• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 1988.07a
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• pp.855-858
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• 1988

Two methods for probabilistic maintenance scheduling are developed and compared ; one with operation and supplied-shortage cost and other with risk level of LOLP. Based on the real economic power dispatch, quadratic optimal maintenance conditions are obtained and simple amtrix equations are suggested for solutions. Both methods are compared in a sample system of 26,000 [MW] peak and 32,000 [MW] generation capacity.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2003.07a
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• pp.593-595
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• 2003

The introduction of electricity industry provides generators incentives to recover the related cost through the market. Hence, the generator should sell his/her electricity at high market-clearing price with optimal operation of his/her power plant. The maintenance of power plant is the most critical factor in affecting generators' decision-making. This paper analyzes technique for establishing maintenance schedule reflecting recovery cost and considers differences in monthly load pattern in minimizing LOLP.

• The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.58 no.6
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• pp.1087-1092
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• 2009

This paper presents a method for improvement of capacity payment in CBP(cost based pool) market. Capacity payments have been used as common mechanisms in various pools for compensating generators recognized to serve a for reliability purpose. Ideal pricing for capacity reserves by definition achieves a balance between economic efficiency and investment incentives. That is, prices must be kept close to costs, but not so low as to discourage investment. However, the price set is not easy. This paper concludes with market design recommendations that apply fuzzy theory for improvement of capacity payment. Following this model, market participants decided on their own based on their forecast to the market demand and the payment for it.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.39 no.4
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• pp.341-348
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• 1990

This paper describes an algorithm for evaluating the Loss of Load Probability (LOLP) and calculating the production cost for all the generators in the system using Fast Hartley Transform (FHT). It also suggests the deconvolution procedure which is necessary for the generation expansion planning. The FHT is as fast as or faster than the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) and serves for all the uses such as spectral, digital processing, and convolution to which the FFT is normally applied. The transformed function using FFT has complex numbers. However, the transformed function using FHT has real numbers and the convolution become quite simple. This method has been applied for the IEEE reliability test system and practical size model system. The test results show the effectiveness of the proposed method.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2006.07a
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• pp.42-43
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• 2006

본 논문에서는 대규모 송전계통의 확률론적 공급신뢰도 평가 프로그램인 TRELSS를 이용하여 우리나라 전력계통에의 적용가능성을 검증하고, 2006년${\sim}$2013년 및 2017년 첨두부하 계통에 대한 공급신뢰도를 확률론적으로 평가 분석함으로써 미래의 선진국형 계획기법으로의 도약을 모색하고자 하였다. 분석결과, 시기적절한 계통보강으로 연차별 공급지장발생확률(LOLP) 및 공급지장전력량(EUE)이 감소하는 경향을 보였으나, 효율적인 설비투자 및 계통계획의 일관성 유지로 공급신뢰도 지수의 연도별 편차는 상대적으로 크지 않았다. 향후 보다 정확한 공급신뢰도 평가지수를 확보하기 위하여 송전선로별 고장발생건수, 평균 고장지속 시간 등과 같은 상세 송전선로 고장발생확률 Data의 확보방안을 강구할 예정이며, 사용자 편리를 고려한 TRELSS 프로그램의 수정 및 보완도 지속적으로 추진할 예정이다.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2006.11a
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• pp.183-185
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• 2006

전세계적으로 전력수급기본계획 수립시 지역별 수급계획이 현안사항으로 부각되고 있으며, 우리나라 또한 지역간 수급 불균형 문제가 대두되고 있다. 또한 기존의 전력수금기관계획에서는 발전사업자들이 제출한 건설의향평가서를 평가시 지역별 특성을 반영하지 못하는 단점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 신뢰도측면 (LOLP)측면에서 지역별 특성을 고려한 발전설비평가방안에 관하여 논하고자 한다. 그리고 사례연구를 통하여 타당성을 검증하고자 한다.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 1997.11a
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• pp.221-223
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• 1997

This paper presents the Simplified Simulation Technique that evaluates the adequacy of an electric power system using only a portion of the outage period instead of each hour. Reliability evaluation may be performed at various hierarchical levels, generation, transmission and distribution system. The Simplified Simulation Technique simplifies the adequacy evaluation process reducing the number of calculations considerably. Therefore the computation time can be significantly reduced. This paper is done to compare the results of the simulation model with the Simplified Simulation Technique against the results of the simulation model without the Simplified Simulation Technique. The reliability indices such as the Loss of Load Probability(LOLP), the loss of load frequency(LOLF), the average duration of load curtailment(DLC) and the average demand of load curtailment(ADLC) are calculated. The proposed methods and procedures are tested by using the IEEE-RTS with 24-bus system.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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• v.51 no.6
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• pp.269-275
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• 2002

Recently, Korea's electric industry has experienced substantial changes in its structure and function including the introduction of competition in the generation sector. Korea is in the early stages of market competition where the market price is determined by generation costs. In the future, the market Price will be determined by generators'bids. Therefore, the generators'profit is determined by market pool price, the prospects of pool price are very important for new capacity investment decision made by generators and IPPS. This study analyzes hourly marginal costs and LOLP considering basic generation mix and characteristics develops the relationship of pool price and Profit by generation-type using the change in reserve margin, and proposes basic direction for profits variation and supply-demand analysis in the electricity market in future.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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• v.55 no.11
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• pp.453-462
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• 2006

This paper evaluates the reliability of KEPCO system using TRELSS, which is a probabilistic reliability evaluation program for large-scaled power system. In order to reflect the characteristic of KEPCO system, the sensitivity of reliability indices such as LOLP, EDLC, EENS and Energy Curtailment for variations of TRELSS parameter and input data was analyzed. Additionally, probabilistic reliability of KEPCO system reflecting sensitivity analysis results was systematically evaluated and simulated. Finally, maximum acceptable FOR of KEPCO system to satisfy reliability criterion, which meet in process of establishing the basic plan for long-term electricity supply and demand is suggested.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2007.07a
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• pp.61-62
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• 2007

This paper evaluates probabilistic reliability of KEPCO system using TRELSS, which is a probabilistic reliability evaluation program for large-scaled power system. In order to systematically evaluate probabilistic reliability of KEPCO system, contingency cases causing load loss in (N-1) & (N-2) contingency depth was analyzed and reliability indices such as LOLP, EDLC, EENS according to change of FOR was calculated.