• 제목/요약/키워드: Long Term Runoff

검색결과 284건 처리시간 0.027초

제주도 하천에 대한 SWAT 모형의 적응 (Application of SWAT Model on Rivers in Jeju Island)

  • 정우열;양성기
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제17권9호
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    • pp.1039-1052
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    • 2008
  • The SWAT model developed by the USDA-Agricultural Research service for the prediction of rainfall run-off, sediment, and chemical yields in a basin was applied to Jeju Island watershed to estimate the amount of runoff. The research outcomes revealed that the estimated amount of runoff for the long term on 2 water-sheds showed fairly good performance by the long-term daily runoff simulation. The watershed of Chunmi river located the eastern region in Jeju Island, after calibrations of direct runoff data of 2 surveys, showed the similar values to the existing watershed average runoff rate as 22% of average direct runoff rate for the applied period. The watershed of Oaedo river located the northern region showed $R^2$ of 0.93, RMSE of 14.92 and ME of 0.70 as the result of calibrations by runoff data in the occurrence of 7 rainfalls.

유역 유출 예측 시스템 개발 (Development of Rainfall-Runoff forecasting System)

  • 황만하;맹승진;고익환;류소라
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.709-712
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    • 2004
  • The development of a basin-wide runoff analysis model is to analysis monthly and daily hydrologic runoff components including surface runoff, subsurface runoff, return flow, etc. at key operation station in the targeted basin. h short-term water demand forecasting technology will be developed fatting into account the patterns of municipal, industrial and agricultural water uses. For the development and utilization of runoff analysis model, relevant basin information including historical precipitation and river water stage data, geophysical basin characteristics, and water intake and consumptions needs to be collected and stored into the hydrologic database of Integrated Real-time Water Information System. The well-known SSARR model was selected for the basis of continuous daily runoff model for forecasting short and long-term natural flows.

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대청유역 물수지 분석을 위한 장기 유출모의 (Long Term Runoff Simulation for Water Balance at Daecheong Basin)

  • 이상진;김주철;노준우
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제19권10호
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    • pp.1211-1217
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    • 2010
  • For an accurate rainfall-runoff simulation in the river basin, it is important to consider not only evaluation of runoff model but also accurate runoff component. In this study long-term runoffs were simulated by means of watershed runoff model and the amounts of runoff components such as upstream inflow, surface runoff, return flow and dam release were evaluated based on the concept of water budget. SSARR model was applied to Daecheong basin, the upstream region of Geum river basin, and in turn the monthly runoff discharges of main control points in the basin were analyzed. In addition, for the purpose of providing the basic quantified water resources data the conceptual runoff amounts were estimated with water budget analysis and the reliability of the observations and the monthly runoff characteristics were investigated in depth. The yearly runoff ratios were also estimated and compared with the observations. From the results of the main control points, Yongdam, Hotan, Okcheon and Daecheong, the yearly runoff ratios of those points are consistent well with data reported previously.

적설 및 융설의 영향을 고려한 장기유출 모의 (Long-Term Runoff Simulation in Consideration of Snow Pack and Snow Melt)

  • 김대근;정재웅;박재현;박창근
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.265-272
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    • 2007
  • This study uses the SWAT model to analyze the characteristics of long-term runoff at the Ssang-cheon Basin located in the city of Sokcho, which is located in the province of Gangwon. The study considers the effect of snow packing and snow melting in a runoff simulation. In this simulation, the study examines the need to introduce a snow pack and snow melt model to evaluate the water resources of the mountainous region of the Gangwon province. The findings of this study indicate that the runoff hydrograph that was produced approximates the true measured flow when the effect of the snow pack and snow melt are considered, compared to when they are not factored in. The analysis of the flow duration curve indicates that the stream flow largely increases when the effect of the snow pack and snow melt are considered. The wet stream flow was shown to increase by nearly 3% due to the melting effect, while the normal stream flow, low stream flow and drought stream flow were shown to increase by slightly more than 10%. Specifically, it was found that as the stream flow decreases, the effect of the snow pack and snow melt on the stream flow increases.

확률론적 중장기 댐 유입량 예측 (I) 장기유출 해석 (Probabilistic Medium- and Long-Term Reservoir Inflow Forecasts (I) Long-Term Runoff Analysis)

  • 배덕효;김진훈
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.261-274
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 소양강 유역을 대상으로 중장기 확률론적 댐 유입량 예측을 위해 30년 동안의 일단위 장기유출 해석을 수행하였다. 유출모형의 입력자료를 구축하기 위해 Anderson의 융설모형으로 적설에 대한 융설량을 계산하였고, Penman의 혼합기법으로 잠재증발량을 산정하였다. 또한, 기존 TOPMODEL의 적용 유역면적의 제약성을 극복하기 위해 대상유역을 적정 소유역으로 구분하고 운동파 하도홍수 추적기법을 통해 대유역 유출량을 계산할 수 있는 준분포형 TOPMODEL을 활용하였으며, 강수, 융설 및 잠재증발량을 유출모형에 입력하여 장기유출 해석을 수행하였다. 융설량 및 잠재증발량 계산결과는 관측자료의 부재로 그 정량적 평가는 수행할 수 없었지만 최대 적설깊이와 소형접시 증발량 자료와 같은 간접적 자료와의 시간적 변동성은 매우 잘 일치하였다. 이렇게 구축된 입력자료를 바탕으로 저수(1979년), 중수(1999년), 고수(1990년) 유출사상에 대한 모형의 최적 매개변수를 산정하고 준분포형 TOPMODEL의 일단위 장기유출 모의능력을 검토한 결과 계산유량과 관측유량 사이의 유출용적 상대오차가 5.64%, 상관계수가 0.91로 계산되어 비교적 정확한 유출결과를 제시하였고, 융설고려 유무에 따라 3, 4월의 유출용적 상대오차가 17% 및 4%로 감소함으로써 장기유출 계산시 모형의 정확도 향상을 위해 융설모형의 적용이 매우 필요한 것으로 나타났다.

SWAT 모형을 이용한 제주도 하천의 유출량 모의 (Simulation on Runoff of Rivers in Jeju Island Using SWAT Model)

  • 정우열;양성기
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제18권9호
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    • pp.1045-1055
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    • 2009
  • The discharge within the basin in Jeju Island was calculated by using SWAT model, which a Semi-distributed rainfall-runoff model to the important rivers. The basin of Chunmi river of the eastern region of Jeju Island, as the result of correcting as utilizing direct runoff data of 2 surveys, appeared the similar value to the existing basin average runoff rate as 22% of average direct runoff rate for the applied period. The basin of Oaedo river of the northern region showed $R^2$ of 0.93, RMSE of 14.92 and ME of 0.70 as the result of correcting as utilizing runoff data in the occurrence of 7 rainfalls. The basin of Ongpo river of the western region showed $R^2$ of 0.86, RMSE of 0.62 and ME of 0.56 as the result of correcting as utilizing runoff data except for the period of flood in $2002{\sim}2003$. Yeonoae river of the southern region showed $R^2$ of 0.85, RMSE of 0.99 and ME of 0.83 as the result of correcting as utilizing runoff data of 2003. As the result of calculating runoff for the long term about 4 basins of Jeju Island from the above results, SWAT model wholly appears the excellent results about the long-term daily runoff simulation.

미계측 유역의 장기 물수지 분석에 관한 연구 (A Long-Term Water Budget Analysis for an Ungaged River Baisn)

  • 유금환;김태균;윤용남
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 1991
  • 본 연구에서는 월 강우량과 월 증발량 자료만 있는 하천유역에 대하여 장기 물수지 분석을 실시하는 방법론을 제시하고져 하였다. 단기간의 월 강우량 자료를 경혐공식에 의해 월 유출량 자료로 변환시킨 후 추계학적 모의발생 모형을 사용하여 이들 단기 유출자료로부터 일군의 장기 유출자료계열을 발생시켰고, 자료계열별로 갈수빈도해석에 의해 최대 갈수기간 및 월 강수량계열을 작성하였다. 계획년도별 각종 용수수요를 표준절차에 의해 추정하였으며 순 물소모량도 계산하였다. 유역내의 기존 저수지를 총괄하는 합성저수지를 통해 Deficit-Supply 방법으로 물 수지분석을 실시한 결과 물 부족량은 갈수재현기간이 커짐에 따라 급격하게 커지는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 하천 유역의 장기 물 수지분석을 통해 신뢰성있는 물 부족량을 계산하기 위해서는 추계학적 모의발생모형에 의한 장기간 유출량의 발생이 필수적이며 수자원 시스템의 적정 갈수재현기간의 선정이 대단히 중요함을 시사해 주는 것이다.

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HEC-HMS와 HEC-RAS모형의 연계에 의한 댐 유역의 홍수영향 분석 (Flood Effects Analysis of Reservoir Basin through the Linkage of HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS Models)

  • 이원희;김선주;김필식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2004
  • For the effective operation of irrigation reservoirs, a general and systematic policy is suggested to make balance of the conflicting purposes between water conservation and flood control. In this study, the flood effective analysis system was developed through the integration of long-term water budget analysis model, GIS-based HEC-HMS model and HEC-RAS model. The system structure consists of long-term water budget model using modified TANK theory, flood runoff and flood effects analysis model using HEC-GeoHMS, HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS models. The flood effects analysis system simulated the flood runoff from the upstream, downstream flood and long-term runoff of the watershed using the observed data collected from 1998 to 2002 of Seongju dam. The simulated results were reasonably good compared with the observed data. The optimal management method of the reservoir during the whole season is suggested in this study, and the flood analysis system can be a useful tool to evaluate a reservoir operation quantitatively for the mitigation of flood damages of reservoir basin.

산림소유역(山林小流域)의 장(長)·단기(短期) 유출(流出) 해석(解析)을 위(爲)한 강우(降雨)-유출모형(流出模型)의 개발(開發) (Development of Rainfall-Runoff Model for a Long and Short Term Runoff Analysis in Small Forested Mountain Watersheds)

  • 우보명;김재수;이헌호;최형태
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제87권1호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 1998
  • 산림소유역의 유출현상을 정량적으로 분석 평가하기 위한 개념적(槪念的)인 강우(降雨)-유출(流出) 수문모형(水文模型) 개발하기 위한 목적으로 산림소유역에서의 유출성분을 2단의 직렬저류탱크로 구성하고 여기에 산림수관에 의한 차단량과 집중호우 발생시의 지표유출성분을 재현하는 각각 1개씩의 탱크를 조합하여 총 4단의 탱크를 가진 강우-유출모형을 개발하였다. 또한, 본 모형의 적용성을 검증하기 위하여 전남 광양시 소재 서울대 농생대 부속 남부연습림 추산 시험장내 두 개소의 산림소유역을 시험유역으로 선정하고 1994년 1월부터 1996년 8월까지의 실측된 강우량, 유출수량 및 수관차단우량 자료로써 모형의 매개변수의 보정 및 적용성을 검증하였다. 보정 매개변수를 이용한 본 모형의 일유출량 모의발생치를 시험유역의 일별 실측치와 비교한 결과, 두 시험유역에서 모두 장기간 및 단기간에 있어서 실측치와 비교적 정확하게 일치하는 것으로 분석되었다.

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산지유역에 대한 USDAHL-74 유역수문모형의 장기유출 해석적용 (Application of SDAHL-74 Watershed Model to a Long Term Runoff Analysis in the Mountainous Watershed)

  • 권순국;고덕구
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 1987
  • Due to their wide range of application, deterministic comprehensive hydrologic models using digital computers have been developed in all countries of the world and researches are being undertaken for their appropriate applications. The aim of this study has been to demonstrate the practical implementation of a physically based distributed hydrologic model, the USDAHL-74 model and to investigate its ability to simulate the long term estimate of water balance quantities in a Korean mountainous watershed. Application of the model to Dochuk watershed indicates the following results. 1.Since the USDAHL-74 model includes all the major components of the hydrologic cycle in agricultural watersheds, thus is comprehnsive, the model seems to have a wide range of application from the fact that simulation results obtained are not only runoff volumes m various time units but their spatial variation as well as even soil moisture within the watershed. 2.An approximate calibration to determine the parameter values in the model using various data obtained from D0chuk shed shows that the simulation error of yearly runoff volume is only 0.6 % and a correlation coefficient between observed daily runoff volume and simulated one is 0.91 in all calibrated period.3.As a verification test of the model, runoff volumes are simulated using 1986 year data without changing the parameter values determined by 1985 year data. The tests show that the USDAHL-74 model is a flexible tool and that realistic production to simulate the long term estimate of runoff in Korean mountainous watershed could be obtained using only a short period of calibration.4. Despite of the encouraging results, there still remain minor problems concerning the practical application of the model to improve the result of simulations. Some of these are the small descrepancies between observed and simulated daily runoff volume appeared in the vicinity of peaks and the recession of1 the daily hydrographs and the model performance for the frozen ground and melting process in the model. 5. Alough the use of parameter with physical significance and the ability to improve calibrations on the basis of physical reasoning represents advantages in the simulation for ungaged watersheds, further researches are needed to use the USDAHL-74 mode to simulate runoff in ungaged watersheds.

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