• 제목/요약/키워드: Linear Regression Fit

검색결과 138건 처리시간 0.027초

Estimating Wood Weight Change on Air Drying Times for Three Coniferous Species of South Korea

  • Lee, Daesung;Choi, Jungkee
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.262-269
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    • 2016
  • The purposes of this study are to calculate the green and dried weight using wood discs, to figure out weight change on air drying times, and to develop the model of wood disc weight change for Larix kaempferi, Pinus koraiensis, and Pinus densiflora. The variables affecting the weight change were investigated, and the pattern of weight change over time was figured out through linear models. When comparing the stem green weight calculated using wood discs in this study with the weight table of Korea Forest Service, the weight was not significantly different for L. kaempferi and P. koraiensis. On the other hand, in comparison of stem dried weight, the weight was significantly different in all of three species. In addition, various measurement factors were examined to figure out the relationship with weight change, and air drying times and disc diameter were found as significant independent variables. Finally, two linear models were developed to estimate air drying times of three species, fit statistics were significant for practical use.

An Analysis of Factors Relating to Agricultural Machinery Farm-Work Accidents Using Logistic Regression

  • Kim, Byounggap;Yum, Sunghyun;Kim, Yu-Yong;Yun, Namkyu;Shin, Seung-Yeoub;You, Seokcheol
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.151-157
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: In order to develop strategies to prevent farm-work accidents relating to agricultural machinery, influential factors were examined in this paper. The effects of these factors were quantified using logistic regression. Methods: Based on the results of a survey on farm-work accidents conducted by the National Academy of Agricultural Science, 21 tentative independent variables were selected. To apply these variables to regression, the presence of multicollinearity was examined by comparing correlation coefficients, checking the statistical significance of the coefficients in a simple linear regression model, and calculating the variance inflation factor. A logistic regression model and determination method of its goodness of fit was defined. Results: Among 21 independent variables, 13 variables were not collinear each other. The results of a logistic regression analysis using these variables showed that the model was significant and acceptable, with deviance of 714.053. Parameter estimation results showed that four variables (age, power tiller ownership, cognizance of the government's safety policy, and consciousness of safety) were significant. The logistic regression model predicted that the former two increased accident odds by 1.027 and 8.506 times, respectively, while the latter two decreased the odds by 0.243 and 0.545 times, respectively. Conclusions: Prevention strategies against factors causing an accident, such as the age of farmers and the use of a power tiller, are necessary. In addition, more efficient trainings to elevate the farmer's consciousness about safety must be provided.

Drying Kinetics of Onion Slices in a Hot-air Dryer

  • Lee, Jun-Ho;Kim, Hui-Jeong
    • Preventive Nutrition and Food Science
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.225-230
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    • 2008
  • Onion slices were dehydrated in a single layer at drying air temperatures ranging from $50{\sim}70^{\circ}C$ in a laboratory scale convective hot-air dryer at an air velocity of 0.66 m/s. The effect of drying air temperature on the drying kinetic characteristics were determined. It was found that onion slices would dry within $210{\sim}460\;min$ under these drying conditions. Moisture transfer during dehydration was described by applying the Fick's diffusion model and the effective diffusivity changed between $1.345{\times}10^{-8}$ and $2.658{\times}10^{-8}\;m^2/s$. A non-linear regression procedure was used to fit 9 thin layer drying models available in the literature to the experimental drying curves. The Logarithmic model provided a better fit to the experimental drying data as compared to other models. Temperature dependency of the effective diffusivity during the hot-air drying process obeyed the Arrhenius relationship with estimated activation energy being 31.36 kJ/mol. The effect of the drying air temperature on the drying model constants and coefficients were also determined.

Effect of Replacing Corn and Wheat Bran With Soyhulls in Lactation Cow Diets on In Situ Digestion Characteristics of Dietary Dry Matter and Fiber and Lactation Performance

  • Meng, Qingxiang;Lu, Lin;Min, Xiaomei;McKinnon, P.J.;Xiong, Yiqiang
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제13권12호
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    • pp.1691-1698
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    • 2000
  • An in situ digestion trial (Experiment 1) and a lactation trial (Experiment 2) were conducted to determine the effects of replacing corn and wheat bran with soyhulls (SH) in lactating dairy cow diets on the extent and kinetics of digestion of DM and NDF, and lactation performance. In experiment 1, five mixed feeds consisting of mixed concentrate and roughages (50:50 on a DM basis) were formulated on isonitrogenous and isoenergetic bases to produce five levels (0, 25, 50, 75 and 100%) of SH replacement for corn and wheat bran. SH had high in situ digestion (92 and 89% for potentially digestible DM and NDF) and fairly fast digestion rate (7.2 and 6.3 %/h for DM and NDF). Increasing level of SH replacement resulted in increased NDF digestibility (linear, p=0.001-0.04) and similar DM digestibility (beyond 12 h incubation, p=0.10-0.41). As level of SH replacement increased, percentage of slowly digestible fraction (b) of DM increased (linear, p=0.03), percentage of rapidly digestible fraction (a) of DM tended to decrease (linear, p=0.14), and DM digestion lag time tended to be longer (linear, p=0.13). Percentage of potentially digestible fraction (a+b) and digestion rate (c) of slowly digestible fraction of dietary DM remained unaltered (p=0.36-0.90) with increasing SH in the diet. Increasing level of SH for replacing corn and wheat bran in the diet resulted in increases in percentages of b (quadratic, p<0.001), a (linear, p=0.08), a+b (quadratic, p=0.001) and a tendency to increase in c for NDF (linear, p<0.19). It was also observed that there was a satisfactory fit of a non-linear regression model to NDF digestion data ($R^2=0.986-0.998$), but a relatively poor fit of the model to DM digestion data ($R^2=0.915-0.968$). In experiment 2, 42 lactating Holstein cows were used in a randomized complete block design. SH replaced corn and wheat bran in mixed concentrates at 0, 25, and 50%, respectively. These mixed concentrates were mixed with roughages and fed ad libitum as complete diets. Replacing corn and wheat bran with SH at 0, 25 and 50% levels did not influence (p=0.56-0.95) DM intakes (18.4, 18.6, and 18.5 kg/d), milk yields (27.7, 28.4 and 27.6 kg/d), 4% fat-corrected-milk (FCM) yields (26.2, 27.6, and 27.3 kg/d) and percentages of milk protein (3.12, 3.17 and 3.18%), milk lactose (4.69, 4.76 and 4.68%) and SNF (8.50, 8.64, and 8.54%). On the other hand, milk fat percentges linearly increased (3.63, 3.85 and 3.90% for SH replacement rates of 0, 25 and 50% in the diet, p=0.08), while feed costs per kg FCM production were reduced.

서울 지역의 미래 홍수취약도 평가 (The Assessment of Future Flood Vulnerability for Seoul Region)

  • 성장현;백희정;강현석;김영오
    • 한국습지학회지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.341-352
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구의 목적은 미래 확률강우량을 통계적으로 전망하고 홍수취약도 모형을 통하여 미래 서울 지역의 홍수취약도를 정량적으로 가늠해 보는 것이다. 비정상성(non-stationarity)을 고려한 확률강우량 전망을 위하여 서울 지점의 연최대 일강우량을 초기 30년 자료 이후로 1년씩 누적하며 General Extreme Value (GEV) 분포의 매개변수를 추정하였다. 시간 대 위치, 규모 및 형상 매개변수의 선형정도를 비교하여 시간에 따른 위치 매개변수의 선형회귀식을 구성하고, 선형회귀분석에 의한 위치 매개변수를 이용하여 2030년의 확률강우량을 산정하였다. 이 확률강우량을 장옥재와 김영오 (2009)가 제안한 홍수취약도 분석의 모델의 입력자료로 하여, 2030년 서울지역의 홍수취약도를 평가하였다. 연구 결과, 2030년에 재현기간 100년의 강우가 발생한다면 현재에 비해 지역 평균 5 %정도 취약도가 증가하리라 전망되었다.

A Yield Estimation Model of Forage Rye Based on Climate Data by Locations in South Korea Using General Linear Model

  • Peng, Jing Lun;Kim, Moon Ju;Kim, Byong Wan;Sung, Kyung Il
    • 한국초지조사료학회지
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.205-214
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study was to construct a forage rye (FR) dry matter yield (DMY) estimation model based on climate data by locations in South Korea. The data set (n = 549) during 29 years were used. Six optimal climatic variables were selected through stepwise multiple regression analysis with DMY as the response variable. Subsequently, via general linear model, the final model including the six climatic variables and cultivated locations as dummy variables was constructed as follows: DMY = 104.166SGD + 1.454AAT + 147.863MTJ + 59.183PAT150 - 4.693SRF + 45.106SRD - 5230.001 + Location, where SGD was spring growing days, AAT was autumnal accumulated temperature, MTJ was mean temperature in January, PAT150 was period to accumulated temperature 150, SRF was spring rainfall, and SRD was spring rainfall days. The model constructed in this research could explain 24.4 % of the variations in DMY of FR. The homoscedasticity and the assumption that the mean of the residuals were equal to zero was satisfied. The goodness-of-fit of the model was proper based on most scatters of the predicted DMY values fell within the 95% confidence interval.

차광처리에 의한 맥문동의 광합성 및 물질 생산 특성 (Characteristics of Photosynthesis and Dry Matter Production of Liriope platyphylla $W_{ANG}\;et\;T_{ANG}$)

  • 원준연;이충열
    • 한국약용작물학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.82-87
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    • 2002
  • 차광 및 광 강도별 맥문동의 광합성속도, 기공전도도 및 증산작용과 그 관련형질간의 상호연관성을 구명하였던 바는 다음과 같다. 맥문동의 광합성속도는 광 강도가 증가함에 따라 증가하였고 PAR $700-1000{\mu}mol/m^2/s$에서 최고치를 나타내었으며 차광에 의해 증가되는 경향이었다. 기공전도도는 광 강도가 증가함에 따라 증가되었고, 광합성속도, 증산작용 및 기공전도도의 일변화는 비슷한 경향의 양상을 띄었다. 광합성속도와 기공전도도와의 관계는 1차직선회귀관계로 고도의 정(正)의 상관이 인정되었으나 대조구와 차광구가 각각 다른 1차회귀직선을 보여 동일한 기공전도도에서 차광구의 광합성속도가 대조구보다 높은 경향으로 나타났다. 증산작용과 기공전도도 및 광합성속도와 증산작용의 관계는 양자간에 모두 1차회귀식의 정(正)의 상관관계가 인정되었다.

Data-mining modeling for the prediction of wear on forming-taps in the threading of steel components

  • Bustillo, Andres;Lopez de Lacalle, Luis N.;Fernandez-Valdivielso, Asier;Santos, Pedro
    • Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.337-348
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    • 2016
  • An experimental approach is presented for the measurement of wear that is common in the threading of cold-forged steel. In this work, the first objective is to measure wear on various types of roll taps manufactured to tapping holes in microalloyed HR45 steel. Different geometries and levels of wear are tested and measured. Taking their geometry as the critical factor, the types of forming tap with the least wear and the best performance are identified. Abrasive wear was observed on the forming lobes. A higher number of lobes in the chamber zone and around the nominal diameter meant a more uniform load distribution and a more gradual forming process. A second objective is to identify the most accurate data-mining technique for the prediction of form-tap wear. Different data-mining techniques are tested to select the most accurate one: from standard versions such as Multilayer Perceptrons, Support Vector Machines and Regression Trees to the most recent ones such as Rotation Forest ensembles and Iterated Bagging ensembles. The best results were obtained with ensembles of Rotation Forest with unpruned Regression Trees as base regressors that reduced the RMS error of the best-tested baseline technique for the lower length output by 33%, and Additive Regression with unpruned M5P as base regressors that reduced the RMS errors of the linear fit for the upper and total lengths by 25% and 39%, respectively. However, the lower length was statistically more difficult to model in Additive Regression than in Rotation Forest. Rotation Forest with unpruned Regression Trees as base regressors therefore appeared to be the most suitable regressor for the modeling of this industrial problem.

이동통신 자료를 활용한 거시적 교통사고 예측 모형 개발 (Macro-Level Accident Prediction Model using Mobile Phone Data)

  • 곽호찬;송지영;이인묵;이준
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.98-104
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    • 2018
  • Macroscopic accident analyses have been conducted to incorporate transportation safety into long-term transportation planning. In macro-level accident prediction model, exposure variable(e.g. a settled population) have been used as fundamental explanatory variable under the concept that each trip will be subjected to a probable risk of accident. However, a settled population may be embedded error by exclusion of active population concept. The objective of this research study is to develop macro-level accident prediction model using floating population variable(concept of including a settled population and active population) collected from mobile phone data. The concept of accident prediction models is introduced utilizing exposure variable as explanatory variable in a generalized linear regression with assumption of a negative binomial error structure. The goodness of fit of model using floating population variable is compared with that of the each models using population and the number of household variables. Also, log transformation models are additionally developed to improve the goodness of fit. The results show that the log transformation model using floating population variable is useful for capturing the relationships between accident and exposure variable and generally perform better than the models using other existing exposure variables. The developed model using floating population variable can be used to guide transportation safety policy decision makers to allocate resources more efficiently for the regions(or zones) with higher risk and improve urban transportation safety in transportation planning step.

낙동강 주요 지류에서 생활환경 기준 수질 성분의 수질등급 및 회귀분석 (Water Quality Level of the Living Environmental Standards and Regression Analysis in the Major Tributaries of the Nakdong River)

  • 강동환;소윤환;박경덕;김일규;김병우
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.357-369
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the water quality components (pH, BOD, COD, TOC, SS, DO, TP) and the water quality, observed for 10 years (2008~2017) in the five tributaries of the Nakdong River with the highest flow rates, were analyzed. Monthly levels of the water quality components were estimated and regression functions were used to quantitatively explain the changes in the BOD and COD components, with respect to the TOC components. The results of analyzing the water quality levels in terms of the living environmental standards show that the lowest water quality was observed midstream (ST-3) and the highest water quality was observed upstream (ST-1 and ST-2). The regression function was estimated to be a linear function in all five tributaries, and the goodness of fit of the function was high upstream (ST-2), midstream (ST-3), and downstream (ST-4). According to the regression analysis using the observation data from 2008~2017, we found that the consumption of dissolved oxygen increased with an increase in organic matter in the major tributaries of the Nakdong River.