• Title/Summary/Keyword: Interval estimation

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Performance Evaluation of Location Estimation System Using a Non Fixed Single Receiver

  • Myagmar, Enkhzaya;Kwon, Soon-Ryang
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.69-74
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    • 2014
  • General location aware systems are only applied to indoor and outdoor environments using more than three transmitters to estimate a fixed object location. Those kinds of systems have environmental restrictions that require an already established infrastructure. To solve this problem, an Object Location Estimation (OLE) algorithm based on PTP (Point To Point) communication has been proposed. However, the problem with this method is that deduction of performance parameters is not enough and location estimation is very difficult because of unknown restriction conditions. From experimental tests in this research, we determined that the performance parameters for restriction conditions are a maximum transmission distance of CSS communication and an optimum moving distance interval between personal locations. In this paper, a system applied OLE algorithm based on PTP communication is implemented using a CSS (Chirp Spread Spectrum) communication module. A maximum transmission distance for CSS communication and an optimum moving distance interval between personal locations are then deducted and studied to estimate a fixed object location for generalization.

Accuracy Estimation of Laser scanning Mobile Mapping System using Lynx Mobile Mapper (Lynx Mobile Mapper를 이용한 레이저스캐너 기반 차량 MMS의 정확도 평가)

  • Jeong, Tae-Jun;Yun, Hong-Sic;Hwang, Jin-Sang;Kim, Yong-Hyun;Wi, Gwang-Jae;Lee, Ha-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.69-71
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we focus on the accuracy estimation of laser scanning mobile mapping system using Lynx Mobile Mapper. For this, we surveyed checkpoints(181 points) in study areas. A method to estimate the accuracy of laser scanning mobile mapping system based on the measurement range, interval of control points and gps signal environments. As a result, to ensure reliable measurement results, we must be made a plan considering Measure range(60m or under) and operation. The estimation results showed the need for improving accuracy using control points about 150m interval according to environment error source.

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A Comparison of Confidence Intervals for the Difference of Proportions (모비율 차이의 신뢰구간들에 대한 비교연구)

  • 정형철;전명식;김대학
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.377-393
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    • 2003
  • Several confidence interval estimates for the difference of two binomial proportions were introduced. Bootstrap confidence interval is also suggested. We examined the over estimation property of approximate intervals and under estimation trend of exact intervals for the difference of proportions. We compared these confidence intervals based on the average coverage probability, expected width and skewness measure. Particularly actual coverage probability were calculated by using the prior distribution of parameters. Monte Carlo simulation for small sample size is conducted. Some interesting contour plots of average coverage probability and marginal plots for several interval estimates are presented.

Investigating Optimal Aggregation Interval Size of Loop Detector Data for Travel Time Estimation and Predicition (통행시간 추정 및 예측을 위한 루프검지기 자료의 최적 집계간격 결정)

  • Yoo, So-Young;Rho, Jeong-Hyun;Park, Dong-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2004
  • Since the late of 1990, there have been number of studies on the required number of probe vehicles and/or optimal aggregation interval sizes for travel time estimation and forecasting. However, in general one to five minutes are used as aggregation intervals for the travel time estimation intervals for the travel time estimation and/or forecasting of loop detector system without a reasonable validation. The objective of this study is to deveop models for identifying optimal aggregation interval sizes of loop detector data for travel time estimation and prediction. This study developed Cross Valiated Mean Square Error (CVMSE) model for the link and route travel time forecasting, The developed models were applied to the loop detector data of Kyeongbu expressway. It was found that the optimal aggregation sizes for the travel time estimation and forecasting are three to five minutes and ten to twenty minutes, respectively.

Interpretation of Quality Statistics Using Sampling Error (샘플링오차에 의한 품질통계 모형의 해석)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.205-210
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    • 2008
  • The research interprets the principles of sampling error design for quality statistics models such as hypothesis test, interval estimation, control charts and acceptance sampling. Introducing the proper discussions of the design of significance level according to the use of hypothesis test, then it presents two methods to interpret significance by Neyman-Pearson and Fisher. Second point of the study proposes the design of confidence level for interval estimation by Bayesian confidence set, frequentist confidential set and fiducial interval. Third, the content also indicates the design of type I error and type II error considering both productivity and customer claim for control chart. Finally, the study reflects the design of producer's risk with operating charistictics curve, screening and switch rules for the purpose of purchasing and subcontraction.

An Interval Algebra-based Modeling and Routing Method in Bus Delay Tolerant Network

  • Wang, Haiquan;Ma, Weijian;Shi, Hengkun;Xia, Chunhe
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.1376-1391
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    • 2015
  • In bus delay-tolerant networks, the route of bus is determinate but its arrival time is indeterminate. However, most conventional approaches predict future contact without considering its uncertainty, which makes a limitation on routing performance. A novel approach is proposed by employing interval algebra to characterize the contact's uncertainty and time-varying nature. The contact is predicted by using the Bayesian estimation to achieve a better routing performance. Simulation results show that this approach achieves a good balance between delivery latency and delivery ratio.

Confidence Intervals and Joint Confidence Regions for the Two-Parameter Exponential Distribution based on Records

  • Asgharzadeh, A.;Abdi, M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.103-110
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    • 2011
  • Exponential distribution is widely adopted as a lifetime model. Many authors have considered the interval estimation of the parameters of two-parameter exponential distribution based on complete and censored samples. In this paper, we consider the interval estimation of the location and scale parameters and the joint confidence region of the parameters of two-parameter exponential distribution based on upper records. A simulation study is done for the performance of all proposed confidence intervals and regions. We also propose the predictive intervals of the future records. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the proposed methods.

Analyzing Clustered and Interval-Censored Data based on the Semiparametric Frailty Model

  • Kim, Jin-Heum;Kim, Youn-Nam
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.707-718
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    • 2012
  • We propose a semi-parametric model to analyze clustered and interval-censored data; in addition, we plugged-in a gamma frailty to the model to measure the association of members within the same cluster. We propose an estimation procedure based on EM algorithm. Simulation results showed that our estimation procedure may result in unbiased estimates. The standard error is smaller than expected and provides conservative results to estimate the coverage rate; however, this trend gradually disappeared as the number of members in the same cluster increased. In addition, our proposed method was illustrated with data taken from diabetic retinopathy studies to evaluate the effectiveness of laser photocoagulation in delaying or preventing the onset of blindness in individuals with diabetic retinopathy.

Nonparametric kernel calibration and interval estimation (비모수적 커널교정과 구간추정)

  • 이재창;전명식;김대학
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 1993
  • Calibration relates the estimation of independent variable which rquires more effort or expense than dependent variable does. It would be provided with high accuracy because a little change of the result of independent variable cn cause a serious effect to the human being. Usual statistical analysis assumes the normality of error distribution or linearity of data. It is desirable to analyze the data without those assumptions for the accuracy of the calibration. In this paper, we calibrated the data nonparametrically without those assumptions and derived confidence interval estimate for the independent variable. As a method, we used kernel method which is popular in modern statistical branch. We derived bootstrap confidence interval estimate from the bootstrap confidence band.

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On the Interval Estimation of the Difference between Independent Proportions with Rare Events

  • im, Yongdai;Choi, Daewoo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.481-487
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    • 2000
  • When we construct an interval estimate of two independent proportions with rare events, the standard approach based on the normal approximation behaves badly in many cases. The problem becomes more severe when no success observations are observed on both groups. In this paper, we compare two alternative methods of constructing a confidence interval of the difference of two independent proportions by use of simulation. One is based on the profile likelihood and the other is the Bayesian probability interval. It is shown in this paper that the Bayesian interval estimator is easy to be implemented and performs almost identical to the best frequentist's method -the profile likelihood approach.

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