• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.121-131
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• 2008

본 연구에서는 국가표준 시나리오 A1B와 A2 조건에서 예상되는 2071-2100 평년의 최저기온 예상도와, 휴면심도로부터 추정한 단기내동성 분포도에 근거하여, 남한 전역에 대해 사방 270m 간격으로 경관규모의 국지적인 동해위험 정도를 분석함으로써 현재 평년(1971-2000)에 비해 어떤 결과를 보일지 예측하고자 하였다. 실험에 필요한 270m 해상도의 일별 기온자료와 1월 최저기온자료는 농림수산식품부의 전자기후도 및 그 파생산물, 그리고 국립기상연구소의 기후시나리오자료를 이용하여 준비하였다. 대상작물로서 'Campbell Early' 포도를 선정하고 현재와 미래 평년에 대해 각각 휴면심도를 계산하여 비교한 결과, 단기내동성 유지면적(휴면심도 -150 이하)과 저온내습지역($-15^{\circ}$ 이하)은 두 가지 시나리오 모두 미래기후 조건에서 동시에 줄어들었다. 기온과 휴면심도 두 요인을 종합해 분석해보면 현재 평년에 비해 100년 후 미래 평년에 동해위험이 감소하는 지역은 증가하는 지역보다 더 늘어나므로 포도재배에 있어서 저온피해의 위협은 감소할 것이다. 하지만 피해율 30% 이하의 월동 안전지역의 면적이 현재 평년의 59%에서 미래에는 55% (A1B)${\sim}$63% (A2)로서 뚜렷이 증가하지 않으며, 피해율 70% 이상의 월동 위험지역의 면적은 오히려 현재 평년의 13%에서 미래에는 23% (A1B)${\sim}$25% (A2)로 크게 증가할 것으로 예측되었다. 본 연구에서 사용된 전자기후도에 근거한 동해위험도 분석기술은 국내 주요 과수품종에 적용할 수 있으므로 재배적지의 재배치 등 기후변화대과 수산업분야 적응전략 마련에 유용하게 쓰일 수 있을 것이다.

• 한국운동역학회지
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.117-132
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• 2005

It was to study a following research of "A Kinematic Analysis of Air-rolling-breakfall in Judo". The purpose of this study was to analyze the Center of Gravity(COG) variables when performing Air-rolling-breakfall motion, while passing forward over(PFO) to the vertical-hurdles(2m height, take off board 1m height) in judo. Subjects were four males of Y. University squad, who were trainees of the demonstration exhibition team, representatives of national level judoists and were filmed by four 5-VHS 16mm video cameras(60field/sec.) through the three dimensional film analysis methods.COG variable were anterior-posterior directional COG and linear velocity of COG, vertical directional COG and linear velocity of COG. The data collections of this study were digitized by KWON3D program computed The data were standardized using cubic spline interpolation based by calculating the mean values and the standard deviation calculated for each variables. When performing the Air-rolling-breakfall, from the data analysis and discussions, the conclusions were as follows : 1. Anterior-posterior directional COG(APD-COG) when performing Air-rolling-breakfall motion, while PFO over to the vertical-hurdles(2m height) in judo. The range of APD-COG by forward was $0.31{\sim}0.41m$ in take-off position(event 1), $1.20{\sim}1.33m$ in the air-top position(event 2), $2.12{\sim}2.30m$ in the touch-down position(event 3), gradually and $2.14{\sim}2.32m$ in safety breakfall position(event 4), respectively. 2 The linear velocity of APD-COG was $1.03{\sim}2.14m/sec$. in take-off position(event 1), $1.97{\sim}2.22m/sec$. gradually in the air-top position(event 2), $1.05{\sim}1.32m/sec$. in the touch-down position (event 3), gradual decrease and $0.91{\sim}1.23m/sec$. in the safety breakfall position(event 4), respectively. 3. The vertical directional COG(VD-COG) when performing Air-rolling-breakfall motion, while PFO to the vertical-hurdles(2m height) in judo. The range of VD-COG toward upward from mat was $1.35{\sim}1.46m$ in take-off position(event 1), the highest $2.07{\sim}2.23m$ in the air-top position(event 2), and after rapid decrease $0.3{\sim}0.58m$ in the touch-down position(event 3), gradual decrease $0.22{\sim}0.50m$ in safety breakfall position(event 4), respectively. 4. The linear velocity of VlJ.COG was $1.60{\sim}1.87m/sec$. in take-off position(event 1), $0.03{\sim}0.08m/sec$. gradually in the air-top position(event 2), $-4.37{\sim}\;-4.76m/sec$. gradual decrease in the touch-down position(event 3), gradual decrease and -4.40${\sim}\;-4.77m/sec$. in safety breakfall position(event 4), respectively. When performing Air-rolling-breakfall showed parabolic movement from take-off position to air-top position, and after showed vertical fall movement from air-top position to safety breakfall. In conclusion, Ukemi(breakfall) is safety fall method Therefore, actions need for performing safety fall movement, that decrease and minimize shock and impact during Air-rolling-breakfall from take-off board action to air-top position must be maximize of angular momentum, and after must be minimize in touch-down position and safety breakfall position.