• 제목/요약/키워드: Load Prediction Model

검색결과 593건 처리시간 0.03초

NARX 신경회로망을 이용한 부하추종운전시의 울진 3호기 원자로 모델링 (Nuclear Reactor Modeling in Load Following Operations for UCN 3 with NARX Neural Network -)

  • 이상경;이은철
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 심포지엄 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.21-23
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    • 2005
  • NARX(Nonlinear AutoRegressive with eXogenous input) neural network was used for prediction of nuclear reactor behavior which was influenced by control rods in short-term period and also by xenon and boron in long-term period in load following operations. The developed model was designed to predict reactor power, xenon worth and axial offset with different burnup rates when control rod and boron were adjusted in load following operations. Data of UCN 3 were collected by ONED94 code. The test results presented exhibit the capability of the NARX neural network model to capture the long term and short term dynamics of the reactor core and seems to be utilized as a handy tool for the use of a plant simulation.

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피로균열전파 동안 하중감소에 의한 균열지연 (Crack Retardation byt Load Reduction During Fatigue Crack Propagation)

  • 김현수;남기우;안석환;도재윤
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제27권12호
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    • pp.2004-2010
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    • 2003
  • Fracture life and crack retardation behavior were examined experimentally using CT specimens of aluminum alloy 5083. Crack retardation life and fracture life were a wide difference. between 0.8 and 0.6 in proportion to ratio of load reduction. The wheeler model retardation parameter was used successfully to predict crack growth behavior. By using a crack propagation rule, prediction of fracture life can be evaluated quantitatively. A statistical approach based on Weibull distribution was applied to the test data to evaluate the dispersion in the retardation life and fracture life by the change of load reduction.

포스트텐션에 의한 격자 돔형 공간 구조의 거동 특성 (Behaviour Characteristic of Grid Dome Shaped Space Structures by Post-tensioning)

  • 김진우
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.41-45
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    • 2002
  • This paper is concerned with the erection and ultimate load test of dome shaped space structures by post-tensioning. It is a fast and economical method for constructing such a dome by post-tensioning of the cable in bottom chords. This structure consists of uniform pyramids in a flat layouts on the ground, and then the structure is shaped and erected into its final curved space structure. Ultimate load test was performed for dome shaped space structures. The feasibility of the proposed erection method and the reliability of the established geometric model were confirmed with numerical analysis and experimental investigation on a small scale steel model. As a results we can find the most reasonable modeling technique for the prediction of shape formation in practices and we can know the characteristic of the behaviour in ultimate load test for practical design purposes.

An applied model for steel reinforced concrete columns

  • Lu, Xilin;Zhou, Ying
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.697-711
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    • 2007
  • Though extensive research has been carried out for the ultimate strength of steel reinforced concrete (SRC) members under static and cyclic load, there was only limited information on the applied analysis models. Modeling of the inelastic response of SRC members can be accomplished by using a microcosmic model. However, generally used microcosmic model, which usually contains a group of parameters, is too complicated to apply in the nonlinear structural computation for large whole buildings. The intent of this paper is to develop an effective modeling approach for the reliable prediction of the inelastic response of SRC columns. Firstly, five SRC columns were tested under cyclic static load and constant axial force. Based on the experimental results, normalized trilinear skeleton curves were then put forward. Theoretical equation of normalizing point (ultimate strength point) was built up according to the load-bearing mechanism of RC columns and verified by the 5 specimens in this test and 14 SRC columns from parallel tests. Since no obvious strength deterioration and pinch effect were observed from the load-displacement curve, hysteresis rule considering only stiffness degradation was proposed through regression analysis. Compared with the experimental results, the applied analysis model is so reasonable to capture the overall cyclic response of SRC columns that it can be easily used in both static and dynamic analysis of the whole SRC structural systems.

비연성 RC 기둥의 하중-변형 응답 모사를 위한 모델 매개변수 제안 (Development of Model Parameter Prediction Equations for Simulating Load-deformation Response of Non-ductile RC Columns)

  • 이창석;한상환
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.119-129
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    • 2019
  • Many reinforced concrete (RC) buildings constructed prior to 1980's lack important features guaranteeing ductile response under earthquake excitation. Structural components in such buildings, especially columns, do not satisfy the reinforcement details demanded by current seismic design codes. Columns with deficient reinforcement details may suffer significant damage when subjected to cyclic lateral loads. They can also experience rapid lateral strength degradation induced by shear failure. The objective of this study is to accurately simulate the load-deformation response of RC columns experiencing shear failure. In order to do so, model parameters are calibrated to the load-deformation response of 40 RC column specimens failed in shear. Multivariate stepwise regression analyses are conducted to develop the relationship between the model parameters and physical parameters of RC column specimens. It is shown that the proposed predictive equations successfully estimated the model parameters of RC column specimens with great accuracy. The proposed equations also showed better accuracy than the existing ones.

엔드밀 가공시 동적 절삭력 모델에 의한 절삭력 및 표면형상 예측 (The Prediction of Cutting Force and Surface Topography by Dynamic Force Model in End Milling)

  • 이기용;강명창;김정석
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.38-45
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    • 1997
  • A new dynamic model for the cutting process inb the end milling process is developed. This model, which describes the dynamic response of the end mill, the chip load geometry including tool runout, the dependence of the cutting forces on the chip load, is used to predict the dynamic cutting force during the end milling process. In order to predict accurately cutting forces and tool vibration, the model which uses instantaneous specific cutting force, inclueds both regenerative effect and penetration effect, The model is verified through comparisons of model predicted cutting force with measured cutting force obtained from machining experiments.

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비행하중에서 피로균열진전에 미치는 미소하중의 영향 (The Effect of Low-amplitude Cycles in Flight-simulation Loading)

  • 심동석;김정규
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2003년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.1045-1050
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    • 2003
  • In this study, to investigate the effects of omitting low-amplitude cycles from a flight-simulation loading, crack growth tests are conducted on 2124-T851 aluminum alloy specimens. Three test spectra are generated by omitting small load ranges as counted by the rain-flow count method. The crack growth test results are compared with the data obtained from the flight-simulation loading. The experimental results show that omission of the load ranges below 5% of the maximum load does not significantly affect crack growth behavior, because these are below the initial stress intensity factor range. However, in the case of omitting the load ranges below 15% of the maximum load, crack growth rates decrease, and therefore crack growth curve deviates from the crack growth data under the flight-simulation loading. To optimize the load range that can be omitted, crack growth curves are simulated by the stochastic crack growth model. The prediction shows that the omission level can be extended to 8% of the maximum load and test time can be reduced by 59%.

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뉴로-퍼지 모델 기반 단기 전력 수요 예측시스템의 신뢰도 계산 (Reliability Computation of Neuro-Fuzzy Model Based Short Term Electrical Load Forecasting)

  • 심현정;왕보현
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제54권10호
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    • pp.467-474
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a systematic method to compute a reliability measure for a short term electrical load forecasting system using neuro-fuzzy models. It has been realized that the reliability computation is essential for a load forecasting system to be applied practically. The proposed method employs a local reliability measure in order to exploit the local representation characteristic of the neuro-fuzzy models. It, hence, estimates the reliability of each fuzzy rule learned. The design procedure of the proposed short term load forecasting system is as follows: (1) construct initial structures of neuro-fuzzy models, (2) store them in the initial structure bank, (3) train the neuro-fuzzy model using an appropriate initial structure, and (4) compute load prediction and its reliability. In order to demonstrate the viability of the proposed method, we develop an one hour ahead load forecasting system by using the real load data collected during 1996 and 1997 at KEPCO. Simulation results suggest that the proposed scheme extends the applicability of the load forecasting system with the reliably computed reliability measure.

콩 분쇄기의 AISI 4140에서 200μm 미세 패턴 표면의 마찰 계수 및 마찰 계수 예측 모델 (Tribological Properties and Friction Coefficient Prediction Model of 200μm Surfaces Micro-Textured on AISI 4140 in Soybean Crusher)

  • 최원식;프라타마 판두 산디;수페노 데스티아니;변재영;이은숙;우지희;양지웅;키프 디마스 하리스 신;크리스타 마이난다 브리기타;오케추쿠 나에메카 니콜라스;이강삼
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.247-255
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    • 2018
  • In this research, the effect of normal load, sliding velocity, and texture density on thefriction coefficient of surfaces micro-textured on AISI 4140 under paraffin oil lubrication were investigated. The predicted tribological behavior by numerical calculation can be serves as guidance for the designer during the machine development stage. Therefore, in this research friction coefficient prediction model based on response surface methodology (RSM), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural network (ANN) were developed. The experimental result shows that the variation of load, speed and texture density were influence the friction coefficient. The RSM, ANN and SVM model was successfully developed based on the experimental data. The ANN model can effectively predict the tribological characteristics of micro-textured AISI 4140 in paraffin oil lubrication condition compare to RSM and SVM.

Response prediction of a 50 m guyed mast under typhoon conditions

  • Law, S.S.;Bu, J.Q.;Zhu, X.Q.;Chan, S.L.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.397-412
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents the wind excited acceleration responses of a 50 m guyed mast under the action of Typhoon Dujuan. The response of the structure is reconstructed from using a full finite element model and an equivalent beam-column model. The wind load is modelled based on the measured wind speed and recommendations for high-rise structures. The nonlinear time response analysis is conducted using the Newton Raphson iteration procedure. Comparative studies on the measured and computed frequencies and acceleration responses show that the torsional vibration of the structure is significant particularly in the higher vibration modes after the first few bending modes. The equivalent model, in general, gives less accurate amplitude predictions than the full model because of the omission of torsional stiffness of the mast in the vibration analysis, but the root-mean-square value is close to the measured value in general with an error of less than 10%.