• Title/Summary/Keyword: Logistic Regression Model(LRM)

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Analysis of the Inundation Potential by Elevation for the Land Evaluation in the Potentially Inundated Farms - A Case Study in Ibang-myeon, Changnyeong-gun, Kyungsangnamdo - (상습침수 농경지의 토지평가를 위한 고도별 침수 잠재성 분석 - 경상남도 창녕군 이방면을 대상으로 -)

  • Park In-Hwan;Jang Gab-Sue;Seo Dong-Joe
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.33 no.2 s.109
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 2005
  • A large scale of riverside rearrangement has been recently done in the major rivers in Korea. So inundation possibility in agricultural area closed by these rivers has been higher than the possibility a few years ago. However, land use in this area has not been adjusted to a change of this situation near the rivers. Therefore, when typhoon or heavy rain is happened on this area, it can cause a large damage in agricultural area. This study analyzed inundation potentiality in agricultural area at Ibang-myeon, Changnyeong-gun, Kyeongnam-province, Korea by using the logistic regression model and the piecewise regression model. The first thing we did was to transfer the inundation area per elevation to the accumulated inundation area per elevation. This accumulated inundation area per elevation as an distribution function could be described by the logistic regression model(LRM), and piecewise regression model(PRM) could make it much more accurate to analyze the inundation area per elevation. As a result, the regression models derived from LRM and PRM showed $R^2$ over 0.950. The models derived from LRM and PRM in Ibang-myeon noted that frequently inundated area(FIA) was shown up to 12.12m in elevation, and potentially inundated area(PIA) was shown up to 14.60m in elevation. In FIA, regular agricultural activity would be impossible. And It would be not easy to continue the regular agricultural activity in PIA. So, this land should be rearranged to be used for a buffer zone for ecosystem protection, landscape conservation and things like that in riverside.

Customer Churning Forecasting and Strategic Implication in Online Auto Insurance using Decision Tree Algorithms (의사결정나무를 이용한 온라인 자동차 보험 고객 이탈 예측과 전략적 시사점)

  • Lim, Se-Hun;Hur, Yeon
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2006
  • This article adopts a decision tree algorithm(C5.0) to predict customer churning in online auto insurance environment. Using a sample of on-line auto insurance customers contracts sold between 2003 and 2004, we test how decision tree-based model(C5.0) works on the prediction of customer churning. We compare the result of C5.0 with those of logistic regression model(LRM), multivariate discriminant analysis(MDA) model. The result shows C5.0 outperforms other models in the predictability. Based on the result, this study suggests a way of setting marketing strategy and of developing online auto insurance business.

An Analysis of Environmental Policy Effect on Green Space Change using Logistic Regression Model : The Case of Ulsan Metropolitan City (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 환경정책 효과 분석: 울산광역시 녹지변화 분석을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Sung-Joo;Ryu, Ji-Eun;Jeon, Seong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.13-30
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to analyze the qualitative and quantitative effects of environmental policies in terms of green space management using logistic regression model(LRM). Landsat satellite imageries in 1985, 1992, 2000, 2008, and 2015 are classified using a hybrid-classification method. Based on these classified maps, logistic regression model having a deforestation tendency of the past is built. Binary green space change map is used for the dependent variable and four explanatory variables are used: distance from green space, distance from settlements, elevation, and slope. The green space map of 2008 and 2015 is predicted using the constructed model. The conservation effect of Ulsan's environmental policies is quantified through the numerical comparison of green area between the predicted and real data. Time-series analysis of green space showed that restoration and destruction of green space are highly related to human activities rather than natural land transition. The effect of green space management policy was spatially-explicit and brought a significant increase in green space. Furthermore, as a result of quantitative analysis, Ulsan's environmental policy had effects of conserving and restoring 111.75㎢ and 175.45㎢ respectively for the periods of eight and fifteen years. Among four variables, slope was the most determinant factor that accounts for the destruction of green space in the city. This study presents logistic regression model as a way of evaluating the effect of environmental policies that have been practiced in the city. It has its significance in that it allows us a comprehensive understanding of the effect by considering every direct and indirect effect from other domains, such as air and water, on green space. We conclude discussing practicability of implementing environmental policy in terms of green space management with the focus on a non-statutory plan.