• Title/Summary/Keyword: L-moments method

Search Result 67, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis using Higher Probability Weighted Moments and GIS Techniques (고차확률가중모멘트법에 의한 지역화빈도분석과 GIS기법에 의한 설계강우량 추정)

  • Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Park, Jong-Hwa;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Jee, Ho-Keun;Shin, Yong-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2002.10a
    • /
    • pp.237-240
    • /
    • 2002
  • Design rainfall using LH-moments following the consecutive duration were derived by the regional and at-site analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE for the design rainfall were computed and compared in the regional and at-site frequency analysis. Consequently, it was shown that the regional analysis can substantially more reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE than at-site analysis in the prediction of design rainfall. RE for an optimal order of L-moments was also computed by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments for GEV distribution. It was found that the method of L-moments is more effective than the others for getting optimal design rainfall according to the regions and consecutive durations in the regional frequency analysis. Diagrams for the design rainfall derived by the regional frequency analysis using L-moments were drawn according to the regions and consecutive durations by GIS techniques.

  • PDF

LH-Moments of Some Distributions Useful in Hydrology

  • Murshed, Md. Sharwar;Park, Byung-Jun;Jeong, Bo-Yoon;Park, Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.16 no.4
    • /
    • pp.647-658
    • /
    • 2009
  • It is already known from the previous study that flood seems to have heavier tail. Therefore, to make prediction of future extreme label, some agreement of tail behavior of extreme data is highly required. The LH-moments estimation method, the generalized form of L-moments is an useful method of characterizing the upper part of the distribution. LH-moments are based on linear combination of higher order statistics. In this study, we have formulated LH-moments of five distributions useful in hydrology such as, two types of three parameter kappa distributions, beta-${\kappa}$ distribution, beta-p distribution and a generalized Gumbel distribution. Using LH-moments reduces the undue influences that small sample may have on the estimation of large return period events.

Estimation of Drought Rainfall by Regional Frequency Analysis using L and LH-Moments(I) - On the Method of L-Moments - (L 및 LH-모멘트법과 지역빈도분석에 의한 가뭄우량의 추정(I) - L-모멘트법을 중심으로 -)

  • 이순혁;윤성수;맹승진;류경식;주호길
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.45 no.5
    • /
    • pp.97-109
    • /
    • 2003
  • This study is mainly conducted to derive the design drought rainfall by the consecutive duration using probability weighted moments with rainfall in the regional drought frequency analysis. It is anticipated to suggest optimal design drought rainfall of hydraulic structures for the water requirement and drought frequency of occurrence for the safety of water utilization through this study. Preferentially, this study was conducted to derive the optimal regionalization of the precipitation data that can be classified by the climatologically and geographically homogeneous regions all over the regions except Cheju and Ulreung islands in Korea. Five homogeneous regions in view of topographical and climatological aspects were accomplished by K-means clustering method. Using the L-moment ratio diagram and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, generalized extreme value distribution was confirmed as the best fitting one among applied distributions. At-site and regional parameters of the generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the method of L-moments. Design drought rainfalls using L-moments following the consecutive duration were derived by the at-site and regional analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE for the design drought rainfall derived by at-site and regional analysis in the observed an simulated data were computed and compared. In has shown that the regional frequency analysis procedure can substantially more reduce the RRMSE. RBIAS and RR in RRMSE than those of at-site analysis in the prediction of design drought rainfall. Consequently, optimal design drought rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

Comparative Analysis of Regional and At-site Analysis for the Design Rainfall by Gamma and Non-Gamma Family (I) (Gamma 및 비Gamma군 분포모형에 의한 강우의 지점 및 지역빈도 비교분석 (I))

  • Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Lee, Soon-Hyuk
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.46 no.4
    • /
    • pp.25-36
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study was conducted to derive the design rainfall by the consecutive duration using the at-site frequency analysis. Using the errors, K-S tests and LH-moment ratios, Log Pearson type 3 (LP3) and Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distributions of Gamma and Non-Gamma Family, respectively were identified as the optimal probability distributions among applied distributions. Parameters of GEV and LP3 distributions were estimated by the method of L and LH-moments and the Indirect method of moments respectively. Design rainfalls following the consecutive duration were derived by at-site frequency analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE) and relative efficiency (RE) in RRMSE for the design rainfall derived by at-site analysis in the observed and simulated data were computed and compared. It has shown that at-site frequency analysis by GEV distribution using L-moments is confirmed as more reliable than that of GEV and LP3 distributions using LH-moments and Indirect method of moments in view of relative efficiency.

Use of beta-P distribution for modeling hydrologic events

  • Murshed, Md. Sharwar;Seo, Yun Am;Park, Jeong-Soo;Lee, Youngsaeng
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.15-27
    • /
    • 2018
  • Parametric method of flood frequency analysis involves fitting of a probability distribution to observed flood data. When record length at a given site is relatively shorter and hard to apply the asymptotic theory, an alternative distribution to the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution is often used. In this study, we consider the beta-P distribution (BPD) as an alternative to the GEV and other well-known distributions for modeling extreme events of small or moderate samples as well as highly skewed or heavy tailed data. The L-moments ratio diagram shows that special cases of the BPD include the generalized logistic, three-parameter log-normal, and GEV distributions. To estimate the parameters in the distribution, the method of moments, L-moments, and maximum likelihood estimation methods are considered. A Monte-Carlo study is then conducted to compare these three estimation methods. Our result suggests that the L-moments estimator works better than the other estimators for this model of small or moderate samples. Two applications to the annual maximum stream flow of Colorado and the rainfall data from cloud seeding experiments in Southern Florida are reported to show the usefulness of the BPD for modeling hydrologic events. In these examples, BPD turns out to work better than $beta-{\kappa}$, Gumbel, and GEV distributions.

Estimation of Reservoir Inflow Using Frequency Analysis (빈도분석에 의한 저수지 유입량 산정)

  • Maeng, Seung-Jin;Hwang, Ju-Ha;Shi, Qiang
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.51 no.3
    • /
    • pp.53-62
    • /
    • 2009
  • This study was carried out to select optimal probability distribution based on design accumulated monthly mean inflow from the viewpoint of drought by Gamma (GAM), Generalized extreme value (GEV), Generalized logistic (GLO), Generalized normal (GNO), Generalized pareto (GPA), Gumbel (GUM), Normal (NOR), Pearson type 3 (PT3), Wakeby (WAK) and Kappa (KAP) distributions for the observed accumulative monthly mean inflow of Chungjudam. L-moment ratio was calculated using observed accumulative monthly mean inflow. Parameters of 10 probability distributions were estimated by the method of L-moments with the observed accumulated monthly mean inflow. Design accumulated monthly mean inflows obtained by the method of L-moments using different methods for plotting positions formulas in the 10 probability distributions were compared by relative mean error (RME) and relative absolute error (RAE) respectively. It has shown that the design accumulative monthly mean inflow derived by the method of L-moments using Weibull plotting position formula in WAK and KAP distributions were much closer to those of the observed accumulative monthly mean inflow in comparison with those obtained by the method of L-moment with the different formulas for plotting positions in other distributions from the viewpoint of RME and RAE.

Regional Frequency Analysis of Drought Rainfall using L-Moments (L-모멘트법에 의한 가뭄우량의 지역빈도분석)

  • Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Yoon, Seong-Soo;Maeng, Sung-Jin;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Joo, Ho-Kil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2003.10a
    • /
    • pp.451-454
    • /
    • 2003
  • This study was mainly conducted to derive the design drought rainfall by the consecutive duration using probability weighted moments with rainfall in the regional drought frequency analysis. Selecting the drought rainfall series by the consecutive durations of drought observed for the long period all over the regions in Korea, optimal regionalization of the drought rainfall was classified by the climatologically and geographically homogeneous regions. Using the L-moment ratio and Kolmogorov- Smimov test, resonable frequency distribution for the drought rainfall was selected by the regions and consecutive periods of drought. Design drought rainfalls by the regions and consecutive durations were derived and compared by at-site and regional drought frequency analysis using the method of L-moments.

  • PDF

Estimation of Ground and Excited State Dipole Moments of Coumarin 450 by Solvatochromic Shift Method

  • Naik, L.R.;Math, N.N.
    • Journal of Photoscience
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.57-61
    • /
    • 2005
  • The ground and excited state dipole moments of Coumarin 450 (C 450) laser dye were measured at room temperature in several solvents of varying dipole moments. The ground state dipole moment (${\mu}_g$) is estimated by using the modified Onsagar model and the excited state dipole moments (${\mu}_e$) were estimated by the method of solvatochromism as well as by utilizing the microscopic solvent polarity parameter ($E^N_T$). Further, the deviation of some of the points from the linearity of the $E^N_T$ versus Stokes shift indicates the existence of specific type of solute-solvent interaction. The excited state dipole moment of C 450 were found to be higher than those of the ground state and is interpreted in terms of the resonance structure of the molecule. A reasonable agreement has been observed between the values obtained by the method of solvatochromism and modified Onsagar model. It is observed that, corresponding to cyclohexane solution, the fluorescence maxima shift towards the red region with increasing the polarity of the solvents, hence the transition involved are of ${\pi}-{\pi}^*$ type.

  • PDF

Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis using Higher Probability Weighted Moments and GIS Techniques(l ) - On the method of L-moments- (고차확률가중모멘트법에 의한 지역화빈도분석과 GIS기법에 의한 설계강우량 추정(II) - L-모멘트법을 중심으로 -)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.43 no.5
    • /
    • pp.70-82
    • /
    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation suggested by the first report of this project. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value distribution among applied distributions. Regional and at-site parameters of the generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the linear combination of the probability weighted moments, L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the legions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

  • PDF

Friction Analysis of Spindle Bearings

  • Chang, Hun-Keun;Young Sun;Han, Dong-Chul
    • International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
    • /
    • v.1 no.1
    • /
    • pp.42-48
    • /
    • 2000
  • Friction in bearing exerts an important effect upon power dissipation and heat generation of spindle system. This paper presents frictional moments derived from rotational axis coordinate system of spindle and frictional characteristics to spindle speed A frictional moment of spindle bearings is derived by work-energy method. Differential sliding moments in outer raceway has a major effect upon frictional resistance; spin sliding moments in inner raceway has a secondary effect. As spindle speed increases, also the frictional moments increase. In high-speed region, ceramic ball bearing 몬 smaller frictional moment than steel ball bearing.

  • PDF