• Title/Summary/Keyword: Kriging method

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Kriging Dimension Reduction Method for Reliability Analysis in Spring Design (스프링 설계문제의 신뢰도 해석을 위한 크리깅 기반 차원감소법의 활용)

  • Gang, Jin-Hyuk;An, Da-Wn;Won, Jun-Ho;Choi, Joo-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.422-427
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    • 2008
  • This study is to illustrate the usefulness of Kriging Dimension Reduction Method(KDRM), which is to construct probability distribution of response function in the presence of the physical uncertainty of input variables. DRM has recently received increased attention due to its sensitivity-free nature and efficiency that considerable accuracy is obtained with only a few number of analyses. However, the DRM has a number of drawbacks such as instability and inaccuracy for functions with increased nonlinearity. As a remedy, Kriging interpolation technique is incorporated which is known as more accurate for nonlinear functions. The KDRM is applied and compared with MCS methods in a compression coil spring design problem. The effectiveness and accuracy of this method is verified.

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Adaptively selected autocorrelation structure-based Kriging metamodel for slope reliability analysis

  • Li, Jing-Ze;Zhang, Shao-He;Liu, Lei-Lei;Wu, Jing-Jing;Cheng, Yung-Ming
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.187-199
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    • 2022
  • Kriging metamodel, as a flexible machine learning method for approximating deterministic analysis models of an engineering system, has been widely used for efficiently estimating slope reliability in recent years. However, the autocorrelation function (ACF), a key input to Kriging that affects the accuracy of reliability estimation, is usually selected based on empiricism. This paper proposes an adaption of the Kriging method, named as Genetic Algorithm optimized Whittle-Matérn Kriging (GAWMK), for addressing this issue. The non-classical two-parameter Whittle-Matérn (WM) function, which can represent different ACFs in the Matérn family by controlling a smoothness parameter, is adopted in GAWMK to avoid subjectively selecting ACFs. The genetic algorithm is used to optimize the WM model to adaptively select the optimal autocorrelation structure of the GAWMK model. Monte Carlo simulation is then performed based on GAWMK for a subsequent slope reliability analysis. Applications to one explicit analytical example and two slope examples are presented to illustrate and validate the proposed method. It is found that reliability results estimated by the Kriging models using randomly chosen ACFs might be biased. The proposed method performs reasonably well in slope reliability estimation.

Thermal Analysis of Heater for Anti-Icing System (방빙 시스템의 히터에 대한 열해석)

  • Kim, Minsoo;Jang, Yunseok;Lee, Seungsoo;Kang, Daeil;Jeong, Yunsoo;Kim, Sungsu;Han, Donggeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.47 no.8
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    • pp.541-548
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, the required amount of heat for an anti-icing system of a Flush Air Data Sensing(FADS) system is predicted. For an efficient prediction during the early stage of a design process, a handbook method is used. A program of which inputs are flight conditions is developed to predict the required amount of heat. A CFD analysis is conducted to compute the water catch efficiency which is one of the core parameters used in the handbook method. Kriging method, one of well-known regression mothods, is utilized to construct a surface contour database to evaluate impingements of droplets. To predict the trajectories of droplets, the database of a flow field around the surface is built using Kriging method as well.

Spatial Distribution Modeling of Daily Rainfall Using Co-Kriging Method (Co-kriging 기법을 이용한 일강우량 공간분포 모델링)

  • Hwang Sye-Woon;Park Seung-Woo;Jang Min-Won;Cho Young-Kyoung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.8 s.169
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    • pp.669-676
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    • 2006
  • Hydrological factors, especially the spatial distribution of interpretation on precipitation is often topic of interest in studying of water resource. The popular methods such as Thiessen method, inverse distance method, and isohyetal method are limited in calculating the spatial continuity and geographical characteristics. This study was intended to overcome those limitations with improved method that will yield higher accuracy. The monthly and yearly precipitation data were produced and compared with the observed daily precipitation to find correlation between them. They were then used as secondary variables in Co-kriging method, and the result was compared with the outcome of existing methods like inverse distance method and kriging method. The comparison of the data showed that the daily precipitation had high correlation with corresponding year's average monthly amounts of precipitation and the observed average monthly amounts of precipitation. Then the result from the application of these data for a Co-kriging method confirmed increased accuracy in the modeling of spatial distribution of precipitation, thus indirectly reducing inconsistency of the spatial distribution of hydrological factors other than precipitation.

Optimization of a Train Suspension using Kriging Meta-model (크리깅 메타모델에 의한 철도차량 현수장치 최적설계)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ki;Lee, Tae-Hee;Park, Chan-Kyoung
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06c
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    • pp.339-344
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    • 2001
  • In recent engineering, the designer has become more and more dependent on the computer simulations such as FEM (Finite Element Method) and BEM (Boundary Element Method). In order to optimize such implicit models more efficiently and reliably, the meta-modeling technique has been developed for solving such a complex problems combined with the DACE (Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments). It is widely used for exploring the engineer's design space and for building meta-models in order to facilitate an effective solution of multi-objective and multi-disciplinary optimization problems. Optimization of a train suspension is performed according to the minimization of forty-six responses that represent ten ride comforts, twelve derailment quotients, twelve unloading ratios, and twelve stabilities by using the Kriging meta-model of a train suspension. After each Kriging meta-model is constructed, multi-objective optimal solutions are achieved by using a nonlinear programming method called SQP (Sequential Quadratic Programming).

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A Highly Efficient Aeroelastic Optimization Method Based on a Surrogate Model

  • Zhiqiang, Wan;Xiaozhe, Wang;Chao, Yang
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.491-500
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents a highly efficient aeroelastic optimization method based on a surrogate model; the model is verified by considering the case of a high-aspect-ratio composite wing. Optimization frameworks using the Kriging model and genetic algorithm (GA), the Kriging model and improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO), and the back propagation neural network model (BP) and IPSO are presented. The feasibility of the method is verified, as the model can improve the optimization efficiency while also satisfying the engineering requirements. Moreover, the effects of the number of design variables and number of constraints on the optimization efficiency and objective function are analysed in detail. The accuracy of two surrogate models in aeroelastic optimization is also compared. The Kriging model is constructed more conveniently, and its predictive accuracy of the aeroelastic responses also satisfies the engineering requirements. According to the case of a high-aspect-ratio composite wing, the GA is better at global optimization.

A Robust Optimization Using the Statistics Based on Kriging Metamodel

  • Lee Kwon-Hee;Kang Dong-Heon
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.20 no.8
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    • pp.1169-1182
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    • 2006
  • Robust design technology has been applied to versatile engineering problems to ensure consistency in product performance. Since 1980s, the concept of robust design has been introduced to numerical optimization field, which is called the robust optimization. The robustness in the robust optimization is determined by a measure of insensitiveness with respect to the variation of a response. However, there are significant difficulties associated with the calculation of variations represented as its mean and variance. To overcome the current limitation, this research presents an implementation of the approximate statistical moment method based on kriging metamodel. Two sampling methods are simultaneously utilized to obtain the sequential surrogate model of a response. The statistics such as mean and variance are obtained based on the reliable kriging model and the second-order statistical approximation method. Then, the simulated annealing algorithm of global optimization methods is adopted to find the global robust optimum. The mathematical problem and the two-bar design problem are investigated to show the validity of the proposed method.

Shape Optimization of High Voltage Gas Circuit Breaker Using Kriging-Based Model And Genetic Algorithm (크리깅 메타모델과 유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 초고압 가스차단기의 형상 최적 설계)

  • Kwak, Chang-Seob;Kim, Hong-Kyu;Cha, Jeong-Won
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.2
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 2013
  • We describe a new method for selecting design variables for shape optimization of high-voltage gas circuit breaker using a Kriging meta-model and a genetic algorithm. Firstly we sample balance design variables using the Latin Hypercube Sampling. Secondly, we build meta-model using the Kriging. Thirdly, we search the optimal design variables using a genetic algorithm. To obtain the more exact design variable, we adopt the boundary shifting method. With the proposed optimization frame, we can get the improved interruption design and reduce the design time by 80%. We applied the proposed method to the optimization of multivariate optimization problems as well as shape optimization of a high - voltage gas circuit breaker.

A FRAMEWORK TO UNDERSTAND THE ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF KRIGING AND SPLINES

  • Furrer Eva M.;Nychka Douglas W.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.57-76
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    • 2007
  • Kriging is a nonparametric regression method used in geostatistics for estimating curves and surfaces for spatial data. It may come as a surprise that the Kriging estimator, normally derived as the best linear unbiased estimator, is also the solution of a particular variational problem. Thus, Kriging estimators can also be interpreted as generalized smoothing splines where the roughness penalty is determined by the covariance function of a spatial process. We build off the early work by Silverman (1982, 1984) and the analysis by Cox (1983, 1984), Messer (1991), Messer and Goldstein (1993) and others and develop an equivalent kernel interpretation of geostatistical estimators. Given this connection we show how a given covariance function influences the bias and variance of the Kriging estimate as well as the mean squared prediction error. Some specific asymptotic results are given in one dimension for Matern covariances that have as their limit cubic smoothing splines.

Feasibility study of improved particle swarm optimization in kriging metamodel based structural model updating

  • Qin, Shiqiang;Hu, Jia;Zhou, Yun-Lai;Zhang, Yazhou;Kang, Juntao
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.70 no.5
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    • pp.513-524
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    • 2019
  • This study proposed an improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO) method ensemble with kriging model for model updating. By introducing genetic algorithm (GA) and grouping strategy together with elite selection into standard particle optimization (PSO), the IPSO is obtained. Kriging metamodel serves for predicting the structural responses to avoid complex computation via finite element model. The combination of IPSO and kriging model shall provide more accurate searching results and obtain global optimal solution for model updating compared with the PSO, Simulate Annealing PSO (SimuAPSO), BreedPSO and PSOGA. A plane truss structure and ASCE Benchmark frame structure are adopted to verify the proposed approach. The results indicated that the hybrid of kriging model and IPSO could serve for model updating effectively and efficiently. The updating results further illustrated that IPSO can provide superior convergent solutions compared with PSO, SimuAPSO, BreedPSO and PSOGA.