• Title/Summary/Keyword: Investment Evaluation Model

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Global Construction Competitiveness Evaluation in 2016

  • Park, Hwanpyo;Han, Jaegoo
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2017.10a
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2017
  • Korea's domestic construction market and overseas construction order environment are experiencing a decreasing trend, and this trend is expected to continue. Therefore, domestic construction companies are seeking to enter the global construction market. This study analyzes the global construction market and the global competitiveness for global construction companies and provides the results. To this end, this study has developed a model to evaluate the global construction competitiveness level and to evaluated global construction competitiveness in 2016. The evaluation of global construction competitiveness was analyzed based on the competitiveness of construction infrastructure by country, and the evaluation results of competitiveness of construction companies. These assessments were based on 20 detailed international statistics (ENR, Global Insight, Compass, etc.). The evaluation results are as follows. First, in regard to the comprehensive global construction competitiveness by country, America ranked first among 20 countries, followed by China. European countries like Spain, Germany and the Netherlands ranked third to fifth, respectively. Korea ranked sixth, one rank higher than that of the previous year. America and European countries remain strong. Second, in regard to the comprehensive building infrastructure competitiveness by country, America ranked first followed by Germany. Korea ranked twelfth, which is the same rank as that of the previous year. When it comes to stability in the construction market, China ranked first and Korea eighth. For construction systems, Sweden ranked first and Korea thirteenth, and for infrastructure, Japan ranked first and Korea tenth. Third, according to the construction company's capability evaluation by country, America ranked first followed by China. Korea ranked fourth, two ranks higher than that of the previous year because of its building competitiveness (fifth → fourth) and design competitiveness (eleventh → eighth) which has improved. When it comes to building competitiveness, China ranked first and Korea fourth. For design competitiveness, America ranked first and Korea eighth, and for price competitiveness, India ranked first and Korea seventh. However, Korea is still in the middle of the pack rank among the 20 countries considered when it comes to design competitiveness. It is ranked eleventh for design productivity and thirteenth for foreign sales against the total sales (internationalization). Thus, Korea needs to improve technical power and tap into new markets for improved competitiveness, including increased productivity. To do so, more R&D investment is required.

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Development of Evaluation Model for the Korean New & Renewable Energy Policies : Focusing on RPS & FIT (한국의 신재생에너지 정책의 평가모델 개발 : RPS 및 FIT를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jong-Jae;Hwang, Chan-Gyu;Moon, Chae-Joo
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.8 no.9
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    • pp.1333-1342
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    • 2013
  • New & renewable energy becomes a crucial subject to solve the problems inherent in the current energy resources, which results in the fast development of the new & renewable energy industry worldwide. However, not only its base is still weak but the high initial investment for technology development and certain scale of an energy market are required in many cases. For this reason, many countries in the world, including Korea, run the energy policies to foster the new & renewable energy industry such as RSP and FIT. In general, a policy should be established to take various, intertwined interests as well as a number of variables related to economic, social, environmental, and international matters into comprehensive consideration. For new & renewable energy industry, there are many variables to be considered and indexes necessary for evaluation but it is hard to take all of them into account. Even though they were considered, no criteria are available for use in a consistent manner. Therefore, this study plans to develop an evaluation model for the Korean new & renewable energy policy.

Performance of Investment Strategy using Investor-specific Transaction Information and Machine Learning (투자자별 거래정보와 머신러닝을 활용한 투자전략의 성과)

  • Kim, Kyung Mock;Kim, Sun Woong;Choi, Heung Sik
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.65-82
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    • 2021
  • Stock market investors are generally split into foreign investors, institutional investors, and individual investors. Compared to individual investor groups, professional investor groups such as foreign investors have an advantage in information and financial power and, as a result, foreign investors are known to show good investment performance among market participants. The purpose of this study is to propose an investment strategy that combines investor-specific transaction information and machine learning, and to analyze the portfolio investment performance of the proposed model using actual stock price and investor-specific transaction data. The Korea Exchange offers daily information on the volume of purchase and sale of each investor to securities firms. We developed a data collection program in C# programming language using an API provided by Daishin Securities Cybosplus, and collected 151 out of 200 KOSPI stocks with daily opening price, closing price and investor-specific net purchase data from January 2, 2007 to July 31, 2017. The self-organizing map model is an artificial neural network that performs clustering by unsupervised learning and has been introduced by Teuvo Kohonen since 1984. We implement competition among intra-surface artificial neurons, and all connections are non-recursive artificial neural networks that go from bottom to top. It can also be expanded to multiple layers, although many fault layers are commonly used. Linear functions are used by active functions of artificial nerve cells, and learning rules use Instar rules as well as general competitive learning. The core of the backpropagation model is the model that performs classification by supervised learning as an artificial neural network. We grouped and transformed investor-specific transaction volume data to learn backpropagation models through the self-organizing map model of artificial neural networks. As a result of the estimation of verification data through training, the portfolios were rebalanced monthly. For performance analysis, a passive portfolio was designated and the KOSPI 200 and KOSPI index returns for proxies on market returns were also obtained. Performance analysis was conducted using the equally-weighted portfolio return, compound interest rate, annual return, Maximum Draw Down, standard deviation, and Sharpe Ratio. Buy and hold returns of the top 10 market capitalization stocks are designated as a benchmark. Buy and hold strategy is the best strategy under the efficient market hypothesis. The prediction rate of learning data using backpropagation model was significantly high at 96.61%, while the prediction rate of verification data was also relatively high in the results of the 57.1% verification data. The performance evaluation of self-organizing map grouping can be determined as a result of a backpropagation model. This is because if the grouping results of the self-organizing map model had been poor, the learning results of the backpropagation model would have been poor. In this way, the performance assessment of machine learning is judged to be better learned than previous studies. Our portfolio doubled the return on the benchmark and performed better than the market returns on the KOSPI and KOSPI 200 indexes. In contrast to the benchmark, the MDD and standard deviation for portfolio risk indicators also showed better results. The Sharpe Ratio performed higher than benchmarks and stock market indexes. Through this, we presented the direction of portfolio composition program using machine learning and investor-specific transaction information and showed that it can be used to develop programs for real stock investment. The return is the result of monthly portfolio composition and asset rebalancing to the same proportion. Better outcomes are predicted when forming a monthly portfolio if the system is enforced by rebalancing the suggested stocks continuously without selling and re-buying it. Therefore, real transactions appear to be relevant.

A Study on the Policy Directions to Sustainable Rural Development (논문 - 지속가능한 농어촌 지역개발을 위한 정책 방향 연구)

  • Im, Sang-Bong;Chung, Hae-Chang
    • KCID journal
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 2011
  • There are found rare specific alternatives for sustainable rural development although sustainable development has become popular common concept in international development arena. Korea is trying to reform rural development by introducing a block grants system since 2009 expecting for the efficiency of development investment. However, it seems that such new rural development system is far from realizing the sustainable development. The objectives of the study are to identify the roles and issues of the sustainable development policy and to suggest a policy model for realizing sustainable rural development. Based on the policy model hypothetically established, some policy alternatives were suggested: (i) the establishment of land use system considering sustainability perspectives; (ii) the preparation of environment management measures considering topographical traits; (iii) the improvement of landscape support scheme toward increasing biodiversity; (iv) the systematic implementation of agriculture-environment measures; (v) the implementation of sustainable development projects linking production to housing; (vi) the inclusion of sustainability indicators in rural development evaluation system.

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Systematic Parameter Analysis for Line Capacity (용량모수 평가체계)

  • Kim Dong Hee;Hong Sun Heum;Lee Weon Soon;Cho Min Young
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2003.10b
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    • pp.326-333
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    • 2003
  • Railway system is consisted of resources such as rail-line, signalling system, and railcars. It is necessary to efficiently utilize these limited and expensive resources as much as possible up to given line capacity. So far, we treat the line capacity as the criteria for evaluating investment alternatives or for restricting train frequencies, and this criteria is calculated statical and experimental numerical formula. But, line capacity has special attribute that changes dynamically according to operational conditions, so there is a need of new line capacity estimation system. In this paper, we present systematic line capacity analysis model. The proposed model has three main components; TPS(tain performance simulator), PES(parameter evaluation simulator), LCS(line capacity simulator).

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Performance Evaluation of SME Banking in Bangladesh using Stochastic Frontier Analysis

  • Hossain, M.K.;Hossain, M.A.;Baten, M.A.
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2016
  • Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) are suitable to provide employment with lower investment in densely populated countries like Bangladesh. A stochastic frontier model is used to evaluate performance of SME Banking of the commercial banks in Bangladesh. Input (Total Deposit, Cost of Fund and Salary Expenditure) and output (Finance to SME) data are collected on 45 banks which are dealt with SME for 13 quarters from $1^{st}$quarter of 2010 to $2^{nd}$quarter of 2013. Average performance of the SME banking is 0.716 in Bangladesh. That is, banks have opportunity to increase 30% performance in SME banking from the same inputs. Bangladesh Development Bank has lowest performance (0.540) while Eastern bank has the highest performance (0.753). Highest (0.743) and lowest (0.662) performance is observed during the second quarter of 2013 and fourth quarter of 2010 respectively. Inefficient Bank might be benefited by following the rules of efficient banks.

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A Study on Discount/Capitalization Rates for Valution of Culture Content Enterprises (문화(文化)콘텐츠기업(企業) 가치평가(價値評價)를 위한 할인율(割引率) 결정(決定)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Gheem, In-Choll;Joo, Hyung-Kun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.115-148
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    • 2005
  • This study is intended to suggest a more reasonable and practical method of estimating discount & capitalization rate for valuation of closely-held culture content business, that is, to modify the Buildup Summation Model(which is recommended for the closely-held business by the NACVA) by adopting the weighted ratings in the CT Project Investment Evaluation of the Korea Culture Contents Association to risk factors of the Buildup Summation Model. This method is ease to apply for closely-held culture content business and has advantages in applying the weighted rates based on the characteristics of respective culture contents. And it can make up for the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) which shows generally low discount rates.

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Forecasting Corporate Bankruptcy with Artificial Intelligence (인공지능기법을 이용한 기업부도 예측)

  • Oh, Woo-Seok;Kim, Jin-Hwa
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.17-32
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate financial models that can predict corporate bankruptcy with diverse studies on evaluation models. The study uses discriminant analysis, logistic model, decision tree, neural networks as analyses tools with 18 input variables as major financial factors. The study found meaningful variables such as current ratio, return on investment, ordinary income to total assets, total debt turn over rate, interest expenses to sales, net working capital to total assets and it also found that prediction performance of suggested method is a bit low compared to that in literature review. It is because the studies in the past uses the data set on the listed companies or companies audited from outside. And this study uses data on the companies whose credibility is not verified enough. Another finding is that models based on decision tree analysis and discriminant analysis showed the highest performance among many bankruptcy forecasting models.

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The Performance Evaluation on Unique Business of Public Enterprise using the DEA Model (DEA를 이용한 공기업 고유사업의 성과평가)

  • Lee, Sang-Chul;Suh, Yeung-Ho;Park, Sang-Chan;Moon, Jae-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2009
  • This research analyzes results and efficiency to promote a government enterprise of A Korean public enterprise to use DEA. Especially, we were used analysis efficiency which are one is year-on-year, another is integrated, and the other is vertical analysis. As a results of integrated analysis show that Gyeonggi_2003 Gyeonggi_2004, Gangwon_2004, Chungcheon-Bukdo_2003, Chungcheon-Bukdo_2004, Cholla-Namdo_2005, and Kyongsang-Bukdo_2003 need to improve upon. Year-on-year analysis result that Gyeonggi, Gangwon, and Kyongsang-Bukdo need urgent improvement. Today, many advanced countries approach not only agricultural investment but also synthetic investment because they believe that agriculture contains living space including food control. Therefore, when the government make a strategic plan for the land and water development in the field of agriculture, they should prepare it well including the proper measures to cope with the internal and external environments.

The development of knowledge service needs assessment model for small and medium-sized businesses (중소기업을 위한 지식서비스 수요 조사 모형 개발)

  • Maeng, Yun-ho;Yoo, Sun-Hi;Seo, Jinny
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.169-190
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    • 2015
  • The status of small and medium-sized enterprises has been changed into more independent business entities rather than simply subcontractor so that the utilization of specialized knowledge has been much more necessary for the survival in the market. However, small and medium-sized enterprises, it is difficult to sufficient investment in knowledge services due to limited resources relative to large enterprises and demand for knowledge services business of government support is growing. For this reason, it is important to measure accurately the demand for knowledge services of small and medium-sized enterprises in knowledge management for effective utilization of knowledge service. In this study, we analyzed previous studies on small and medium-sized enterprises knowledge services that can be utilized in a comprehensive way. As a result, we developed knowledge service needs assessment model based on five critical success factors for continual growth and 12 types of knowledge service. This model has been modified and supplemented through expert meeting using delphi research method and topic modeling analysis using secondary data. This study is attempted to appropriately measure necessary knowledge services for small and medium-sized enterprises so that generated the evaluation model of knowledge service demands, comprehensively dealing with core knowledge services for many kinds of business entities. It is expected that the developed model will be a useful tool to understand and evaluate knowledge services demands of enterprises.