• Title/Summary/Keyword: Joint Prediction Region

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Multivariate GARCH and Its Application to Bivariate Time Series

  • Choi, M.S.;Park, J.A.;Hwang, S.Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.915-925
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    • 2007
  • Multivariate GARCH has been useful to model dynamic relationships between volatilities arising from each component series of multivariate time series. Methodologies including EWMA(Exponentially weighted moving-average model), DVEC(Diagonal VEC model), BEKK and CCC(Constant conditional correlation model) models are comparatively reviewed for bivariate time series. In addition, these models are applied to evaluate VaR(Value at Risk) and to construct joint prediction region. To illustrate, bivariate stock prices data consisting of Samsung Electronics and LG Electronics are analysed.

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Shoaling Prediction by the Statistical Joint Distribution in the Shallow Water Region (천해역에 있어서의 결합확률분포의 천수변형에 대한 연구)

  • 권정곤
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 1991
  • Accurate estimation of irregular wave transformation when the waves propagate from deep water to shallow water region is very important for the design of coastal structures and establishing beach erosion control. In this study. the transformation of directional spectrum is tested numerically using a conservation equation for energy flux and. based upon the joint distribution of wave height. period and wave direction. shoaling effects are predicted in the shallow water region. The applicability of the proposed procedure is verified through comparison with field observation data.

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Calculation of Welding Deformations by Simplified Thermal Elasto-plastic Analysis

  • Seo Sung Il
    • Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.40-49
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    • 2004
  • Welding deformations injure the beauty of appearance of a structure, decrease its buckling strength and prevent increase of productivity. Welding deformations of real structures are complicated and the accurate prediction of welding deformations has been a difficult problem. This study proposes a method to predict the welding deformations of large structures accurately and practically based on the simplified thermal elasto-plastic analysis method. The proposed method combines the inherent strain theory with the numerical or theoretical analysis method and the experimental results. The weld joint is assumed to be divided into 3 regions such as inherent strain region, material softening region and base metal region. Characteristic material properties are used in structural modeling and analysis for reasonable simplification. Calculated results by this method show good agreement with the experimental results. It was proven that this method gives an accurate and efficient solution for the problem of welding deformation calculation of large structures.

Effects of Premixed Flame on Turbulence Properties in a Pilot Flame Stabilized Jet Burner (파일럿 안정화 제트버너의 예혼합 화염이 미연가스 영역 난류특성에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Dae Hoon;Kwon, Sejin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.23 no.9
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    • pp.1172-1177
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    • 1999
  • Comparisons of measured turbulence properties in the unburned gas region of turbulent premixed flame stabilized by pilot flame, in cases of combusting and non-combusting flow conditions, are presented. Methane-air premixed jet at fuel equivalence ratio of 0.6 and 1.0 and Reynolds number of 7,000 was diagnosed using two-color laser velocimeter to obtain turbulence statistics. Same set of measurements was repeated at 21 locations within the unburned gas region of both combusting and non-combusting conditions. Velocity data were analyzed to evaluate the spatial distribution of turbulence properties including Reynolds stress, probability densities, joint probability densities and auto correlations. Contrary to assumptions of current theoretical models, significant influence of flame was observed in every property that was studied in the present investigation. The effective viscosity increased ten-fold when flame was on from cold flow values. The effect of mixing on joint probability as well as in turbulence intensity was suppressed by the flame. The measurements suggest that common assumptions of premixed flame model may result in sizable error in prediction of flame length and temperature distribution in near-field.

Strengthening of non-seismically designed beam-column joints by ferrocement jackets with chamfers

  • Li, Bo;Lam, Eddie Siu-Shu;Cheng, Yuk-Kit;Wu, Bo;Wang, Ya-Yong
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.1017-1038
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a strengthening method that involves the use of ferrocement jackets and chamfers to relocate plastic hinge for non-seismically designed reinforced concrete exterior beam-column joints. An experimental study was conducted to assess the effectiveness of the proposed strengthening method. Four half-scale beam-column joints, including one control specimen and three strengthened specimens, were prepared and tested under quasi-static cyclic loading. Strengthening schemes include ferrocement jackets with or without skeleton reinforcements and one or two chamfers. Experimental results have indicated that the proposed strengthening method is effective to move plastic hinge from the joint to the beam and enhance seismic performance of beam-column joints. Shear stress and distortion within the joint region are also reduced significantly in strengthened specimens. Skeleton reinforcements in ferrocement provide limited improvement, except on crack control. Specimen strengthened by ferrocement jackets with one chamfer exhibits slight decrease in peak strength and energy dissipation but with increase in ductility as compared with that of two chamfers. Finally, a method for estimating moment capacity at beam-column interface for strengthened specimen is developed. The proposed method gives reasonable prediction and can ensure formation of plastic hinge at predetermined location in the beam.

Study on seismic performance of exterior reinforced concrete beam-column joint under variable loading speeds or axial forces

  • Guoxi Fan;Wantong Xiang;Debin Wang;Zichen Dou;Xiaocheng Tang
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.31-48
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    • 2024
  • In order to get a better understanding of seismic performance of exterior beam-column joint, reciprocating loading tests with variable loading speeds or axial forces were carried out. The main findings indicate that only few cracks exist on the surface of the joint core area, while the plastic hinge region at the beam end is seriously damaged. The damage of the specimen is more serious with the increase of the upper limit of variable axial force. The deflection ductility coefficient of specimen decreases to various degrees after the upper limit of variable axial force increases. In addition, the higher the loading speed is, the lower the deflection ductility coefficient of the specimen is. The stiffness of the specimen decreases as the upper limit of variable axial force or the loading speed increase. Compared to the influence of variable axial force, the influence of the loading speed on the stiffness degradation of the specimen is more obvious. The cumulative energy dissipation and the equivalent viscous damping coefficient of specimen decrease with the increase of loading speed. The influence of variable axial force on the energy dissipation of specimen varies under different loading speeds. Based on the truss model, the biaxial stress criterion, the Rankine criterion, the Kent-Scott-Park model, the equivalent theorem of shearing stress, the softened strut-and-tie model, the controlled slip theory and the proposed equations, a calculation method for the shear capacity is proposed with satisfactory prediction results.

Fast Mode Decision using Global Disparity Vector for Multi-view Video Coding (다시점 영상 부호화에서 전역 변이 벡터를 이용한 고속 모드 결정)

  • Han, Dong-Hoon;Cho, Suk-Hee;Hur, Nam-Ho;Lee, Yung-Lyul
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.328-338
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    • 2008
  • Multi-view video coding (MVC) based on H.264/AVC encodes multiple views efficiently by using a prediction scheme that exploits inter-view correlation among multiple views. However, with the increase of the number of views and use of inter-view prediction among views, total encoding time will be increased in multiview video coding. In this paper, we propose a fast mode decision using both MB(Macroblock)-based region segmentation information corresponding to each view in multiple views and global disparity vector among views in order to reduce encoding time. The proposed method achieves on average 40% reduction of total encoding time with the objective video quality degradation of about 0.04 dB peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR) by using joint multi-view video model (JMVM) 4.0 that is the reference software of the multiview video coding standard.

A Study on the Life Prediction and Quality Improvement of Joint in IC Package (플라스틱 IC 패키지 접합부의 수명예측 및 품질향상에 관한 연구)

  • 신영의;김종민
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.124-132
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    • 1999
  • Thermal fatigue strength of the solder joints is the most critical issue for TSOP(Thin Small Outline Package) because the leads of this package are extremely short and thermal deformation cannot be absorbed by the deflection of the lead. And the TSOP body can be subject to early fatigue failures in thermal cycle environments. This paper was discussed distribution of thermal stresses at near the joint between silicon chip and die pad and investigated their reliability of solder joints of TSOP with 42 alloy clad lead frame on printed circuit board through FEM and 3 different thermal cycling tests. It has been found that the stress concentration around the encapsulated edge structure for internal crack between the silicon chip and Cu alloy die pad. And using 42 alloy clad, The reliability of TSOP body was improved. In case of using 42 alloy clad die pad(t=0.03mm). $$\sigma$_{VMmax}$ is 69Mpa. It is showed that 15% improvement of the strength in the TSOP body in comparison with using Cu alloy die pad $($\sigma$_{VMmax}$=81MPa). In solder joint of TSOP, the maximum equivalent plastic strain and Von Mises stress concentrate on the heel of solder fillet and crack was initiated in it's region and propagated through the interface between lead and solder. Finally, the modified Manson-Coffin equation and relationship of the ratio of $N_{f}$ to nest(η) and cumulative fracture probability(f) with respect to the deviations of the 50% fracture probability life $(N_{f 50%})$ were achieved.

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RELATIVE SIGNAL INTENSITY OF RETRODISCAL TISSUE IN MRI, AND SYNOVIAL FLUID CONCENTRATION OF INTERLEUKIN-6, MMP-2 AND MMP-9 IN TEMPOROMANDIBULAR JOINT DISORDER (악관절질환에서 MRI 상 관절원판 후조직의 상대적 신호강도와 관절액의 Interleukin-6, MMP-2 및 MMP-9 농도)

  • Lee, Sang-Hwa;Choie, Mok-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.399-408
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    • 2005
  • In the progression of the Temporomandibular Joint Disorder(TMD), not only deformation and perforation of disc occur. But also fibrotic adhesion and inflammatory changes to the retrodiscal tissue can be seen in addition to the condylar degenerative change (e.g. osteoarthritis). However, the correct diagnosis,?planning for appropriate treatment, and prediction of prognosis are limited, because there are no means to stage the progression of the disorder. In this study relative signal intensity of retrodiscal tissue in MRI and the synovial fluid concentration of matrix metalloproteinase-2 (MMP-2), MMP-9, and Interleukin-6(IL-6) in the 23 temporomandibular joints(TMJ), from 17 patients with TMD were evaluated as a possible diagnostic marker. The relative signal intensity of retrodiscal tissue was referenced to brain gray matter with same region of interest(ROI) size. The concentrations of MMP-2, MMP-9, and IL-6 were evaluated by Enzyme Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA). The collected data were compared with condylar degenerative change, joint effusion and disc position observed in MRI. The relative signal intensity of the retrodiscal tissue was increased significantly when degenerative changes were present. In addition, there was significantly high signal intensity in the presence of a disc displaced without reduction. The concentration of IL-6 was significantly increased when condylar degenerative change was no observed. And there were no changes in the levels of IL-6 according to disc position and joint effusion measurement. Moreover, there were no significant relevance between the concentration of total MMP-2 and active MMP-9 in synovial fluid, relative to degenerative changes in the mandibular condyle, to joint effusion, and to disc position observed on MRI images. In conclusion, the relative signal intensity of the retrodiscal tissue can be regarded as a mean of diagnosing the procession of TMD in a non-invasive manner. But more additional studies are required for the levels of MMP-2. MMP-9, and IL-6 to determine their potentials as a diagnostic marker for TMD.

A Study for Shear Deterioration of Reinforced Concrete Beam-Column Joints Failing in Shear after Flexural Yielding of Adjacent Beams (보의 휨항복 후 접합부가 파괴하는 철근콘크리트 보-기둥 접합부의 전단내력 감소에 대한 해석적 연구)

  • Park, Jong-Wook;Yun, Seok-Gwang;Kim, Byoung-Il;Lee, Jung-Yoon
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.399-406
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    • 2012
  • Beam-column joints are generally recognized as the critical regions in the moment resisting reinforced concrete (RC) frames subjected to both lateral and vertical loads. As a result of severe lateral load such as seismic loading, the joint region is subjected to horizontal and vertical shear forces whose magnitudes are many times higher than in column and adjacent beam. Consequently, much larger bond and shear stresses are required to sustain these magnified forces. The critical deterioration of potential shear strength in the joint area should not occur until ductile capacity of adjacent beams reach the design demand. In this study, a method was provided to predict the deformability of reinforced concrete beam-column joints failing in shear after the plastic hinges developed at both ends of the adjacent beams. In order to verify the deformability estimated by the proposed method, an experimental study consisting of three joint specimens with varying tensile reinforcement ratios was carried out. The result between the observed and predicted behavior of the joints showed reasonably good agreement.