• Title/Summary/Keyword: Leading Indicator

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Development of Integrated System of Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing(TDABC) Using Balanced Scorecard(BSC) and Economic Value Added(EVA) (BSC와 EVA를 이용한 TDABC 통합시스템의 개발)

  • Choi, Sungwoon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.451-469
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to implement and develop the integrated Economic Value Added (EVA) and Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing (TDABC) model to seek both improvement of Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Tax (NOPLAT) and reduction of Capital Charge (CC). Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Tax (NOPLAT) can be maximized by reducing the indirect cost of an unused resource capacity increased by Cost Capacity Ratio (CCR) of TDABC. On the other hand, Capital Charge (CC) can be minimized by improving the efficiency of Invested Capital (IC) considered by Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of EVA. In addition, the integrated system of TDABC using Balance Scorecard (BSC) and EVA is developed by linking between the lagging indicators and the three leading indicators. The three leading indicators include customer, internal process and growth and learning perspectives whereas the lagging indicator includes NOPLAT and CC in terms of financial perspective. When the Critical Success Factor (CSF) of BSC is cascading as a cause and an effect relationship, time driver of TDABC and capital driver of EVA can be used efficiently as Key Performance Indicator (KPI) of BSC. For a better understanding of the proposed EVA/TDABC model and BSC/EVA/TDABC model, numerical examples are derived from this paper. From the proposed model, the time driver of TDABC and the capital driver of EVA are known to lessen indirect cost from comprehensive income statement when increasing the efficiency of operating IC from the statement of financial position with unified KPI cascading of aligned BSC CSFs.

The Lead-Lag Relationship between KRX Construction Index and Business Survey Index (KRX건설 주가지수와 기업경기실사지수 간의 선행-후행 관계)

  • Han-Soo Yoo
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2023
  • This study explores the interrelationship between 'KRX Construction' and 'Business Survey Index'. KRX Construction is a leading economic indicator of construction industry, implying the potential interdependence with BSI Construction. Previous papers have investigated the relationship between the released stock price index and BSI. Using Granger causality tests, this study investigates how the BSI Construction is associated with the trend and noise-trading components of KRX Construction, respectively. The decomposition of KRX Construction of trend and noise-trading is based on the state-space model. The results document unilateral Granger causalities from released KRX Construction, trend component, noise-trading component to BSI Construction. In sum, this study demonstrates that construction company CEOs view stock price index as a leading economic indicator.

Study of Short-Term Sunspot Motion toward Flare Onset Prediction

  • Suematsu, Yoshinori;Yatini, Clara Y.
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.87.2-87.2
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    • 2011
  • Proper motion of sunspots in several active regions was studied to detect their indicator on flare onset, using data from the Solar Flare Telescope at Mitaka (four flaring active regions), TRACE (e.g. NOAA 0424, M1.7 flare on 5 Aug. 2003) and Hinode (e.g. NOAA 10930, X3.4 flare on 13 Dec. 2006). The proper motion of individual sunspots was derived using a local correlation tracking method. As a result, we found that the sunspots that are located under or close to a part of chromospheric flaring patches showed a change in their moving direction prior to the flare onset. The change in their movements took place a half to two hours before the flare onset. On the other hand, sunspots in non-flaring areas or non-flaring active regions did not show this kind of change. It is likely, therefore, that if a sunspot shows the particular movement, a chromospheric flare is to occur in its nearby region. In the most active regions, the part of flare ribbons was located on an emerging bipolar pair of sunspots. The disturbance in the usual motion of the bipolar sunspots and in other sunspots as well can be interpreted as a sign of magnetic shear development leading to final magnetic energy buildup before its sudden release. We suggest that the change in sunspot motion in a short time scale prior to the flare onset can be regarded as a good indicator in predicting the onset timing and location of chromospheric flares.

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A Study on the Spillover Effect of Information between Factors Related to Steel Materials and BCI (제철원료 관련 요인과 BCI 간의 정보전이 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Yo-Pyung Hwang;Ye-Eun Oh;Keun-Sik Park
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.133-154
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    • 2022
  • The Baltic Capesize Index (BCI), which is used as an indicator for marine transportation of steel raw materials, is one of the key economic indexes for managing the risk of loss due to rapid market fluctuations when steel companies establish business strategies and procuring plans for raw materials. Still, the conditions of supply and demand of steel raw materials has been extremely affected by volatility shocks from drastic events like the financial crisis such as the Lehman Brothers incident and changes in the external environment such as COVID-19. And, especially since the 2008 financial crisis, endeavors to predict the market conditions of the steel raw material is becoming more and more arduous for the deepening uncertainty and increased volatility of BCI, which has been used as a leading indicator of the real economy. This study investigates the correlation between the steel raw material market and the marine transportation market by estimating the spillover effect of information between markets. The vector error correction model (VECM) was used to analyze information transfer based on the correlation between the BCI and crude steel production, capesize fleet supply, raw material price, and cargo volume.

Evaluating Biodiversity Conservation Activities by Corporations Based on Afforestation: KT&G (산림조성을 기반으로 한 기업의 생물다양성 보전 활동 분석: KT&G의 사례를 중심으로)

  • Geonhui Kim;Yoora Cho;Jay Hyuk Rhee;Yong Sik Ok
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.345-353
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    • 2024
  • As biodiversity loss has been highlighted as a global risk, biodiversity activities are gaining attention as a part of companies' Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) related management. This study evaluates various biodiversity activities of corporations based on domestic and international indicators. We present the role of corporations expressly in afforestation activities and suggest additional information that should be disclosed for the accurate verification of environmental values by third parties. KT&G was selected as the subject of the evaluation. The 4th National Biodiversity Strategy was used as a domestic indicator, and GRI Standard 304 as an international indicator. Companies can play a leading role in planning, implementing, and monitoring afforestation activities and should further disclose the species composition of the forests created and the age of the seedlings to enhance the credibility of the environmental values stated in their sustainability reports.

Predictability of Consumer Expectations for Future Changes in Real Growth (소비자 기대심리의 미래 성장 예측력)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Lim, La-Hee;Lee, Seung-Eun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.457-465
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    • 2015
  • The long lasting world-wide recession and low economic progress have made it more important to predict future economic behavior. Accordingly, it is of interest to explore useful leading indicators, correlated with policy targets, to predict future economic growth. This study attempts to develop a model to evaluate the performance of consumer survey results from Statistics Korea to predict future economic activities. A statistical model is formulated and estimated to generate predictions by utilizing consumer expectations. The prediction is found improved in the distant future and consumer expectations appear to be a useful leading indicator to provide information of future real growth.

The Short-Term Fear Effects for Taiwan's Equity Market from Bad News Concerning Sino-U.S. Trade Friction

  • YANG, Shu Ya;LIN, Hsiu Hsu;LIU, Ying Sing
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2021
  • Mainland China area has been a long-term, major trade rival and partner of Taiwan, accounting for more than 40% of Taiwan's total annual trade exports, and so Sino-US trade friction is expected to have a significant impact on Taiwan's economy in the future. This study focuses on major bad news of Sino-US trade frictions and how it generates short-term shocks for Taiwan's equity market and fear sentiment. It further explores the mutual interpretation relationship between price changes such as VIX, Taiwan's stock market index, and the VIX ETF to identify which factors have information leadership as leading indicators. The study period covers 750 trading days from 2017/1/3 to 2020/1/31. This study finds that, when a policy news is announced, the stock market index falls significantly, the change in the trading price (net value) of the VIX ETF rises significantly, and the overprice rate significantly drops, but VIX does not, showing that fear sentiment exists in the Taiwan's market. The net value of the VIX ETF shows an information advantage as a leading indicator. This study suggests that, when the world's two largest economies clash over trade, the impact on Taiwan's equity market is inevitable, and that short-term fear effects will arise.

The analysis of compatibility between the leading indicators and health promotion programs of community health centers in Seoul (핵심 건강지표와 서울시 보건소 건강증진사업 내용의 일치성 분석)

  • Rhee, Yong Joo;Lee, Ju Yul;Song, Sun Woo
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: This study examines that the compatibilities between the health promotion programs in community health center and the leading health indicators in National Health Plan. Methods: We analyzed health promotion programs associated with three health indicators; smoking(smoking rate in male), alcohol use(alcohol use rate in adults), obesity(obesity rate) in twenty five community health centers in Seoul. First, we classified three groups(excellent, fair and poor groups) using average scores of Seoul, that of Korea and National Health Plan2010 goals in three health indicators. Afterwards, we examined the compatibility between contents of health promotion programs regarding leading health indicators and the specific program activities. Results: The compatibility levels between health indicators and contents of health promotion programs was 80 % for smoking among fair and poor groups while fair and poor for smoking reported 60% and 70%, respectively. For obesity, excellent group reported 80% and fair group had 91%. Conclusion: In conclusion, although all districts were able to access available data for health indicators and health statistics every year, it seems that they did not only utilize these data enough in conjunction with health promotion programs but also did not integrate specific activities according to National Health Plan systematically.

Review and Discussion on Development of Soil Quality Indicators (토양의 질 지표 개발 동향과 논의)

  • Yoon, Jung-Hui
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.192-198
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    • 2004
  • The heavy dependence of modern science-based agriculture on chemicals such as fertilizers and pesticides, and heavy machinery gave rise to questions about long-term sustainability of agriculture in relation to degradation of soil quality. The research achievements and trends in developing soil quality indicators were introduced and discussed in this report. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) established 13 agri-environment indicators including soil quality indicator in 1994, collected the soil data and methodologies for development of soil quality indicators in OECD member countries responded to OECD questionnaires and published the OECD reports, Environmental Indicators for Agriculture Volume 1, 2, and 3. Leading countries such as USA, Canada and New Zealand collected national data and evaluated the data in aspect of soil quality. They developed the various methods for selecting a minimum data set (MDS), scoring the soil properties and calculating soil quality index integrating the score of each soil property.

Recurrence plot entropy for machine defect severity assessment

  • Yan, Ruqiang;Qian, Yuning;Huang, Zhoudi;Gao, Robert X.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.299-314
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a nonlinear time series analysis technique for evaluating machine defect severity, based on the Recurrence Plot (RP) entropy. The RP entropy is calculated from the probability distribution of the diagonal line length in the recurrence plot, which graphically depicts a system's dynamics and provides a global picture of the autocorrelation in a time series over all available time-scales. Results of experimental studies conducted on a spindle-bearing test bed have demonstrated that, as the working condition of the bearing deteriorates due to the initiation and/or progression of structural damages, the frequency information contained in the vibration signal becomes increasingly complex, leading to the increase of the RP entropy. As a result, RP entropy can serve as an effective indicator for defect severity assessment of rolling bearings.