• Journal of Korea Trade
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• v.24 no.7
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• pp.93-106
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• 2020

Purpose - This paper aims to examine the environmental effects of South Korean foreign trade, and the changing relationship between industrial "three wastes" emissions and foreign trade. Design/methodology - Based on time series data of South Korean foreign trade and industrial "three wastes" from 2009 to 2019, a VAR model was used to analyze the long-term internal links and dynamic changes between foreign trade and environmental pollution. Findings - Variance decomposition analysis shows that for the three types of pollutants, self-impact contributes the most to the variance decomposition. It follows that South Korean foreign trade has a certain negative impact on the environment, and this impact has a certain sustainability. Originality/value - This paper contributes to the study on the relationship between foreign trade and environmental pollution. It theoretically proposes a coordinated development path for foreign trade development and green development based on the environmental impact of foreign trade, to provide a reference for the development of collaborative promotion.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• v.30 no.2
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• pp.209-219
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• 2022

The determination for bearing capacity of precast nodular piles is conventionally time-consuming and high-cost by using numerous experiments and empirical methods. This study proposes an intelligent method to evaluate the bearing capacity and shaft resistance of the nodular piles with high efficiency based on long short-term memory (LSTM) approach. A series of field tests are first designed to measure the axial force, shaft resistance and displacement of the combined nodular piles under different loadings, in comparison with the single pre-stressed high-strength concrete piles. The test results confirm that the combined nodular piles could provide larger ultimate bearing capacity (more than 100%) than the single pre-stressed high-strength concrete piles. Both the LSTM-based method and empirical methods are used to calculate the shift resistance of the combined nodular piles. The results show that the LSTM-based method has a high-precision estimation on shaft resistance, not only for the ultimate load but also for the working load.

• Asia Marketing Journal
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.65-82
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• 2019

This study examines the relationship between social media advertisement and customer interest in the context of luxury brands. Further, this study investigates the effective ways to utilize visual types (pictorial advertisement and video advertisement) and contents types (website link and hash-tag) in social media advertising by proposing a time-series model to estimate the long-term effect of social media advertising on social search. We find that the pictorial advertisements are more effective than video advertisements, which provides a different result from previous existing research. In addition, advertisements using hashtags are more effective than web links due to efficiency of the search feature. Finally, since the number of brand fans also have a positive effect on advertising interest, it is essential to utilize social media advertising for the enhancement of customers' interests. Confirming that the effectiveness of social media advertising varies depending on how the visual contents and text are presented, this research can help marketing managers to assess predicted outcomes of using various methods of social media advertising.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2022.11a
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• pp.539-540
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• 2022

본 논문에서는 정확한 장기 시계열 예측을 위해 시계열 데이터의 다양한 스케일 (시간 규모)에서 표현을 학습하는 트랜스포머 모델을 제안한다. 제안하는 모델은 시계열의 다중 스케일 특징을 추출하고, 이를 트랜스포머에 반영하여 예측 시계열을 생성하는 구조로 되어 있다. 스케일 정규화 과정을 통해 시계열의 전역적 및 지역적인 시간 정보를 효율적으로 융합하여 종속성을 학습한다. 3 가지의 다변량 시계열 데이터를 이용한 실험을 통해 제안하는 방법의 우수성을 보인다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2023.11a
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• pp.1230-1233
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• 2023

최근, 65세 이상의 1인 가구가 급증함에 따라 노인을 대상으로 한 다양한 연구 및 서비스가 활발히 이루어지고 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 시계열 센서 데이터를 이용하여 CNN-LSTM 기반의 노인 활동 인식 시스템을 제안한다. 수집된 데이터는 3축 가속도 센서가 내장된 2개의 디바이스를 등과 허벅지에 부착하였다. 수집 주기는 50hz로 진행되었으며, 각 행동은 2초를 기준으로 산정하였다. 학습데이터의 입력값으로 사용하기 위해, 슬라이딩 윈도우를 50%로 적용하여 시퀀스를 구성하였다. 모델은 특징을 반영하기 위한 CNN(Convolutional Neural Networks)과 시계열적 특성을 반영하기 위한 LSTM(Long-Short Term Memory)을 하이브리드한 1차원 형태의 CNN-LSTM 모델을 사용한다. 행동은 4가지로 분류하였으며, 97%의 정확도를 나타내고 있다.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.631-646
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• 2013

This paper empirically explores the pattern of causality between bank lending and housing prices in Korea over a period of the early 1990s to the end of 2000s by employing a long term cointegration and short-term time series regression analysis. Although the contemporaneous correlation between bank lending and housing prices is large, the analysis shows that the intense interaction between credit growth and bank lending to household arises from a growth in banking lending responding to an increase in housing prices. In addition, the regulatory change such as the introduction of financial constraints on bank loans such as LTV and DTI in the early and mid-2000s has played a significant role in stabilizing financial and real estate markets.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• v.39 no.2
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• pp.159-170
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• 2021

Concrete filled steel tubes (CFSTs) are extensively used in a variety of structures due to their structural and economic advantages over other types of structures. Considerable research has been conducted with regards to their short-term behaviour, and very limited studies have focused on their long-term behaviour. In this study, a series of tests were carried out on high strength squat (short) CFSTs and concrete cylinders under controlled conditions of temperature and humidity to better understand their time dependent behaviour. A number of parameters were investigated including the influence of steel and concrete bond, confinement, level of sustained load and sizes of specimens. The results revealed that creep strains increased by more than 40% if there was no bonding between steel tube and concrete core. As expected, creep and shrinkage of concrete inside a steel tube were significantly less than those developed in exposed concrete. At the end of a creep period of six months, all the specimens were tested to failure to observe the influence of sustained loads on the ultimate strength. It was found that creep does not have a major effect on the strength of short CFSTs in the specific experimental study conducted here, which was less than 2.5%.

• Journal of the Korean Medical Association
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• v.61 no.12
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• pp.749-755
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• 2018

Particulate matter is an air pollutant emitted from both natural and anthropogenic sources, and its adverse health effects have been well documented in time-series analyses and cohort studies. The effect size of particulate matter exposure-a roughly 0.5% increase in mortality for each $10{\mu}g/m^3$ increment of short-term exposure to particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ${\leq}10{\mu}m$ and approximately a 10% increase for each $10{\mu}g/m^3$ increment of long-term exposure to particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ${\leq}2.5{\mu}m$-is small compared to other risk factors, but the exposure is involuntary and affects the entire population, which makes particulate matter pollution an important public health issue. The World Health Organization and Korean government have both established guidelines for particulate matter concentrations, but the Korean guideline is less stringent than that of the World Health Organization. The annual mean concentration of particulate matter in Korea is decreasing, but the trend seems to be slowing. In addition to policy efforts to reduce particulate matter emission, personal approaches such as the use of face masks and air purifiers have been recommended. Personal approaches may not solve the fundamental problem, but can provide temporary mitigation until efforts to reduce emission make progress.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• v.40 no.4
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• pp.271-280
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to examine the causal relationship among oil consumption, oil-tanker accidents, and economic growth, and to derive policy implications from the results. Therefore, this paper attempts to analyze the short term, long term, and strong causality factors pertaining to the relationship between oil consumption, oil-tanker accidents, and economic growth in Korea using time-series techniques and annual data for the 1984-2016 period. Tests for unit roots, co-integration, and Granger-causality based on an error-correction model are presented. The results show that bidirectional causality exists between oil consumption and oil-tanker accidents, between economic growth and oil consumption, and between oil-tanker accidents and economic growth. The study shows that oil was used as a core energy source during the rapid economic growth of Korea in the past, and that this caused the number of oil-tanker accidents to rise as oil consumption increased.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.643-651
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• 2021

This study aims to determine the response of regional economic growth to the financial performance of regional economies in regard to the liquidity conditions, saving-investment gaps, trade openness, inflation, as well as the national economic growth. The basic logic theory of research uses the principles of open economics and financial intermediary systems. The data used in this study are secondary data, and the form of data is a quarterly time series for the period from 2008 to 2019. The data were obtained from various publications, such as the Central Statistics Agency (CSA), Regional Financial Economics Statistics (RFES), Indonesian Banking Statistics (IBS), and the Financial Services Authority (FSA). Data processing was done through VAR/VECM analysis; short-term and long-term equilibrium analyses were carried out. The results of the analysis illustrate that regional economic growth and the conditions of liquidity, saving-investment gaps, trade openness, inflation, and national economic growth are related and lead to significant impact variations in the provinces of Papua and West Papua. In conclusion, the findings of this research support the leading supply hypothesis and reformulate the strategy and policy of economic development, bearing in mind that there are still many underdeveloped districts in these two provinces.