• Title/Summary/Keyword: Logit model

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An Application of Multinomial Logit Model to Jongro Corridor Travellers (종로축 출근통행에 대한 "로-짓" 모형의 적용)

  • 원제무
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.103-119
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    • 1984
  • 복잡다기해지는 도시교통문제를 효율적으로 대처하려면 제도시교통정책에 의한 교 통분담율효과를 사전에 추정할 수 있어야 한다. 단기간의 교통분담율효과를 추정하는데 미 국 및 구라파 등지에서 널리 이용되고 있는 모형이 개별교통모형(Disaggregate Travel Demand Model)이다. 본 연구의 목적은 로짓모형(Multinomial Logit Model)을 서울시의 종 로축을 이용하는 출근통행자를 대상으로 실시한 조사결과에 적용하여 매개함수(Parameters) 를 추정함에 있다. 조사는 1980년7월5일부터 7월15일까지 10일간 종로축을 이용하는 통행자 536명에게 실시되었다. 조사실시전 서울시의 교통체계의 특성과 통행자의 행태를 면밀히 분 석하여 적합한 변수를 선정하였다. 여러 가지로 변수와 표본의 변형을 시도한 결과 교통비 용을 소득으로 나눈 변수와 시기시간(OVTT)을 거리로 나눈 변수를 포함한 모형이 가장 논 리적인 것으로 나타났다. 한편 표본은 고소득층과 저소득층으로 구분하여 추정한 모형이 비 교적 만족스러운 결과를 나타내었다. 이는 우리나라 대도시의 경우 소득계층에 따라 교통수 단선택범위가 한정되기 때문이다. 마지막으로 고소득층과 저소득층의 시간가치를 각각 산정 하였는바, 이는 교통시간의 매개변수와 교통비용의 매개변수를 나눔으로서 구해질 수 있다. 시간가치는 고소득층은 910원 저소득층은 582원으로 각각 산출되었다.

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A Generalized Marginal Logit Model for Repeated Polytomous Response Data (반복측정의 다가 반응자료에 대한 일반화된 주변 로짓모형)

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.621-630
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    • 2008
  • This paper discusses how to construct a generalized marginal logit model for analyzing repeated polytomous response data when some factors are applied to larger experimental units as treatments and time to a smaller experimental unit as a repeated measures factor. So, two different experimental sizes are considered. Weighted least squares(WLS) methods are used for estimating fixed effects in the suggested model.

Determinants and Regional Patterns of Parent-child Coresidence among Older Korean Parents, 1985-2005 (노부모-자녀 동거의 결정요인과 지역간 차이, 1985-2005)

  • Kim, Mi-Young;Lee, Seong-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.89-107
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    • 2009
  • The main objective of the present study is to find out which factors affect coresidence between older Korean parents and their adult children and to examine the regional patterns of the phenomenon. The 1980, 1995 and 2005 Korea census data are used to investigate the determinants of two types of parent-child coresidence. The two types are coresidence with married adult children and one with unmarried adult children. The study takes advantage of the multilevel mltinomial logit model, allowing the model to capture regional differences. Findings from the study are: (1) Korean parents' coresidence with their married adult children and one with their unmarried adult children are distinctive in their determinants; (2) variables related to wealth or economic status are positively related with possibilities of both types of coresidence; and (3) considerable regional differences in the possibility of coresidence do exist among regions in Korea.

Social Network Changes of pre- and post- Retirement (중·노년기 은퇴자의 은퇴 전후의 사회적 관계망 변화)

  • Park, Hyunchun;Hong, Jin Hyuk;Choi, Minjae;Kwon, Young Dae;Kim, Jinseok;Noh, Jin-Won
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.753-763
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    • 2014
  • After retirement, retirees are exposed to many changes. But, one of the most influential factor on retirement is Social network. Social network is making various relationships with many people. This consists of functional feature and structure feature. This study to systematically investigate social network changes of pre- and post-retirement by using two features. We utilized 2008~2012 'Longitudinal study of ageing' and selected 1,569 retirees above 45 years old as a final subject. This study used STATA 12.0 program for analysing frequency and descriptive statistic. At first, we analyzed personal characteristics and affecting factor on social network of retirees through Panel logit model and fixed effects regression model. Second, we applied multiple panel logit model and fixed effects model to learn factor affecting employment and social network changes. We found that a number of social activities affects social network in the structure feature and support from sons and daughters also influences social network in the functional feature after retirement.

Analysis of Choice model for EV Charger Types and willingness to pay for Charging Rate based on Logit model (로짓모형을 이용한 전기자동차 충전시설 선택모형 및 충전요금 지불의사 분석 연구)

  • Byun, Wan Hee;Lee, Kihong;Kee, Ho Young
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.56-65
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    • 2013
  • The word is endeavoring to reduce greenhouse gases with the sense of crisis caused by the continuous climate change. As a method to decrease greenhouse gases, motors driven by fossil fuels are being substituted by EV in the field of transportation. Meanwhile, for the spread of EV, charging installations are divided into general charging type and quick charging type. Also, charging amount and time are main factors to decide charging pay. But, because the opportunity coast for the charging time varies depending on the private situations, it is very important to understand exact phenomenon for the spread of EV charging installations and charging pay policy. Therefore this paper suggested the choice model of charging installation and time value in various situations by using Logit model to make clear the relationship between a choice of charging installation, charging time and willingness to pay for charge.

A Study for the Development of Motion Picture Box-office Prediction Model (영화 흥행 결정 요인과 흥행 성과 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Yon-Hyong;Hong, Jeong-Han
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.859-869
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    • 2011
  • Interest has increased in academic research regarding key factors that drive box-office success as well as the ability to predict the box-office success of a movie from a commercial perspective. This study analyzed the relationship between key success factors of a movie and box office records based on movies released in 2010 in Korea. At the pre-production investment decision-making stage, the movie genre, motion picture rating, director power, and actor power were statistically significant. At the stage of distribution decision-making process after movie production, among other factors, the influence of star actors, number of screens, power of distributors, and social media turned out to be statistically significant. We verified movie success factors through the application of a Multinomial Logit Model that used the concept of choice probabilities. The Multinomial Logit Model resulted in a higher level of accuracy in predicting box-office success compared to the Artificial Neural Network and Discriminant Analysis.

Estimation of Interregional Mode Choice Models and Value of Travel Time Accommodating Taste Variation of Individuals (개인의 선호다양성을 고려한 지역간 수단선택 모형 구축 및 시간가치 추정 연구)

  • Cho, Shin-hyung;Seo, Young-hyun;Kho, Seung-young;Rhee, Sung-mo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.288-298
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    • 2017
  • The system of high-speed and conventional railway vehicles is diversified, and significant technological development in performance has been achieved. This study analyzed the modal change characteristics; furthermore, it estimated the value of travel time by improving the travel time and cost for the passenger's perception of railway. In this study, we formulate a mode choice model for passengers and compare it with the mixed logit model which reflects individual taste variation. In addition, the validity of the analysis is presented through an estimation the value of travel time using the derived model. For this purpose, a stated preference survey was conducted with 510 people using public transportation. The benefits of time-saving can be accurately determined by estimating the value of time spent on the railway. Appropriate fares for public transportation can also be estimated.

A Study on Preference Heterogeneity of Economic Valuation for the Washland of Upo Wetland - Development of Waterfront Resources - (우포늪 천변저류지의 경제적 가치평가에 대한 선호이질성 연구 - 수변관광자원의 선택적 개발 -)

  • Yoo, Byong Kook;Kim, Hung Soo;Ju, Dug
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.357-366
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    • 2013
  • This study investigates to explain preference heterogeneity of respondents for economic valuation in washland of Upo wetland using Mixed Logit Model and Latent Class Model. Mixed Logit Model showed respondent heterogeneity in the attributes of wetland area and funds as well as some alternatives violated IIA assumption. 2-class Latent Class Model for respondents were used to explain the sources of the heterogeneity. Class 1 respondents who are located relatively close to Upo wetland had more experience and knowledge of Upo wetland and better understood the information suggested in the questionnaire than class 2 respondents in mostly metropolitan area of Seoul, Incheon.

Analysis of Urban Workers' Travel Pattern Choice Behavior (통근통행자의 통행패턴 선택행태의 분석)

  • 윤대식
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.35-51
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    • 1997
  • The main objective of this research is to develop urban workers' daily travel pattern choice model. For this research, a hovel pattern choice model was empirically estimated by using a survey data collected from Kyongsan and Yeungchun City. For this research, a nested logit model structure was employed. For the model specification, it is hypothesized that urban workers' daily travel pattern choice behavior is represented by two stages of choices with single-destination or multi destination travel pattern choice as the higher stage, and the number of tours as the lower stage. The urban workers' daily travel pattern choice model developed in this research yields intuitively reasonable results. From the empirical results, it is found to be sensible to represent urban workers' daily travel patterns as the nested logit model structure Hypothesized in this research. furthermore, future directions of model development are suggested.

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Development of Scaled Explosion Logit Model Considering Reliability of Ranking Data (SP 순위 자료별 오차를 고려하는 순위로짓 모형 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kang-Soo;Cho, Hye-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.197-206
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    • 2004
  • In ranking data, respondents are required to rank a number of alternatives in order of their preferences and an exploded logit model is generally used. It assumes that each rank contains the same amount of random noise. This study investigates the reliability of ranking data and identifies whether there are different decision rules at each rank stage. The results show that there were differences in the amount of unexplained variation in different ranking stage. A single scaling parameter could not explain the difference of variations of individual coefficients between two ranking data average difference of variations. This paper also investigated the optimal explosion depth in the exploded logit model by using the suggested scaling approach. The scaling approach should be based on particular variables which have different variances rather than based on the whole data set. The empirical analysis show that an explosion depth of 2 is appropriate after scaling the second rank data set, while an explosion including the third rank is inappropriate even though the third rank data set is scaled.