• Title/Summary/Keyword: Kriging 모델

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Structural Optimization for LMTT-Mover Using Sequential Kriging Based Approximation Model (순차적 크리깅 근사모델을 이용한 LMTT 이송체의 구조최적설계)

  • Park Hyung Wook;Han Dong Seop;Lee Kwon Hee;Han Geun Jo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.289-295
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    • 2005
  • LMTT (Linear Motor-based Transfer Techn-ology) is a horizontal transfer system for the yard automation This system is based on PMLSM (Permanent Magnetic Linear Synchronous Motor) toot consists of stator modules on the rail and shuttle car. In this research, the kriging interpolation method with sequential sampling find the optimum design of mover in LMTT. The design variables are considered as the transverse, longitudinal and wheel beam's thicknesses. The objective function is set up as weight, while the constant function are set up as the stresses generated by four loading conditions. The objective function is set up as weight. The optimum results obtained by the suggested method are compared with those by the GENESIS.

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A Stochastic Numerical Analysis of Groundwater Fluctuations in Hillside Slopes for Assessing Risk of Landslides (산사태 위험도 추정을 위한 지하수위 변동의 추계론적 수치 해석)

  • 이인모
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 1987
  • A stochastic numerical analysis for predicting the groundswater fluctuations in hillside slopes is performed in this paper to account for the uncertainties associated with the rainfall and site characteristics. The effect of spatial variabilities of aquifer parameters and the effect of temporal variability of recharge on the groundwater fluctuations are studied in depth. The Kriging is used to account for the spatial tariabilities of aquifer parameters. This technique prolevides the best linear unbiased estimator of a parameter and its minimum variance from a litsitem number of measured data. A stochastic one-dimensional numerical model is delreloped b) combining the groundwater flow model, the Kriging, and the first-order second-moment analysis. In addition, a two dimensional detelministic groundwater model is developed to study the change of ground water surfas in the transverse direction as well as in the downslope direction. It is revealed that the undulations of the impervious bedrock in addition to the permeability and the specific yield have an important influence on the fluctuations of the groundwater surface. It is also found that th'e groundwater changes significantly in the transverse direction as well as in the downslope direction. The results obtained in this analysis may be used for evaluation of landslide risks due to high porewater pressure.

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A Study on the Development of Model for Estimating the Thickness of Clay Layer of Soft Ground in the Nakdong River Estuary (낙동강 조간대 연약지반의 지역별 점성토층 두께 추정 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Seongin, Ahn;Dong-Woo, Ryu
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.586-597
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    • 2022
  • In this study, a model was developed for the estimating the locational thickness information of the upper clay layer to be used for the consolidation vulnerability evaluation in the Nakdong river estuary. To estimate ground layer thickness information, we developed four spatial estimation models using machine learning algorithms, which are RF (Random Forest), SVR (Support Vector Regression) and GPR (Gaussian Process Regression), and geostatistical technique such as Ordinary Kriging. Among the 4,712 borehole data in the study area collected for model development, 2,948 borehole data with an upper clay layer were used, and Pearson correlation coefficient and mean squared error were used to quantitatively evaluate the performance of the developed models. In addition, for qualitative evaluation, each model was used throughout the study area to estimate the information of the upper clay layer, and the thickness distribution characteristics of it were compared with each other.

Sensitivity Approach of Sequential Sampling for Kriging Model (민감도법을 이용한 크리깅모델의 순차적 실험계획)

  • Lee, Tae-Hee;Jung, Jae-Jun;Hwang, In-Kyo;Lee, Chang-Seob
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.28 no.11
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    • pp.1760-1767
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    • 2004
  • Sequential sampling approaches of a metamodel that sampling points are updated sequentially become a significant consideration in metamodeling technique. Sequential sampling design is more effective than classical space filling design of all-at-once sampling because sequential sampling design is to add new sampling points by means of distance between sampling points or precdiction error obtained from metamodel. However, though the extremum points can strongly reflect the behaviors of responses, the existing sequential sampling designs are inefficient to approximate extremum points of original model. In this research, new sequential sampling approach using the sensitivity of Kriging model is proposed, so that new approach reflects the behaviors of response sequentially. Various sequential sampling designs are reviewed and the performances of the proposed approach are compared with those of existing sequential sampling approaches by using mean squared error. The accuracy of the proposed approach is investigated against optimization results of test problems so that superiority of the sensitivity approach is verified.

A Study on Rainfall Regional Frequency Analysis Based A Bayesian Hierarchical Kriging Approach (Bayesian Hierarchical Kriging 기법을 이용한 강우지역빈도해석 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.466-466
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    • 2015
  • 지역빈도해석은 수문학에서 오랜 역사를 갖고 있으며, 수년에 걸쳐 수문학적 변량의 정량적 추정을 위해 다양한 접근방법들이 제안되어 왔다. 그러나 제안된 방법들의 가설설정 수준이 높기 때문에 실제 적용에 제약이 많고, 적용 시에도 예측에 대한 불확실성이 높은 문제점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제점을 개선하기 위한 방법으로 계층적 베이지안 모델을 이용한 지역빈도해석 모형을 제안하고자 한다. 본 모형은 2개의 계층적 구조로 구성된다. 첫번째 계층은 재현기간별 GEV 분포의 매개변수를 정규화하여 주변분포로 설정하고, Kriging 기법을 이용하여 지형학적, 기상학적 정보들과 극치강수량 효과를 적합시켜 공간적 이질성과 미계측 유역에 대한 효과적인 보간을 가능하게 한다. 두번째 계층은 지점의 특성을 나타내는 매개변수들간의 공분산을 Bayesian 모델에 연계하여 매개변수들의 공간적 변동성을 나타낸다. 2개 계층의 결합확률분포는 MCMC 기법을 이용하여 예측값에 대한 불확실성을 정량적으로 분석하게 된다. 본 모형을 통해 홍수량 추정 시 필요한 시간 단위 극치강수량의 공간적 분포를 효과적으로 추정할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Analysis of the Spatial Distribution of Total Phosphorus in Wetland Soils Using Geostatistics (지구통계학을 이용한 습지 토양 중 총인의 공간분포 분석)

  • Kim, Jongsung;Lee, Jungwoo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.38 no.10
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    • pp.551-557
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    • 2016
  • Fusing satellite images and site-specific observations have potential to improve a predictive quality of environmental properties. However, the effect of the utilization of satellite images to predict soil properties in a wetland is still poorly understood. For the reason, block kriging and regression kriging were applied to a natural wetland, Water Conservation Area-2A in Florida, to compare the accuracy improvement of continuous models predicting total phosphorus in soils. Field observations were used to develop the soil total phosphorus prediction models. Additionally, the spectral data and derived indices from Landsat ETM+, which has 30 m spatial resolution, were used as independent variables for the regression kriging model. The block kriging model showed $R^2$ of 0.59 and the regression kriging model showed $R^2$ of 0.49. Although the block kriging performed better than the regession kriging, both models showed similar spatial patterns. Moreover, regression kriging utilizing a Landsat ETM+ image facilitated to capture unique and complex landscape features of the study area.

Shape Optimization of a Trapezoidal Micro-Channel (사다리꼴 미세유로의 형상최적화)

  • Husain, Afzal;Kim, Kwang-Yong
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2007.05b
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    • pp.2666-2671
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    • 2007
  • This work presents microchannel heat sink shape optimization procedure using Kriging method. Design variables relating to microchannel width, depth and fin width are selected, and thermal resistance has been taken as objective function. Design points are selected through a three-level fractional factorial design of sampling method. Navier-Stokes and energy equations for laminar flow and conjugate heat transfer are solved at these design points using a finite volume solver. Solutions are carefully validated with experimental results. Using the numerically evaluated objective function, a surrogate model (Kriging) is constructed and optimum point is searched by sequential quadratic programming. The process of shape optimization greatly improves the thermal performance of microchannel heat sink under constant pumping power.

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Accuracy of Kriging interpolation method with respect to variogram model (베리오그램 모델에 따른 크리깅 보간법의 정확성)

  • Woo, Kwang-Sung;Shin, Young-Shik;Lee, Hui-Jeong
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.160-165
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    • 2008
  • Kriging interpolation technique has been proposed by Danny Krige of South Africa to find the mineral distribution grade from information of geography and space. It is one of the generally used prediction technique for the mineral distribution grade and underground water level in wide scope also used in computer graphics fields by the ability for the surface regeneration This paper comprises two specific objectives. The first is to examine the applicability of Ordinary Kriging interpolation(OK) to finite element method that is based on variogram modeling in conjunction with different allowable limits of separation distance. The second is to investigate the accuracy according to theoretical variogram such as polynomial, Gauss, and spherical models.

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