• Title/Summary/Keyword: Load variation rate

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Short-Term Electric Load Forecasting for the Consecutive Holidays Using the Power Demand Variation Rate (전력수요 변동률을 이용한 연휴에 대한 단기 전력수요예측)

  • Kim, Si-Yeon;Lim, Jong-Hun;Park, Jeong-Do;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2013
  • Fuzzy linear regression method has been used for short-term load forecasting of the special day in the previous researches. However, considerable load forecasting errors would be occurring if a special day is located on Saturday or Monday. In this paper, a new load forecasting method for the consecutive holidays is proposed with the consideration of the power demand variation rate. In the proposed method, a exponential smoothing model reflecting temperature is used to short-term load forecasting for Sunday during the consecutive holidays and then the loads of the special day during the consecutive holidays is calculated using the hourly power demand variation rate between the previous similar consecutive holidays. The proposed method is tested with 10 cases of the consecutive holidays from 2009 to 2012. Test results show that the average accuracy of the proposed method is improved about 2.96% by comparison with the fuzzy linear regression method.

The 24 Hourly Load Forecasting of the Election Day Using the Load Variation Rate (부하변동율을 이용한 선거일의 24시간 수요예측)

  • Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.6
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    • pp.1041-1045
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    • 2010
  • Short-term electric load forecasting of power systems is essential for the power system stability and the efficient power system operation. An accurate load forecasting scheme improves the power system security and saves some economic losses in power system operations. Due to scarcity of the historical same type of holiday load data, most big electric load forecasting errors occur on load forecasting for the holidays. The fuzzy linear regression model has showed good accuracy for the load forecasting of the holidays. However, it is not good enough to forecast the load of the election day. The concept of the load variation rate for the load forecasting of the election day is introduced. The proposed algorithm shows its good accuracy in that the average percentage error for the short-term 24 hourly loads forecasting of the election days is 2.27%. The accuracy of the proposed 24 hourly loads forecasting of the election days is compared with the fuzzy linear regression method. The proposed method gives much better forecasting accuracy with overall average error of 2.27%, which improved about average error of 2% as compared to the fuzzy linear regression method.

Even Harmonic Analysis of Series Arc-fault Current Using BPF of GIC Application in Computer (GIC 적용 대역통과필터를 이용한 컴퓨터 부하의 직렬 아크고장 전류 우수고조파 분석)

  • Ko, Won-Sik;Moon, Won-Sik;Bang, Sun-Bae;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.61 no.10
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    • pp.1554-1560
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, the even harmonic current(2nd, 4th, 6th, 8th) of the arc fault current and normal current were measured in computer load and analyzed. The BPF with GIC was developed to detection of harmonic, the exact center frequency and a high degree of sharpness could be easily obtained. The total even harmonic distortion due to series arc fault in computer load was 31.2%, this value was increased 3.9 times better than the total even harmonic distortion of normal current. The results of analysis of arc fault current RMS variation rate and Peak variation rate per half-cycle, The RMS average variation rate are as follows ; the 2nd harmonic was 0.24, the 4th harmonic was 0.15, the 6th harmonic was 0.19, the 8th harmonic was 0.25, respectively. The Peak average variation rate are as follows ; the 2nd harmonic was 0.19, the 4th harmonic was 0.12, the 6th harmonic was 0.13, the 8th harmonic was 0.15, respectively. The results of this analysis utilize data to detect of series arc fault on wiring of computer load.

A Study of Thermal Performance Evaluation Index for Building (건물의 열성능 평가 지표에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Mi-Hyun;Suh, Seung-Jik
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2007
  • This study intends to the adequacy inspection of the room temperature variation rate that is available in the building heat performance evaluation index, so we performed the sensitivity analysis about the room temperature variation rate and the energy consumption in the room. For these purpose, we supposed the models which are composed of the various window area, insulation thickness and ventilation rate. Then we analyzed the simulation using the ESP-r and Seoul weather data. In this research, the pattern of the increasing & decreasing rate of annual load according to the change of the various design factors is similar to the pattern of increasing & decreasing rate of not the K-values but the room temperature variation rate. Also we derive the optimum value of the various design factors and the room temperature variation rate in this analysis model. Further study is to be required the development of convenient tool to use in the real design.

A study on the environmental load of office buildings in Seoul (서울지역 사무소 건물의 환경부하에 관한 연구)

  • 이상형;이윤규;양관섭;안태경;이승언;박효순
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.244-249
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    • 1999
  • This study is to examine the emission rate of $CO_2$gas as the environmental load in office buildings. After the investigation of monthly consumption of each energy source(electricity and natural gas), it is analyzed that the $CO_2$emission rate of 34 office buildings surveyed is 22.4kg-$c/m^2$.year, which consists of 17.5kg-$c/m^2$.year by consuming electricity, and 4.9kg-$c/m^2$.year by consuming natural gas. And the $CO_2$emission rate of each load in those buildings consists of 68% emitted by general electricity, 16% by cooling load and 16% by heating load. It is also proposed that the $CO_2$emission rate of cooling and heating load is profoundly pertinent to the variation of outdoor temperature.

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Seasonal Variation of Pollutant load flowing into Yeong-Il bay (영일만 유입오염부하량의 계절 변동에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Han-Sam;Lee, In-Cheol;Ryu, Cheong-Ro;Park, Jong-Hwa
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.100-107
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    • 2002
  • This study investigates the seasonal variation and spatial distribution characteristics of pollutant load, as executing the quantity valuation of pollutant load inflowing into Yeong-Il bay from on-land including the Hyeong-san river. Annual total pollutant generating rate from Yeong-Il bay region are 202ton to BOD, 620ton to SS, 42ton to T-N, 16ton to T-P respectively, if expressly point out, pollutant generating rate from the Hyeong-san river is the greatest, which BOD ratio is 78.2%, SS 88.5%, T-N 62.5%, T-P 73.1%. As calculating Tank model with input value of daily precipitation and evaporation of 2001 year in drainage basin of the Hyeong-san river, Estimated result of the annual total river discharge effluencing from this river is $830{\times}106m^3$. As result to estimating annual total effluence rate outflowing at the rivers from each drainage basins, annual total inflow pollutant rate are BOD 10,633ton, SS 19,302ton, T-N 15,369ton, T-P 305ton. The III basin which is population congestion region of the Pohang-city drain away a good many pollutant load than the V basin including the Neang-Chun with wide drainage area. Especially, a great many T-N than T-P inflow into Yeong-Il bay. The accumulation of pollutant load effluenced from on-land will happen on at the inner coast region of Yeong-Il bay, finally we would make a prediction that the water quality will take a bad turn.

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Investigating loading rate and fibre densities influence on SRG - concrete bond behaviour

  • Jahangir, Hashem;Esfahani, Mohammad Reza
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.877-889
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    • 2020
  • This work features the outcomes of an empirical investigation into the characteristics of steel reinforced grout (SRG) composite - concrete interfaces. The parameters varied were loading rate, densities of steel fibres and types of load displacement responses or measurements (slip and machine grips). The following observations and results were derived from standard single-lap shear tests. Interfacial debonding of SRG - concrete joints is a function of both fracture of matrix along the bond interface and slippage of fibre. A change in the loading rate results in a variation in peak load (Pmax) and the correlative stress (σmax), slip and machine grips readings at measured peak load. Further analysis of load responses revealed that the behaviour of load responses is shaped by loading rate, fibre density as well as load response measurement variable. Notably, the out-of-plane displacement at peak load increased with increments in load rates and were independent of specimen fibre densities.

Biaxial Compressive Deformation Characteristics of Round Aluminum Pipe (Al 원형관의 2축압축 변형특성에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, C.K.;Kim, K.J.;Won, S.T.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.89-95
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    • 2012
  • To examine the deformation characteristics of round aluminum pipe under biaxial compression, a horizontal biaxial compression die was fabricated. The change of material properties, punch load and deformation behavior were monitored in experiments using various compressive deformation rates in the range of 1mm/min.~400mm/min. The tensile and compressive strains were estimated from Vickers microhardness results. The punch load and deformation characteristic of the round aluminum pipes were found to change greatly at a deformation rate of about 200mm/min. The punch load decreased with increasing compressive deformation rate. Results of numerical simulation using Deform-2D were in good agreement with experimental results, and the measured hardness variation with the strain variation was predicted well by the simulation.

Analysis of Performance and Emissions Characteristics on Gasoline Engine for Hybrid Vehicles with Optimum EGR Rate and the Cylinder Variation of EGR Rate (하이브리드용 가솔린 엔진에서 최적 EGR적용 및 실린더간 편차에 따른 성능 및 배출가스 특성 분석)

  • Park, Cheol-Woong;Choi, Young;Kim, Chang-Gi
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2009
  • EGR(Exhaust gas recirculation) provides an important contribution in achieving the development targets of low fuel consumption and low exhaust emission levels on gasoline engine for hybrid vehicles while allowing stoichiometric fuelling to be retained for applications using the three-way catalysts. However, the occurrence of excessive cyclic variation with high EGR normally prevents substantial fuel economy improvements from being achieved in practice. Therefore, the optimum EGR rate in gasoline engine for hybrid vehicles should be carefully determined in order to achieve low fuel consumption and low exhaust emission. In this study, 2 liters gasoline engine with E-EGR system was used to investigate the effects of EGR with optimum EGR rate on fuel economy, combustion stability, engine performance and exhaust emissions. As the engine load becomes higher, the optimum EGR rate tends to increase. The increase in engine load and reduction in engine speed make the fuel consumption better. The fuel consumption was improved by maximum 5.5% at low speed, high load operating condition. As the simulated EGR variation on a cylinder is increased, due to the increase in cyclic variation, the fuel consumption and emissions characteristics were deteriorated simultaneously. To achieve combustion stability without a penalty in fuel consumption and emissions, the cylinder-to-cylinder variations must be maintained under 10%.

Energy and Air Quality Benefits of DCV with Wireless Sensor Network in Underground Parking Lots

  • Cho, Hong-Jae;Jeong, Jae-Weon
    • International Journal of High-Rise Buildings
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2014
  • This study measured and compared the variation of ventilation rate and fan energy consumption according to various control strategies after installing wireless sensor-based pilot ventilation system in order to verify the applicability of demand-controlled ventilation (DCV) strategy that was efficient ventilation control strategy for underground parking lot. The underground parking lot pilot ventilation system controlled the ventilation rate by directly or indirectly tracking the traffic load in real-time after sensing data, using vehicle detection sensors and carbon monoxide (CO) and carbon dioxide ($CO_2$) sensor. The ventilation system has operated for 9 hours per a day. It responded real-time data every 10 minutes, providing ventilation rate in conformance with the input traffic load or contaminant level at that time. A ventilation rate of pilot ventilation system can be controlled at 8 levels. The reason is that a ventilation unit consists of 8 high-speed nozzle jet fans. This study proposed vehicle detection sensor based demand-controlled ventilation (VDS-DCV) strategy that would accurately trace direct traffic load and CO sensor based demand-controlled ventilation (CO-DCV) strategy that would indirectly estimate traffic load through the concentration of contaminants. In order to apply DCV strategy based on real-time traffic load, the minimum required ventilation rate per a single vehicle was applied. It was derived through the design ventilation rate and total parking capacity in the underground parking lot. This is because current ventilation standard established per unit floor area or unit volume of the space made it difficult to apply DCV strategy according to the real-time variation of traffic load. According to the results in this study, two DCV strategies in the underground parking lot are considered to be a good alternative approach that satisfies both energy saving and healthy indoor environment in comparison with the conventional control strategies.