• 제목/요약/키워드: Lifetime Estimation

검색결과 232건 처리시간 0.035초

BLU(Back light Unit) 용 LED 의 수명예측 (Lifetime Estimation for BLU LED)

  • 김민표;김재중;장석원;곽계달
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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    • pp.1271-1276
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    • 2008
  • This study has explained about LED for BLU which is widely used in the kinds of display devices or lighting. It was shown that the open due to delamination were the dominant LED for BLU failure mode and mechanisms from failure analysis of LED samples. Then, we have defined failure as yellowing and 100% reduction of light output intensity of LED for BLU and acceleration factors as temperature and current in Accelerated Life Test(ALT). Finally, we have estimated the Weibull distribution, life-stress relationship, and accelerating factor is used by ALTA Software.

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HeMOSU-1호 관측풍속의 불확실성을 고려한 서남해안의 풍력 발전량 예측 (Prediction of Wind Power Generation at Southwest Coast of Korea Considering Uncertainty of HeMOSU-1 Wind Speed Data)

  • 이기남;김동현;권오순
    • 신재생에너지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2014
  • Wind power generation of 5 MW wind turbine was predicted by using wind measurement data from HeMOSU-1 which is at south west coast of Korea. Time histories of turbulent wind was generated from 10-min mean wind speed and then they were used as input to Bladed to estimated electric power. Those estimated powers are used in both polynominal regression and neural network training. They were compared with each other for daily production and yearly production. Effect of mean wind speed and turbulence intensity were quantitatively analyzed and discussed. This technique further can be used to assess lifetime power of wind turbine.

열화가 Wiener process를 따르는 경우의 비용을 고려한 가속열화시험 계획 (Optimal Design of Accelerated Degradation Tests under the Constraint of Total Experimental Cost in the Case that the Degradation Characteristic Follows a Wiener Process)

  • 임헌상
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제40권2호
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2012
  • For the highly reliable products, an accelerated degradation test (ADT) is a useful tool which has been employed in industry to obtain reliability-related information within an affordable amount of time and cost. In an ADT, as all other reliability tests, it is important to carefully design the ADT beforehand to obtain estimates of the quantities of interest as precisely as possible. In this paper, optimal ADTs are developed assuming that the constant-stress loading method is employed and the degradation characteristic follows a Wiener process. Under the constraint that the total cost does not exceed a pre-specified budget, the stress levels, the number of test units allocated to each stress level and the number of measurement (termination time) are determined such that the asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of the q-th quantile of the lifetime distribution at the use condition is minimized.

열화특성치가 와이블분포를 따르는 경우 두 가지 스트레스 변수를 고려한 가속열화시험의 최적 설계 (Optimal Design of Accelerated Degradation Tests with Two Stress Variables in the Case that the Degradation Characteristic Follows Weibull Distribution)

  • 임헌상;김용수
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2013
  • Accelerated degradation tests (ADTs) measuring failure-related degradation characteristic at the accelerated condition are widely used to assess the reliability of highly reliable products. Often, however, little degradation could be observed even in single-stress ADTs due to the high reliability of test unit, and as a result poor estimate of the reliability may be obtained. ADTs with multiple stress variables can be employed to overcome such difficulties. In this paper, optimal ADT plans with two stress variables are developed assuming that the degradation characteristic follows Weibull distribution by determining the stress levels, the proportion of test units allocated to each stress level such that the asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of the q-th quantile of the lifetime distribution at the use condition is minimized.

A review of tropical cyclone wind field models

  • Wills, J.A.B.;Lee, B.E.;Wyatt, T.A.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2000
  • Engineered structures such as buildings and bridges in certain regions of the world need to be designed to withstand tropical cyclone winds, otherwise known as typhoons or hurricanes. In order to carry out this design, it is necessary to be able to estimate the maximum wind speeds likely to be encountered by the structure over its expected lifetime, say 100 years. Estimation of the maximum wind involves not only the overall strength of the tropical cyclone, but the variation of wind speed with radius from the centre, circumferential position, and with height above the ground surface. In addition, not only the mean wind speed, but also the gust factor must usually be estimated as well. This paper investigates a number of recent mathematical models of tropical cyclone structure and comments on their suitability for these purposes in a variety of scenarios.

PD패턴과 방전량의 통계적 분포 및 정규화 (The Normalization and Statistical Distril in Partial Discharge Quantities and Patter)

  • 임장섭;이진;김덕근
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 1999년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.161-164
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    • 1999
  • Estimation system of aging diagnosis using partial discharge(PD) is being highlighted as a research area for the residual lifetime pridiction of industrial equipment. But the application of PD requires complicated analysis method as expert system because the PD has complex progressing forms according to external stress. In this paper, it has been investigated the statistical distribution to express the 2D PD patterns of the diagnosis system using neural network(NN).

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Parameters estimation of the generalized linear failure rate distribution using simulated annealing algorithm

  • Sarhan, Ammar M.;Karawia, A.A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.91-104
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    • 2012
  • Sarhan and Kundu (2009) introduced a new distribution named as the generalized linear failure rate distribution. This distribution generalizes several well known distributions. The probability density function of the generalized linear failure rate distribution can be right skewed or unimodal and its hazard function can be increasing, decreasing or bathtub shaped. This distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze lifetime data in place of linear failure rate, generalized exponential and generalized Rayleigh distributions. In this paper, we apply the simulated annealing algorithm to obtain the maximum likelihood point estimates of the parameters of the generalized linear failure rate distribution. Simulated annealing algorithm can not only find the global optimum; it is also less likely to fail because it is a very robust algorithm. The estimators obtained using simulated annealing algorithm have been compared with the corresponding traditional maximum likelihood estimators for their risks.

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Parameters Estimation of Generalized Linear Failure Rate Semi-Markov Reliability Models

  • El-Gohary, A.;Al-Khedhair, A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2010
  • In this paper we will discuss the stochastic analysis of a three state semi-Markov reliability model. Maximum likelihood procedure will be used to obtain the estimators of the parameters included in this reliability model. Based on the assumption that the lifetime and repair time of the system units are generalized linear failure rate random variables, the reliability function of this system is obtained. Also, the distribution of the first passage time of this system will be derived. Some important special cases are discussed.

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유한요소법을 이용한 철도 차륜에서 구름 접촉으로 인한 피로손상 평가 (Estimation of Fatigue Damage Due to Rolling Contact in a Railway Wheel Using FEM Analysis)

  • 이상훈;김호경
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2011
  • Fatigue damage on the train wheel surface was estimated by considering the effect of friction coefficient of rolling on the contact surface between the wheel and rail during operation. From FEM analys, the maximum Tresca stress was 550.7 MPa at a depth of 2.07 mm under the maximum contact pressure ($P_{max}$ = 894.3 MPa) between wheel and rail. The maximum stress continued to increase along with the increase in the frictional coefficient. The fatigue initiation lifetime of the wheel by the rolling contact was predicted using the Smith-Watson-Topper (SWT) equation and the maximum principal strain equation (${\varepsilon}$-N).

Estimation of Thermal Aging Embrittlement of LWR Primary Pressure Boundary Components

  • Kim, Sunki;Kim, Yongsoo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.609-616
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    • 1998
  • Cast duplex stainless steels are extensively used for primary pressure boundary components. These components are, however, embrittled due to the precipitation of $\alpha$' phase by spinodal decomposition and other processes when exposed to reactor operating temperature for a design lifetime or life extension conditions. This report presents a procedure for estimating the current condition and the residual life of safety-related stainless steel components by using ANL database and correlations. The database of Charpy impact energy suggests that CF-8M grade is the most susceptible to thermal aging and CF-3 grade is the least. Thus, the integrity of CF-8M alleys may be degraded seriously and the degree of deterioration may exceed acceptance limit after several years of service in the nuclear reactors.

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