• 무역학회지
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• 제47권3호
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• pp.177-190
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• 2022

This study is designed to identify the differences in the types and importance of trade claims at the national level. For analysis data, abstracts of arbitration and court judgments published on the website of the United Nations Commission on International Trade Law are collected and used. The target countries are China and the United States, with 102 cases from China and 59 cases from the United States. By applying topic modeling techniques to the collection decisions of China and the United States, trade claims are categorized, and the importance of each type is identified using the network centrality index derived through semantic network analysis. The analysis results are as follows. First, the main types of trade claims were the same for both the United States and China: product nonconformity, delivery issues, and payments. However, in China, the order of product nonconformity > delivery issues > payments was important, and in the United States, payments > product nonconformity > delivery issues were found to be important. This study is significant in that it presents a strategic trade claim management plan using a quantitative methodology.

• 무역학회지
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• 제44권6호
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• pp.23-38
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• 2019

This paper aims to empirically study how service trade regulations and FTAs have affected trade in services of Korea, China, and Japan (KCJ). We estimate the gravity equation using the OECD Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (STRI), the Heterogeneity Index, and service trade data of KCJ and their main trade partners from 2003- 2010. The analysis revealed that the more restrictive regulations measured by the STRI are negatively associated with the services trade of Korea and Japan. In addition, Korean FTAs have had a significantly positive effect on service trade. Further empirical results showed that FTAs with a longer implementation period had a greater effect on services trade.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제16권5호
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• pp.225-248
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• 2014

2014년11월10일 한국과 중국은 FTA체결을 하였다. 세계의 공장 중국으로의 진출이 더욱 더 용이해졌다고 할 수 있다. 그러나 최근 중국 경제 성장이 둔화되면서 우려하는 목소리가 나오기 시작하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 중국 경제 성장 둔화가 한국 경제에 미치는 영향을 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해서 현재 중국의 경제 상황에 대한 추이와 향후 앞으로의 전망을 제시하고, 중국 경제 성장을 둔화시키는 변화 조짐들을 경제 성장률 감소, 가공무역 비중 하락, 그리고 양 국가 간 품목별 경쟁관계 변화를 중심으로 분석하고자 한다. 그리고 중국 경제 성장 둔화로 인해 한국 경제에 미치는 영향에 대해 한국 경제가 대응해야 할 방안을 제시하고자 한다. 이를 분석하기 위해서 한국무역협회 무역통계 시스템을 적극 활용하고, 경쟁력 관계를 분석하기 위해 무역수지기여도지수, 무역특화도지수, 현시비교우위지수 등을 활용하여 분석하고자 한다.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제26권7호
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• pp.109-126
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• 2022

Purpose - Based on the relevant panel data for China and 13 of the RCEP countries from 2008-2019, this paper conducts an in-depth study on the impact of trade facilitation levels on China's cross-border e-commerce exports using the expanded trade gravity model. Design/methodology - This study constructs a trade facilitation index (TFI) system, and uses the principal component analysis method to measure the trade facilitation levels of RCEP countries in 2008-2019. This result is then introduced into the extended gravity model to explore the effect of trade facilitation in RCEP countries on China's cross-border e-commerce export. Findings - It is found that the overall trade facilitation level has a significant effect on China's cross-border e-commerce exports. Among the primary indicators, with the exception of infrastructure, the other four indicators demonstrate a significant impact. The findings show that China should strengthen its cooperation with RCEP countries in trade facilitation and cross-border e-commerce to better achieve complementary regional economic development. Originality/value - This paper has three contributions: first, this paper builds a TFI system that includes five primary indicators based on the characteristics of cross-border e-commerce. Second, we explore the impact of trade facilitation levels of RCEP countries on China's cross-border e-commerce exports, which helps to fill the gap in existing studies of the impact of cross-border e-commerce exports. Third, this paper further analyzes the impact of five primary indicators on cross-border e-commerce exports; this thus provides more targeted measures to improve trade facilitation levels.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제59권
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• pp.181-205
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• 2013

This study has analyzed the international trade flow of medical devices in Korea, China, and U.S. more theoretically and systematically through a mutual connection of the medical device export structure of Korea and the import structure of China and U.S. organically, with an intensity approach on the bilateral international trade flow. Also, it is meaningful to find a solution to boost exports of Korea to China and U.S.. Therefore in this study, we recognize the importance of the medical device market in China and U.S., which is the main competition for Korea and its market, and look into the trade situation of these three countries. We also look into the relative market stream and the trade intensity of the main medical devices in Korea, China and U.S., and seek measures for the steady growth of the medical device market in these three countries.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.41-60
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• 2022

Purpose - The policy implications of free trade agreements have traditionally been a matter of debate among economists. The official signing of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement provides economists with a quasi-natural experiment to analyze the FTA's policy effects. This article aims to more accurately understand the impact of Korea's FTA accession on the macro economy. Design/methodology - This study adopts the counterfactual method based on panel data to find common factors in the generation process of macro data to fit the counterfactual path, to accurately evaluate the effect of the macro policy. Findings - Our research results show that the signing of the Korea-China FTA has a relatively significant short-term positive effect on Korea's economic growth. On average, Korea's real GDP growth rate has increased by 2.1%. This study finds evidence in support of FTA signing not having a significant impact on Korea's GDP growth in the long run. Additionally, we evaluated the impact of the FTA on Korea's imports and exports and found that it had a significant positive impact in the short term, but the trade effect of the FTA is significantly affected by the external macro-environment. Originality/value - First, this study uses macro panel data at the national level to examine the impact of the Korea-China FTA on Korea, and more accurately describes the policy effect of the FTA. Second, our empirical results show that the Korea-China FTA policy impact is subject to occasional changes in the external environment, such as the geopolitical conflict (crisis) between Korea and China, and the US-China trade war. Finally, the analysis shows that the short-term effect of FTA is significant but the long-term is uncertain, which provides empirical evidence for the debate on whether joining FTA can promote national economic growth.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.68-82
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• 2020

Purpose - This study investigates the impact of inland port development in China on the promotion of bilateral trade flows between China and South Korea. Design/methodology - The probable association between the establishment of inland ports and Sino-Korea trade was estimated using gravity models. In this regards, two sets of data were collected. The first dataset consists of the baseline variables of a gravity model, while the second one includes variables of logistics infrastructure development. The indicators of logistics infrastructure development include inland ports, the amount of government expenditure on transport infrastructure, the lengths of roads and railways, the number of trucks and the number of logistics industry workforce. Findings - The results show that inland port development has a positive impact on facilitating bilateral trade between China and South Korea. However, the positive association holds only for Chinese regions with a large trade volume and a proximity to seaports. In other regions, the impact of inland ports is not statistically significant. Originality/value - To the best knowledge of the authors, this study is the first attempt to explore the economic impact of inland ports in China. In addition, the findings in this paper provide both policy and managerial implications for the future development of inland ports, such as the strategic location of inland ports and integrated intermodal operations.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.167-195
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• 2010

The global financial crisis, the instability of the global economy since the beginning of the growing economic interests of the countries to adjust to establish a new economic system was set up on occasion. Meanwhile, standing in the international trade environment, multilateral system of international trade for the country as the cumulative fatigue of open markets and trade liberalization as an alternative to lead the free trade agreements between countries. Currently in Korea and China, in addition to the geographical proximity in all areas, including economic exchanges and mutually dependent relationship that is deepening the world's No. 1 exporter in China and overseas investors have become partners. FTA with China by promoting the growth of emerging economies in the Chinese market by securing a stable economic growth of China as a driver of economic growth in the country to utilize the plan is being promoted from. This study is currently being promoted, in a discussion of the FTA's agricultural trade measures to address the challenges and poems. Agricultural trade with other goods to be different from the specificity of the discussion of market opening and liberalization of trade has been recognized in the main essentially nothing. We promote an FTA, according to one review and discuss the background and trends of the agricultural trade in a market, through the analysis of the status and trends and present problems for future bilateral trade negotiations with Korea for agricultural markets and propose countermeasures for. Agricultural trade, during a discussion of the FTA is essentially nothing in the review is expected to expand the bilateral trade in agricultural products, while protecting its agricultural markets to be trying to policy implications.

• 국제지역연구
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.3-22
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• 2016

본 논문은 미얀마의 개혁과 개방이후의 무역패턴을 분석하고 동아시아의 한국과 중국 및 일본과의 무역패턴을 분석하였다. 미얀마의 비교우위구조와 국제분업구조를 RCA지수와 TSI지수를 이용하여 분석하였다. 분석기간은 개방 직후인 2012부터 자료 확보가 가능한 최근 2014으로 하였으며, 무역자료는 UN comtrade를 사용하였다. 분석결과 미얀마는 개방이후에 무역의 급격한 성장을 이루고 있을 뿐만 아니라 분업의 구조도 변화되고 있었다. 개방으로 2차산품의 무역비중이 증가하였을 뿐만 아니라 비교우위도 1차산품에서 2차 노동집약산업으로 이동하고 있었다. 한국과 중국 및 일본과의 무역에 있어서도 주로 1차산품과 노동집약재 중심으로 수출이 이루어졌다. 동아시아 3국간의 무역의 구조를 비교하면, 한국은 아직 미얀마와 초기단계의 무역구조를 보이고 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 즉 중국과 일본은 미얀마와 무역 관계가 안정적인데 반해, 한국과 미얀마의 무역은 비교우위 패턴이 안정적이지 않은 것으로 나타났다.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제23권5호
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• pp.27-44
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• 2019

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to analyze the net effect of the green total factor productivity (GTFP) of China's manufacturing industry from the China-Korea Free Trade Area (China-Korea FTA) quantitatively. Design/methodology - Firstly, the Global Malmquist-Luenberger (GML) index based on the SBM directional distance function is used to measure the GTFP of China's manufacturing and analyze the driving force for its growth. Secondly, the regression discontinuity quantitative analysis is used to determine the impact of the China-Korea FTA on China's manufacturing GTFP. Findings - Our main findings can be summarized as follows: the China-Korea FTA has promoted the GTFP of China's manufacturing with an effect evaluation mainly resulting from green technology progress. And there is industry heterogeneity in the policy effect on the manufacturing GTFP due to the China-Korea FTA. Namely, policy promotion from the China-Korea FTA is more effective on the GTFP of equipment manufacturing than it is on those of other industries. Originality/value - First, an evaluation and analysis of the GTFP development of China's manufacturing that employs GML index based on SBM directional distance function. Second, a quantitative estimate of China-Korea FTA's net effect on China's manufacturing industrial GTFP that uses regression discontinuity analysis, which is considered to be the closest method to natural experiments and superior to other causal inference methods. Third, an in-depth discussion of the practical steps that China's manufacturing can take to improve GTFP development and integrate China-Korea FTA construction into economic development.