• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long-Term Experiment

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이전 가격 트렌드가 낙관적 예측에 미치는 영향 (The Effect of Prior Price Trends on Optimistic Forecasting)

  • 김영두
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제9권10호
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study examines when the optimism impact on financial asset price forecasting and the boundary condition of optimism in the financial asset price forecasting. People generally tend to optimistically forecast their future. Optimism is a nature of human beings and optimistic forecasting observed in daily life. But is it always observed in financial asset price forecasting? In this study, two factors were focused on considering whether the optimism that people have applied to predicting future performance of financial investment products (e.g., mutual fund). First, this study examined whether the degree of optimism varied depending on the direction of the prior price trend. Second, this study examined whether the degree of optimism varied according to the forecast period by dividing the future forecasted by people into three time horizon based on forecast period. Research design, data, and methodology - 2 (prior price trend: rising-up trend vs falling-down trend) × 3 (forecast time horizon: short term vs medium term vs long term) experimental design was used. Prior price trend was used between subject and forecast time horizon was used within subject design. 169 undergraduate students participated in the experiment. χ2 analysis was used. In this study, prior price trend divided into two types: rising-up trend versus falling-down trend. Forecast time horizon divided into three types: short term (after one month), medium term (after one year), and long term (after five years). Results - Optimistic price forecasting and boundary condition was found. Participants who were exposed to falling-down trend did not make optimistic predictions in the short term, but over time they tended to be more optimistic about the future in the medium term and long term. However, participants who were exposed to rising-up trend were over-optimistic in the short term, but over time, less optimistic in the medium and long term. Optimistic price forecasting was found when participants forecasted in the long term. Exposure to prior price trends (rising-up trend vs falling-down trend) was a boundary condition of optimistic price forecasting. Conclusions - The results indicated that individuals were more likely to be impacted by prior price tends in the short term time horizon, while being optimistic in the long term time horizon.

노인을 위한 스마트 홈 시스템 장기 모니터링 실증 연구 (A Long-term Monitoring Demonstration of Smart Home System for the Elderly)

  • 이지헌;차승현
    • 한국BIM학회 논문집
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.75-90
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    • 2021
  • A smart home system improves the elderly's quality of life by monitoring and analyzing their movements and health conditions with better health-care and social support services. Therefore, there has been an effort to adopt a smart home system for the independently living elderly. However, to the best of our knowledge, no study has investigated the usability of a smart home system on actual independently living elderly housing in long-term settings. Thus, this study aims to demonstrate the usability of a smart home system on independently living elders in living lab conditions. The BLE smart band and the BLE receiver were chosen for the smart home system to monitor the movement of the participants in their homes as well as to monitor the heart rates, step counts, sleep index. Nine independent living elderly from the senior welfare center in Kimjae participated in this living lab demonstration experiment for ten months. This demonstration experiment confirmed the effectiveness of low-cost and easily adoptable IoT-based BLE sensor sets on independent living elders and discussed the troubles and limitations of the experiment. By grasping the pros and cons of IoT-based BLE sensor sets, this study seeks to improve the accessibility and usability of smart home systems for the elderly population in independent living arrangements.

처분환경조건에서 모의 방사성폐기물 붕규산유리고화체의 장기침출률 (Long-term leach rates of simulated borosilicate waste glasses under a repository condition)

  • 전관식;김승수;최종원
    • 한국방사성폐기물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방사성폐기물학회 2003년도 가을 학술논문집
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    • pp.266-269
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    • 2003
  • 심부 처분환경조건에서 붕규산유리고화체의 장기침출거동을 규명하기 위하여 3종의 모의붕규산유리고화체에 대한 장기침출실험이 1997년에 착수되었다. 5년간의 침출결과는 붕소가 본 붕규산유리고화체의 장기침출지표물질로 사용될 수 있음을 확인시켜 주었고, 비록 고화체들의 조성은 약간씩 다르지만 초기 1년여 기간동안의 침출률을 제외한 장기침출률은 S/V에도 무관하게 $0.03g/m^2-day$에 근접함을 보여주고 있다.

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Evaluation of long term shaft resistance of the reused driven pile in clay

  • Cui, Jifei;Rao, Pingping;Wu, Jian;Yang, Zhenkun
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.171-182
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    • 2022
  • Reusing the used pile has not yet been implemented due to the unpredictability of the bearing capacity evolution. This paper presents an analytic approach to estimate the sides shear setup after the dissipation of pore pressure. Long-term evolution of adjacent soil is simulated by viscoelastic-plastic constitutive model. Then, an innovative concept of quasi-overconsolidation is proposed to estimate the strength changes of surrounding soil. Total stress method (α method) is employed to evaluate the long term bearing capacity. Measured data of test piles in Louisiana and semi-logarithmic time function are cited to validate the effectiveness of the presented method. Comparisons illustrate that the presented approach gives a reasonably prediction of the side shear setup. Both the presented method and experiment show the shaft resistance increase by 30%-50%, and this highlight the potential benefit of piles reutilization.

균열을 통한 콘크리트의 염소이온 침투: 실험에서 해석기법까지 (Chloride Ingress through Cracks in Concrete: from Experiment to Modeling Strategy)

  • 윤인석;성재덕
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2010년도 춘계 학술대회 제22권1호
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    • pp.467-468
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    • 2010
  • 염소이온 침투에 의한 콘크리트의 내구성 저하를 고찰하기 위하여 빠른 시간 내에 염소이온의 침투성을 추정할 수 있는 실험 방법론 및 이론적 해석방법이 다수 제안되었으며 이를 고려한 콘크리트의 내구성 설계 시스템의 개발은 활발히 연구되어 왔다. 그러나, 실제 환경에서 공용 중인 대다수의 콘크리트 구조물에는 환경, 하중 조건, 재료 및 시공 상의 이유로 균열이 존재함에도 불구하고, 대부분의 연구들이 비균열된 콘크리트를 대상으로 염소이온 확산계수의 추정 및 염소이온 프로파일의 예측 등에 집중되었다. 그래서 본 연구에서는 콘크리트의 미세균열이 염소이온 침투에 미치는 영향을 고찰하기 위한 연구의 일환으로 장, 단기 침투 실험결과를 고찰하고 이를 토대로 해석기법 개발의 전략을 수립하고자 한다.

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식물성절연유의 가속열화에 따른 장기적 안정성 분석 (Research of Accelerated Aging According to Long-term Stability of Vegetable Oil)

  • 최순호;허창수
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제61권8호
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    • pp.1148-1152
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    • 2012
  • The vegetable-based insulating oils are substitutes for mineral oils in oil-filled transformer. The important properties of vegetable insulating oil is their higher flash/fire point and biodegradability than conventional mineral oils. The large oil-filled transformer eliminate the risk of explosion and fire should the transformer fail and oil ignite owing to high flash/fire point of vegetable insulating oil. In addition, higher biodegradability of vegetable insulating oils can let the oil spill damage reduced. In this experiment, the real oil-filled transformers using mineral oil and vegetable oil have accelerated aging. After working on the 100% accelerated aging experiment were conducted comparing the transformer. The hottest-spot temperature using thermal coefficients were calculated to determin the degree of accelerated aging. As a result, apply mineral oil transformer in accordance with the accelerated aging life come to an end. In contrast, vegetable insulating oils showed the opposite characteristics. Vegetable insulating oil compared to the mineral oil are found to be an long life. As a result, the vegetable oil has a long-term stability.

Fully Implantable Deep Brain Stimulation System with Wireless Power Transmission for Long-term Use in Rodent Models of Parkinson's Disease

  • Heo, Man Seung;Moon, Hyun Seok;Kim, Hee Chan;Park, Hyung Woo;Lim, Young Hoon;Paek, Sun Ha
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제57권3호
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    • pp.152-158
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    • 2015
  • Objective : The purpose of this study to develop new deep-brain stimulation system for long-term use in animals, in order to develop a variety of neural prostheses. Methods : Our system has two distinguished features, which are the fully implanted system having wearable wireless power transfer and ability to change the parameter of stimulus parameter. It is useful for obtaining a variety of data from a long-term experiment. Results : To validate our system, we performed pre-clinical test in Parkinson's disease-rat models for 4 weeks. Through the in vivo test, we observed the possibility of not only long-term implantation and stability, but also free movement of animals. We confirmed that the electrical stimulation neither caused any side effect nor damaged the electrodes. Conclusion : We proved possibility of our system to conduct the long-term pre-clinical test in variety of parameter, which is available for development of neural prostheses.

처분환경조건에서 모의 방사성폐기물 붕규산유리고화체의 장기침출률 (Long-term leach rates of simulated borosilicate waste glasses under a repository condition)

  • 전관식;김승수;최종원
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2003
  • 심부 처분환경조건에서 붕규산유리고화체의 장기침출거동을 규명하기 위하여 3종의 모의붕규산유리고화체에 대한 장기침출실험이 1997년에 착수되었다. 5년간의 침출결과는 붕소가 본 붕규산유리고화체의 장기침출지표물질로 사용될 수 있음을 확인시켜 주었고, 비록 고화체들의 조성은 약간씩 다르지만, 초기 1년여 기간동안의 침출률을 제외한 장기침출률은 S/V에도 무관하게 0.03g/$m^2$-day 에 근접하는 경향을 보여주고 있다.

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액상인산염으로 처리된 납 오염토양 복원의 장기용출 특성 (Long-term Leaching Characteristics of Lead Contaminated Soils treated with Soluble Phosphate)

  • 이의상
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.453-457
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 인산염을 이용하여 오염토양 내 존재하는 납을 불용성 금속인산염으로 고정화시킨 후 자연 상태에서 장기간의 용출특성을 평가하고자 칼럼실험을 수행하였다. 장기용출 실험결과 용출용액 중 납은 거의 검출되지 않았으며 잔류인의 농도도 0.1 mg/L 이하로 나타났다. 이는 납 오염토양에 액상인산염을 주입하여 형성된 hydroxypyromorphite가 장기적으로 안정한 화합물이기 때문으로 사료된다. 장기용출실험 후 칼럼 내 납의 이동특성은 미반응 토양에서는 수직방향으로 이동하는 것으로 나타난 반면에 반응토양에서는 안정한 상태를 유지하고 있었다.

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Long-Term Experiments for Demonstrating Durability of a Concrete Barrier and Gas Generation in a Low-and Intermediate-Level Waste Disposal Facility

  • Kang, Myunggoo;Seo, Myunghwan;Kim, Soo-Gin;Kwon, Ki-Jung;Jung, Haeryong
    • 방사성폐기물학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.267-270
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    • 2021
  • Long-term experiments have been conducted on two important safety issues: long-term durability of a concrete barrier with the steel reinforcements and gas generation from low-and intermediate-level wastes in an underground research tunnel of a radioactive waste disposal facility. The gas generation and microbial communities were monitored from waste packages (200 L and 320 L) containing simulated dry active wastes. In the concrete experiment, corrosion sensors were installed on the steel reinforcements which were embedded 10 cm below the surface of concrete in a concrete mock-up, and groundwater was fed into the mock-up at a pressure of 2.1 bars to accelerate groundwater infiltration. No clear evidence was observed with respect to corrosion initiation of the steel reinforcement for 4 years of operation. This is attributed to the high integrity and low hydraulic conductivity of the concrete. In the gas generation experiment, significant levels of gas generation were not measured for 4 years. These experiments are expected to be conducted for a period of more than 10 years.