• Title/Summary/Keyword: Load Prediction Model

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Prediction of Water Quality at the Inlet of Saemangeum Bay by using Non-point Sources Runoff Simulation in the Mankyeong River Watershed (만경강 유역의 비점오염물질 유출모의를 통한 새만금 만 유입부의 수질 예측)

  • Ryu, Bum-Soo;Lee, Chae-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.761-770
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    • 2013
  • This study was carried out to forecast the flow rate and water quality at the inlet of the Saemangeum bay in Korea using the SWMM(Storm Water Management Model) and the WASP(Water Analysis Simulation Program), and to analyze the impacts of pollutant loading from non-point source on the water quality of the bay. The calibration and validation of flow rate and water quality were performed using those from two monitoring points in the Mankyeong river administrated by Korean Ministry of Environment as part of the national water quality monitoring network. When the river flow rate was calibrated and validated using the rainfall intensities during 2011-2012, $R^2$ (i.e., coefficient of determination) was ranged from 0.91 to 0.96. For water qualities, it was shown that $R^2$ of BOD(Biochemical Oxygen Demand) was ranged from 0.56 to 0.86, and $R^2$ of T-N(Total Nitrogen) was from 0.64 to 0.75, and $R^2$ of T-P(Total Phosphorus) was from 0.67 to 0.89. The integrated modeling system showed significant advances in the accuracy to estimate the water quality. Finally, further simulations showed that annual average flow of the river running into the bay was estimated to be $1.439{\times}10^9m^3/year$. The discharged load of BOD, T-N, and T-P into the bay were anticipated to be 618.7 ton/year, 331.5 ton/year, and 40.4 ton/year, respectively.

Multi-dimensional wind vibration coefficients under suction for ultra-large cooling towers considering ventilation rates of louvers

  • Ke, S.T.;Du, L.Y.;Ge, Y.J.;Tamura, Y.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.66 no.2
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    • pp.273-283
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    • 2018
  • Currently, the dynamic amplification effect of suction is described using the wind vibration coefficient (WVC) of external loads. In other words, it is proposed that the fluctuating characteristics of suction are equivalent to external loads. This is, however, not generally valid. Meanwhile, the effects of the ventilation rate of louver on suction and its WV are considered. To systematically analyze the effects of the ventilation rate of louver on the multi-dimensional WVC of ultra-large cooling towers under suctions, the 210 m ultra-large cooling tower under construction was studied. First, simultaneous rigid pressure measurement wind tunnel tests were executed to obtain the time history of fluctuating wind loads on the external surface and the internal surface of the cooling tower at different ventilation rates (0%, 15%, 30%, and 100%). Based on that, the average values and distributions of fluctuating wind pressures on external and internal surfaces were obtained and compared with each other; a tower/pillar/circular foundation integrated simulation model was developed using the finite element method and complete transient time domain dynamics of external loads and four different suctions of this cooling tower were calculated. Moreover, 1D, 2D, and 3D distributions of WVCs under external loads and suctions at different ventilation rates were obtained and compared with each other. The WVCs of the cooling tower corresponding to four typical response targets (i.e., radial displacement, meridional force, Von Mises stress, and circumferential bending moment) were discussed. Value determination and 2D evaluation of the WVCs of external loads and suctions of this large cooling tower at different ventilation rates were proposed. This study provides references to precise prediction and value determination of WVC of ultra-large cooling towers.

Static and Dynamic Analysis of Reinforced Concrete Axisymmetric Shell on the Elastic Foundation -With Application to an Static Behavior Analysis of Axisymmetric Shell- (탄성지반상에 놓인 철근콘크리트 축대칭 쉘의 정적 및 동적 해석 (III) -비선형 정적거동을 중심으로-)

  • 조진구
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.72-82
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    • 1997
  • In all inelastic deformations time rate effects are always present to some degree. Whether or not their exclusion has a significant influence on the prediction of the material behaviour depends upon several factors. In the study of structural components under static loading conditions at normal temperature it is accepted that time rate effects are generally not important. However metals, especially under high temperatures, exhibit simultaneously the phenomena of creep and viscoplasticity. In this study, elastoplastic and elasto-viscoplastic models include nonlinear geometrical effects were developed and several numerical examples are also included to verify the computer programming work developed here in this work. Comparisons of the calculated results, for the elasto-viscoplastic analysis of an internally pressurised thick cylinder under plane strain condition, have shown that the model yields excellent results. The results obtained from the numerical examples for an elasto-viscoplastic analysis of the Nuclear Reinforced Concrete Containment Structure(NRCCS) subjected to an incrementally applied internal pressure were summarized as follows : 1. The steady state hoop stress distribution along the shell layer of dome and dome wall junction part of NRCCS were linearly behave and the stress in interior surfaces was larger than that in exterior. 2.However in the upper part of the wall of NRCCS the steady state hoop stress in creased linearly from its inner to outer surfaces, being the exact reverse to the previous case of dome/dome-wall junction part. 3.At the lower part of wall of NRCCS, the linear change of steady state hoop stress along its wall layer began to disturb above a certain level of load increase.

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Prediction of Failure Mode Under Static Loading in Long Span Bridge Deck Slabs by FEM (유한요소해석에 의한 장지간 바닥판의 정적파괴형태 예측)

  • Park, Woo Jin;Hwang, Hoon Hee
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.52-59
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    • 2012
  • An analytical model is presented to predict the static behavior of the long-span prestressed concrete bridge deck(the long-span PSC deck). The finite element analysis is performed and the results are compared with that of the previous experimental test. The load-deflection relationship curves by FEM are in good agreement with the results reported in the previous study. The failure mode of all test specimens is predicted by the punching shear in this study. It is also observed in the previous experimental test. The main objective of this paper is presenting supportive method to predict static behavior of the long-span PSC deck slab. It is not simulating the punching shear behavior graphically.

Study on the Railway Fault Locator Impedance Prediction Method using Field Synchronized Power Measured Data (실측 동기화 데이터를 활용한 교류전기철도의 고장점표정장치 임피던스 예측기법 연구)

  • Jeon, Yong-Joo;Kim, Jae-chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.595-601
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    • 2017
  • Due to the electrification of railways, fault at the traction line is increasing year by year. So importance of the fault locator is growing higher. Nevertheless at the field traction line, it is difficult to locate accurate fault point due to various conditions. In this paper railway feeding system current loop equation was simplified and generalized though measured data. And substation, train power data were measured under synchronized condition. Finally catenary impedance was predicted through generalized equation. Also simulation model was designed to figure out the effect of load current for train at same location. Train current was changed from min to max range and catenary impedance was compared at same location. Finally, power measurement was performed in the field at train and substation simultaneously and catenary system impedance was predicted and calculated. Through this method catenary impedance can be measured more easily and continuously compared to the past method.

A Process Perspective Event-log Analysis Method for Airport BHS (Baggage Handling System) (공항 수하물 처리 시스템 이벤트 로그의 프로세스 관점 분석 방안 연구)

  • Park, Shin-nyum;Song, Minseok
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.181-188
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    • 2020
  • As the size of the airport terminal grows in line with the rapid growth of aviation passengers, the advanced baggage handling system that combines various data technologies has become an essential element in order to handle the baggage carried by passengers swiftly and accurately. Therefore, this study introduces the method of analyzing the baggage handling capacity of domestic airports through the latest data analysis methodology from the process point of view to advance the operation of the airport BHS and the main points based on event log data. By presenting an accurate load prediction method, it can lead to advanced BHS operation strategies in the future, such as the preemptive arrangement of resources and optimization of flight-carrousel scheduling. The data used in the analysis utilized the APIs that can be obtained by searching for "Korea Airports Corporation" in the public data portal. As a result of applying the method to the domestic airport BHS simulation model, it was possible to confirm a high level of predictive performance.

A Maximum Power Demand Prediction Method by Average Filter Combination (평균필터 조합을 통한 최대수요전력 예측기법)

  • Yu, Chan-Jik;Kim, Jae-Sung;Roh, Kyung-Woo;Cho, Wan-Sup
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.227-239
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    • 2020
  • This paper introduces a method for predicting the maximum power demand despite communication errors in industrial sites. Due to the recent policy of de-nuclearization in Korea, the price of electricity is inevitable, and the amount of electricity used and maximum load management for the management of power demand are becoming important issues. Accordingly, it is important to predict and manage peak power. However, problems such as loss and modulation of measured power data occur at industrial sites due to noise generated by various facilities and sensors. It is difficult to predict the exact value when measured effective power data are lost. The study presents a model for predicting and correcting anomalies and missing values when measured effective power data are lost. The models used in this study are expected to be useful in predicting peak power demand in the event of communication errors at industrial sites.

Analysis of the Reinforced I section UHPCC (Ulrea High Performance Cementitous Composites) beam without stirrup (전단철근이 없는 I형 휨보강 UHPCC 보의 거동해석)

  • Kim Sung Wook;Han Sang Muk;Kang Su Tae;Kong Jeong Shick;Kang Jun Hyung;Jun Sang Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.409-412
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    • 2004
  • Over last decade extensive researches have been undertaken on the strength behaviour of Fiber Reinforced Concrete(FRC) structures. But the use of Ultra-High Strength Steel Fiber Cementitious Concrete Composites is in its infancy and there is a few experiments, analysis method and design criteria on the structural elements constructed with this new generation material which compressive strength is over 150 MPa and characteristic behaviour on the failure status is ductile. The objective of this paper is to investigate and analyze the behaviour of reinforced rectangular structural members constructed with ultra high performance cementitious composites (UHPCC). This material is known as reactive powder concrete (RPC) mixed with domestic materials and its compressive strength is over 150MP. The variables of test specimens were shear span ratio, reinforcement ratio and fiber quantity. Even if there were no shear stirrups in test specimens, most influential variable to determine the failure mode between shear and flexural action was proved to be shear span ratio. The characteristics of ultra high-strength concrete is basically brittle, but due to the steel fiber reinforcement behaviour of this structure member became ductile after the peak load. As a result of the test, the stress block of compressive zone could be defined. The proposed analytical calculation of internal force capacity based by plastic analysis gave a good prediction for the shear and flexural strength of specimens. The numerical verification of the finite element model which constitutive law developed for Mode I fracture of fiber reinforced concrete correctly captured the overall behaviour of the specimens tested.

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A Evaluation on the Field Application of High Strength Concrete for CFT Column (고강도 CFT용 콘크리트의 현장적용성 평가 및 장기거동 예측)

  • Park, Je Young;Chung, Kyung Soo;Kim, Woo Jae;Lee, Jong In;Kim, Yong Min
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.707-714
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    • 2014
  • CFT (Concrete-Filled Tube) is a type of steel column comprised of steel tube and concrete. Steel tube holds concrete and the concrete inside tube takes charge of compressive load. This study presents structural performance of the CFT column which has 73~100 MPa high strength concrete inside. Fluidity, mechanical compression, pump pressure test in flexible pipe were conducted for understanding properties of the high strength concrete. Material properties were achieved by various experimental tests, such as slump, slump flow, air content, U-box, O-Lot, L-flow. In addition, mock-up tests were conducted to monitor concrete filling, hydration heat, compressive strength. From construction sites in Sang-am dong and University of Seo-kang, long-term behaviors could be effectively predicted in terms of ACI 209 material model considering elastic deformation, shrinkage and creep.

Application of Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) and Genetic Programming (GP) to design steel-concrete composite floor systems at elevated temperatures

  • Shariati, Mahdi;Mafipour, Mohammad Saeed;Mehrabi, Peyman;Zandi, Yousef;Dehghani, Davoud;Bahadori, Alireza;Shariati, Ali;Trung, Nguyen Thoi;Salih, Musab N.A.;Poi-Ngian, Shek
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.319-332
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    • 2019
  • This study is aimed to predict the behaviour of channel shear connectors in composite floor systems at different temperatures. For this purpose, a soft computing approach is adopted. Two novel intelligence methods, including an Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) and a Genetic Programming (GP), are developed. In order to generate the required data for the intelligence methods, several push-out tests were conducted on various channel connectors at different temperatures. The dimension of the channel connectors, temperature, and slip are considered as the inputs of the models, and the strength of the connector is predicted as the output. Next, the performance of the ELM and GP is evaluated by developing an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Finally, the performance of the ELM, GP, and ANN is compared with each other. Results show that ELM is capable of achieving superior performance indices in comparison with GP and ANN in the case of load prediction. Also, it is found that ELM is not only a very fast algorithm but also a more reliable model.