• 제목/요약/키워드: Lifetime Estimation

검색결과 232건 처리시간 0.028초

가전제품용 경첩의 신뢰성 추정 (Reliability Estimation of Door Hinge for Home Appliances)

  • 문지섭;김진우;이재국;이희진;신재철;김명수
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신뢰성학회 2004년도 정기학술대회
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    • pp.303-311
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents the reliability estimation of door hinge for home appliances, which consists of bushing and shaft. The predominant failure mechanism of bushing made of polyoxymethylene(POM) is brittle fracture due to decrease of strength caused by voids existing, and that of shaft made of acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene(ABS) is creep due to plastic deformation caused by excessive temperature and lowering of glass transition temperature by absorbed moisture. Since the brittle fracture of bushing is overstress failure mechanism, the load-strength interference model is used to estimate the failure rate of it along with failure analysis. By the way, the creep of shaft is wearout failure mechanism, and an accelerated life test is then planned and implemented to estimate its lifetime. Through the technical review about failure mechanism, temperature and humidity are selected as accelerating variables. Assuming Weibull lifetime distribution and Eyring model, the life-stress relationship and acceleration factor, B$_{10}$ life and its lower bound with 90% confidence at worst case use condition are estimated by analyzing the accelerated life test data.a.

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잉크젯 잉크의 수명예측을 위한 광열화 가속시험법에 관한 연구 (A Study on Accelerated Photo-Degradation Test for Lifetime Estimation of Ink-jet Ink)

  • 구현진;조항원;지병철
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.154-162
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    • 2015
  • We have performed accelerated photo-degradation test using a 10-Sun level high irradiance $Weather-Ometer^{(R)}$ (10-Sun Ci5000) in an attempt to study acceleration and correlation between accelerated and service conditions for ink-jet ink. The accelerated test was used to predict lifetimes of ink-jet ink through the calculation of scaling factor for intensity of irradiance and duration of usage combined with estimation of lifetime distribution and inverse power model as a life-stress model. The lifetimes and acceleration factors for foreign and domestic inks were compared with each other. The results showed that the failure mechanisms and life-stress models for ink-jet ink were different among the color of ink which means that we might be in need of further study by color of inks.

Statistical analysis of parameter estimation of a probabilistic crack initiation model for Alloy 182 weld considering right-censored data and the covariate effect

  • Park, Jae Phil;Park, Chanseok;Oh, Young-Jin;Kim, Ji Hyun;Bahn, Chi Bum
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제50권1호
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2018
  • To ensure the structural integrity of nuclear power plants, it is essential to predict the lifetime of Alloy 182 weld, which is used for welding in nuclear reactors. The lifetime of Alloy 182 weld is directly related to the crack initiation time. Owing to the large time scatter in most crack initiation tests, a probabilistic model, such as the Weibull distribution, has mainly been adopted for prediction. However, since statistically more advanced methods than current typical methods may be applied, we suggest a statistical procedure for parameter estimation of the crack initiation time of Alloy 182 weld, considering right-censored data and the covariate effect. Furthermore, we suggest a procedure for uncertainty evaluation of the estimators based on the bootstrap method. The suggested statistical procedure can be applied not only to Alloy 182 weld but also to any material degradation data set including right-censored data with covariate effect.

파레토 및 어랑 형상모수에 의존한 수명분포를 따르는 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 대한 신뢰도 특성요인 비교 연구 (A Comparison of Reliability Factors of Software Reliability Model Following Lifetime Distribution Dependent on Pareto and Erlang Shape Parameters)

  • 김희철;문송철
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2017
  • Software reliability is one of the most elementary and important problems in software development In order to find the software failure occurrence, the instantaneous failure rate function in the Poisson process can have a constant, incremental or decreasing tendency independently of the failure time. In this study, we compared the reliability performance of the software reliability model using the parameters of Pareto life distribution with the intensity decreasing pattern and the shape parameter of Erlang life distribution with the intensity increasing and decreasing pattern in the software product testing. In order to identify the software failure environment, the parametric estimation was applied to the maximum likelihood estimation method. Therefore, in this paper, we compare and evaluate software reliability by applying software failure time data. The reliability of the Erlang and Pareto life models is shown to be higher than that of the Pareto lifetime distribution model when the shape parameter is higher and the Erlang model is more reliable when the shape parameter is higher. Through this study, the software design department will be able to help the software design by applying various life distribution and shape parameters, and providing basic knowledge using software failure analysis.

Wireless sensor network design for large-scale infrastructures health monitoring with optimal information-lifespan tradeoff

  • Xiao-Han, Hao;Sin-Chi, Kuok;Ka-Veng, Yuen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.583-599
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, a multi-objective wireless sensor network configuration optimization method is proposed. The proposed method aims to determine the optimal information and lifespan wireless sensor network for structural health monitoring of large-scale infrastructures. In particular, cluster-based wireless sensor networks with multi-type of sensors are considered. To optimize the lifetime of the wireless sensor network, a cluster-based network optimization algorithm that optimizes the arrangement of cluster heads and base station is developed. On the other hand, based on the Bayesian inference, the uncertainty of the estimated parameters can be quantified. The coefficient of variance of the estimated parameters can be obtained, which is utilized as a holistic measure to evaluate the estimation accuracy of sensor configurations with multi-type of sensors. The proposed method provides the optimal wireless sensor network configuration that satisfies the required estimation accuracy with the longest lifetime. The proposed method is illustrated by designing the optimal wireless sensor network configuration of a cable-stayed bridge and a space truss.

계통연계형 태양광발전시스템의 성능 추정방법 (Performance Estimation Method of Grid-Connected Photovoltaic System)

  • 소정훈;이봉섭;유진수;황혜미;유권종
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents performance estimation approach of grid-connected photovoltaic(PV) system to predict energy yield from irradiance to PV system using normalized yield model for changing meteorological conditions. The accuracy and validity of proposed performance estimation method is identified by compared measured with estimated yield using monitored data. These results will indicate that it is useful to estimate various loss factors causing the system performance obstruction and enhance the lifetime yield of PV system.

가부반응 데이터 특성을 가지는 탄약 체계의 신뢰도 추정방법 비교 (Comparison of Reliability Estimation Methods for Ammunition Systems with Quantal-response Data)

  • 류장희;백승준;손영갑
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.982-989
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    • 2010
  • This paper shows accuracy comparison results of reliability estimation methods for one-shot systems such as ammunitions. Quantal-response data, following a binomial distribution at each sampling time, characterizes lifetimes of one-shot systems. Various quantal-response data of different sample sizes are simulated using lifetime data randomly sampled from assumed weibull distributions with different shape parameters but the identical scale parameter in this paper. Then, reliability estimation methods in open literature are applied to the simulated quantal-response data to estimate true reliability over time. Rankings in estimation accuracy for different sample sizes are determined using t-test of SSE. Furthermore, MSE at each time, including both bias and variance of estimated reliability metrics for each method are analyzed to investigate how much both bias and variance contribute the SSE. From the MSE analysis, MSE provides reliability estimation trend for each method. Parametric estimation method provides more accurate reliability estimation results than the other methods for most of sample sizes.

CALT 방법을 이용한 액슬구동축의 수명 예측 (Lifetime Estimation of an Axle Drive Shaft by Calibrated Accelerated Life Test Method)

  • 김도식;김형의;윤성한;강이석
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.273-281
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문은 교정가속수명시험법을 이용하여 액슬구동축의 피로수명을 예측하는 법을 제안한다. 교정가속 수명시험법은 수명예측, 시험시간 절감, 신뢰성 정량화시에 매우 효과적이다. 피로시험은 두 개의 고 부하 수준과 한 개의 저 부하 수준에서 수행되고, 외삽법을 사용하여 사용수준에서의 수명시간을 예측하게 된다. 본 논문에서는 수행시험 결과로부터 획득한 수명시간, 가속지수, 형상모수, 척도모수등과 같은 주요 신뢰성 인자들을 보여주고 있다. 액슬구동축의 수명예측은 부하스펙트럼 데이터와 시험데이터와의 비교 연구를 수행하여 검증하였다. 교정가속수명시험법을 사용한 수명예측법은 짧은 시간내에 수명을 예측하는데 매우 효과적인 방법임을 확인하였다.

가속노화조건 하 연료접촉 고무오링의 수명예측 및 누유시험 연구 (A Study on the Lifetime Estimation and Leakage Test of Rubber O-ring in Contacted with Fuel at Accelerated Thermal Aging Conditions)

  • 정근우;홍진숙;김영운;한정식;정병훈;권영일
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.222-228
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    • 2019
  • As rubber products such as O-rings, which are also known as packings or toric joints, come in regular, long term contact with liquid fuel, they can eventually swell, become mechanically weakened, and occasionally crack; this diminishes both their usefulness and intrinsic lifetime and could cause leaks during the steady-state flow condition of the fuel. In this study, we evaluate the lifetime of such products through compression set tests of FKM, a family of fluorocarbon elastomer materials defined by the ASTM international standard D141; these materials have great compression, sunlight, and ozone resistance as well as a low gas absorption rate. In this process, O-rings are immersed in the liquid fuel of airtight containers that can be expressed as a compression set, and the liquid fuel leakage in a flow rig tester at variable temperatures over 12 months is investigated. Using the Power Law model, our study determined a theoretical O-ring lifetime of 2,647 years, i.e. a semi-permanent lifespan, by confirming the absence of liquid fuel leakage around the O-ring assembled fittings. These results indicate that the FKM O-rings are significantly compatible for fuel tests to evaluate long-term sealing conditions.

실리콘 웨이퍼에서 소수 반송자 재결합 수명과 표면 부위 미세 결함에 의한 기계적 손상 평가 (Estimation of mechanical damage by minority carrier recombination lifetime and near surface micro defect in silicon wafer)

  • 최치영;조상희
    • 한국결정성장학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.157-161
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    • 1999
  • 초크랄스키 실리콘 기판의 뒷면에 형성된 기계적 손상이 미치는 효과에 대하여 고찰하였다. 기계적 손상의 정도는 레이저 여기/극초단파 반사 광전도 감쇠법에 의한 소수반송자 재결합 수명, 습식산화/선택적 식각 방법, 표면 부위 미소 결함 및 X-선 단면 측정 분석으로 평가하였다. 그 결과, 웨이퍼 뒷면에 가해지는 기계적 손상의 세기가 강할수 록 소수반송자 재결합 수명은 짧아지고, 표면 부위 미소 결함 밀도는 비례적으로 증가하였으며, 산화 유기 적충 결함 밀 도와도 상호 일치하였다. 그래서, 표면 부위 미소 결함 기술은 산화 유기 적층 결함을 측정하는데 있어서 통상적인 부식 방법과는 별도로 사용될 수 있다.

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