• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.235-240
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• 2003

Methods to predict fatigue crack growth are compared in a quantitative manner for crack growth test data of 2024-T351 aluminum alloy under narrow and wide band random loading. In order to account for the effect of load ratio, crack closure model, Hater's equation and NASGRO's equation have been employed. Load interaction effect under random loading has been considered by crack closure model, Willenborg's model and Wheeler's model. The prediction method using the measured crack opening results provides the best result among the prediction methods discussed for narrow and wide band random loading data.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제27권10호
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• pp.1785-1792
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• 2003

Methods to predict fatigue crack growth are compared in a quantitative manner for crack growth test data of 2024- T351 aluninum alloy under narrow and wide band random loading. In order to account for the effect of load ratio, crack closure model, Hater's equation and NASGRO's equation have been employed. Load interaction effect under random loading has been considered by crack closure model, Willenborg's model and Wheeler's model. The prediction method using the measured crack opening results provides the best result among the prediction methods discussed for narrow and wide band random loading data.

• 한국항공우주학회지
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• 제35권9호
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• pp.826-835
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• 2007

발사체 열환경 설계를 위해서 여러 종류의 태양열 모델을 비교 검토하였으며, 측정된 태양열과 잘 일치하는 태양열 모델을 개발하였다. 기존의 태양열 모델은 태양 직사광 예측은 정확하지만 산란광에 대해서는 오차가 포함되어 있었다. 이에 반하여 새롭게 개발된 산란광 모델은 등방성, 이방성 산란을 고려하였으며 기존의 어느 모델보다 관측값과 잘 일치하였다. 우주 센터의 태양광 측정 데이터가 매우 적기 때문에 본 모델은 발사체 열하중 설계에 필요한 설계 데이터를 제공할 수 있었다. 또한 본 모델은 위도, 경도, 날짜, 고도에 대한 제한이 없는 일반적인 모델이기 때문에 추후 태양열에 민감한 반응을 보이는 비행기구 등의 개발에 효과적인 열환경 예측 수단을 제공할 수 있다.

• 한국산업정보학회논문지
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.35-46
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• 2013

국내 전력 수요량 예측을 위한 정확한 분석 모델을 개발하기 위하여 고차원 데이터 군집 분석에 적합한 차원 축소 개념의 부분공간 군집 기법과 SMO 분류 기법을 결합한 전력 수요 패턴 예측 방법을 제안하였다. 전력 수요 패턴 예측은 무선부하감시 데이터 뿐 아니라 소지역 단위의 센서스 정보를 통합하여 시간대별 전력 부하 패턴 분석과 인구통계학 및 지리학적 특성 분석이 가능하다. 서울지역 대상의 센서스 정보 및 전력 부하를 이용한 소지역 전력 수요 패턴 예측 결과 총 18개의 특성 군집을 구성하였으며, 전력 수요 패턴 예측 정확도는 약 85%를 보였다.

• 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.63-68
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• 2017

This paper predicts the rotordynamic force coefficients of tilting pad journal bearings (TPJBs) with ball-socket pivot and compares the predictions to the published test data obtained under load-between-pad (LBP) configuration. The present TPJB model considers the pivot stiffness calculated based on the Hertzian contact stress theory. Due to the compliance of the pivot, the predicted journal eccentricity agree well with the measured journal center trajectory for increasing static loads, while the early prediction without pivot model consideration underestimates it largely. The predicted pressure profile shows the significant pressure development even on the unloaded pads along the direction opposite to the loading direction. The predicted stiffness coefficients increase as the static load and the rotor speed increase. They agree excellently with test data from open literature. The predicted damping coefficients increase as the static load increases and the rotor speed decreases. The prediction underestimates the test data slightly. In general, the current predictive model including the pivot stiffness improves the accuracy of the rotordynamic performance predictions when compared to the previously published predictions.

• 콘크리트학회논문집
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.23-34
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• 1999

In designing PSC box girder bridge, the dead load, prestressing force, creep and shrinkage of concrete are the main factors which influence the camber and deflection of segmental concrete structure under construction. Among these factors the creep and shrinkage are the functions of the time-dependent property which, therefore, must considered with time. The prediction model for estimating creep and shrinkage of concrete has been suggested by ACI, CEB/FIP, JSCE and KSCE design code. In this study the creep and shrinkage test were carried out for four curing ages of concrete which was applied to the pretressed concrete box-girder bridge at a construction site, and the results of test were compared to the values of prediction by the design code. Shrinkage test shows that the test results are similar to KSCE-96 and JSCE-96 but very higher than other prediction model and creep test results are generally similar to ACI-209 and DSCE-96 but lower than other prediction models in contrast to shrinkage test.

• 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정밀공학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1561-1564
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• 2003

In the dynamic analysis model of full vehicles, the ball joint is usually modeled as an ideal joint. Searching a ball joint, the engineering plastic covers metal and the plastic has little compliance. It is expected that the compliance will physically have an influence on load transfer. This thesis presents a dynamic model considering the compliance of a ball joint, and studies an influence related to load transfer. It models the compliance of a ball joint to 3 directional spring. Likewise, it researches the load of a ball joint via a four-post simulation of a full vehicle, comparing with a model considered compliant and the model of an ideal joint. As a result, the difference between the compliance and the ideal joint model was determined. For this reasons, to conduct precision load prediction for durability analysis, dynamic analysis considering the compliance of bali joint should be required.

• Journal of Power Electronics
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.497-508
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• 2019

The predictive speed control (PSC) strategy can realize the simultaneous control of speed and current by using one cost function. As a model-based control method, the performance of the PSC is vulnerable to model mismatches such as load torque disturbances and parameter uncertainties. To solve this problem, this paper presents a robust predictive speed control (RPSC) strategy for surface-mounted permanent magnet synchronous motor (SPMSM) drives. The proposed RPSC uses extended state observers (ESOs) to estimate the lumped disturbances caused by load torque changes and parameter mismatches. The observer-based prediction model is then compensated by using the estimated disturbances. The introduction of ESOs can achieve robustness against predictive model uncertainties. In addition, a modified cost function is designed to further suppress load torque disturbances. The performance of the proposed RPSC scheme has been corroborated by experimental results under the condition of load torque changes and parameter mismatches.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.148-155
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• 2016

Existing power plants may consume significant amounts of fuel and require high operating costs, partly because of poor electrical power output estimates. This paper suggests a continuous conditional random field (C-CRF) model to predict more precisely the full-load electrical power output of a base load operated combined cycle power plant. We introduce three feature functions to model association potential and one feature function to model interaction potential. Together, these functions compose the C-CRF model, and the model is transformed into a multivariate Gaussian distribution with which the operation parameters can be modeled more efficiently. The performance of our model in estimating power output was evaluated by means of a real dataset and our model outperformed existing methods. Moreover, our model can be used to estimate confidence intervals of the predicted output and calculate several probabilities.

• 한국음향학회지
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.153-162
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• 2014

경험적 음향하중 예측 방법은 우주 발사체 상단 페어링에 가해지는 음향하중을 예측하는 방법으로 상사성 원리를 기반으로 한 제트 실험 데이터를 기반으로 한다. 대표적인 경험적 예측기법인 DSM-II(Distributed Source Method-II)는 제트 화염 축을 따라 소음원을 배치하는 방법이다. 그러나 이러한 경험적 예측 모델은 자유제트 실험 결과를 기반으로 하였기 때문에 실제 상황에 존재하는 충돌 소음원을 고려하기 어렵다는 한계가 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 기존 예측 방법에 충돌 소음원을 추가 배치함으로써 충돌 제트 효과를 반영하는 예측 방법을 제안하였다. 이를 위하여 소음원의 위치, 스펙트럼, 세기, 방향성 특징을 고려하였으며 KSR-III(Korean Sounding Rocket-III) 로켓에 대한 음향 하중 예측 결과를 기존 예측 방법 및 실험 결과와 비교하였다.