• Title/Summary/Keyword: Liquidity Policy

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The Dynamics of Economic Growth in Underdeveloped Regions: A Case Study in Indonesia

  • JUMONO, Sapto;BASKARA, Ika;ABDURAHMAN, Abdurrahman;MALA, Chajar Matari Fath
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.643-651
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to determine the response of regional economic growth to the financial performance of regional economies in regard to the liquidity conditions, saving-investment gaps, trade openness, inflation, as well as the national economic growth. The basic logic theory of research uses the principles of open economics and financial intermediary systems. The data used in this study are secondary data, and the form of data is a quarterly time series for the period from 2008 to 2019. The data were obtained from various publications, such as the Central Statistics Agency (CSA), Regional Financial Economics Statistics (RFES), Indonesian Banking Statistics (IBS), and the Financial Services Authority (FSA). Data processing was done through VAR/VECM analysis; short-term and long-term equilibrium analyses were carried out. The results of the analysis illustrate that regional economic growth and the conditions of liquidity, saving-investment gaps, trade openness, inflation, and national economic growth are related and lead to significant impact variations in the provinces of Papua and West Papua. In conclusion, the findings of this research support the leading supply hypothesis and reformulate the strategy and policy of economic development, bearing in mind that there are still many underdeveloped districts in these two provinces.

Status and Improvement Plan of Career Development of Researchers at Government Research Institutes of Science and Technology (과학기술 출연(연) 연구자의 경력개발 현황과 개선방안)

  • Hong, Seong-Min;Cho, Hyun-Sook
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.101-121
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study, reflecting the characteristics of recent R&D activities, where knowledge convergence and exchange and the growth of researchers are becoming more important, is to promote the growth of outstanding researchers by establishing a support system for researcher career development (intensifying expertise) and career fluidity (change in core research topics). Using the results of a survey of 548 researchers from government-funded research institutes, this study analyze environmental factors of research that promotes career development suitable for the growth of researchers after quantitatively verifying the effects of career development and career mobility on research outcomes. As a result of the analysis, it is more desirable to strengthen career liquidity after stable career development, but the human resources and career development support systems of research institutes are insufficient. Therefore, in this study, policy measures to support researcher career development and liquidity were proposed in four stages.

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Determinants of Dividend Payout: Evidence from listed Oil and Gas Companies of Pakistan

  • Tahir, Muhammad;Mushtaq, Muhammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to investigate the determinants of dividend payout of Oil and Gas industry of Pakistan using secondary data from published annual reports from 2008 to 2014 listed on KSE (Karachi Stock Exchange). Dividend payout can be affected by profitability, firm size, financial leverage, sales growth, investment opportunities, liquidity, business risk, and ownership structure. Panel data technique used due to panel characteristics of available data with ordinary least square regression model to find out the impact of set of explanatory variables on the dividend payout using the Stata. Financial leverage, sales growth and business risks are the most significant variables of the study where financial leverage and business risk have significant negative effect on dividend payout while sales growth has favorable positive impact on dividend payout. Results revealed significant positive link of profitability and firm size with dividend payout whereas government ownership is negatively associated with dividend payout. Investment opportunities, liquidity and managerial ownership showed insignificant relationship with dividend payout. This Suggests that dividend payout policy is dependent on business strategies including both investment and financing decisions. Financial managers should consider these factors while formulating dividend policy of the firm.

Analysis of the Effect of Expected Housing Prices and Liquidity on the Housing Market (유동성과 주택가격의 기대심리가 실질 주택가격에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Hyeonjin;Kwon, Sunhee
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.43-49
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze factors affecting the housing market by setting household loans and M2, which are liquidity indicators, and the industrial production index reflecting economic fluctuations, as variables, and to determine the effect of expected housing prices. An empirical analysis was conducted based on the data from January 2005 to May 2020, and the HP filter was applied to the real house price as the expected house price variable. As a result of the analysis, it was found that real household loans, real M2, and so on, had an effect on house prices, and expectations for past house prices and house prices increased the house prices in the present period. These results show that even though the liquidity expansion is aimed at revitalizing the economy, it can affect housing prices as well.

The Impacts of Speculative Trading on Commodity Prices After the Global Financial Crisis (금융위기 이후 투기 거래가 원자재 가격에 미친 영향)

  • Kim, Hwa-Nyeon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.179-185
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    • 2016
  • This study verifies whether speculative trading in commodity markets acted as the primary cause of the increase in commodity prices after the global financial crisis using the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model. The effects of speculative trading on commodity prices increased by a factor of 3 to 6 after the crisis compared to those before the crisis. Although the demand related variables, such as industrial production, affected commodity prices significantly before the crisis, their effects decreased after the crisis. Consequently, the rebound of commodity prices after the crisis was mainly caused by the increase in speculative money, fortified by the expansion of the global liquidity supply. The global liquidity may well increase in the future, because the U.S. Federal Reserve Board is likely to continue to increase its interest rate. This study claims that when global liquidity shrinks as a result of a change in the Fed's monetary policy stance, speculative trading will slow down, leading to a decline in commodity prices.

Strengthening ASEAN+3 Regional Financial Arrangements: A New Framework Beyond CMIM

  • Park, Young-Joon
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.59-80
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    • 2017
  • This paper examines the operational limitations of the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization (CMIM) as a regional financial safety net in East Asia and presents a new regional financial arrangement. To overcome the drawbacks of the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization which has never been activated so far, this study proposes that ASEAN+3 establish a new lending facility, so-called a Reserve Fund Facility, and create a regional common reserves asset. The proposed Reserve Fund Facility framework guarantees lending automaticity of the liquidity facility, based on upfront funding instead of pledge funding. Establishing the Reserve Fund Facility could find a way of making up for weakness of the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization and responding to the regional needs for effective regional financial arrangement. The full-fledged Reserve Fund Facility will ultimately contribute to the future development of East Asia's monetary and financial cooperation beyond the Chiang Mai Initiative Multilateralization.

Relationship between Stock Market & Housing Market Trends and Liquidity (주식시장과 주택시장의 동향 및 유동성과의 관계)

  • Choi, Jeong-Il
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2021
  • Governments of each country are actively implementing fiscal expansion policies to recover the real economy after Corona 19. In Korea, the stock market and housing market are greatly affected as liquidity in the market increases due to the implementation of disaster subsidies and welfare policies. The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between stock market and housing market trends and liquidity. Data were collected by the Bank of Korea and Kookmin Bank. The analysis period is from January 2000 to December 2020, and monthly data are used. For empirical analysis, the rate of change from the same month of the previous year was calculated for each variable, and numerical analysis, index analysis, and model analysis were performed. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the stock index showed a positive(+) relationship with the house price, while a negative(-) relationship with M2. Previous studies have suggested that, in general, an increase in liquidity affects the stock market and the housing market, and inflation also rises. In this study, it was found that the stock market and the housing market had an effect on each other. However, it was investigated that liquidity showed an inverse relationship with the stock market and had no relationship with the housing market. Through this, this study estimated that there is a time difference in the relationship between liquidity and the stock market & housing market.

Study on the Effect of Quantitative and Qualitative Easing(QQE) in Japan (日本の量的·質的金融緩和(QQE)の効果について)

  • Yeom, Dongho
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.143-162
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    • 2018
  • This paper focuses on the policy framework about "Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE)" of Japan, and analyzes reasons why the policy goal was not reached. The QQE was introduced by the Bank of Japan in 2013 with the purpose of meeting the price stability target of 2% and getting out of deflation that prevents sustained price decline. However, despite the implementation of the bold monetary easing policy unprecedented in the world, the policy goal was not achieved as of June 2018. As a result of analyzing the causes, the following three structural factors were confirmed. 1) The rise in prices by QQE was limited because Japan's consumer price is strongly depending on import price. 2) The effect is high degree of uncertainty and limited because theoretical framework of reflationist which adopted QQE depends on "expectation formation" by "self-fulfilling expectation" and "multiple equilibria". 3) It was confirmed that the expansion of the monetary base did not lead to money stock due to the existence of Japanese liquidity trap, long-term low interest rate policy.

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A Study of Policy Change on K-ETS and its Objective Conformity (한국 배출권거래제 정책 변동의 목적 부합성 연구)

  • Oh, Il-Young;Yoon, Young Chai
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.325-342
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    • 2018
  • The Korea Emissions Trading Scheme ( K-ETS), which manages roughly 70% of the greenhouse gas emissions in South Korea, was initiated in 2015, after implementation of its 1st basic plan and the 1st allocation plan (2014) for the 1st phase (2015-2017). During the three and a half years since the launch of K-ETS, there have been critical policy change such as adjustment of the institutions involved, development and revision of the 2030 national GHG reduction roadmap, and change in the allocation plans. Moreover, lack of liquidity and fluctuation of carbon prices in the K-ETS market during this period has forced the Korean government to adjust the flexibility mechanism and auction permits of the market stability reserve. To evaluate the policy change in the K-ETS regarding conformance to its objectives, this study defines three objectives (Environmental Effectiveness, Cost Effectiveness and Economic Efficiency) and ten indicators. Evaluation of Environmental Effectiveness of K-ETS suggests that the national GHG reduction roadmap, coverage of GHG emitters and credibility of MRV positively affect GHG mitigation. However, there was a negative policy change implemented in 2017 that weakened the emission cap during the 1st phase. In terms of the Cost Effectiveness, the K-ETS policies related to market management and flexibility mechanism (e.g. banking, borrowing and offsets) were improved to deal with the liquidity shortage and permit price increase, which were caused by policy uncertainty and conservative behavior of firms during 2016-2018. Regarding Economic Efficiency, K-ETS expands benchmark?based allocation and began auction-based allocation; nevertheless, free allocation is being applied to sectors with high carbon leakage risk during the 2nd phase (2018-2020). As a result, it is worth evaluating the K-ETS policies that have been developed with respect to the three main objectives of ETS, considering the trial?and?error approach that has been followed since 2015. This study suggests that K-ETS policy should be modified to strengthen the emission cap, stabilize the market, expand auction-based allocation and build K-ETS specified funds during the 3rd phase (2021-2025).

Business performance and earnings quality in the information and communication industry before and after the COVID-19 pandemic (코로나19 팬데믹 전·후 정보통신업의 경영성과와 이익의 질)

  • Park, Su-Gyeong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 2021
  • This study compared business performance and earnings quality before and after the COVID-19 pandemic for information and communication companies whose sales increased due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. For this, 4 indicators of ROA, growth potential, liquidity, and stability are used for business performance, and for earnings quality, the standard deviation of the residuals measured by the Dechow and Dichev(2002) model and Francis et al.(2005) model was used. As a result of the analysis, ROA, a representative business performance indicator, increased after xthe period compared to the period before the pandemic, but liquidity was rather deteriorated. As for the quality of earnings, it was confirmed that earnings sustainability is maintained in the post-pandemic period compared to the previous period, similar to ROA. Overall, the profit level and earnings quality of information and communications companies seemed to be improving, while liquidity was deteriorating. This confirms that companies that have overcome the immediate crisis are not ready to pay off their debts right away. Therefore, it suggests that companies need restructuring to reduce their increased debt from the time the COVID-19 subsides.