• Publications of The Korean Astronomical Society
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• v.30 no.2
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• pp.433-437
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• 2015

We show the results of a time series analysis of the long-term light curves of four blazars. 3C 279, 3C 345, 3C 446, and BL Lacertae. We used densely sampled light curves spanning 32 years at three frequency bands (4.8, 8, 14.5 GHz), provided by the University of Michigan Radio Astronomy Observatory monitoring program. The spectral indices of our sources are mostly flat or inverted (-0.5 < ${\alpha}$ < 0), which is consistent with optically thick emission. Strong variability was seen in all light curves on various time scales. From the analyses of time lags between the light curves from different frequency bands and the evolution of the spectral indices with time, we find that we can distinguish high-peaking flares and low-peaking flares according to the Valtaoja et al. classification. The periodograms (temporal power spectra) of the light curves are in good agreement with random-walk power-law noise without any indication of (quasi-)periodic variability. We note that random-walk noise light curves can originate from multiple shocks in jets. The fact that all our sources are in agreement with being random-walk noise emitters at radio wavelengths suggests that such behavior is a general property of blazars. We are going to generalize our approach by applying our methodology to a much larger blazar sample in the near future.

• New & Renewable Energy
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• v.5 no.3
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• pp.13-21
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• 2009

National wind atlas of Korea requires effective database management because it has been constructed by 5-year long-term time-series numerical wind simulation. Therefore, database of the national wind map has been developed to increase data structure efficiency using IDL scientific programming language which has outstanding feature in mega-capacity numerical dataset. Visualization module also has been developed under IDL environment and it is anticipated to maximize post processing efficiency and applicability of the national wind map especially in the standing points of researchers and developers.

• Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.243-251
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• 2010

Evapotranspiration and rainfall-runoff are the major components of hydrological cycle and thereby the changes of them can directly affect the wetness/dryness or runoff characteristics of basins. In this study the wetness/dryness in Geum river basin are classified by dint of cumulative probability density function of monthly moisture index and the long term changes of them are analyzed based on climatic water balance concept. The drought events in Geum river basin are selected through evaluation of monthly moisture index and the various hydrological properties of them are investigated in detail. Also the trends of time-series of climatic water balance components are examined by Seasonal Kendall test and the variability of hydrological cycle in Geum river basin during the recent decade is inquired. It is judged that the results of this study can be contributed to establishment of the counter plan against the future drought events as the fundamental information.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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• v.50 no.4
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• pp.502-510
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• 2014

This study aimed to analyze the relationship between catch amount and market price of sandfish for improvement of fishing revenues and effective fisheries management. By estimating the sandfish price function by fishery, the study tried to investigate changes of prices by catch amount as well as changes of fishing revenues by catch amount and price. Results showed that time series data on catch and price were estimated to be non-stationary from unit root tests, but long-term equilibrium relations between catch amount and price were found from a cointegration analysis. Results of regression analyses indicated that the catch amount would have negative impacts on prices of sandfish in both coastal gillnet and danish seine fisheries.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.1012-1016
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• 2009

수자원 시스템 거동예측은 수문학적 지속성여부에 대한 판단이 선행 되어야 하며 가용한 시계열자료에 대한 추계학적 분석을 통하여 실시하여야 한다. 본 연구에서는 계절형 ARIMA모형을 통한 안동댐 유역의 강우량, 증발산량 및 유출량 시계열자료를 예측함에 있어 전형적인 Box-jenkins의 방법을 따랐고 모형의 식별, 추정, 검진의 3단계를 거쳐 모형화 하였다. 최적 수문시계열 예측 모형을 통하여 안동댐 유역의 강우량, 증발산량 및 유출량 시계열자료로 월별 수문시스템 거동을 예측하였으며, 예측된 결과를 토대로 TANK모형과 ARIMA+TANK결합모형에 의한 장기유출모의를 실시하였다. 분석결과 관측자료의 특성을 비교적 잘 반영 하였으며, 댐 유입량 예측을 위한 추계학적 결합모형의 적용가능성을 검토하였다. 이는 유출량자료의 보유년한이 짧은 대상유역에 월강우량과 증발산량자료 등의 수문시계열 인자 예측을 통한 유출을 모의함으로서 수자원의 중 장기 전략수립에 도움을 줄 것으로 사료된다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.525-540
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• 2000

Characteristics of precipitation in Seoul have been examined by using long-term observational data. Precipitation records from modern rain gauges were used for 1908-1996, together with the traditional Korean rain gauge (called Chukwookee) observations for 1777-1907. A linear trend analysis of seasonal total rainfall shows no significant trends over the last 200 years A wavelet transform analysis was performed to figure out the transient variations of precipitation.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.37 no.4
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• pp.297-303
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• 2011

Major ports in Northeastern Asia engage in fierce competition to attract transshipment traffic volume. Existing time series analyses for analyzing port competition relationships examine the types of competition and relations through the signs of coefficients in cointegration equations using the transshipment traffic volume results. However, there are cases for which analyzing competing relationships is not possible based on the results of the transshipment traffic volume data differences and limitations in the forecasting of traffic volume. Accordingly, we used the Lotka-Volterra (L-V) model,also known as the ecosystem competitive relation model, to analyze port competition relations for the long-term forecast of South Korean transshipment traffic volume.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.10 no.3
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• pp.459-474
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• 2008

Under violent competition to secure international raw materials, safe supply and demand of crude oil that only relies on import among main raw materials is an important task for Korean economic development. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the impact of price change of international crude oil on merchandise balance. It also presents political suggestions in preparation for national economic development and safety and develops an organized and long-term overseas resources development program. As the time-series data which had the 1st difference contribute to dismissal of the null hypothesis successfully, we carry out a multivariate cointegration test developed by Johansen (1988) and find that at least one cointegration vector exists. And, when Impulse Response Function is introduced, as the crude oil import price shows a negative impact from Step 2, then an extreme change, a positive impact since Step 13, is maintained and a safe result appears.

• Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.30 no.4
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• pp.117-126
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• 1988

This paper attempts to characterize general tendency in water level fluctuations at paddy fields, that may be important to efficient irrigation water uses Banweol district was chosen to be the study area, and water levels among irrigation practice parameters were measured daily throughout the irrigation periods of 1985-1986. Time series analyses showed that water levels at fields have strong serial correlationships. A rather long term periodicity was also observed from spectral analyses. Correlationships between water levels at adjacent fields ranged 0.4-0.9, indicating wide variations in irrigation practices. The water levels showed little correlationships with meteorological factors like evapotranspiration, nor with irrigation practices like water supply rates. Standard errors of the average water levels were computed for different number of field plots within a block. The results indicated that low level areal coverage of gauging plots may be applied for field monitoring of daily water level fluctuations.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.60 no.2
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• pp.301-312
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• 2016

In a concrete member under pure tension, the stress in concrete is uniformly distributed over the whole concrete section. It is supposed that a local bond failure occurs at each crack, and there is a relative slip between steel and surrounding concrete. The compatibility of deformation between the concrete and reinforcement is thus not maintained. The bond transfer length is a length of reinforcement adjacent to the crack where the compatibility of strain between the steel and concrete is not maintained because of partially bond breakdown and slip. It is an empirical measure of the bond characteristics of the reinforcement, incorporating bar diameter and surface characteristics such as texture. Based on results from a series of previously conducted long-term tests on eight restrained reinforced concrete slab specimens and material properties including creep and shrinkage of two concrete batches, the ratio of final bond transfer length after all shrinkage cracking, to THE initial bond transfer length is presented.