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전통시대 절후법과 기후표 고찰에 따른 현대 '기상계절'과 '새로운 기후표'의 제안 (A Study of Historical Seasonal Subdivision System and Modern Definitional Issue of Meteorological Seasons)

  • 김일권
    • 대기
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, I studied about historical seasonal subdivision system and a theory of traditional monthly order, which was used for so long from Koryo dynasty to the late of Choseon dynasty in Korean histoy. Especially, I took note of the fact that there used the table of solar terms and meteorological observation what we called the table of Kihoo-pyo in the historical Sunmyung-calendar and the Soosi-calendar during the Koryo dynasty. This table of Kihoo was developed for explaining meteorological change during a year at that time. Here are largely four elements related meteorological nature : the first is the list of 24 solar terms, and the second is 12 monthly seasonal terms and 12 monthly central terms, the third is about four right hexagon based I-ching, the fourth is 72 meteorological observations called 72-hoo. Among them, the 72-hoo system is important to know how premodern people observed natural materials including animals and plants, weather, climate about meteorological phenomena according to the seasonal change or solar terms' change during a year. I argued in this article to need developing modern new table of Kihoo system like that, in order to show common people to recognize annual meteorological change more easy and clear. I also argued to need a distinct definition of meteorological seasons from a view point of modern meteorology.

Monthly rainfall forecast of Bangladesh using autoregressive integrated moving average method

  • Mahmud, Ishtiak;Bari, Sheikh Hefzul;Rahman, M. Tauhid Ur
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.162-168
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    • 2017
  • Rainfall is one of the most important phenomena of the natural system. In Bangladesh, agriculture largely depends on the intensity and variability of rainfall. Therefore, an early indication of possible rainfall can help to solve several problems related to agriculture, climate change and natural hazards like flood and drought. Rainfall forecasting could play a significant role in the planning and management of water resource systems also. In this study, univariate Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model was used to forecast monthly rainfall for twelve months lead-time for thirty rainfall stations of Bangladesh. The best SARIMA model was chosen based on the RMSE and normalized BIC criteria. A validation check for each station was performed on residual series. Residuals were found white noise at almost all stations. Besides, lack of fit test and normalized BIC confirms all the models were fitted satisfactorily. The predicted results from the selected models were compared with the observed data to determine prediction precision. We found that selected models predicted monthly rainfall with a reasonable accuracy. Therefore, year-long rainfall can be forecasted using these models.

만 5세 유아의 인지과정 특성 분석 : 성별, 월령, 과잉행동성향에 따른 CAS 수행 결과를 중심으로 (An Analysis of the Cognitive Processes of 5-Year-Old Children : A Focus on a Performance of Cognitive Assessment System Based on Gender, Monthly Age, and Tendencies towards Hyperactivity)

  • 박새롬;박혜준
    • 아동학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.139-157
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    • 2010
  • This study investigated the cognitive process of 5-year-old children, with a particular focus on gender, monthly age, and their tendencies towards hyperactivity through the performance of the Cognitive Assessment System (CAS; Das & Naglieri, 1997). The children with tendencies towards hyperactivity were identified based on Conners Teachers' Rating Scale (CTRS). The subjects were 75 five-year-old children in Seoul and surrounding metropolitan areas. Data were analyzed by means of descriptive statistics, an independent sample t-test, Pearson's correlation coefficient, one-way ANOVA, and by K-mean cluster analysis. Our results were as follows : (1) The CAS and CTRS' sub-factors were correlated negatively, except the positive correlation between planning factor and hyperactivity factor. (2) Girls exhibited significantly higher CAS scores in planning & sequential processing than boys. (3) The upper monthly age group (68-71 months) showed significantly higher score in terms of planning than the lower monthly age group (60-63 months). (4) The CAS scores of the children with tendencies towards hyperactivity was lower than that of normal children. (5) The CAS profile of 5-year-old children was divided into 4 groups with distinctive characteristics by means of K-mean cluster analysis.

가계저축규모의 결정요인 (The Determinants of Family Savings)

  • 양세정
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.201-215
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of the study was to examine the effects of household characteristics to family savings. Family savings were defined in four ways such as monthly savings, average propensity to save, financial assets, and net financial assets. The household characteristics dealt with were family income, household size, number of earners, age, occupation, education, housing tenure, and urbanization. The data used in the study was Survey of Family Finance 1990. The main statistical method was multiple regression. Family income was found to the most important variable to determine four family saving variables holding other characteristics constant. Also, household size had significant negative effects on family savings. Two-earner households were found to have higher average propensity to save and less financial assets compared to single-earner households. Fro monthly savings and average propensity to save, the households with forties andfifties household head tended to be less than others, while financial assets tended to increase with the age of household head. Compared to salary earner households, blue-colored households had significantly lower average propensity to save, and the households with professionals had significantly higher financial assets. The college-graduated households tended to have less monthly savings than the elementary-graduated households. Also, the housing renters were found to have more monthly savings and higher average propensity to save, compared to the housing owners.

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가계의 사교육비 지출과 경제적 복지 (Private Education Expenditure for Children and Economic Well-being of Household)

  • 이승신
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제40권7호
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    • pp.211-227
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    • 2002
  • The issue of children′s education is the most important issue for all households in Korea. It is certain that the issue of private education for children is the first issue among household′s issues. This study is to recognize the current pictures of household primate education of Korean households. Also, whether the expenditure of private education effect the economic will-being of household. The data for this study was"the 3th Korean Labor Panal", conducted by Lobor in Korea. The sample was 1950 households from the panel data. The results of this study was as following: 1. The mean of monthly private education expenditure was 149273won for all households and 217,100won for households with high school students. 2. Almost 70% households had economic burden for private education expenditure. 0% households had no economic burden. 3. The factors of influencing the level of economic burden for private education were mother′s education level, mother′s job, the number of children, living location, monthly income, total asset of household′s. The factors of influencing the amount of monthly private education expenditure positively were living in 4. The economic well-being of household was analyzed by socio-economic variables, household′s financial variables, monthly private education expenditure, the level of economic burden of private education. The economic well-being were sub-categorized 4 divisions; the level of economic problem, the level of satisfaction for household′s income, the level of satisfaction for general living, the level of subject economic condition)

주거점유상태와 주택형태에 따른 기혼자의 주거 만족도 (Residential Satisfaction of Married Families by the Type of Housing Tenure and Housing)

  • 이채성
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to understand the factors that influence residents' satisfaction with their housing. Resident's satisfaction is mainly influenced by two factors - one that pertains to housing and the other as per characteristics of the individual. Housing-related factors include housing types, housing tenure types, and size of floor space. Individual-related factors include household income, size, and education level. This study shows how both factors influence residents' satisfaction. Residential satisfaction is affected by the type of housing tenure (own, chonsei and monthly rent) and housing (detached housing, apartment and multi-family housing). Residential satisfaction of home owners is greater than that of chonsei renters or monthly renters. Residential satisfaction of chonsei renters is greater than that of monthly renters. Satisfaction of apartment residents is far greater than that of detached housing residents or multi-family housing residents. There is no difference in residential satisfaction between detached housing and multi-family housing residents. As total household labor income, household member, and residential area increase, residential satisfaction increase. Residential satisfaction of countryside residents is greater than that of metropolitan residents.

Reproductive Biology of the Pen Shell, Atrina(Servatrina) pectinata on the Boryeong Coastal Waters of Korea

  • Chung, Ee-Yung;Baik, Seong-Hyeon;Ryu, Dong-Ki
    • 한국패류학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2006
  • The gonad index, condition index, reproductive cycle and spawning of the pen shell Atrina (Servatrina) pectinata were investigated using samples from the subtidal zone of Nokdo on the Boryeong coastal waters of Korea. Samples were collected monthly by SCUBA divers for one year from January to December, 2001. A. (Servatrina) pectinata is dioecious and oviparous. The spawning season of this species occurred once a year from June to August, with the main spawning occurring between June and July when the seawater temperature was around $20^{\circ}C$. Ripe oocytes were about 60-65 ${\mu}m$ in diameter. The reproductive cycle of this species could be classified into five successive stages; early active stage (November to March), late active stage (February to May), ripe stage (April to July), partially spawned stage (June to August), and spent/inactive stage (August to October). Monthly changes in the gonad index reached a maximum (4.6) in May (ripe stage), thereafter, the GI values gradually decreased from June to August when spawning occurred continuously. Therefore, monthly changes in the GI values showed a similar pattern to the gonadal phase. The condition index (CI) of the meat part without the posterior adductor muscle reached the maximum in June (ripe and partially spawned stage) and the minimum in September (spent/inactive stage), Accordingly, monthly changes in the condition indice of the meat part without the posterior adductor muscle coincided with the gonadal phases.

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월유량에 대한 일변량 및 다변량 AR모형의 비교 (A Comparison of Univariate and Multivariate AR Models for Monthly River Flow Series)

  • 이원환;심재현
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 1990
  • 수자원 개발계획 및 목공구조물의 합리적 설계를 위해서는 과거의 수문관측자료에 의거한 해석이 필요하며, 일반적인 수문현상은 무작위적인 인자가 포함되기 때문에 이를 고려한 통계적 기법, 즉 추계학적 해석기법이 필요하다고 하겠다. 본 연구에서는 남한강 상류의 동일유역 4개 지점(단양, 정선, 영월, 평창)의 월유량 자료를 일변량 AR(1), AR(2)모형과 다변량 AR(1), AR(2)모형에 적용하여 각 모형의 통계적 특성치를 분석하고, 월유량을 모의발생시켜, 일변량 모형과 다변량 모형을 비교하였다. 각각의 모형에 의한 모의발생 계열의 비교, 분석을 통하여 볼 때, 단일지점만을 고려하는 일변량 모형에 비해 지점간의 공선형성을 고려하는 다변량 모형이 동일유역의 월유량 해석에 있어서 더 적합함을 알 수 있었다.

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다변량 모형에 의한 하천유량의 모의 발생 (A Multivariate Model Development For Stream Flow Generation)

  • 정상만
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 1991
  • 단일지점(Single Site)에 대한 하천유량의 추계학적인 모의 발생을 위해서는 간단한 모델중의 하나로 Univariate AR(1) 모델이 흔히 쓰여왔다. 그러나 다지점(Multi Sites)에 대한 하천유량에 관한 추계학적인 모의발생은 지점간 서로의 연관성 때문에 단일지점을 위한 모의발생처럼 쉽게 해결되지 않았다. 본 연구에서는 미국 아이다호주의 Camas Creek 유역에 대하여 하나의 키이지점(Key Station)과 주변에 세 개의 종속지점(Subordinate Station)을 설정하고 다변량 AR(1)모델을 적용하여 모의발생된 월유량과 실측치를 통계적으로 비교, 분석하였다. 모의 발생된 월유량과 실측치를 평균, 분산, 왜곡도, 상관관계등에 의해 비교, 분석한 결과 모이 발생된 월유량과 실측치는 통계적으로 서로 유사성을 보였다.

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Thomas 월 유출모형의 미계측 영역 적용에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Application of Thomas Monthly Runoff Prediction Model for Ungauged Watersheds)

  • 김원석;윤용남;최영박
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.85-91
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    • 1991
  • 전국에 산재해있는 20개 하천유역을 선정하여 월강우량과 유출량 자료를 사용하여 Rosenbrock의 Rotating Coordinate Search Method에 의해 Thomas abcd 모형의 변수를 결정하였다. 결정된 4개 변수와 2개 초기조건 변수는 유역의 기상인자, 지형인자 및 지질특성인자와 다종상관관계로 표시하였다. 이와 같이 구성된 Thomas 형의 월유출 모형을 2개 시험유역에 적용하여 실측 월유출량과 비교해 본 결과 본 모형은 춘추에는 약간 작게 추정하였고 그 외의 기간에는 약간 크게 추정하는 성향을 보였으나 대체로 만족스러운 결과를 주었으므로 미계측 하천의 월유출량 추정모형으로 사용 가능한 것으로 판단하였다.

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