• 국제지역연구
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.1-21
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• 2013

본 논문에서는 ASEAN의 10개 회원국, 한국, 중국, 일본, 호주, 뉴질랜드, 인도 등 16개국으로 구성된 역내포괄적경제동반자협정(RCEP)가 RCEP의 회원국 경제와 전세계 경제에 어떠한 영향을 미치게 될 것인가를 다(多)지역 다(多)산업 연산일반균형(CGE)모형을 이용하여 정량적으로 분석하였다. Baseline 시나리오를 바탕으로 RCEP 회원국 구성의 특성에 입각하여 단계별 3가지 정책시나리오, 즉 한-중-일FTA(시나리오 1), ASEAN+3 FTA(시나리오 2), RCEP(시나리오 3)를 설정하였다. 3가지 정책 시나리오의 영향을 실질GDP, 후생수준의 지표로서 등가변환, 수출 수입물량, 국제수지, 교역조건 등 거시경제적 변수에 미치는 영향으로 제시하였다. 본 연구의 주요 결과를 보면, RCEP를 통해 모든 RCEP 회원국의 실질GDP가 증가할 것으로 전망되며 특히 한국의 실질GDP는 모든 RCEP회원국 중 가장 많이(2.43%) 증가할 것으로 예측되었다. 이는 한국이 RCEP 추진에 보다 적극적인 역할을 수행할 만한 경제적 이점이 있음을 시사하는 것이라고 할 수 있다.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.71-90
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• 2004

According to this study, overall economic impacts of the FTA between Korea and Singapore upon fish and fishery products of our country were likely to be very small and insignificant. When the tariff on fish and fishery products between the two borders were completely eliminated, if no roundabout exports from other ASEAN countries were practicing, then this study calculated that the increase of imports from Singapore in the 12 chief items was estimated to be only about 250,000kg, which comes to the amount of 1.1 billion won. The 12 items used here account for over 90% imports of fish and fishery products from Singapore. This study also revealed that imports of fish and fishery products from Singapore would be substituted for domestic products more than 100,000kg in the 7 items produced domestically. The substitution effect represents fishermen's demage by replacing domestic products by imports in terms of income which comes to the amount of 438 million won. As the results of the study shows, establishing an FTA between the two countries will not exert so much adverse effects on our fisheries because relative importance of fish and fishery products in both countries are very small. But the contents of the agreement on fish and fishery products between the two countries are very important, as concluding the negotiation and signing the agreement between Korea and Singapore would be a precedent in future negotiations with other asian countries, especially with China and ASEAN countries.

• 좋은식품
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• 통권206호
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• pp.26-41
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• 2008

Recently, Korea have experienced numbers of FTAs with other countries, including Chile, EFTA(European Free Trade Association), Singapore, ASEAN(Association of South-East Asian Nations), and U.S. In particular, FTA with U.S. are expected to cause huge impact on food markets as well as agricultural sector in Korea. Many researches have analyzed and discussed about the impact on agricultural sector after Korean-U.S. FTA, but very small number of studies focus on the impact of Korean-U.S. FTA on food markets. The purpose of the paper is to discuss the impact of Korea-U.S. FTA on Korean dairy market. For the numerical simulations, this paper focus on the impact on cheese and butter markets. The results of numerical analysis in the paper will be helpful for the future research, because few (maybe no) studies conduct the numerical analysis to measure the impact of Korea-U.S. FTA on Korean food market.

• 무역학회지
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• 제44권3호
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• pp.289-305
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• 2019

Recently, each country has been using non-tariff barriers (Non-Tariff Barriers, NTB) as a new protection trade policy. In particular, TBT lies at the center of NTB. In this context, we examine the impact of Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT) on Korea's exports to ASEAN. Using 10-year statistics from 2007 to 2016 that came into effect with the ASEAN FTA, we analyze the impact of TBT on the Korean exports in the electrical machinery industry (HS85), which accounts for more than 30 percent of Korea's total exports to ASEAN. The results of the empirical analysis using a gravity model showed significant and positive effects in the variables of GDP and real effective exchange rate in each ASEAN country on Korea's exports to ASEAN. As expected, the tariff rate has a negative effect. As for TBT, the key variable of this study, the results are as follows. Although many previous studies reported that TBT has negative impacts on exports, this study could not find any significant impact of TBT and found that Korea's exports of electrical machinery to ASEAN countries are not affected by TBT. Various implications of these results are suggested.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.205-230
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• 2007

In modern manufacturing practice it is sometimes necessary to send products to another country for special processing which cannot be performed inside the territory of the zone and Outward Processing(OP) covers such situation. What's more, process and Rules of Origin(RoO) of OP is implicated in Korea' Free Trade Agreement(Korea-Singapore, Korea-EFTA and Korea-Asean FTA) because of the goods to be producted in Kaesong Industrial Complex. Thus, In this paper analyse a implication of OP's process and RoO focused on the two fold : (1) provide an overview of the objectives, types, effects of Outward Processing described in customs law and FTA provisions of EU and Korea; (2) present a comparative analysis of EU and Korean rules; (3) offer an appropriate proposal to Korea-EU FTA negotiation.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제78권
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• pp.119-143
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• 2018

This research aims to review every important academic research on risk management in FTA and to suggest a future area for further research. This research area seems to focus on conceptual study or fact finding rather than on theory development or empirical research on causal relationship or theory testing. The National Assembly Digital Library analyzed the results of 3,576 researches on thesis and journals fromthe results of the FTA. Research on FTA is analyzed in four major themes. First, there have been previous studies on business performance such as FTA export performance and economic effect. Second, analyzed the effects of FTA in product and service. The products are classified into agricultural, marine products, manufacturing, textiles and clothing, medicinal pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and others. Services are classified into educational and cultural contents, service industry and financial industry. Third, research on the risk management of FTA Origin is broadly classified into the use of country of origin and the verification of origin, and the use of origin includes the study of rules of origin and systems of origin and management. Origin verification was divided into origin verification and origin risk management. Fourth, study on the conclusion area of the FTA, studies were conducted on areas such as Korea-US FTA, Korea-China FTA, Korea-EU FTA, Korea-Japan FTA, Korea-Chile FTA, and Korea-ASEAN FTA. Search results through the FTA, focused on analyzing the FTA area and concept research by research purpose. In addition, research methods are mainly focused on documentary survey, and research areas are concentrated on specific countries such as China and USA. This implies a necessity for a future development in that research area. Other areas for future research may include case research on actual failures in FTA, proactive risk management strategy, and integrated risk management for export companies. Risk management in FTA may help investment expansion, and that is why research on the issue matters.

• 산경연구논집
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.13-21
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• 2010

한·중 양국은 1992년 수교 이래 문화적 공통성과 지리적 인접성 그리고 상호보완적인 경제구조 등을 바탕으로, 정치·경제·사회·문화 등 모든 분야에서 유례를 찾아 볼 수 없는 비약적인 발전을 가져왔다. 특히 중국은 한국의 최대 교역국으로, 그리고 한국은 중국의 제3대 교역국으로 부상하였으며, 2008년에는 전략적 협력 동반자 관계로 격상했다. 현재 국제 통상관계에 있어서 WTO/DDA협상이 난항을 겪고 있는데 반해, FTA는 전 세계적으로 심화와 확대를 거듭하고 있으며, 한·중 양국도 각각 그 어느 나라에 뒤지지 않는 다각적이고 적극적인 FTA 협상을 추진하고 있다. 특히 1997년 금융위기 후 절감한 지역 경제협력의 필요성이 요구됨에 따라 중국은 2005년 아세안과 FTA체결을 시작으로 여러국가에 관심을 표명하였으며, 한국에도 FTA에 추진에 적극적으로 접근하고 있는 상황이다. 지난 5월 28일에는 이명박 대통령과 중국 원자바오 총리와의 회담에서 이에 대한 내용을 언급하였는바, 가까운 시일 내에 본격적인 추진협상이 이루어지리라 예측된다. 이에 중국과 FTA의 본격적인 협상에 대비하여, 한국이 어떤 협상방식을 선택할 것인가에 정책적 제언과 관심이 집중되고 있다. 일부 학자들은 한·중 FTA는 포괄적 협상을 하되, 지속적 논의를 위한 프로토콜을 확정하는 지속형 FTA를 추진해야 한다고 주장하고 있으나 본 연구는 한·중 FTA는 상품무역·서비스·투자분야를 포함하고 협상에서 일괄적으로 타결하는 포괄적 FTA가 되어야한다고 주장한다. 본 연구는 중국의 기 체결된 FTA 협상사례를 통해 중국의 협상방식의 특징을 살펴보고 시사점을 도출하였다. 중국은 현재 아세안, 파키스탄, 칠레 등 개도국과는 단계별 혹은 지속형 FTA 협상방식을 취하고 있으며, 뉴질랜드, 싱가포르 등 선진국과는 일괄타결형 포괄적 FTA 협상방식을 취하고 있다. 중국과의 FTA 협상에 있어서 한국은 농업시장 개방과 국내 이해집단과의 관계 등 쉽지 않은 이슈들이 잔재하고 있으나, 이들은 주로 상품무역 분야에 포진되어 있다. 반면에 중국은 금융·통신 산업이 개방될 경우 중국경제의 전반적인 기반이 위험에 노출하게 되는데, 이들은 주로 서비스무역 분야에 포함되어 있다. 따라서 한국은 협상 범위를 상품무역뿐만 아니라 서비스무역 나아가서 투자 분야까지 넓혀야 이슈간의 교환이 가능해지며, 협상타결의 여지도 충분하리라 판단된다. 즉, 한·중 FTA에 있어서 한국은 뉴질랜드, 싱가포르 사례와 유사한 포괄적이며 협상에서 일괄 타결하는 협상 방식을 채택해야 할 것이다. 이러한 방식으로 인하여 한국은 관세 철폐로 인한 무역 창출효과와 무역 전환효과 나아가 서비스 분야에서 미국, 유럽, 일본 등 선진국에 대비한 중국시장의 선점효과도 기대할 수 있으리라 여겨진다. 또한 한국은 중국과의 FTA 협상의 성공적인 타결을 위하여 중국 국가 차원의 FTA 협상방식에 대한 정책기조를 파악할 필요가 있으며 이를 토대로 한국에 이익을 창출할 수 있는 협상안을 제시해야 할 것이다. 더불어 본격적인 협상이 이루어지기 전인 현 상황에서 중국의 기 체결된 협상 사례에 관한 체계적인 비교분석도 절실히 필요하리라 판단된다.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제11권4호
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• pp.81-88
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• 2013

Purpose - This paper analyzes the influence of the RMB internationalization on the KRW/dollar exchange rate using an autoregressive distributed lag model. Comparing the parameter estimators from the sample period before and after the global financial crisis, we found that the RMB/dollar exchange rate has increasingly become more influential on the KRW/dollar exchange rate. Moreover, for the past several years, the Chinese government has actively utilized the financial service FTA negotiation as a measure for the RMB internationalization. This paper simultaneously considers RMB internationalization and financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA. The purpose of this paper is to explicitly suggest a direction for the financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA considering the effects of RMB internationalization. Research design, data, and methodology - The research plan of this paper has two parts. First, for an empirical study, this paper uses the daily exchange rate of the U.S. dollar against the currencies of the ASEAN5, Taiwan,and Korea. By using an autoregressive distributed lag model, this paper studies the influence of the change in the RMB/dollar exchange rate on changes in the local currency/dollar exchange rate in seven economies neighboring China. Our sample periods are 06/2005 - 07/2008 and 06/2010 -02/2013. During these periods, China was under the multi-currency basket system. We exempted the period of 08/2008 - 05/2010 from the analysis because there was nearly no RMB/dollar exchange rate fluctuation during those months. Second, after analyzing the recent financial service liberalizations and deregulations in China, we recommend a direction for the financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA. In the past several years,the main Chinese financial policy agenda has surrounded the RMB internationalization. Therefore, it is crucial to understand this in the search for strategies for the financial service negotiations in the Korean-Chinese FTA. This paper employs an existing literature survey and examines the FTA protocols in its research methodology. Results and Conclusions - After the global financial crisis, the Chinese government wanted to break away from the dollar influence and pursued independent RMB internationalization in order to continue the growth and stability of its economy. Hence, every neighboring economy of China has been strategically impacted by RMB internationalization. Nevertheless, there is little empirical study on the influence of RMB internationalization on the KRW/dollar exchange rate. This paper is one of the few studies to analyze this problem comprehensively. By using a relatively simple estimation model, we can confirm that the coefficient of the RMB/dollar exchange rate has become more significant, except in the case of Indonesia. Although Korea is not under the multi-currency basket system but under the weakly controlled floating exchange rate system, its coefficient appears as large as that of the ASEAN5. This is the basis of the currency cooperation that has grown from the expansion of trade between the two countries. These empirical results suggest that the Korean government should specifically consider the RMB internationalization in the Korean-Chinese FTA negotiations.

• 통상정보연구
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.447-470
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• 2012

원산지란 국제간의 교역에서 다루어지고 있는 모든 물품에 대한 국적을 나타내는 규정으로서 각국은 원산지 규정을 법 또는 제도로서 운영관리하며 산업재산권 보호차원에서 접근하고 있다. 최근 경제지도를 확대하기 위한 일환으로 확산되고 있는 FTA 협정에서 원산지규정은 매우 복잡한 절차와 이해를 필요로 하는 분야로 국가 간 협상의 최대 쟁점이 되고 있으며 우리나라의 경우 한 칠레 FTA를 시작으로 동시다발적으로 추진된 FTA 협정에서 원산지 기준은 각 협정별 차이로 인해 일관성이 결여되고 국가 간 협상이 쉽지 않은 분야이다. 특히 농업부문의 원산지 기준은 다른 재화와는 다른 농산물의 특성이 반영되어야 하며, 각 품목별 특성을 고려해야하는 분야이다. 기 체결된 협정문에서 다루어진 원산지 기준에 대한 충분한 검토와 품목별 비교를 통해 향후 추진되고 있는 FTA 협정체결과정에서 농업부문에 적용할 수 있는 시사점을 제공하는 것은 매우 큰 의미가 있다. 본 연구에서는 기체결 FTA 협정에서 농업부문의 원산지결정 기준에 대하여 칠레, 미국, ASEAN 그리고 EU와의 FTA 협정을 중심으로 검토하고 각각의 특징을 분석하여 향후 추진되는 FTA에서 활용될 수 있는 시사점을 제시하고자 한다.

• 무역학회지
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• 제47권1호
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• pp.199-214
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• 2022

This study aims to quantify the value of origin among CPTPP and Korea, under the assumption that the 'cumulation' clause has large economic effects in multilateral FTAs and increase the possibility of improving FTA utilization. Analysing the relationship between value-added exports and FTA utilization rate, there is a positive correlation between the two variables, and the cumulation of multilateral production of CPTPP is expected to increase Korea's value-added exports. In the GTAP-VA model, the target of cumulation is calculated as 'Domestic Value Added', and all value-added of CPTPP are cumulated in the form of value added exports of exporting country. When Korea participates in CPTPP, it is possible to cumulate additional 6.3~9.6% value added, and the agreements with low FTA export utilization rates such as New Zealand, ASEAN would have greater economic effects of cumulation. For the successful implementation of CPTPP in Korea, it is necessary to develop a new origin verification system that enables multilateral value-added cumulation. It is time to seek cooperation with countries currently participating in CPTPP to prove the value added inherent in CPTPP-originating products.