• 제목/요약/키워드: Long-term runoff

검색결과 284건 처리시간 0.024초

L-THIA 2012 유출 및 수질 자동 보정 모듈을 이용한 유출/비점부하량 산정 및 비점오염 부하량 포텐셜 등급화 (Evaluation of Runoff and Pollutant Loads using L-THIA 2012 Runoff and Pollutant Auto-calibration Module and Ranking of Pollutant Loads Potential)

  • 장춘화;금동혁;하준수;김경순;강동한;김극태;신동석;임경재
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.184-195
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    • 2013
  • Urbanization from agricultural/forest areas has been causing increased runoff and pollutant loads from it. Thus, numerous models have been developed to estimate NPS loading from urban area and Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Analysis (L-THIA) model has been used to evaluate effects of landuse changes on runoff and pollutant loads. However, the L-THIA model could not consider rainfall intensity in runoff evaluation. Therefore, the L-THIA model, capable of simulating runoff using 10-minute rainfall data, was applied to the study areas for evaluation of estimated runoff and NPS. The estimated Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient (NSE) values were over 0.6 for runoff, BOD, TN, and TP for most sites and watershed. The calibrated model was further extended to other counties for pollutant load potential evaluation. Pollutant load potential maps were developed and target areas were identified. As shown in this study, the L-THIA 2012 can be used for evaluation runoff and pollutant loads with limited data sets and its estimation could be used in identifying pollutant load hot spot areas for implementation of site-specific Best Management Practices.

기후변화시나리오를 이용한 미래 장기하상변동 및 골재 채취량 산정: 논산천을 사례로 (Estimation of Future Long-Term Riverbed Fluctuations and Aggregate Extraction Volume Using Climate Change Scenarios: A Case Study of the Nonsan River Basin)

  • 이대업;김민석;오현주
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제57권2호
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2024
  • 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 하상변동과 골재 채취량 산정을 위해 논산천 유역을 대상으로 기후변화시나리오 기반의 SWAT 모형을 이용한 강우-유출 모델링과 HEC-RAS 모형을 이용한 장기 하상변동 모델링을 수행하였다. SSP5-8.5 시나리오의 미래 전반기에 대한 강우-유출 및 유사량 해석결과 연강수량의 차이가 최대 600 mm 이상 발생함에 따라 해당 유역의 유사유출량 또한 연간 30,000 ton 이상 차이가 발생하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 장기 하상변동 모델링을 통해 논산천 하류 하도의 퇴적구간 및 골재채취 가능량을 산정한 결과 금강 합류부로 부터 약 4.6~6.9 km의 상류부 2.455 km 구간에 대해 골재채취가 가능할 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과를 통해 극한강우 또는 가뭄 등의 이상기후로 인한 기후위기의 위험성이 커질 수 있으며 이러한 변동성의 증가는 장기적인 골재채취에 영향을 줄 수 있음을 확인하였다. 따라서 향후 장기적인 골재채취 계획 및 정책 수립에 기후변화의 영향을 고려하는 것이 중요할 것으로 판단된다.

APEX 모형을 이용한 유기농경지에서의 질소 부하량 저감을 위한 지표피복 효과 (Surface Cover Effect for Reducing Nitrogen Load in Organic Farming Fields using APEX Model)

  • 소현철;장태일;김동현;설동문;윤광식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제60권5호
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    • pp.55-67
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    • 2018
  • The objectives of this study were to monitor organic farming upland compared with conventional upland field and to evaluate nutrient loads reduction of surface cover effect with long-term historical climate data. APEX(Agricultural Policy Environmental eXtender) model was validated with experimental data and used for assessing surface cover scenarios for 30-year simulation periods. The validated values of RMSE(Root Mean Square Error), RMAE(Root Mean Absolute Error), $R^2$ and E(Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency) for runoff were 1.17-1.37 mm/day, 0.28-0.45 mm/day, 0.88-0.90 and 0.82-0.94 in two treatments, respectively. Those for water quality (nitrogen) were 0.05-0.16 kg/ha, 0.52-0.75 kg/ha, 0.67-0.72 and 0.32-0.70 in two treatments, respectively, and therefore the validated model showed good agreement with the observed runoff and nitrogen load for the study period. When decreasing the surface cover rate of organic farming field to 75%, 50%, 25%, and 0% (conventional field), average annual runoff increased by 7%, 15%, 23% and 31%, respectively. Under same condition of decreasing the surface cover rate, average annual nitrogen loads increased by 1.4 times, 1.7 times, 2.0 times, and 2.3 times compared with organic farming field, respectively. This study showed that it is possible to present an appropriate surface cover ratio to maintain conventional production and minimize nonpoint sources pollution for organic farming system, although long-term monitoring is needed to determine its effects on environmental concerns, crop competition, and other uncertainty.

도시유역 CSOs 처리를 위한 저류형시스템 설계용량 산정 (Estimation of Storage Capacity for CSOs Storage System in Urban Area)

  • 조덕준;이정호;김명수;김중훈;박무종
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.490-497
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    • 2007
  • A Combined sewer overflows (CSOs) are themselves a significant source of water pollution. Therefore, the control of urban drainage for CSOs reduction and receiving water quality protection is needed. Examples in combined sewer systems include downstream storage facilities that detain runoff during periods of high flow and allow the detained water to be conveyed by an interceptor sewer to a centralized treatment plant during periods of low flow. The design of such facilities as stormwater detention storage is highly dependant on the temporal variability of storage capacity available (which is influenced by the duration of interevent dry periods) as well as the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage. As a result, a continuous approach is required to adequately size such facilities. This study for the continuous long-term analysis of urban drainage system used analytical probabilistic model based on derived probability distribution theory. As an alternative to the modeling of urban drainage system for planning or screening level analysis of runoff control alternatives, this model have evolved that offer much ease and flexibility in terms of computation while considering long-term meteorology. This study presented rainfall and runoff characteristics of the subject area using analytical probabilistic model. This study presented the average annual COSs and number of COSs when the interceptor capacity is in the range $3{\times}DWF$ (dry weather flow). Also, calculated the average annual mass of pollutant lost in CSOs using Event Mean Concentration. Finally, this study presented a decision of storage volume for CSOs reduction and water quality protection.

측우기 자료를 이용한 한강 유출량 추정 (Estimation of Han River runoff using Cheugugi data)

  • 문장원
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제52권12호
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    • pp.1067-1074
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    • 2019
  • 우리나라에는 측우기에 의한 강수량 관측 자료가 장기간 존재하고 있으나 이를 수자원 계획 수립 등에 활용하는 것은 상대적으로 부족한 상황이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 측우기 자료를 수자원 계획 수립 과정 등에 하나의 시나리오로 활용할 수 있도록 측우기 자료를 기반으로 한강유역의 하천유출량을 추정하기 위한 연구를 수행하였다. 강수량-유출량 관계를 도출하여 제시한 후 그 결과를 측우기 관측 강수량 자료에 적용하여 하천유출량 자료를 추정하였다. 추정된 하천유출량에 대한 분석을 통해 1900~1902년까지 3년 연속으로 매우 심각한 가뭄이 발생하였음을 확인할 수 있었으며, 1901년의 경우 평균 대비 8.6%의 매우 적은 유출이 발생한 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구의 결과는 향후 수자원 계획이나 가뭄 대응 계획 수립 과정에서 고려할 수 있는 시나리오로서 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

비선형 유역습윤지수를 이용한 평갈수기 유출모의개선 (Improvement of Mid-and Low-flow Estimation Using Variable Nonlinear Catchment Wetness Index)

  • 현석훈;강부식;김진겸
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제36권5호
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    • pp.779-789
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    • 2016
  • 강우-유출 모의 과정에서 유효강우는 토양수분을 고려하여 산정되며, 이러한 토양수분을 강우-유출 모형에 반영하기 위해서는 직접 관측된 자료를 활용하거나, 모형 내부에서 간접적으로 산정한다. 본 연구에서 사용한 강우-유출 모형은 유역의 기온에 따른 유역습윤지수(Catchment Wetness Index, CWI)를 산정하고, CWI와 강수량의 조합을 통해 산정되는 토양수분지수(Soil Moisture Index, SMI)를 직접 활용하여 유효강우 및 유출량을 계산하는 IHACRES 모형을 사용하여 연구를 수행했다. 합천댐 유역을 대상으로 CWI와 유효강우 간의 관계가 장기 유출 산정에 미치는 영향에 대해 연구한 결과, CWI와 유효강우는 비선형적인 관계를 가짐을 확인하였으며 이러한 비선형 관계는 장기 유출 모의에 있어 홍수기 보다 비홍수기에서 더 많은 영향을 미침을 확인하였다. CWI가 장기 유출에 미치는 영향을 자세히 분석하고자, 보정기간(2002~2004년)과 검정기간(2005~2007년)으로 나누어 가변 CWI와 일정 CWI 조건하에서 유황에 따른 유출모의성능을 분석하였다. 분석결과 전반적으로 가변 CWI의 결과가 일정 CWI의 결과에 비하여 우수하게 나타났다. 풍수기에서 결정계수는 평수기나 갈수기에 비하여 높은 값을 보이고 있으나 가변 CWI와 일정 CWI간에 차이는 크지 않았다. 이는 강수량이 많은 시기의 유출의 경우 기온에 따른 증발 및 토양수분에 대한 민감도가 상대적으로 작다는 것을 의미한다. 반면, 풍수기에 비해 유출량이 적은 평수기와 갈수기에서는 가변 CWI의 평가지표가 더 우수한 결과를 보이고 있어, 평갈수량을 포함한 장기유출모의시 기온을 고려한 증발과 이에따른 토양수분의 고려가 유출량 산정에 상당한 영향을 미침을 확인할 수 있다. NSE의 경우 풍수기가 평갈수기보다 다소 떨어지는 경향을 볼 수 있으나 NSE가 이상치의 영향을 크게 받는 지표이므로 유량 절대값이 큰 풍수기에서는 당연한 결과라 볼 수 있으며, 그럼에도 전체적으로는 0.9이상의 양호한 수치를 보여주고 있다. 풍수기에는 기온에 따른 CWI가 크게 영향을 미치지 못하지만, 유출량이 적은 평 갈수기에서 CWI의 활용이 장기 유출 모의 정확도를 개선할 수 있을 것이라 사료된다.

인공습지의 장기운영에 따른 수질정화효율 변동 (Variation of Water Treatment Efficiency during Long-term Operation of Constructed Wetland)

  • 손영권;윤춘경;김형중;함종화
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 2011
  • Long-term water treatment performance analysis was conducted for the constructed wetland treating agricultural tailwater. Studied wetland was established in 2001 and operated from June, 2002 to November, 2010. Wetland vegetation cover was shown over 90 % coverage after 2005. According to vegetation development, accumulation of sediment nutrient was observed; Organic Carbon, T-P and T-N. In addition, DO concentration and temperature was decreased in the constructed wetland output. An infiltration rate also significantly decreased due to compaction of wetland soil. A runoff coefficient was increased due to the low infiltration rate after 2005. A T-N, TSS and Chl.a removal rate was maintained constantly. However, the T-P removal rate was slightly decreased along to wetland operation because low DO concentration could increase elution of phosphorus from sediment. After constructing open water, the T-P removal rate was increased. This is because open water could accelerate the reaearation process. Consequently, over three years of vegetation development could be helpful for wetland performance. In addition, DO concentration is important factor to maintain the T-P treatment.

아산연안 수질환경의 특성과 장기변동 (Long-term Variation and Characteristics of Water Quality in the Asan Coastal Areas of Yellow Sea, Korea)

  • 박승윤;김형철;김평중;박경수;박정숙
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제16권12호
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    • pp.1411-1424
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    • 2007
  • Long-term trends and distribution patterns of water quality were investigated in the Asan coastal areas of Yellow Sea, Korea from 1975 to 2005. Water samples were collected at 3 stations and physicochemical parameters were analyzed including water temperature, salinity, suspended solids(SS), chemical oxygen demand(COD), dissolved oxygen(DO) and nutrients. Spatial distribution patterns were not clear among stations but the seasonal variations were distinct except COD, SS and nitrate. The trend analysis by principal component analysis(PCA) during twenty years revealed the significant variations in water quality in the study area, Annual water qualities were clearly discriminated into 4 clusters by PCA; year cluster 1988-1991, 1994-1997, and 1992-1993/1998-2005. By this multi-variate analysis we can summarize the annual trends as the followings; salinity, suspended solids and dissolved oxygen tended to increase from late 1980's, increased pH and COD from 1992, and decreased salinity and increased nitrogen and COD from 1990 due to the runoff frow agricultural lands causing eutrophication.

지리정보시스템을 이용한 장기유출모형의 개발(I) -장기유출의 격자 모형화- (Development of a Cell-based Long-term Hydrologic Model Using Geographic Information System(I) -Cell-based Long-term Hydrologic Modeling-)

  • 최진용;정하우
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.64-74
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    • 1997
  • A CELTHYM(CEll-based Long-term HYdrologic Model), a pre-processor and a post-processor that can be integrated with geographic information system(GIS) were developed to predict the stream flow from the small agricultural watershed on the daily basis. The CELTHYM calculates the direct runoff from a grid using SCS curve number method and then sum up all of cells with respect to a sub-catchment area belonged to a stream grid and integrated to an outlet. Base flow of a watershed outlet was computed by integrating of the base flow of each stream grid that was averaged the sub-catchment deep-percolation and calculated with the release rate. Two kind of water budget equation were used to compute the water balance in a grid that was classified into not paddy field and paddy field. One of the two equation is a soil water balance equation to account the soil moisture of the upland, forest and excluding paddy field grid. The other is a paddy water balance equation for the paddy field, calculating the ponding depth, the effective rainfall, the deep percolation and the evapotranspiration.

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익산 밭경지 특성을 고려한 초생대 유출 및 유사 저감효과 모의 (Simulations of Reduction Effects on Runoff and Sediment for VFS Applications by Considering Uplands Characteristics in Iksan)

  • 이슬기;장정렬;최경숙
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제56권5호
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2014
  • The goal of this study was to evaluate sediment reduction effects of VFS (vegetative filter strip) applied for Iksan area in Saemangeum watershed. This study simulated runoff and sediment load from different types of uplands using VFSMOD-W. The general upland characteristics of the study area was investigated to build reasonable scenarios of the simulation. The simulation scenarios were designed by various areas, shapes, and slopes of uplands. Grass mixture was selected as VFS vegetation and the size of VFS was fixed as 10 % of uplands area. Additionally 50mm, 100mm, 150mm of daily rainfall were applied for the runoff and sediment simulation. As results, the calculated runoff and sediment loads were obtained $20.7{\sim}1,030.6m^3$ and 568.4~675,731.4 kg for the range of 0.1~1.0 ha of uplands with 7 % and 15 % slopes. The reduction effects on runoff and sediment were obtained 5~10 % and 21.0~47.7 % respectively from VFS applications. The VFSMOD-W simulations showed that runoff tended to increase as upland area and amount of rainfall increased while sediment increased when slope, length and area of uplands and amount of rainfall increased. These results indicated that rainfall amount and upland size are the critical factors for the generation of runoff and sediment load. In order to support this conclusion, further studies such as, long term monitoring, field experiments, and to calibrate and evaluate the model are necessary.