• 제목/요약/키워드: Linear predictive model

검색결과 288건 처리시간 0.025초

A novel smart criterion of grey-prediction control for practical applications

  • Z.Y. Chen;Ruei-yuan Wang;Yahui Meng;Timothy Chen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a scalable grey predictive controller with unavoidable random delays. Grey prediction is proposed to solve problems caused by incorrect parameter selection and to eliminate the effects of dynamic coupling between degrees of freedom (DOFs) in nonlinear systems. To address the stability problem, this study develops an improved gray-predictive adaptive fuzzy controller, which can not only solve the implementation problem by determining the stability of the system, but also apply the Linear Matrix Inequality (LMI) law to calculate Fuzzy change parameters. Fuzzy logic controllers manipulate robotic systems to improve their control performance. The stability is proved using Lyapunov stability theorem. In this article, the authors compare different controllers and the proposed predictive controller can significantly reduce the vibration of offshore platforms while keeping the required control force within an ideal small range. This paper presents a robust fuzzy control design that uses a model-based approach to overcome the effects of modeling errors. To guarantee the asymptotic stability of large nonlinear systems with multiple lags, the stability criterion is derived from the direct Lyapunov method. Based on this criterion and a distributed control system, a set of model-based fuzzy controllers is synthesized to stabilize large-scale nonlinear systems with multiple delays.

기계학습을 활용한 주택매도 결정요인 분석 및 예측모델 구축 (Using Mechanical Learning Analysis of Determinants of Housing Sales and Establishment of Forecasting Model)

  • 김은미;김상봉;조은서
    • 지적과 국토정보
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    • 제50권1호
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    • pp.181-200
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 OLS모형을 적용하여 주택보유기간에 영향을 미치는 결정요인을 추정한 후 SVM, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, XGBoost, LightGBM을 통해 각 모형별 예측력을 비교하였다. 예측력이 가장 높은 모델을 기반모델 삼아 앙상블 모형 중 하나인 Stacking모형을 적용하여 더욱 예측력이 높은 모형을 구축하여 주택시장의 주택거래량을 파악할 수 있다는 점에 선행 연구와의 차이가 있다. OLS분석 결과 매도이익, 주택가격, 가구원 수, 거주주택형태(단독주택, 아파트)이 주택보유기간에 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, RMSE를 기준삼아 각 머신러닝 모형과 예측력 비교한 결과 머신러닝 모델의 예측력이 더 높은 것으로 나타났다. 이후, 영향을 미치는 변수로 데이터를 재구축한 후 각 머신러닝을 적용하여 예측력을 비교하였으며, 분석 결과 Random Forest의 예측력이 가장 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 또한 예측력이 가장 높은 Random Forest, Decision Tree, Gradient Boosting, XGBoost모형을 개별모형으로 적용하고, Linear, Ridge, Lasso모형을 메타모델로 하여 Stacking 모형을 구축하였다. 분석 결과, Ridge모형일 때 RMSE값이 0.5181으로 가장 낮게 나타나 예측력이 가장 높은 모델을 구축하였다.

기계학습 기반의 가스폭발위험범위 예측모델에 관한 연구 (A Study on Predictive Models based on the Machine Learning for Evaluating the Extent of Hazardous Zone of Explosive Gases)

  • 정용재;이창준
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • 제58권2호
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    • pp.248-256
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 폭발위험장소의 방폭설비 설치를 위해 필요한 가스폭발위험범위 예측모델 개발을 수행하였다. 이를 위해 12개의 가연성가스에 대한 1,200개의 폭발위험범위 데이터를 생성하였다. 가스폭발위험범위를 출력변수로 설정하였고 데이터 생성과정에서 필요한 12개의 변수를 입력변수로 설정하였다. 다중 회귀, 주성분 회귀, 인공신경망 기법을 이용해 예측모델을 개발하였다. 각각 모델의 예측 성능을 비교한 결과, 평균절대퍼센트오차(MAPE)는 각각 44.2%, 49.3%, 5.7%이고 평균제곱근오차(RMSE)는 1.389 m, 1.602 m, 0.203 m로 나타났다. 결과를 통해 인공신경망이 가장 우수한 성능을 보여주었고 가스폭발위험범위 예측을 위한 최적 모델이라는 것을 확인하였다.

Multi-step Predictive Control of LMTT using DR-FNN

  • Lee, Jin-Woo;Lee, Young-Jin;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.392-395
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    • 2003
  • In the maritime container terminal, LMTT (Linear Motor-based Transfer Technology) is horizontal transfer system for the yard automation, which has been proposed to take the place of AGV (Automated Guided Vehicle). The system is based on PMLSM (Permanent Magnetic Linear Synchronous Motor) that is consists of stator modules on the rail and shuttle car (mover). Because of large variant of mover's weight by loading and unloading containers, the difference of each characteristic of stator modules, and a stator module's trouble etc., LMCPS (Linear Motor Conveyance Positioning System) is considered as that the system is changed its model suddenly and variously. In this paper, we will introduce the soft-computing method of a multi-step prediction control for LMCPS using DR-FNN (Dynamically-constructed Recurrent Fuzzy Neural Network). The proposed control system is used two networks for multi-step prediction. Consequently, the system has an ability to adapt for external disturbance, cogging force, force ripple, and sudden changes of itself.

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청각장애아동과 건청아동의 성도면적 추정 성능 (Performance of Vocal Tract Area Estimation from Deaf and Normal Children's Speech)

  • 김세환;김남;권오욱
    • 대한음성학회지:말소리
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    • 제56호
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    • pp.159-172
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    • 2005
  • This paper analyzes the vocal tract area estimation algorithm used as a part of a speech analysis program to help deaf children correct their pronunciations by comparing their vocal tract shape with normal children's. Assuming that a vocal tract is a concatenation of cylinder tubes with a different cross section, we compute the relative vocal tract area of each tube using the reflection coefficients obtained from linear predictive coding. Then, we obtain the absolute vocal tract area by computing the height of lip opening with a formula modified for children's speech. Using the speech data for five Korean vowels (/a/, /e/, /i/, /o/, and /u/), we investigate the effects of the sampling frequency, frame size, and model order on the estimated vocal tract shape. We compare the vocal tract shapes obtained from deaf and normal children's speech.

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Prediction of plasma etching using genetic-algorithm controlled backpropagation neural network

  • Kim, Sung-Mo;Kim, Byung-Whan
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.1305-1308
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    • 2003
  • A new technique is presented to construct a predictive model of plasma etch process. This was accomplished by combining a backpropagation neural network (BPNN) and a genetic algorithm (GA). The predictive model constructed in this way is referred to as a GA-BPNN. The GA played a role of controlling training factors simultaneously. The training factors to be optimized are the hidden neuron, training tolerance, initial weight magnitude, and two gradients of bipolar sigmoid and linear functions. Each etch response was optimized separately. The proposed scheme was evaluated with a set of experimental plasma etch data. The etch process was characterized by a $2^3$ full factorial experiment. The etch responses modeled are aluminum (A1) etch rate, silica profile angle, A1 selectivity, and dc bias. Additional test data were prepared to evaluate model appropriateness. The GA-BPNN was compared to a conventional BPNN. Compared to the BPNN, the GA-BPNN demonstrated an improvement of more than 20% for all etch responses. The improvement was significant in the case of A1 etch rate.

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다중모바일로봇의 리더추종을 위한 샘플데이타 모델예측제어 (Sampled-Data MPC for Leader-Following of Multi-Mobile Robot System)

  • 한승용;이상문
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제67권2호
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    • pp.308-313
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we propose a sampled-data model predictive tracking control deign for leader-following control of multi-mobile robot system. The error dynamics of leader-following robots is modeled as a Linear Parameter Varying (LPV) model. Also, the Lyapunov function is presented to guarantee stability of the networked control system. Based on the stabilization condition using a quadratic Lyapunov function approach, model predictive sampled-data controller is designed. Finally, the leader-following control of multi mobile robots is simulated to show effectiveness of the proposed method.

AR 프로세스를 이용한 도산예측모형 (Bankruptcy Prediction Model with AR process)

  • 이군희;지용희
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2001
  • The detection of corporate failures is a subject that has been particularly amenable to cross-sectional financial ratio analysis. In most of firms, however, the financial data are available over past years. Because of this, a model utilizing these longitudinal data could provide useful information on the prediction of bankruptcy. To correctly reflect the longitudinal and firm-specific data, the generalized linear model with assuming the first order AR(autoregressive) process is proposed. The method is motivated by the clinical research that several characteristics are measured repeatedly from individual over the time. The model is compared with several other predictive models to evaluate the performance. By using the financial data from manufacturing corporations in the Korea Stock Exchange (KSE) list, we will discuss some experiences learned from the procedure of sampling scheme, variable transformation, imputation, variable selection, and model evaluation. Finally, implications of the model with repeated measurement and future direction of research will be discussed.

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전기자동차용 표면 부착형 영구자석 동기 전동기의 토크제어를 위한 유한 제어 요소 모델 예측제어(FCS-MPC) 기법 (The Finite Control Set Model Predictive Torque Control Method for Surface Mounted Permanent Magnetic Synchronous Motor of Electric Vehicle)

  • 박성환;이영일
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.453-462
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a torque control method for surface mounted permanent magnetic synchronous motor (PMSM) driven by a 2-level voltage source driven inverter, which has fast torque response and small torque ripple. The proposed torque control method follows the finite control set model predictive control (FCS-MPC) strategy. A reference state is derived at each time step for the given time varying torque reference and the cost index is defined so that the tracking error for this reference state should be penalized. The choice of an optimal output voltage vector is made first from the 6 possible active voltage vectors of the 2-level voltage source inverter. Then a modulation factor for the chosen optimal voltage vector is obtained so that the torque ripple can be reduced further. It is shown that the proposed FCS-MPC control method yields fast torque tracking response and small torque ripple through simulation and experiments.

A novel multi-feature model predictive control framework for seismically excited high-rise buildings

  • Katebi, Javad;Rad, Afshin Bahrami;Zand, Javad Palizvan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제83권4호
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    • pp.537-549
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, a novel multi-feature model predictive control (MPC) framework with real-time and adaptive performances is proposed for intelligent structural control in which some drawbacks of the algorithm including, complex control rule and non-optimality, are alleviated. Hence, Linear Programming (LP) is utilized to simplify the resulted control rule. Afterward, the Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) is applied to the optimal and adaptive tuning of the LP weights independently at each time step. The stochastic control rule is also achieved using Kalman Filter (KF) to handle noisy measurements. The Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is then adopted to develop a data-driven and real-time control algorithm. The efficiency of the developed algorithm is then demonstrated by numerical simulation of a twenty-story high-rise benchmark building subjected to earthquake excitations. The competency of the proposed method is proven from the aspects of optimality, stochasticity, and adaptivity compared to the KF-based MPC (KMPC) and constrained MPC (CMPC) algorithms in vibration suppression of building structures. The average value for performance indices in the near-field and far-field (El earthquakes demonstrates a reduction up to 38.3% and 32.5% compared with KMPC and CMPC, respectively.