• 제목/요약/키워드: Long-term safety assessment

검색결과 169건 처리시간 0.027초

손상 선박의 안전성 향상 설계 기술 개발 (Development of Design Technology for Safety Enhancement of Damaged Ship)

  • 이순섭;이동곤;김기섭
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2009
  • Loss of human lives and properties including environmental damage due to large scale accidents requires change of our perception to marine safety. IMO is trying to re-establish overall marine safety system through long term plan such as GBS. Along this line, current regulation based safety evaluation is in process of changing into performance based methods, and for this transition, simulation based safety evaluation during design stage considering damage is highly necessary. In this paper, first, damage scenario is developed from IMO regulations and accident case studies. Then an integrated and simulation based safety evaluation prototype system considering both damage stability and structural safety is developed for the use during ship design process.

SWAT 모형을 이용한 시.공간적 토지 이용변화에 따른 유량 및 유사량 특성분석 (Analysis of Watershed Runoff and Sediment Characteristics due to Spatio-Temporal Change in Land Uses Using SWAT Model)

  • 신용철;임경재;김기성;최중대
    • 한국관개배수논문집
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.50-56
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to assess spatiotemporal effects on watershed runoff and sediment characteristics due to land uses changes from 1999 to 2002 at the small watershed, located in Chuncheon-si, Gangwon province. The annual average flow rate of Scenario I (long-term simulation using land use of 1990), II (long-term simulation using land use of 1996), III(long-term simulation using land use of 200) and IV(simulation using land use of 1990, 1995, and 2000) in long-term simulation) using the SWAT model were 29,997,043 m3, 29,992,628 m3, 29,811,191 m3 and 29,931,238 m3, respectively. It was shown that there was no significant changes in estimated flow rate because no significant changes in land uses between 1990 and 2000 were observed. The annual average sediment loads of Scenarios I, II, III and IV for 15 year period were 36,643 kg/ha, 45,340 kg/ha , 27,195 kg/ha and 35,545 kg/ha, respectively. The estimated annual sediment loads from Scenarios I, II, and III, were different from that from the scenario IV, considering spatio-temporal changes in land use and meterological changes over the years, by 10%, 127%, and temporal changes in land use and meterological changes over the years, by 10%, 127%, and 77%. This can be explained in land use changes in high soil erosion potential areas, such as upland areas, within the study watershed. The comparison indicates that changes in land uses upland areas, within the study watershed. The comparison indicates that changes in land uses can affect on sediment yields by more than 10%, which could exceed the safety factor of 10% in Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs). It is, therefore, recommended that not only the temporal analysis with the weather input data but also spatial one with different land uses need to be considered in long-term hydrology and sediment simulating using the SWAT model

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A novel method for generation and prediction of crack propagation in gravity dams

  • Zhang, Kefan;Lu, Fangyun;Peng, Yong;Li, Xiangyu
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제81권6호
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    • pp.665-675
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    • 2022
  • The safety problems of giant hydraulic structures such as dams caused by terrorist attacks, earthquakes, and wars often have an important impact on a country's economy and people's livelihood. For the national defense department, timely and effective assessment of damage to or impending damage to dams and other structures is an important issue related to the safety of people's lives and property. In the field of damage assessment and vulnerability analysis, it is usually necessary to give the damage assessment results within a few minutes to determine the physical damage (crack length, crater size, etc.) and functional damage (decreased power generation capacity, dam stability descent, etc.), so that other defense and security departments can take corresponding measures to control potential other hazards. Although traditional numerical calculation methods can accurately calculate the crack length and crater size under certain combat conditions, it usually takes a long time and is not suitable for rapid damage assessment. In order to solve similar problems, this article combines simulation calculation methods with machine learning technology interdisciplinary. First, the common concrete gravity dam shape was selected as the simulation calculation object, and XFEM (Extended Finite Element Method) was used to simulate and calculate 19 cracks with different initial positions. Then, an LSTM (Long-Short Term Memory) machine learning model was established. 15 crack paths were selected as the training set and others were set for test. At last, the LSTM model was trained by the training set, and the prediction results on the crack path were compared with the test set. The results show that this method can be used to predict the crack propagation path rapidly and accurately. In general, this article explores the application of machine learning related technologies in the field of mechanics. It has broad application prospects in the fields of damage assessment and vulnerability analysis.

방사성폐기물 처분장 부지감시 계획 (Site Monitoring and investigation plan for LILW disposal)

  • 백승종
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.369-385
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    • 2008
  • 부지감시 및 조사의 목적은 운영 전, 운영중 및 폐쇄 후 단계에서 변화가 예상되는 주요 부지특성을 지속적으로 감시함으로써 방사성폐기물처분장의 성능평가 및 설계에 필요한 기초자료를 제공하는 것이다. 부지감시의 단계별 주요내용은 다음과 같다. 운영전 단계에는 부지의 적합성 평가 및 처분장 건설과 운영에 필요한 주요 부지특성을 감시하며, 운영 중 단계에는 안전하고 효율적인 운영과 환경에 미치는 영향을 판단하기 위하여 주변지역을 포함하여 주요 부지특성을 감시한다. 폐쇄 후 단계에는 처분장의 방사성 물질로 인한 영향을 사전에 예방하고, 처분장의 장기적 안전성을 위하여 필요한 주요 부지특성 항목을 감시한다.

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Experiments and MAAP4 Assessment for Core Mixture Level Depletion After Safety Injection Failure During Long-Term Cooling of a Cold Leg LB-LOCA

  • Kim, Y. S.;B. U. Bae;Park, G. C.;K. Y. Sub;Lee, U. C .
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.91-107
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    • 2003
  • Since DBA(Design Basis Accidents) has been studied rather separately from SA(Severe Accidents) in the conventional nuclear reactor safety analysis, the thermal hydraulics during transition between DBA and SA has not been identified so much as each accident itself. Thus, in this study, the thermal hydraulic behavior from DBA to the commencement of SA has been experimentally and analytically investigated for the long-term cooling phase of LB-LOCA(Large-Break Loss-of-Coolant Accident). Experiments were conducted for both cases of the loop seal open and closed in an integral test loop, named as SNUF (Seoul National University Facility), which was scaled down to l/6.4 in length and 1/178 in area of the APR1400 (Advanced Power Reactor 1400MWe). The core mixture level was a main measured value since it took major role in the fuel heat-up rate, the location of fuel melting initiation and the channel blockage by melting material during SA. Experimental results were compared to MAAP4.03 to assess its model of calculating the core mixture level. MAAP4.03 overestimates the core two- phase mixture level because sweep-out and spill-over and the measures to simulate the status of loop seal are not included, which is against the conservatism. Thus, it is recommended that MAAP4.03 should be improved to simulate the thermal hydraulic phenomena, such as sweep-out, spill-over and the status of loop seal.

Post-earthquake fast building safety assessment using smartphone-based interstory drifts measurement

  • Hsu, Ting Y.;Liu, Cheng Y.;Hsieh, Yo M.;Weng, Chi T.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.287-299
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    • 2022
  • Rather than using smartphones as seismometers with designated locations and orientations, this study proposes to employ crowds' smartphones in buildings to perform fast safety assessment of buildings. The principal advantage of using crowds' smartphones is the potential to monitor the safety of millions of buildings without hardware costs, installation labor, and long-term maintenance. This study's goal is to measure the maximum interstory drift ratios during earthquake excitation using crowds' smartphones. Beacons inside the building are required to provide the location and relevant building information for the smartphones via Bluetooth. Wi-Fi Direct is employed between nearby smartphones to conduct peer-to-peer time synchronization and exchange the acceleration data measured. An algorithm to align the orientation between nearby smartphones is proposed, and the performance of the orientation alignment, interstory drift measurement, and damage level estimation are studied numerically. Finally, the proposed approach's performance is verified using large-scale shaking table tests of a scaled steel building. The results presented in this study illustrate the potential to use crowds' smartphones with the proposed approach to record building motions during earthquakes and use those data to estimate buildings' safety based on the interstory drift ratios measured.

국내 연안 카페리 차량 고박 장치 안전성에 관한 연구: 제2부 가속도 예측 방법에 따른 고박 안전도 비교 연구 (Study on Structural Safety of Car Securing Equipment of Coastal Carferry: Part II Assessment of Lashing Safety according to Acceleration Prediction Approaches)

  • 정준모;조희상;이경훈;이영우
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.451-457
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    • 2016
  • For a carferry with a displacement of 1,633 tonf, a seakeeping analysis-based direct load approach (DLA) was used in Part I of these series, where the final deliverable was the long-term probabilistic acceleration components. In Part II of these series, the tangential acceleration components are explained based on two approaches: a standard called the IMO CSS code and simple formulas with the probable maximum roll and pitch rotations. The subsequent tangential acceleration-induced external force components are also introduced for these two approaches. The lashing strength components were selected from the IMO CSS code. It was assumed that two different vehicles (a car and a truck) were stowed at the most distant locations on the main deck to assume the largest tangential acceleration components and were secured with four steel wires with longitudinal and transverse lashing angles of $45^{\circ}$. Four cases were considered, with different methods for predicting the acceleration components and different tools for the external loads and lashing strengths involved: cases Rule-LS (rule-based maximum probable roll and pitch angles for predicting the acceleration components in conjunction with LashingSafety), DLA-LS (seakeeping-based long-term acceleration components with LashingSafety), CSS-LC (IMO CSS code-based acceleration components using LashCon), and CSS-LS (IMO CSS code-based acceleration components using LashingSafety). In terms of the acceleration and external force components, the CSS-LC and CSS-LS results are more than two times the results of Rule-LS. Thus, when the external forces and lashing strengths are evaluated using CSS-LC and CSS-LS, the truck needs more lashing wires, while Rule-LS and DLA-LS predict that the present lashing configuration is on the safe side.

Temperature effect analysis of a long-span cable-stayed bridge based on extreme strain estimation

  • Yang, Xia;Zhang, Jing;Ren, Wei-Xin
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2017
  • The long-term effect of ambient temperature on bridge strain is an important and challenging problem. To investigate this issue, one year data of strain and ambient temperature of a long-span cable-stayed bridge is studied in this paper. The measured strain-time history is decomposed into two parts to obtain the strains due to vehicle load and temperature alone. A linear regression model between the temperature and the strain due to temperature is established. It is shown that for every $1^{\circ}C$ increase in temperature, the stress is increased by 0.148 MPa. Furthmore, the extreme value distributions of the strains due to vehicle load, temperature and the combination effect of them during the remaining service period are estimated by the average conditional exceedance rate approach. This approach avoids the problem of declustering of data to ensure independence. The estimated results demonstrate that the 95% quantile of the extreme strain distribution due to temperature is up to $1.488{\times}10^{-4}$ which is 2.38 times larger than that due to vehicle load. The study also indicates that the estimated extreme strain can reflect the long-term effect of temperature on bridge strain state, which has reference significance for the reliability estimation and safety assessment.

화학사고로 인한 영향범위 내 환경수용체와 공공수용체를 고려한 위험도 분석방법론 (Suggestion of Risk Assessment Methodology by Chemical Accident Based on the Environmental and Residential Receptors)

  • 최우수;김민호;류지성;권혜옥
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.239-251
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    • 2020
  • 화학사고를 예방하기 위한 장외영향평가서에서는 유해화학물질 취급시설의 화학사고 위험도를 산정하고, 적절한 안전성 확보방안을 확보하도록 유도한다. 위험도를 산정하는 방법은 '사고영향범위 내 주민 수'와 '취급시설의 사고발생빈도'의 곱이다. 현재 장외영향평가서에서는 사고영향범위 내 피해 유형으로 영향범위 내 주민 수만 고려하고 있고, 환경수용체에 대한 정량적 고려가 이루어지지 않고 있다. 본 연구에서는 환경수용체를 고려한 위험도 산정 방식을 제안하였고, 가상의 시나리오 분석을 통해 주민에 대한 고려만 이루어진 위험도와 환경수용체를 고려한 위험도 산정방식을 비교 분석하였다. 이러한 연구를 통하여, 화학사고 예방을 위한 장외영향평가 제도에서 중·장기적으로 환경수용체를 고려한 위험도 분석의 필요성을 확인하고 방법론을 제안하였으며, 향후 정책 및 제도개선의 기초자료로 활용하기를 기대한다.

음용수를 통한 비소 노출의 인체 안전성 평가 (Safety and Risk Assessment of Arsenic in Drinking Water)

  • 이무열;정진호
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2002
  • Arsenic (As) is a ubiquitous element found in several forms in foods and water. Although certain foods, such as marine fish, contain substantial levels of organic arsenic forms, they are relatively low in toxicity compared to inorganic forms. in contrast, arsenic in drinking water is predominantly inorganic and highly toxic. Chronic ingestion of arsenic-contaminated drinking water is therefore the major pathway posing potential risk to human hearth. since the early 1990s in Bangladesh ozone, arsenic exposure has caused more than 7,000 deaths and uncounted thousands shout symptoms of long-term arsenic poisoning. Significant portion of world populations are exposed to low to moderate levels of arsenic of parts per billion (ppb) to hundreds of ppb. As a consequence, the World Health Organization (WHO) and U.S. environmental health agencies, such as the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) made arsenic their highest priority. Recently, the WHO, European Union (EU), and US. EPA lowered an acceptable level of 10 ppb for arsenic in drinking water In this article, various health effects of arsenic in drinking water were reviewed and the current status for risk assessment to regulate arsenic in drinking water was discussed.