• Title/Summary/Keyword: Linear Inflow Model

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Hydrological Evaluation of Rainwater Harvesting: 1. Hydrological Analysis (빗물이용의 수문학적 평가: 1. 수문해석)

  • Yoo, Chulsang;Kim, Kyoungjun;Yun, Zuhwan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.221-229
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    • 2008
  • This study revised a model for hydrologically analyzing rainwater harvesting facilities considering their rainfall-runoff properties and the data available. This model has only a few parameters, which can be estimated with rather poor measurements available. The model has a non-linear module for rainfall loss, and the remaining rainfall excess (effective rainfall) is assumed to be inflow to the storage tank. This model has been applied for the rainwater harvesting facilities in Seoul National University, Korea Institute of Construction Technology, and the Daejon World Cup Stadium. As a result, the runoff coefficients estimated were about 0.9 for the building roof as a rainwater collecting surface and about 0.18 for the playground. This result is coincident with that for designing the rainwater harvesting facilities to show the accuracy of model and the simulation results.

Development of a gate Operation Model for Agricultural reservoirs (農業用 貯水池 水門 操作 模型 開發)

  • Chung, Sang-Ok
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.40-48
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    • 1992
  • A model using a linear programming technique was developed to operate gates for the optimum management of small of medium size agricultural reservoirs. To predict the inflow into the reservoirs the WASHMO model, which was a single event hydrology model, was modified and used. To test the applicability, the developed model was applied to two reservoirs located in Kyungpook province. The results showed that the model could be used for the optimum gate operation of the agricultural reservoirs.

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Development and evaluation of dam inflow prediction method based on Bayesian method (베이지안 기법 기반의 댐 예측유입량 산정기법 개발 및 평가)

  • Kim, Seon-Ho;So, Jae-Min;Kang, Shin-Uk;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.7
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    • pp.489-502
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to propose and evaluate the BAYES-ESP, which is a dam inflow prediction method based on Ensemble Streamflow Prediction method (ESP) and Bayesian theory. ABCD rainfall-runoff model was used to predict monthly dam inflow. Monthly meteorological data collected from KMA, MOLIT and K-water and dam inflow data collected from K-water were used for the model calibration and verification. To estimate the performance of ABCD model, ESP and BAYES-ESP method, time series analysis and skill score (SS) during 1986~2015 were used. In time series analysis monthly ESP dam inflow prediction values were nearly similar for every years, particularly less accurate in wet and dry years. The proposed BAYES-ESP improved the performance of ESP, especially in wet year. The SS was used for quantitative analysis of monthly mean of observed dam inflows, predicted values from ESP and BAYES-ESP. The results indicated that the SS values of ESP were relatively high in January, February and March but negative values in the other months. It also showed that the BAYES-ESP improved ESP when the values from ESP and observation have a relatively apparent linear relationship. We concluded that the existing ESP method has a limitation to predict dam inflow in Korea due to the seasonality of precipitation pattern and the proposed BAYES-ESP is meaningful for improving dam inflow prediction accuracy of ESP.

Hydrologic Re-Analysis of Muskingum Channel Routing Method: A Linear Combination of Linear Reservoir and Linear Channel Models (Muskingum 하도추적방법의 수문학적 재해석: 선형저수지모형과 선형하천모형의 선형결합)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Kim, Ha-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.12
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    • pp.1051-1061
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    • 2010
  • This study hydrologically re-analysed the Muskingum channel routing method to represent it as a linear combination of the linear channel model considering only the translation and the linear reservoir model considering only the storage effect. The resulting model becomes a kind of instantaneous unit hydrograph, whose parameters are identical to those of the Muskingum model. That is, the outflow occurs after the routing interval ${\Delta}t$ or concentration time $T_c$, and among the total amount of inflow, the x portion is translated by the linear channel model and the remaining (1-x) portion is routed by the linear reservoir model with the storage coefficient ��$K_c$. The application result of both the Muskingum channel routing method and its corresponding instantaneous unit hydrograph to an imaginary channel showed that these two models are basically identical. This result was also assured by the application to the channel flood routing to the Kumnam and Gongju Station for the discharge from the Daechung Dam.

Analysis of Discharge Characteristics for the Seawater Exchange Breakwater Composed of Tunneled Breakwater and Submerged Mound (잠제가 설치된 유공형 해수교환방파제의 도수량 특성 분석)

  • Jeong, Shin-Taek;Lee, Dal-Soo;Cho, Hong-Yeon;Oh, Young-Min
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.465-473
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    • 2004
  • Five parameters such as the entrance size of the front wall, conduit size, wave period, wave height and the width of water pool were selected to estimate the inflow rate, which is basic and essential input data to design seawater exchange breakwater with a submerged mound by conducting hydraulic model experiments. In the results of multiple regression analysis, log-log equation showed a good agreement rather than linear equation and the estimation of inflow rate was well done with only two parameters except entrance size of the front wall, wave period and the width of water pool. Finally, non-dimensional flow rate equation is derived.

Fuzzy Optimal Reservoir Operation Considering Abnormal Flood (이상홍수를 고려한 퍼지 최적 저수지 운영)

  • Choi, Changwon;Yu, Myung Su;Yi, Jaeeung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.4B
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    • pp.221-232
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the model enhancing the safety of reservoirs and reducing the downstream flood damage by reservoirs system operation during abnormal flood was developed. Linear programming was used for the optimal reservoirs system operation during an abnormal flood and fuzzy inference system was introduced to solve the uncertainty problem which is included in hydrological factors like inflow, water level and inflow variation of reservoir operation. The linear programming model determined the optimal reservoir system operation rules and could be used in situation where water demands varies rapidly during the abnormal flood events using fuzzy control technique. In this study, the optimal reservoirs system operation for Andong and Imha reservoirs located in the upper basin of Nakdong river was performed in order that the design flood discharge at Andong city would not be exceeded for the design flood of 100 year and PMF(Probable Maximum Flood). And the model that determines the release according to the downstream flow discharge, the reservoir storage, the inflow and the inflow variation of each reservoir was developed using the optimal system operation result and fuzzy control technique. The developed model consisted of 224 fuzzy rules according to the conditions of Andong reservoir, Imha reservoir and Andong city. And the release from each reservoir could be determined when the current data are used as input data through the developed GUI.

Evaluation of Reservoir Storage Effect Using Non-linear Reservoir Model (비선형 저수지 모형을 이용한 저수지의 저류효과 평가)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Jun, Chang-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.407-416
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    • 2011
  • This study expressed the reservoir's storage-discharge relation as a non-linear reservoir model and theoretically quantified the reservoir storage effect. Among those non-linear functions like exponential function, logarithmic function and power function considered, the exponential function of the storage-discharge relation was found to be the most valid. The non-linear reservoir model proposed was applied to the Chungju Dam and the Soyang River Dam, whose storage effects during flood were estimated to be about 23 hours and 43 hours, respectively. This result indicates that the Choongju Dam, even though its size and total storage volume are similar to those of the Soyang River Dam, does not achieve enough storage effect as its basin size and the inflow amount are much larger.

IMPROVING THE ESP ACCURACY WITH COMBINATION OF PROBABILISTIC FORECASTS

  • Yu, Seung-Oh;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2004
  • Aggregating information by combining forecasts from two or more forecasting methods is an alternative to using forecasts from just a single method to improve forecast accuracy. This paper describes the development and use of a monthly inflow forecast model based on an optimal linear combination (OLC) of forecasts derived from naive, persistence, and Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) forecasts. Using the cross-validation technique, the OLC model made 1-month ahead probabilistic forecasts for the Chungju multi-purpose dam inflows for 15 years. For most of the verification months, the skill associated with the OLC forecast was superior to those drawn from the individual forecast techniques. Therefore this study demonstrates that OLC can improve the accuracy of the ESP forecast, especially during the dry season. This study also examined the value of the OLC forecasts in reservoir operations. Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) derived the optimal operating policy for the Chungju multi-purpose dam operation and the derived policy was simulated using the 15-year observed inflows. The simulation results showed the SDP model that updated its probability from the new OLC forecast provided more efficient operation decisions than the conventional SDP model.

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A Study on the Determination of Water Storage-Supply Capacity of Agricultural Reservoir (소규모 농업용 저수지의 저류량-용수공급능력 결정에 관한 연구)

  • 안승섭;정순돌;이증석;윤경덕;장인수
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.1217-1226
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    • 2002
  • This study aims at the effective estimation of water supply capacity of small scale reservoir and the proposal of the data which is necessary to establish the water resources management plan of down stream area of the reservoir in the future by comparison and examination about reservoir operation technique for the security of agricultural water in small scale reservoir. The result of flow calculation by Tank model is used for the input data as the inflow data which is needed for the analysis of water supply capacity. Stochastic method, simulation method, and optimization method are used to examine the water supply capacity, and water security amount is compared with each method. From the analyses of water supply capacities by each method, slightly different results are shown in spite of the effort to compare them equally using input data such as inflow data under equal conditions, and the comparison of water supply capacities by each method are as follows; linear planning method, simulation method, and transition probability matrix method in the order of amount from the largest. It is thought that the simulation method in which comparatively reasonable application of the inflow data is possible and is simulated in successive time series dam operation of the three methods used in this study thus, simulation model is proper to estimate the water supply capacity of agricultural small scale reservoir. And it is judged that the heightening of efficiency of water resources utilization according to the development of downstream area of dam may be possible using the upward readjusted water supply amount of $55.18{\tiems}10^6ton$ and $63.7{\times}10^6ton$ at 95% and 90% supply reliability respectively which are above the planning water supply amount of $50.0{\times}10^6$ton when the simulation method is introduced as the standard.

Optimized Allocation of Water for the Multi-Purpose Use in Agricultural Reservoirs (농업용 저수지의 다목적 이용을 위한 용수의 적정배분)

  • 신일선;권순국
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 1987
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine some difficulties in water management of agricultural reservoirs in Korea, for there are approximately more than 15,000 reservoirs which are now being utilized for the purpose of irrigation, along with the much amount of expenses and labors to be invested against droughts and floods periodically occurred. Recently, the effective use of water resources in the agricultural reservoirs with a single purpose, is becomming multiple according to the alterable environment of water use. Therefore, the task to allocate agricultural water rationally and economically must be solved for the multiple use of agricultural reservoirs. On the basis of the above statement, this study aims at suggesting the rational method of water management by introducing an optimal technique to allocate the water in an existing agricultural reservoir rationally, for the sake of maximizing the economic effect. To achieve this objective, a reservoir, called "0-Bongje" as a sample of the case study, is selected for an agricultural water development proiect of medium scale. As a model for the optimum allocation of water in the multi-purpose use of reservoirs a linear programming model is developed and analyzed. As a result, findings of the study are as follows : First, a linear programing model is developed for the optimum allocation of water in the multi-purpose use of agricultural reservoirs. By adopting the model in the case of reservoir called "O-Bongje," the optimum solution for such various objects as irrigation area, the amount of domestic water supply, the size of power generation, and the size of reservoir storage, etc., can be obtained. Second, by comparing the net benefits in each object under the changing condition of inflow into the reservoir, the factors which can most affect the yearly total net benefit can be drawn, and they are in the order of the amount of domestic water supply, irrigation area, and power generation. Third, the sensitivity analysis for the decision variable of irrigation which may have a first priority among the objects indicate that the effective method of water management can be rapidly suggested in accordance with a condition under the decreasing area of irrigation. Fourth, in the case of decision making on the water allocation policy in an existing multi-purpose reservoir, the rapid comparison of numerous alternatives can be possible by adopting the linear programming model. Besides, as the resources can be analyed in connection with various activities, it can be concluded that the linear programing model developed in this study is more quantitative than the traditional methods of analysis. Fifth, all the possible constraint equations, in using a linear programming model for adopting a water allocation problem in the agricultural reservoirs, are presented, and the method of analysis is also suggested in this study. Finally, as the linear programming model in this study is found comprehensive, the model can be adopted in any different kind of conditions of agricultural reservoirs for the purpose of analyzing optimum water allocation, if the economic and technical coefficients are known, and the decision variable is changed in accordance with the changing condition of irrigation area.

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