• Title/Summary/Keyword: Loss Estimation

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Semi-Supervised Learning Using Kernel Estimation

  • Seok, Kyung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.629-636
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    • 2007
  • A kernel type semi-supervised estimate is proposed. The proposed estimate is based on the penalized least squares loss and the principle of Gaussian Random Fields Model. As a result, we can estimate the label of new unlabeled data without re-computation of the algorithm that is different from the existing transductive semi-supervised learning. Also our estimate is viewed as a general form of Gaussian Random Fields Model. We give experimental evidence suggesting that our estimate is able to use unlabeled data effectively and yields good classification.

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대만 지진피해평가 system에 대한 검토

  • Gang, Ik-Beom
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.3 no.3 s.10
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    • pp.82-89
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    • 2003
  • 대만 국가과학위원회에서는 1998년에 지진재해 구조물 피해 사회경제적 손실을 위한 연구를 위해 HAZ-Taiwan 연구 project를 착수하였다. 관련 software인 TELES(Taiwan Earthquake Loss Estimation System)는 3가지 목표를 위해 다양한 입력 및 분석 module로 구성되어 있다. 1. 피해 지진후 재해 평가 2. 재해복구계획 및 가상 시나리오 제공 3. 재해보험을 포함한 재해대응방안 제시 본 논문은 초기재해평가에 이용될 분석 modules개발 및 적용에 초점을 맞추고 있으며, 분석 module은 지반운동강도 액상화 건물피해 및 사상자 평가분석을 포함하고 있다.

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Expected Asset Loss Estimation Considering Security Risks of ISPs’Networks (ISP(Internet Service Provider)의 네트워크 보안 위험을 고려한 예상 자산손실 모델링)

  • 문호건;이종필
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institutes of Information Security and Cryptology Conference
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    • 2003.12a
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    • pp.121-127
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    • 2003
  • 본 논문에서는 Internet Service Provider(이하 ISP)의 네트워크에 위험이 발생할 경우 위험의 출현으로 인한 ISP의 자산손실을 추정하는 방법을 제안한다. ISP의 네트워크를 구성하는 자산들의 가치를 서비스 측면에서 분석하고, 개별 자산이 생산하는 서비스 가치를 근사할 수 있는 방법론을 제시함으로써 네트워크의 장애로 인한 손실액을 추정 가능함을 보인다. 또한, 네트워크의 부하 분산, 우회 경로 및 백업 시스템 등 서비스 연속성을 확보를 위한 잉여 설계가 있을 경우, 자산가치 특성함수를 사용한 손실액 추정모델을 제안한다.

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An experimental study for estimation of head loss coefficients at surcharged four-way combining manholes (과부하 4방향 합류맨홀에서의 손실계수 산정을 위한 실험 연구)

  • Ryu, Taek Hee;Kim, Jung Soo;Yoon, Sei Eui
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.12
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    • pp.1015-1025
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    • 2016
  • In general, manholes installed as urban drainage facilities are a variety forms such as straight path manholes, 90 degree bend manhole, three-way combining manhole, and four-way combining manhole. In particular, the surcharged flow at a four-way manholes installed in the downstream of urban sewer system is the main cause of the urban inundation caused by the energy loss. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the flow characteristics and estimate the head loss coefficients at surcharged four-way combining manholes. The hydraulic experimental apparatus which can change the manhole shapes (square, circle) and flow ratios were installed to estimate the head loss coefficients. In the experiments, two inflows ($Q_m$, $Q_{lat}$) were varied from 0 to $4.8{\ell}/sec$ and 24 combinations were tested in total. The flow ratios $Q_{lat}/Q_{out}$ were varied from 0 to 1 for a total flow $Q_{out}$ ($Q_{out}=Q_m+2Q_{lat}$) of 2, 3, 4, and $4.8{\ell}/sec$, respectively. The variation of head losses were strongly influenced by the lateral inflow because the head loss coefficient increases as the flow ratios $Q_{lat}/Q_{out}$ increases. It was estimated head loss coefficients of the circular manhole is slightly lower than those of the square manhole. However, there was no significant difference of head loss as discharges change. The range of head loss coefficients at four-way combining manhole according to the change of the lateral inflow ratio was estimated to be 0.4 to 0.8. Also, the relation equations between the head loss coefficients (K) and the lateral inflow ratios ($Q_{lat}/Q_{out}$) were suggested in this paper.

Determination of Unit Hydrograph for the Hydrological Modelling of Long-term Run-off in the Major River Systems in Korea (장기유출의 수문적 모형개발을 위한 주요 수계별 단위도 유도)

  • 엄병현;박근수
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.52-65
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    • 1984
  • In general precise estimation of hourly of daily distribution of the long-term run-off should be very important in a design of source of irrigation. However, there have not been a satisfying method for forecasting of stationar'y long-term run-off in Korea. Solving this problem, this study introduces unit-hydrograph method frequently used in short-term run-off analysis into the long-term run-off analysis, of which model basin was selected to be Sumgin-river catchment area. In the estimation of effective rainfall, conventional method neglects the Soil moisture condition of catchment area, but in this study, the initial discharge (qb) occurred just before rising phase of the hydrograph was selected as the index of a basin soil moisture condition and then introduced as 3rd variable in the analysis of the reationship between cumulative rainfall and cumulative loss of rainfall, which built a new type of separation method of effective rainfall. In next step, in order to normalize significant potential error included in hydrological data, especially in vast catchment area, Snyder's correlation method was applied. A key to solution in this study is multiple correlation method or multiple regressional analysis, which is primarily based on the method of least squres and which is solved by the form of systems of linear equations. And for verification of the change of characteristics of unit hydrograph according to the variation of a various kind of hydrological charateristics (for example, precipitation, tree cover, soil condition, etc),seasonal unit hydrograph models of dry season(autumn, winter), semi-dry season (spring), rainy season (summer) were made respectively. The results obtained in this study were summarized as follows; 1.During the test period of 1966-1971, effective rainfall was estimated for the total 114 run-off hydrograph. From this estimation results, relative error of estimation to the ovservation value was 6%, -which is mush smaller than 12% of the error of conventional method. 2.During the test period, daily distribution of long-term run-off discharge was estimated by the unit hydrograph model. From this estimation results, relative error of estimation by the application of standard unit hydrograph model was 12%. When estimating by each seasonal unit bydrograph model, the relative error was 14% during dry season 10% during semi-dry season and 7% during rainy season, which is much smaller than 37% of conventional method. Summing up the analysis results obtained above, it is convinced that qb-index method of this study for the estimation of effective rainfall be preciser than any other method developed before. Because even recently no method has been developed for the estimation of daily distribution of long-term run-off dicharge, therefore estimation value by unit hydrograph model was only compared with that due to kaziyama method which estimates monthly run-off discharge. However this method due to this study turns out to have high accuracy. If specially mentioned from the results of this study, there is no need to use each seasonal unit hydrograph model separately except the case of semi-dry season. The author hopes to analyze the latter case in future sudies.

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Estimation of R-factor for Universal Soil Loss Equation with Monthly Precipitation Data in North Korea (북한 지역의 월 강수량으로부터 토양 유실 예측 공식 적용을 위한 강수 인자 산출)

  • Jeong, Yeong-Sang;Park, Cheol-Soo;Jeong, Pil-Kyun;Im, Jung-Nam;Shin, Jae-Sung
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 2002
  • Soil erosion is detrimental to sustain soil productivity in north Korea, since agriculture of this country depends largely upon the slope land in mountainous area. Taking any measure for protection from erosion should be based on prediction of soil loss. Estimation of rainfall factor, R, in north Korea for the Universal Soil Loss Equation was attempted. The monthly precipitation data of the twenty six locations provided by the Korean Meteorological Adminstration were used. From the relationship between II_30 and the July-August precipitation concentration percents, the regional adjustment factor was obtained. The rainfall factor was calculated with the monthly precipitation data and the regional adjustment factor. The annual precipitation in north Korea ranged from 606 to 1,520mm, and the July-August precipitation concentration percents were 34.4 to 53.8. The regional adjustment factor ranged from 0.53 to 1.33 showing lower value in the highland and east coastal region than in the mid mountainous inland and west region. The R-factor value estimated from the monthly precipitation and the regional adjustment factor ranged from 107 to 483, which was lower than average value in south Korea.

Development of comprehensive earthquake loss scenarios for a Greek and a Turkish city: seismic hazard, geotechnical and lifeline aspects

  • Pitilakis, Kyriazis D.;Anastasiadis, Anastasios I.;Kakderi, Kalliopi G.;Manakou, Maria V.;Manou, Dimitra K.;Alexoudi, Maria N.;Fotopoulou, Stavroula D.;Argyroudis, Sotiris A.;Senetakis, Kostas G.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.207-232
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    • 2011
  • The development of reliable earthquake mitigation plans and seismic risk management procedures can only be based on the establishment of comprehensive earthquake hazard and loss scenarios. Two cities, Grevena (Greece) and D$\ddot{u}$zce (Turkey), were used as case studies in order to apply a comprehensive methodology for the vulnerability and loss assessment of lifelines. The methodology has the following distinctive phases: detailed inventory, identification of the typology of each component and system, evaluation of the probabilistic seismic hazard, geotechnical zonation, ground response analysis and estimation of the spatial distribution of seismic motion for different seismic scenarios, vulnerability analysis of the exposed elements at risk. Estimating adequate earthquake scenarios for different mean return periods, and selecting appropriate vulnerability functions, expected damages of the water and waste water systems in D$\ddot{u}$zce and of the roadway network and waste water system of Grevena are estimated and discussed; comparisons with observed earthquake damages are also made in the case of D$\ddot{u}$zce, proving the reliability and the efficiency of the proposed methodology. The results of the present study constitute a sound basis for the development of efficient loss scenarios for lifelines and infrastructure facilities in seismic prone areas. The first part of this paper, concerning the estimation of the seismic ground motions, has been utilized in the companion paper by Kappos et al. (2010) in the same journal.

Positioning Scheme Based on Iterative Path-Loss Exponent Estimation in WSNs (무선 센서 네트워크에서 반복적인 Path-Loss Exponent 추정을 통한 위치추정 기법)

  • Choi, Jun-Ho;Choi, Jae-Kark;Yoo, Sang-Jo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.37B no.10
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    • pp.889-900
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    • 2012
  • In wireless sensor networks, the positioning scheme using received signal strength (RSS) has been widely considered. Appropriate estimation of path-loss exponent (PLE) between a sensor node and an anchor node plays a key role in reducing position error in this RSS-based positioning scheme. In the conventional researches, a sensor node directly uses the PLEs measured by its nearest anchor node to calculate its position. However, the actual PLE between a sensor node and the anchor node can be different from the PLE measured by its nearest anchor node. Thus, if a sensor node directly uses the PLEs measured by its nearest anchor node, the estimated position is different from the actual position of the sensor node with a high probability. In this paper, we describe the method how a sensor node estimates PLEs from the anchor nodes of interest by itself and calculates its position based on these self-estimated PLEs. Especially, our proposal suggests the mechanism to iteratively calculate the PLEs depending on the estimated distances between a sensor node and anchor nodes. Based on the recalculated PLEs, the sensor node reproduces its position. Through simulations, we show that our proposed positioning scheme outperforms the traditional scheme in terms of position error.

Using asymptotic curve number regression method estimation of NRCS curve number and optimum initial loss ratio for small watersheds (점근유출곡선지수법을 이용한 소유역 유출곡선지수 산정 및 최적 초기손실률 결정)

  • Yu, Ji Soo;Park, Dong-Hyeok;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.11
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    • pp.759-767
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    • 2017
  • Two main parameters of NRCS-CN method are curve numbers and intial loss ratio. They are generally selected according to the guideline of US National Engineering Handbook, however, they might cause errors on estimated runoff in Korea because there are differences between soil types and hydrological characteristics of Korean watersheds and those of United States. In this study, applying asymptotic CN regression method, we suggested eight modified NRCS-CN models to decide optimum runoff estimation model for Korean watersheds. RSR (RMSE-observations standard deviation ratio) and NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency) were used to evaluate model performance, consequently M6 for gauged basins (Avg. RSR was 0.76, Avg. NSE was 0.39) and M7 for ungauged basins (Avg. RSR was 0.82, Avg. NSE was 0.31) were selected. Furthermore it was observed that initial loss ratios ranging from 0.01 to 0.10 were more adequate than the fixed ${\lambda}=0.20$ in most of basins.

Comparison of Annual Soil Loss using USLE and Hourly Soil Erosion Evaluation System (USLE모형과 시강우를 고려한 토양유실 평가 시스템을 이용한 연간 토양유실량 비교 분석)

  • Kum, Dong-Hyuk;Ryu, Ji-Chul;Kang, Hyun-Woo;Jang, Chun-Hwa;Shin, Min-Hwan;Shin, Dong-Shuk;Choi, Joong-Dae;Lim, Kyoung-Jae
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.991-997
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    • 2011
  • Soil erosion and sediment has been known as one of pollutants causing water quality degradation in water bodies. With global warming issues worldwide, various soil erosion studies have been performed. Although on-site monitoring of sediment loss would be an ideal method to evaluate soil erosion condition, modeling approaches have been utilized to estimate soil erosion and to evaluate various best management practices on soil erosion reduction. Although the USLE has been used in soil erosion estimation for the last 40 years, the USLE model has limitations in estimating event-based soil erosion reflecting rainfall intensity and rainfall duration for long-term period. Thus, the calibrated model, capable of simulating soil erosion using hourly rainfall data, was utilized in this study to evaluate the effects of rainfall amount and rainfall intensity on soil erosion. It was found that USLE soil erosion value is $3.06ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, while soil erosion values from 2006~2010 were $2.469ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $0.882ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $1.489ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $2.158ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, $1.602ton\;ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, respectively. Especially, soil erosion from single storm event for 2008-2010 would be responsible for 30% or more of annual soil loss. As shown in this study, hourly soil erosion estimation system would provide more detailed output from the study area. In addition, the effects of rainfall intensity on soil erosion could be evaluated with this system.