• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.17 no.5
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• pp.825-832
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• 2022

In this paper, we discuss the design and implementation of predictive and diagnostic models for realizing intelligent predictive models by collecting and storing the power output of agricultural photovoltaic power generation systems. Our model predicts the amount of photovoltaic power generation using RNN, LSTM, and GRU models, which are recurrent neural network techniques specialized for time series data, and compares and analyzes each model with different hyperparameters, and evaluates the performance. As a result, the MSE and RMSE indicators of all three models were very close to 0, and the R2 indicator showed performance close to 1. Through this, it can be seen that the proposed prediction model is a suitable model for predicting the amount of photovoltaic power generation, and using this prediction, it was shown that it can be utilized as an intelligent and efficient O&M function in an agricultural photovoltaic system.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.36 no.2
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• pp.129-139
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• 2023

Forecasting volatility is essential to avoiding the risk caused by the uncertainties of an financial asset. Complicated financial volatility features such as ambiguity between non-stationarity and stationarity, asymmetry, long-memory, sudden fairly large values like outliers bring great challenges to volatility forecasts. In order to address such complicated features implicity, we consider machine leaning models such as LSTM (1997) and GRU (2014), which are known to be suitable for existing time series forecasting. However, there are the problems of vanishing gradients, of enormous amount of computation, and of a huge memory. To solve these problems, a causal temporal convolutional network (TCN) model, an advanced form of 1D CNN, is also applied. It is confirmed that the overall forecasting power of TCN model is higher than that of the RNN models in forecasting VIX, VXD, and VXN, the daily volatility indices of S&P 500, DJIA, Nasdaq, respectively.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2022.06a
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• pp.110-110
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• 2022

본 연구는 자율운항 선박의 원격 고장 진단 기법 개발의 일부로 수행되었다. 특히, 엔진 연료 계통 장비로부터 계측된 시계열 데이터로부터 상태 진단을 위한 알고리즘 구현 결과를 제시하였다. 엔진 연료 펌프와 청정기를 가진 육상 실험 장비로부터 진동 시계열 데이터 계측하였으며, 이상 감지, 고장 분류 및 고장 예측이 가능한 심층 학습(Deep Learning) 및 기계 학습(Machine Learning) 알고리즘을 구현하였다. 육상 실험 장비에 고장 유형 별로 인위적인 고장을 발생시켜 특징적인 진동 신호를 계측하여, 인공 지능 학습에 이용하였다. 계측된 신호 데이터는 선행 발생한 사건의 신호가 후행 사건에 영향을 미치는 특성을 가지고 있으므로, 시계열에 내포된 고장 상태는 시간 간의 선후 종속성을 반영할 수 있는 학습 알고리즘을 제시하였다. 고장 사건의 시간 종속성을 반영할 수 있도록 순환(Recurrent) 계열의 RNN(Recurrent Neural Networks), LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory models)의 모델과 합성곱 연산 (Convolution Neural Network)을 기반으로 하는 Conv1D 모델을 적용하여 예측 정확성을 비교하였다. 특히, 합성곱 계열의 RNN LSTM 모델이 고차원의 순차적 자연어 언어 처리에 장점을 보이는 모델임을 착안하여, 신호의 시간 종속성을 학습에 반영할 수 있는 합성곱 계열의 Conv1 알고리즘을 고장 예측에 사용하였다. 또한 기계 학습 모델의 효율성을 감안하여 XGBoost를 추가로 적용하여 고장 예측을 시도하였다. 최종적으로 연료 펌프와 청정기의 진동 신호로부터 Conv1D 모델과 XGBoost 모델의 고장 예측 성능 결과를 비교하였다

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.46 no.3
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• pp.123-138
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• 2023

The Fourth Industrial Revolution and sensor technology have led to increased utilization of sensor data. In our modern society, data complexity is rising, and the extraction of valuable information has become crucial with the rapid changes in information technology (IT). Recurrent neural networks (RNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) models have shown remarkable performance in natural language processing (NLP) and time series prediction. Consequently, there is a strong expectation that models excelling in NLP will also excel in time series prediction. However, current research on Transformer models for time series prediction remains limited. Traditional RNN and LSTM models have demonstrated superior performance compared to Transformers in big data analysis. Nevertheless, with continuous advancements in Transformer models, such as GPT-2 (Generative Pre-trained Transformer 2) and ProphetNet, they have gained attention in the field of time series prediction. This study aims to evaluate the classification performance and interval prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) using an advanced Transformer model. The performance of each model will be utilized to establish a health index (HI) for cutting blades, enabling real-time monitoring of machine health. The results are expected to provide valuable insights for machine monitoring, evaluation, and management, confirming the effectiveness of advanced Transformer models in time series analysis when applied in industrial settings.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.19 no.9
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• pp.181-188
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• 2021

Research and importance of legal services applied with AI so that it can be easily understood and predictable in difficult legal fields is increasing. In this study, based on the decision of the Tax Tribunal in the field of tax law, a model was built through self-learning through information collection and data processing, and the prediction results were answered to the user's query and the accuracy was verified. The proposed model collects information on tax decisions and extracts useful data through web crawling, and generates word vectors by applying Word2Vec's Fast Text algorithm to the optimized output through NLP. 11,103 cases of information were collected and classified from 2017 to 2019, and verified with 70% accuracy. It can be useful in various legal systems and prior research to be more efficient application.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.21 no.6
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• pp.552-560
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• 2021

With the recent development of the art distribution system, interest in art investment is increasing rather than seeing art as an object of aesthetic utility. Unlike stocks and bonds, the price of artworks has a heterogeneous characteristic that is determined by reflecting both objective and subjective factors, so the uncertainty in price prediction is high. In this study, we used LSTM Recurrent Neural Network deep learning model to predict the auction winning price by inputting the artist, physical and sales charateristics of the Korean artist. According to the result, the RMSE value, which explains the difference between the predicted and actual price by model, was 0.064. Painter Lee Dae Won had the highest predictive power, and Lee Joong Seop had the lowest. The results suggest the art market becomes more active as investment goods and demand for auction winning price increases.

• Journal of Advanced Information Technology and Convergence
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.15-23
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• 2020

In this paper, we propose a new method to detect traffic accidents in video from vehicle-mounted cameras (vehicle black box). We use the distance between vehicles to determine whether an accident has occurred. To calculate the position of each vehicle, we use object detection and tracking method. By the way, in a crowded road environment, it is so difficult to decide an accident has occurred because of parked vehicles at the edge of the road. It is not easy to discriminate against accidents from non-accidents because a moving vehicle and a stopped vehicle are mixed on a regular downtown road. In this paper, we try to increase the accuracy of the vehicle accident detection by using not only the motion of the surrounding vehicle but also ego-motion as the input of the Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). We improved the accuracy of accident detection compared to the previous method.

• International journal of advanced smart convergence
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.19-27
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• 2022

Across the world, 'housing' comprises a significant portion of wealth and assets. For this reason, fluctuations in real estate prices are highly sensitive issues to individual households. In Korea, housing prices have steadily increased over the years, and thus many Koreans view the real estate market as an effective channel for their investments. However, if one purchases a real estate property for the purpose of investing, then there are several risks involved when prices begin to fluctuate. The purpose of this study is to design a real estate price 'return rate' prediction model to help mitigate the risks involved with real estate investments and promote reasonable real estate purchases. Various approaches are explored to develop a model capable of predicting real estate prices based on an understanding of the immovability of the real estate market. This study employs the LSTM method, which is based on artificial intelligence and deep learning, to predict real estate prices and validate the model. LSTM networks are based on recurrent neural networks (RNN) but add cell states (which act as a type of conveyer belt) to the hidden states. LSTM networks are able to obtain cell states and hidden states in a recursive manner. Data on the actual trading prices of apartments in autonomous districts between January 2006 and December 2019 are collected from the Actual Trading Price Disclosure System of the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (MOLIT). Additionally, basic data on apartments and commercial buildings are collected from the Public Data Portal and Seoul Metropolitan Government's data portal. The collected actual trading price data are scaled to monthly average trading amounts, and each data entry is pre-processed according to address to produce 168 data entries. An LSTM model for return rate prediction is prepared based on a time series dataset where the training period is set as April 2015~August 2017 (29 months), the validation period is set as September 2017~September 2018 (13 months), and the test period is set as December 2018~December 2019 (13 months). The results of the return rate prediction study are as follows. First, the model achieved a prediction similarity level of almost 76%. After collecting time series data and preparing the final prediction model, it was confirmed that 76% of models could be achieved. All in all, the results demonstrate the reliability of the LSTM-based model for return rate prediction.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.15 no.5
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• pp.1590-1609
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• 2021

Laughter is one of the most important nonverbal sound that human generates. It is a means for expressing his emotions. The acoustic and contextual features of this specific sound are different from those of speech and many difficulties arise during their modeling process. During this work, we propose an audio laughter generation system based on unsupervised generative models: the autoencoder (AE) and its variants. This procedure is the association of three main sub-process, (1) the analysis which consist of extracting the log magnitude spectrogram from the laughter database, (2) the generative models training, (3) the synthesis stage which incorporate the involvement of an intermediate mechanism: the vocoder. To improve the synthesis quality, we suggest two hybrid models (LSTM-VAE, GRU-VAE and CNN-VAE) that combine the representation learning capacity of variational autoencoder (VAE) with the temporal modelling ability of a long short-term memory RNN (LSTM) and the CNN ability to learn invariant features. To figure out the performance of our proposed audio laughter generation process, objective evaluation (RMSE) and a perceptual audio quality test (listening test) were conducted. According to these evaluation metrics, we can show that the GRU-VAE outperforms the other VAE models.

• Journal of Information Technology Services
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.81-94
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• 2022

This study sets the research goal of reducing energy consumption which 'H' University Industry-University Cooperation Foundation and resident companies are concerned with, as well as conducting policy research and data analysis. We tried to present a solution to the problem using the technique. The algorithm showing the greatest reliability in the power of the model for the analysis algorithm of this paper was selected, and the power consumption trend curves per minute and hour were confirmed through predictive analysis while applying the algorithm, as well as confirming the singularity of excessive energy consumption. Through an additional sub-sensor analysis, the singularity of energy consumption of the unit was identified more precisely in the facility rather than in the building unit. Through this, this paper presents a system building model for real-time monitoring of campus power usage, and expands the data center and model for implementation. Furthermore, by presenting the possibility of expanding the field through research on the integration of mobile applications and IoT hardware, this study will provide school authorities and resident companies with specific solutions necessary to continuously solve data-based field problems.