• 산업기술연구
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• 제39권1호
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• pp.27-31
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• 2019

Semiconductor logistics systems are facing difficulties in increasing production as production processes become more complicated due to the upgrading of fine processes. Therefore, the purpose of the research is to design predictive models that can predict traffic during the pre-planning stage, identify the risk zones that occur during the production process, and prevent them in advance. As a solution, we build FABs using automode simulation to collect data. Then, the traffic prediction model of the areas of interest is constructed using deep learning techniques (keras - multistory conceptron structure). The design of the predictive model gave an estimate of the traffic in the area of interest with an accuracy of about 87%. The expected effect can be used as an indicator for making decisions by proactively identifying congestion risk areas during the Fab Design or Factory Expansion Planning stage, as the maximum traffic per section is predicted.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.371-384
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• 2017

Physical and mechanical properties of rocks are of interest in many fields, including materials science, petrophysics, geophysics and geotechnical engineering. Uniaxial compressive strength UCS is one of the key mechanical properties, while density and porosity are important physical parameters for the characterization of rocks. The economic interest of carbonate rocks is very important in chemical or biological procedures and in the field of construction. Carbonate rocks exploitation depends on their quality and their physical, chemical and geotechnical characteristics. A fast, economic and reliable technique would be an evolutionary advance in the exploration of carbonate rocks. This paper discusses the ability of ultrasonic wave velocity to evaluate some mechanical and physical parameters within carbonate rocks (collected from different regions within Tunisia). The ultrasonic technique was used to establish empirical correlations allowing the estimation of UCS values, the density and the porosity of carbonate rocks. The results illustrated the behavior of ultrasonic pulse velocity as a function of the applied stress. The main output of the work is the confirmation that ultrasonic velocity can be effectively used as a simple and economical non-destructive method for a preliminary prediction of mechanical behavior and physical properties of rocks.

• 디지털콘텐츠학회 논문지
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.871-880
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• 2018

최근 소비자관련 빅 데이터 증가와 함께 이와 관련된 기술인 POI(Point-of-Interest) 추천 기술이 주목받고 있다. POI란, 소비자가 흥미롭거나 유용하다고 여기는 특정한 장소를 의미한다. 이전에 진행되었던 POI 추천시스템 관련연구들은 특정 데이터 셋에 한정되어 과 적합 문제가 발생할 수 있다는 한계점이 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 서울로 및 송정로에 설치한 통합 센서로 부터 얻은 사용자 매장 방문 실 데이터를 이용하여 매장 간 유사도 및 상관관계를 분석하며, 분석 결과를 토대로 신규 사용자가 흥미 있을 만한 매장을 추천해 주는 선호도 예측 시스템 연구를 한다. 실험 결과, 다양한 유사도 및 상관관계 분석을 통하여 관련성이 높은 매장의 리스트와 관련성이 낮은 매장의 리스트를 도출해낼 수 있었다. 또한, 다양한 조건에서 선호도 예측 정확도를 비교 실험을 수행한 결과 자카드 유사도 기반 아이템 협업 필터링 기법이 타 방법에 비해 높은 정확도를 보이는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정보통신학회 2018년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.620-622
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• 2018

미세먼지에 대한 인체 영향에 관한 사회적 관심이 높아짐에 따라 미세먼지 예측 알고리즘의 필요성이 증가되었다. 많은 연구에서 기상 데이터를 이용하여 통계 모델링 및 기계 학습 기법 기반 예측 모델이 제안되었으나, 해당 모델의 환경 및 세부조건을 정확히 설정하기는 어렵다. 또한 국내 기상 측정소 데이터의 경우 누락된 데이터가 존재하여 새로운 예측 모델을 설계해야 할 필요성이 있다. 본 논문에서는 미세먼지 예측을 위한 선행 연구로서 다층 퍼셉트론 신경망을 활용하여 미세먼지 예측을 수행한다. 이를 위해 측정소 3곳의 기상 데이터를 기반으로 예측 모델을 설계, 실제 데이터와의 비교를 통해 미세먼지 예측을 위한 알고리즘의 적합성을 평가한다.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.101-109
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• 2015

투자에 의해 기대되는 경제적 효과는 실질할인율의 자승으로 매년 나누어서 현재가치로 전환된다. 따라서 실질할인율이 경제성 분석결과에 미치는 영향은 다른 요인들보다 크다. 실질할인율을 예측하는 기존의 일반적인 방법은 과거 특정기간의 평균값을 적용하는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 실질할인율의 예측 정확도를 향상시키기 위한 방법을 제안하였다. 먼저 실질할인율을 구성하는 기업대출 이자율과 소비자 물가지수에 영향을 미치는 경제변수들을 도출하였다. 기업대출 이자율에 영향을 주는 변수들로는 콜 금리와 환율, 소비자 물가지수에 영향을 주는 경제변수는 생산자 물가지수를 선정하였다. 다음으로 실질할인율과 선정된 변수들과의 영향관계를 검정하였다. 영향관계가 존재하는 것으로 분석되었다. 마지막으로 관련된 경제 변수들을 기반으로 2008년부터 2010년까지의 실질할인율을 예측하였다. 예측 결과의 정확도는 실측값과 평균값의 결과와 비교되었다. 실측값이 적용된 실질할인율은 -1.58%였으며, 예측 값은 -0.22%, 평균값은 6.06%으로 분석되었다. 본 연구에서 제안한 방법은 금융위기와 같은 특수 상황을 고려하지 않은 것이지만, 평균값보다 예측 정확도가 크게 우수한 것으로 분석되었다.

• 소성∙가공
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.76-88
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• 2020

The need for advanced high strength steel (AHSS) forming technology is increasing as interest in light weight and safe automobiles increases. Multipoint dieless forming (MDF) is a novel sheet metal forming technology that can create any desired longitudinal and transverse curvature in sheet metal. However, since the springback phenomenon becomes larger with high strength metal such as AHSS, predicting the required MDF to produce the exact desired curvature in two directions is more difficult. In this study, a prediction model using artificial neural network (ANN) was developed to predict the springback that occurs during AHSS forming through MDF. In order to verify the validity of model, a fit test was performed and the results were compared with the conventional regression model. The data required for training was obtained through simulation, then further random sample data was created to verify the prediction performance. The predicted results were compared with the simulation results. As a result of this comparison, it was found that the prediction of our ANN based model was more accurate than regression analysis. If a sufficient amount of data is used in training, the ANN model can play a major role in reducing the forming cost of high-strength steels.

• 한국방송∙미디어공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방송공학회 1998년도 Proceedings of International Workshop on Advanced Image Technology
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• pp.165-170
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• 1998

This paper presents a new prediction method RBP region-based prediction model where the context used for prediction contains regions instead of individual pixels. There is a meaningful property that RBP can partition a cartoon image into two distinctive types of regions, one containing full-color backgrounds and the other containing boundaries, edges and home-chromatic areas. With the development of computer techniques, synthetic images created with CG (computer graphics) becomes attactive. Like the demand on data compression, it is imperative to efficiently compress synthetic images such as cartoon animation generated with CG for storage of finite capacity and transmission of narrow bandwidth. This paper a lossy compression method to full-color regions and a lossless compression method to homo-chromatic and boundaries regions. Two criteria for partitioning are described, constant criterion and variable criterion. The latter criterion, in form of a linear function, gives the different threshold for classification in terms of contents of the image of interest. We carry out experiments by applying our method to a sequence of cartoon animation. We carry out experiments by applying our method to a sequence of cartoon animation. Compared with the available image compression standard MPEG-1, our method gives the superior results in both compression ratio and complexity.

• 한국과학교육학회지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.586-594
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• 2002

이 연구에서는 끓는점 학습에서 인지 갈등, 상태 흥미, 개념 변화 사이의 관계를 조사했다. 또한, 이들 관계에서 성에 따른 차이도 조사했다. 중학교 1학년 학생 370명이 본 연구에 참여했다. 먼저, 학습된 오개념을 지닌 학생을 선별하기 위해 선개념 검사를 실시했다. 변칙 사례를 제시한 후, 변칙 사례에 대한 반응 검사와 상태 흥미 검사를 실시했다. CAI 프로그램으로 수업 처치를 한 후, 직후 개념 검사를 실시했다. 4주 후에 동일한 검사지로 개념 파지 검사를 실시했다. 인지 갈등과 상태 흥미 검사 점수는 모두 직후 개념 검사 및 개념 파지 검사 점수와 유의미한 상관이 있었다. 중다 회귀 분석 결과, 상태 흥미가 인지 갈등 보다 개념 변화 및 개념 파지 정도를 예측하는데 있어 더 중요한 것으로 나타났다. 남학생의 경우에는 상태 흥미만이 개념 변화 및 개념 파지에 대해 유의미한 예측 변인으로 나타났으나, 여학생의 경우에는 인지 갈등만이 유의미한 예측 변인으로 나타났다.

• 한국IT서비스학회지
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.221-233
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• 2014

Because people's interest of the stock market has been increased with the development of economy, a lot of studies have been going to predict fluctuation of stock prices. Latterly many studies have been made using scientific and technological method among the various forecasting method, and also data using for study are becoming diverse. So, in this paper we propose stock prices prediction models using sentiment analysis and machine learning based on news articles and SNS data to improve the accuracy of prediction of stock prices. Stock prices prediction models that we propose are generated through the four-step process that contain data collection, sentiment dictionary construction, sentiment analysis, and machine learning. The data have been collected to target newspapers related to economy in the case of news article and to target twitter in the case of SNS data. Sentiment dictionary was built using news articles among the collected data, and we utilize it to process sentiment analysis. In machine learning phase, we generate prediction models using various techniques of classification and the data that was made through sentiment analysis. After generating prediction models, we conducted 10-fold cross-validation to measure the performance of they. The experimental result showed that accuracy is over 80% in a number of ways and F1 score is closer to 0.8. The result can be seen as significantly enhanced result compared with conventional researches utilizing opinion mining or data mining techniques.

• 산경연구논집
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• 제11권8호
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• pp.31-38
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• 2020

Purpose: This study uses 'Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model' to predict the impact of a sharp drop in the base rate due to COVID-19 at the present time when government policies for stabilizing house prices are in progress. The purpose of this study is to predict implications for the direction of the government's house policy by predicting changes in house transaction prices and house rental prices after a sharp cut in the base rate. Research design, data, and methodology: The ARIMA intervention model can build a model without additional information with just one time series. Therefore, it is a time-series analysis method frequently used for short-term prediction. After the subprime mortgage, which had shocked since the global financial crisis in April 2007, the bank's interest rate in 2020 is set at a time point close to zero at 0.75%. After that, the model was estimated using the interest rate fluctuations for the Bank of Korea base interest rate, the house transaction price index, and the house rental price index as event variables. Results: In predicting the change in house transaction price due to interest rate intervention, the house transaction price index due to the fall in interest rates was predicted to change after 3 months. As a result, it was 102.47 in April 2020, 102.87 in May 2020, and 103.21 in June 2020. It was expected to rise in the short term. In forecasting the change in house rental price due to interest rate intervention, the house rental price index due to the drop in interest rate was predicted to change after 3 months. As a result, it was 97.76 in April 2020, 97.85 in May 2020, and 97.97 in June 2020. It was expected to rise in the short term. Conclusions: If low interest rates continue to stimulate the contracted economy caused by COVID-19, it seems that there is ample room for house transaction and rental prices to rise amid low growth. Therefore, In order to stabilize the house price due to the low interest rate situation, it is considered that additional measures are needed to suppress speculative demand.