• Title/Summary/Keyword: Loss Probability

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Overload control mechanism by parameter tuning in FDDI networks (FDDI 네트워크의 파라미터 튜닝에 의한 과부하 제어 메카니즘)

  • 이준호;김경신;강문식;송명렬;이상배
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics A
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    • v.32A no.4
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    • pp.32-39
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    • 1995
  • In this paper, a timer thresholds tuning algorithm is proposed, satisfying the required response time for traffic with time-critical applications and asynchronous traffic in FDDI network. Under light and medium load, priorities and timer thresholds play a minor role for medium access control. In these cases all quenes are served exhaustively with a ver high service probability and the packet loss probability approaches almost zero. Under overload condition, however, the performance of the FDDI Network is completely determined by the selection of the timer thresholds. The timer thresholds tuned by mathematical results is confirmed by simulation results using SIMAN/UNIX package. The allocation of guaranteed bandwidth can be controlled easily by tuning the timer thresholds according to the proposed rules.

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Development of an Accident Sequence Precursor Methodology and its Application to Significant Accident Precursors

  • Jang, Seunghyun;Park, Sunghyun;Jae, Moosung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.313-326
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    • 2017
  • The systematic management of plant risk is crucial for enhancing the safety of nuclear power plants and for designing new nuclear power plants. Accident sequence precursor (ASP) analysis may be able to provide risk significance of operational experience by using probabilistic risk assessment to evaluate an operational event quantitatively in terms of its impact on core damage. In this study, an ASP methodology for two operation mode, full power and low power/shutdown operation, has been developed and applied to significant accident precursors that may occur during the operation of nuclear power plants. Two operational events, loss of feedwater and steam generator tube rupture, are identified as ASPs. Therefore, the ASP methodology developed in this study may contribute to identifying plant risk significance as well as to enhancing the safety of nuclear power plants by applying this methodology systematically.

Computing Probability Flood Runoff for Flood Forecasting & Warning System - Computing Probability Flood Runoff of Hwaong District - (홍수 예.경보 체계 개발을 위한 연구 - 화옹호 유역의 유역 확률홍수량 산정 -)

  • Kim, Sang-Ho;Kim, Han-Joong;Hong, Seong-Gu;Park, Chang-Eoun;Lee, Nam-Ho
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2007
  • The objective of the study is to prepare input data for FIA (Flood Inundation Analysis) & FDA (Flood Damage Assessment) through rainfall-runoff simulation by HEC-HMS model. For HwaOng watershed (235.6 $km^{2}$), HEC-HMS was calibrated using 6 storm events. Geospatial data processors, HEC-GeoHMS is used for HEC-HMS basin input data. The parameters of rainfall loss rate and unit hydrograph are optimized from the observed data. HEC-HMS was applied to simulate rainfall-runoff relation to frequency storm at the HwaOng watershed. The results will be used for mitigating and predicting the flood damage after river routing and inundation propagation analysis through various flood scenarios.

FORMATION OF LINE PROFILE: SEI METHOD

  • CHOE SEUNG-URN;KANG MIN-YOUNG;KIM KYUNG-MEE
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.93-105
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    • 1996
  • We have solved the radiative transfer problem using a Sobolev approximation with an escape probability method in case of the supersonic expansion of a stellar envelope to an ambient medium. The radiation from the expanding envelope turns out to produce a P-Cygni type profile. In order to investigate the morphology of the theoretical P-Cygni type profile, we have treated $V_\infty,\;V_{sto},\;\beta$ (parameters for the velocity field), it and E(parameter for collisional effect) as model parameters. We have investigated that the velocity field and the mass loss rate affect the shapes of the P-Cygni type profiles most effectively. The secondarily important factors are $V_\infty,\;V_{sto}$. The collisional effect tends to make the total flux increased but not so much in magnitude. We have infered some physical parameters of 68 Cyg, HD24912, and $\xi$ persei such as $V_\infty,\;M$ from the model calculation, which shows a good agreenment with the observational results.

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Integrated Safety Risk Assessment and Response Preparation on Construction Site Formwork Using FMECA Method (FMECA 기법을 적용한 건설현장 거푸집작업의 통합 안전위험성 평가 및 대응방안 마련)

  • An, Sun-Ju;Song, Sang-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2012
  • Risk Assessment to list possible safety disasters and their probability and severity is the starting point for effective safety management on construction project site. However, the safety managers in owners, construction supervisors, contractors, and sub-contractors still have difficulties in judging the priorities of safety activities and preparing responses to each potential safety disasters. Therefore, this study aimed to suggest a systematic method in assessing safety risk prior to commencement with the agreement of stakeholders. FMECA(failure mode effects and criticality analysis) was selected as a main assessment tool and it was modified according to the characteristics of construction projects and trades. Each risk is, firstly, evaluated with occurrence probability, possible loss and impacts to projects, and detections, and then risk priority number(RPN) is calculated. Subsequently, the managers of each stakeholder discuss the types, timing, and responsibilities of responses as a group decision-making process.

Partner Assignment Algorithm for Cooperative Diversity in mobile communication systems (이동통신 시스템에서 Cooperative Diversity를 위한 Partner Assignment Algorithm)

  • Jung, Young-Seok;Lee, Jae-Hong
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.81-82
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    • 2006
  • Most work on cooperative diversity has assumed that the cooperating group (source and partners) and the associated average channel conditions between terminals (source, partners, and destination) are predetermined. In practical situations, however, it is important to develop the efficient algorithms for assigning the terminals with good inter-user channels for cooperating groups. In this paper, we propose the partner assignment algorithm for cooperative diversity in mobile communication systems. The proposed partner assignment algorithm is investigated by using the path loss model for mobile communication systems. Numerical results show that the proposed partner assignment algorithm provides the comparable probability of cooperative transmission to the partner assignment algorithm using exhaustive search. The probability of cooperative transmission increases with the number of users, which gives potential benefits of practical implementation to user cooperation in mobile communication systems.

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A Study on the Substation Reliability Assessment Using Weibull Distribution (와이블분포를 이용한 변전소 신뢰도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Gwang-Won
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2002
  • In power system study, relibility assessment has been an important topic during past several decards because sudden power interruption can bring about enormous economic loss. although the size of a substation is smaller than that of generation system or transmission system, switching actions after fault(s) make reliability assessment of substation rather complex situations such as switching actions easily and permit various probability distributions in describing substation elements. Despite this ability of Monte Carlo simulation, one-parameter exponential distribution is still popular in this reliability assessment. This paper examines the characteristics of several two-parameter probability distributions, and offers new parameter decision rule based on average and variance of the target to be modelled. In case study, this paper shows the profits by using Weibull distribution which is one of two-parameter probabilistic distributions instead of exponential one.

Identification of Prevailing Risk Attitudes in Various Risk Situations (다양한 위험상황에서의 지배적 위험태도의 파악)

  • Kang, Tae-Geon;Cho, Sung-Ku
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.437-447
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    • 1999
  • Previous researches on risk attitudes or on the typical utility functions have mostly focused on how the risk attitude of decision maker varies when changes are made in one or two lottery reference points such as consequence domain and magnitude of probability under assumed risk situations represented by simple lotteries. It is, however, very difficult to forecast dominant risk attitudes under risk situations which exhibit a complex combination of many reference points. In this study, twelve risk situations which a decision maker may confront in real decision-making situations were formulated by combining in various ways three reference points, that is, magnitude of probability, consequence domain, and magnitude of gain or loss. Then through a questionnaire dominant risk attitudes under every assumed risk situation were investigated, and the general shape of utility function implied by the experimental results were derived. Results of the present study show that none of the three reference points have dominant effect over the others due to complicated interaction between them, and given the twelve risk situations the observed risk attitude widely varies from strong risk taking to strong risk aversion.

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Non-parametric Adaptive Importance Sampling for Fast Simulation Technique (속산 시뮬레이션을 위한 적응형 비모수 중요 샘플링 기법)

  • 김윤배
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.77-89
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    • 1999
  • Simulating rare events, such as probability of cell loss in ATM networks, machine failure in highly reliable systems, requires huge simulation efforts due to the low chance of occurrence. Importance Sampling (IS) has been applied to accelerate the occurrence of rare events. However, it has a drawback of effective biasing scheme to make the estimator of IS unbiased. Adaptive Importance Sampling (AIS) employs an estimated sampling distribution of IS to the system of interest during the course of simulation. We propose Nonparametric Adaptive Importance Sampling (NAIS) technique which is nonparametrical version of AIS. We test NAIS to estimate a probability of rare event in M/M/1 queueing model. Comparing with classical Monte Carlo simulation, the computational efficiency and variance reductions gained via NAIS are substantial. A possible extension of NAIS regarding with random number generation is also discussed.

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Performance Analysis and Power Allocation for NOMA-assisted Cloud Radio Access Network

  • Xu, Fangcheng;Yu, Xiangbin;Xu, Weiye;Cai, Jiali
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.1174-1192
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    • 2021
  • With the assistance of non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA), the spectrum efficiency and the number of users in cloud radio access network (CRAN) can be greatly improved. In this paper, the system performance of NOMA-assisted CRAN is investigated. Specially, the outage probability (OP) and ergodic sum rate (ESR), are derived for performance evaluation of the system, respectively. Based on this, by minimizing the OP of the system, a suboptimal power allocation (PA) scheme with closed-form PA coefficients is proposed. Numerical simulations validate the accuracy of the theoretical results, where the derived OP has more accuracy than the existing one. Moreover, the developed PA scheme has superior performance over the conventional fixed PA scheme but has smaller performance loss than the optimal PA scheme using the exhaustive search method.