• 제목/요약/키워드: Long-Term Growth

검색결과 1,388건 처리시간 0.031초

압열인장시험을 이용한 화강암의 지연파괴특성 및 장기안정성 평가 (Estimation of the Characteristics of Delayed Failure and Long-term Strength of Granite by Brazilian Disc Test)

  • 정용복;천대성;박의섭;박찬;이윤수;박철환;최병희
    • 터널과지하공간
    • /
    • 제24권1호
    • /
    • pp.67-80
    • /
    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 임계하균열성장 변수를 구하기 위해 제안된 Wilkins의 시험법을 압열인장시험과 결합하여 화강암의 인장강도, Mode I 파괴인성과 임계하균열성장지수를 동시에 구하였으며 이를 사용하여 암석의 장기거동을 평가하였다. 또한 내부압력을 받는 압축공기저장(CAES) 공동에 대한 장기안정성을 수치해석코드인 FRACOD를 사용하여 해석하였다. 시험 결과 화강암의 임계하균열성장지수(n)는 29.39로 결정되었으며 5 ~ 6 MPa의 내압은 저장공동의 장기안정성에 큰 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 시험 과정에서 측정한 미소파괴음을 분석한 결과 암석내의 미소균열 생성 및 전파에 따른 암석의 손상을 정량적으로 기술할 수 있었다. 만약, 실내와 동일한 조건으로 현장에서 AE 모니터링을 수행할 경우 AE 모니터링을 통해서 하중을 받는 암석의 현재 상태를 정량적으로 평가하는 것이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

가족구성형태의 변화가 주택용 부하의 장기 전력수요예측에 미치는 영향 분석 (The Effect of Changes of the Housing Type on Long-Term Load Forecasting)

  • 김성열
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제64권9호
    • /
    • pp.1276-1280
    • /
    • 2015
  • Among the various statistical factors for South Korea, the population has been steadily decreased by lower birthrate. Nevertheless, the number of household is constantly increasing amid population aging and single life style. In general, residential electricity use is more the result of the number of household than the population. Therefore, residential electricity consumption is expected to be far higher for decades to come. The existing long-term load forecasting, however, do not necessarily reflect the growth of single and two-member households. In this respect, this paper proposes the long-term load forecasting for residential users considering the effect of changes of the housing type, and in the case study the changes of the residential load pattern is analyzed for accurate long-term load forecasting.

Determinants of Economic Growth in Indonesia: A Dynamic Panel Model

  • BASUKI, Agus Tri;PURWANINGSIH, Yunastiti;SOESILO, Albertus Maqnus;MULYANTO, Mulyanto
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제7권11호
    • /
    • pp.147-156
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the effect of public spending, macroeconomic variables, and BPK opinion on economic growth. This study is motivated by the inequality of fiscal policy effectiveness between regions in Indonesia in influencing the economic growth of different regions, the ability of local governments to attract foreign investors, and the transparency of regional financial management in designing development programs to encourage regional economic growth. The analytical tool in this study is a dynamic panel regression model with data from 2008 to 2017. The results of this study show that, in the short term, the population affects regional economic growth, while in the long term, the economic growth is affected by the number of people, the poor, General Allocation Fund, health budget, foreign investment and BPK opinion. The findings of this study are that in the long term the General Allocation Fund becomes an obstacle to economic growth, this is because the general allocation funds is widely used to cover the lack of funds for routine regional activities, thereby reducing activities for development programs. Another research finding is that fiscal policies carried out by local governments make a small and ineffective contribution to promoting economic growth.

Relationships between Inbound Tourism, Financial Development, and Economic Growth: An Empirical Study of Fujian Province, China

  • An Lin, LIU;Yong Cen, LIU
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제10권2호
    • /
    • pp.213-222
    • /
    • 2023
  • This paper mainly studies the relationship between financial development, inbound tourism development, and economic growth rate in Fujian Province, China. This study uses the data of real GDP, foreign exchange income from international tourism, and financial interrelations ratio from 1994 to 2019. In the analysis process, the Johansen cointegration test is first used to analyze whether the three have a long-term equilibrium relationship. Then the vector error correction model is established to test the restrictive relationship among the three. Next, the Granger causality test assesses whether the three have a causal relationship. Finally, the contribution rate of the three is analyzed by variance decomposition. The above methods show the following conclusions: first, the three have a long-term equilibrium relationship. Secondly, in the short term, local economic growth is constrained by inbound tourism and financial development. Thirdly, there is a causal relationship between economic growth and inbound tourism in Fujian, while there is a unidirectional causal relationship between financial development and economic growth, financial development, and inbound tourism. Fourthly, the contribution rate of inbound tourism to economic growth fluctuations in Fujian is higher than that of financial development.

"도서관연구소" 중장기 발전방안 연구 (A Study of Long-term Development Plan of Korea Research Institute for Library and Information)

  • 윤희윤
    • 한국도서관정보학회지
    • /
    • 제39권2호
    • /
    • pp.5-27
    • /
    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 "도서관연구소"의 중장기 발전방안을 제시하는데 목적이 있다. 이를 위하여 주요 외국의 도서관연구 및 관련기구를 분석하여 시사점을 도출하였으며, 또한 도서관연구소를 SWOT 분석하고, 문헌정보학 분야의 교수를 상대로 도서관연구소의 바람직한 역할과 위상에 대한 인식도를 조사하였다. 이를 바탕으로 도서관연구소의 비전과 목표, 전략적 추진과제, 바람직한 위상과 조직체계, 중장기 성장 발전 모형, 내적 운영협력 및 대외 연구협력 체계 등을 제안하였다.

  • PDF

구례 왕벚나무 가로수의 조기낙엽 진단 및 친환경적 관리 방법 (Diagnosis and management of the early defoliation of Korean flowering cherry in Gurye)

  • 한아름;진선덕;정길상;원호연;이영상;손세환;최성훈;강혜진;이일환;한아름
    • 환경생물
    • /
    • 제37권4호
    • /
    • pp.682-689
    • /
    • 2019
  • 이 연구에서는 주요 가로수인 왕벚나무를 대상으로 구례지역의 조기낙엽 현황 진단을 위해 제주도와 낙엽비율 비교연구를 진행하였고, 구례군에서 수행가능한 주요 가로수 관리방법을 두 가지로 구분하여 관리방법별 조기낙엽 지연효과와 피해를 규명하여 최적관리방법을 도출하였다. 구례지역은 기상청 단풍시기와 낙엽시기가 유사한 제주도 지역보다 같은 시기 낙엽비율이 높았고, 약제처리, 약제와 관수처리를 진행했을 때 구멍병이 방제되어 낙엽 시기가 2주 지연되었다. 조기낙엽은 왕벚나무의 생장과 개화에 영향을 미쳤으며, 약제와 관수처리를 진행한 관리방법에서 생장이 가장 높았고, 2년 뒤 개화량이 가장 높은 것으로 추정되었다. 따라서 왕벚나무 가로수의 조기낙엽을 지연시키기 위해 구멍병 방제가 중요하고, 조기낙엽이 수관의 발달과 개화량에 영향을 미칠 수 있으므로 약제와 관수처리를 함께 처리하는 관리방법을 도입하는 것이 필요할 것으로 생각된다.

The Contribution of External Debt to Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation in Indonesia

  • SUIDARMA, I Made;YASA, I Nyoman Arta
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제8권10호
    • /
    • pp.11-17
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study aims to know the contribution of external debt to Indonesia's economic growth. The data used a source from the Central Bank of Indonesia from 2011 to 2020. This empirical study uses a quantitative approach with Error Correction Model as the regression method. Government expenditure, government revenue, export, import, inflation, and exchange rate are control variables. The result of the descriptive statistic shows economic growth in Indonesia increased gradually from 2011 to 2020. The increase in economic growth occurred regardless of the contribution of external debt. It does, however, inform the public that Indonesia's economic system has seen successful investments. The result of the study is classified into long-term and short-term. External debt contributes to growth in the long term and has a significant impact. The study's findings will give Indonesia optimism that it can manage external debt as a source of domestic investment. This research may also persuade Indonesia to maintain its economic potency in the future. In the future, this research can be perfected, by adding a threshold level on the amount of Indonesia's external debt.

CREEP-FATIGUE CRACK GROWTH AND CREEP RUPTURE BEHAVIOR IN TYPE 316 STAINLESS STEELS- EFFECT OF HOLD TIME AND AGING TREATMENT

  • Mi, J.W.;Won, S.J.;Kim, M.J.;Lim, B.S.
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
    • /
    • 제1권2호
    • /
    • pp.71-77
    • /
    • 2000
  • High temperature materials in service are subjected to mechanical damage due to operating load and metallurgical damage due to operating temperature. Therefore, when designing or assessing life of high temperature components, both factors must be considered. In this paper, the effect of tensile hold time on high temperature fatigue crack growth and long term prior thermal aging heat treatment on creep rupture behavior were investigated using STS 316L and STS 316 austenitic stainless steels, which are widely used for high temperature components like in automotive exhaust and piping systems. In high temperature fatigue crack growth tests using STS 316L, as tensile hold time increased, crack growth rate decreased in relatively short tensile hold time region. In long term aged specimens, cavity type microcracks have been observed at the interface of grain boundary and coarsened carbide.

  • PDF

무선인식 유통정보기술 투자가 장기 주가수익률에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (Long Term Impact of Distribution Information Technology Investment on Firm Value)

  • 손삼호
    • 유통과학연구
    • /
    • 제17권3호
    • /
    • pp.69-83
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose - This paper investigates the long term impact of RFID investment on firm value in Korea. We wand to find out why the long term performance of some firm's RFID investment is better than others. To understand the dynamics of the long term returns from RFID investment announcements, we divide our events into groups for each of the independent firm characteristic variable such as investment time period, kind of markets, industries, solvency and growth potential. We composed portfolios based on the RFID investment announcement date for each group and evaluate the monthly abnormal excess returns. Research design, data, and methodology - Based on these calendar-time portfolios, we measure the long term returns from 86 RFID investment announcements of 46 firms from 2003 to 2017. We construct the calendar-time portfolio for 3, 6, 9, 12 months of holding periods. Using the weighted least squares method, we regress the raw monthly returns of the portfolios on the Fama-French model and Carhart(1997) model. As a result, we can get the estimated risk adjusted mean monthly abnormal excess return αP for each of the calendar-time portfolio. Results - We found that early adopters, large firms, non-manufacturing firms have very significant excess returns. We also found modestly significant excess returns for financially stable firms and slow growing firms. Put together, top managers of the firms which plan to invest RFID should understand the strategic role of RFID adoption and the generalized business process of distribution information technology investment in Korea. Moreover, the findings of this paper provide useful trading strategies to the managers of large funds who are considering on investing in RFID adopting firms. Conclusions - Put together, the results of this paper give us a new insight into how the RFID and IT technology in general and other characteristic factors' interactions affect the long term performance of firms. Using the unbiased estimates of long term returns of the calendar-time portfolios, this paper extends the understandings on short term impact of RFID adoption of existing studies. This paper also extends the current understandings of firm characteristics that affect the long term performance of RFID adopting firms.

주식분할 공시에 대한 장·단기 효과: 결정요인 분석을 중심으로 (Short- and Long-Term Effects of Stock Split Disclosure: Exploring Determinants)

  • 이진훤;김경순
    • 아태비즈니스연구
    • /
    • 제14권1호
    • /
    • pp.73-91
    • /
    • 2023
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to re-examine the disclosure effect of stock splits and long-term performance after stock splits using stock split data over the past 10 years, and infer the motivation (signal or opportunism) of stock splits. In addition, we focus on exploring the determinants of the short- and long-term market response to stock splits. Design/methodology/approach - We measure the short-term market response to a stock split and the long-term stock performance after the stock split announcement using the event study method. We analyze whether there is a difference in the long-term and short-term market response to a stock split according to various company characteristics through univariate analysis and regression analysis. Findings - In the case of the entire sample, a statistically significant positive excess return is observed on the stock split announcement date, and the excess return during the 24-month holding period after the stock split do not show a difference from zero. In particular, the difference between short-term and long-term returns on stock splits is larger in companies with a large stock split ratio, small companies, large growth potential, and companies with a combination of financial events after a stock split. Research implications or Originality - The results of this study suggest that at least the signal hypothesis for a stock split does not hold in the Korean stock market. On the other hand, it suggests that there is a possibility that a stock split can be abused by the manager's opportunistic motive, and that this opportunism can be discriminated depending on the size of the stock split, corporate characteristics, and financing plan.