yrs). Conclusions: A reduced risk of total mortality was observed after 3 years of smoking cessation. Our findings suggest that at least 3 years of smoking cessation may contribute to reduce premature mortality among Asian men.

• 한국인구학
• /
• 제26권2호
• /
• pp.33-62
• /
• 2003

이 연구의 목적은 사망수준의 저하에 영향을 미치는 세 요소-사회경제적 발전, 공공 보건의 발달, 사회경제적 발달의 균등상태-의 상대적 중요성을 분석하는 것이다. 종속변수인 사망 수준의 지표로는 영아사망률과 출생시 기대수명 등 두 변수가 사용되었다. 국민총생산(GNP)은 사회 경제적 발달지표로 여성의 초등학교 취학률과 기니계수(GINI index)는 사회경제적 균등상태 지표로 병원침대당 인구수는 공공보건 지표로 간주되었다. 변수들에 대한 자료는 두 시점에 걸쳐 수집되었다. 하나는 1970년 이전 53개국에서. 다른 하나는 1970-80년대 55개국에서 수집되었다. 탐색적 자료 분석 방법이 통계 분석 방법으로 사용되었다. 이 기법은 종속변수와 독립변수와의 관계가 선형인지 아닌지, 그리고 우리 모형에서 어느 것이 유력 사례인지를 파악할 수 있는 장점이 있다. 분석결과에 따르면, 첫째로 영아 사망률과 세 요소의 관계가 선형이 아니라 비선형임이 밝혀졌다. 영아 사망률 저하에 국민총생산이 가장 많이, 여성의 초등학교 취학률이 두 번째, 기니계수가 그 다음으로 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 반면 병원침대당 인구수는 통계적으로 유의미한 영향을 보여주지 않았다. 둘째, 출생시 기대수명은 여성의 취학률, 기니계수 등과 같은 변수와는 선형 관계를 가지는 반면 국민총생산 변수와는 비선형 관계를 가진다. 영아사망률 변수와는 달리 출생시 기대수명의 변이에는 여성의 초등학교 취학률이 국민총생산보다 더 커다란 영향을 미쳤다.

• 보건행정학회지
• /
• 제17권3호
• /
• pp.87-105
• /
• 2007

The purpose of this study was to analyze whether nonemergency, isolated coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery for high- or low-risk patients biases the assessment of the risk-adjusted mortality rates of hospitals. This study used 2002 National Health Insurance claims data for tertiary hospitals in Korea. The study sample consisted of 1,959 patients from 23 tertiary hospitals. The risk-adjustment model used the patients' biological, admission, and comorbidity data identified in the claims. The subjects were classified into high- and low-risk groups based on predicted surgical risk. The crude mortality rates and risk-adjusted mortality rates for low-risk, high-risk, and all patients in a hospital were compared based on the rank and the four intervals defined by quartile. Also, the crude mortality rates of the three groups were compared with their 95% confidence intervals of predicted mortality rates. The C-statistic (0.83) and Hosmer-Lemeshow test ($X^2$=11.47, p=0.18) indicated that the risk-adjustment model performed well. Presenting crude mortality rates with their 95% confidence intervals of predicted rates showed higher agreements among the three groups than using the rank or intervals of mortality rates defined by quartile in the hospital performance assessment. The crude mortality rates for the low-risk patients in 21 of the 23 hospitals were located on the same side of their 95% confidence intervals compared to that for all patients. High-risk patients and all patients differed at only one hospital. In conclusion, the impact of risk selection by hospital on the assessment results was the smallest when comparing the crude inpatient mortality rates of CABG patients with the 95% confidence intervals of predicted mortality rates. Given the increasing importance of quality improvements in Korean health policy, it will be necessary to use the appropriate method of releasing the hospital performance data to the public to minimize any unwanted impact such as risk-based hospital selection.