• Title/Summary/Keyword: Interest Prediction

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A Deep Learning-Based Model for Predicting Traffic Congestion in Semiconductor Fabrication (딥러닝을 활용한 반도체 제조 물류 시스템 통행량 예측모델 설계)

  • Kim, Jong Myeong;Kim, Ock Hyeon;Hong, Sung Bin;Lim, Dae-Eun
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.27-31
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    • 2019
  • Semiconductor logistics systems are facing difficulties in increasing production as production processes become more complicated due to the upgrading of fine processes. Therefore, the purpose of the research is to design predictive models that can predict traffic during the pre-planning stage, identify the risk zones that occur during the production process, and prevent them in advance. As a solution, we build FABs using automode simulation to collect data. Then, the traffic prediction model of the areas of interest is constructed using deep learning techniques (keras - multistory conceptron structure). The design of the predictive model gave an estimate of the traffic in the area of interest with an accuracy of about 87%. The expected effect can be used as an indicator for making decisions by proactively identifying congestion risk areas during the Fab Design or Factory Expansion Planning stage, as the maximum traffic per section is predicted.

Ultrasonic velocity as a tool for mechanical and physical parameters prediction within carbonate rocks

  • Abdelhedi, Mohamed;Aloui, Monia;Mnif, Thameur;Abbes, Chedly
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.371-384
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    • 2017
  • Physical and mechanical properties of rocks are of interest in many fields, including materials science, petrophysics, geophysics and geotechnical engineering. Uniaxial compressive strength UCS is one of the key mechanical properties, while density and porosity are important physical parameters for the characterization of rocks. The economic interest of carbonate rocks is very important in chemical or biological procedures and in the field of construction. Carbonate rocks exploitation depends on their quality and their physical, chemical and geotechnical characteristics. A fast, economic and reliable technique would be an evolutionary advance in the exploration of carbonate rocks. This paper discusses the ability of ultrasonic wave velocity to evaluate some mechanical and physical parameters within carbonate rocks (collected from different regions within Tunisia). The ultrasonic technique was used to establish empirical correlations allowing the estimation of UCS values, the density and the porosity of carbonate rocks. The results illustrated the behavior of ultrasonic pulse velocity as a function of the applied stress. The main output of the work is the confirmation that ultrasonic velocity can be effectively used as a simple and economical non-destructive method for a preliminary prediction of mechanical behavior and physical properties of rocks.

A Study on Correlation Analysis and Preference Prediction for Point-of-Interest Recommendation (Point-of-Interest 추천을 위한 매장 간 상관관계 분석 및 선호도 예측 연구)

  • Park, So-Hyun;Park, Young-Ho;Park, Eun-Young;Ihm, Sun-Young
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.871-880
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the technology of recommendation of POI (Point of Interest) related technology is getting attention with the increase of big data related to consumers. Previous studies on POI recommendation systems have been limited to specific data sets. The problem is that if the study is carried out with this particular dataset, it may be suitable for the particular dataset. Therefore, this study analyzes the similarity and correlation between stores using the user visit data obtained from the integrated sensor installed in Seoul and Songjeong roads. Based on the results of the analysis, we study the preference prediction system which recommends the stores that new users are interested in. As a result of the experiment, various similarity and correlation analysis were carried out to obtain a list of relevant stores and a list of stores with low relevance. In addition, we performed a comparative experiment on the preference prediction accuracy under various conditions. As a result, it was confirmed that the jacquard similarity based item collaboration filtering method has higher accuracy than other methods.

Particulate Matter Prediction using Multi-Layer Perceptron Network (다층 퍼셉트론 신경망을 이용한 미세먼지 예측)

  • Cho, Kyoung-woo;Jung, Yong-jin;Kang, Chul-gyu;Oh, Chang-heon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2018.10a
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    • pp.620-622
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    • 2018
  • The need for particulate matter prediction algorithms has increased as social interest in the effects of human on particulate matter increased. Many studies have proposed statistical modelling and machine learning techniques based prediction models using weather data, but it is difficult to accurately set the environment and detailed conditions of the models. In addition, there is a need to design a new prediction model for missing data in domestic weather monitoring station. In this paper, fine dust prediction is performed using multi-layer perceptron network as a previous study for particulate matter prediction. For this purpose, a prediction model is designed based on weather data of three monitoring station and the suitability of the algorithm for particulate matter prediction is evaluated through comparison with actual data.

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Analysis on Real Discount Rate for Prediction Accuracy Improvement of Economic Investment Effect (경제적 투자효과의 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 실질할인율 분석)

  • Lee, Chijoo;Lee, Eul-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2015
  • The expected economic effect by investment was divided by square of real discount rate annually for change to present value. Thus, the impact of real discount rate on economic analysis is larger than other factors. The existing general method for prediction of real discount rate is application of average data during past certain period. This study proposed prediction method of real discount rate for accuracy improvement. First, the economic variables which impact on interest rate of business loan and consumer price of real discount rate were determined. The variables which impact on interest rate of business loan were selected to call rate and exchange rate. The variable which impact on consumer price index was selected to producer price index. Next, the effect relation was analyzed between real discount rate and selected variables. The significant effect relation were analyzed to exit. Lastly, the real discount rate was predicted from 2008 to 2010 based on related economic variables. The accuracy of prediction result was compared with actual data and average data. The real discount rate based on actual data, predicted data, and average data were analyzed to -1.58%, -0.22%, and 6.06%, respectively. Though the proposed method in this study was not considered special condition such as financial crisis, the prediction accuracy was much higher than result based on average data.

A Development of Longitudinal and Transverse Springback Prediction Model Using Artificial Neural Network in Multipoint Dieless Forming of Advanced High Strength Steel (초고강도 판재 다점성형공정에서의 인공신경망을 이용한 2중 곡률 스프링백 예측모델 개발)

  • Kwak, M.J.;Park, J.W.;Park, K.T.;Kang, B.S.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.76-88
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    • 2020
  • The need for advanced high strength steel (AHSS) forming technology is increasing as interest in light weight and safe automobiles increases. Multipoint dieless forming (MDF) is a novel sheet metal forming technology that can create any desired longitudinal and transverse curvature in sheet metal. However, since the springback phenomenon becomes larger with high strength metal such as AHSS, predicting the required MDF to produce the exact desired curvature in two directions is more difficult. In this study, a prediction model using artificial neural network (ANN) was developed to predict the springback that occurs during AHSS forming through MDF. In order to verify the validity of model, a fit test was performed and the results were compared with the conventional regression model. The data required for training was obtained through simulation, then further random sample data was created to verify the prediction performance. The predicted results were compared with the simulation results. As a result of this comparison, it was found that the prediction of our ANN based model was more accurate than regression analysis. If a sufficient amount of data is used in training, the ANN model can play a major role in reducing the forming cost of high-strength steels.

Region Classification and Image Based on Region-Based Prediction (RBP) Model

  • Cassio-M.Yorozuya;Yu-Liu;Masayuki-Nakajima
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 1998.06b
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    • pp.165-170
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a new prediction method RBP region-based prediction model where the context used for prediction contains regions instead of individual pixels. There is a meaningful property that RBP can partition a cartoon image into two distinctive types of regions, one containing full-color backgrounds and the other containing boundaries, edges and home-chromatic areas. With the development of computer techniques, synthetic images created with CG (computer graphics) becomes attactive. Like the demand on data compression, it is imperative to efficiently compress synthetic images such as cartoon animation generated with CG for storage of finite capacity and transmission of narrow bandwidth. This paper a lossy compression method to full-color regions and a lossless compression method to homo-chromatic and boundaries regions. Two criteria for partitioning are described, constant criterion and variable criterion. The latter criterion, in form of a linear function, gives the different threshold for classification in terms of contents of the image of interest. We carry out experiments by applying our method to a sequence of cartoon animation. We carry out experiments by applying our method to a sequence of cartoon animation. Compared with the available image compression standard MPEG-1, our method gives the superior results in both compression ratio and complexity.

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The Role of Anomalous Data in Concept Learning (개념 학습에서 변칙 사례의 역할)

  • Noh, Tae-Hee;Jeong, Eun-Hee;Kang, Suk-Jin;Han, Jae-Young
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.586-594
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    • 2002
  • In this study, the relationships among cognitive conflict, situational interest, and conceptual change in studying boiling point were investigated. The differences in the relationships by gender were also investigate. Students of 7th grade(N=370) participated in this study. First, a preconception test was administered to choose students who possessed the misconception studied. After presenting anomalous data, test of response to anomalous data and state interest test were administered. After the instruction with a CAI program, a conception test was administered immediately. The conception test was administered again as a retention test four weeks later. The scores of both cognitive conflicts and state interest test were found to be significantly correlated with the scores of the conception test and the retention test. The results of multiple regression analysis indicated that state interest was significantly more important than cognitive conflict in prediction the degrees of conceptual change and retention of conception. For male students, state interest was the only significant predictor of conceptual change and retention of conception. In contrast, cognitive conflict was the only significant predictor for female students.

A Comparative Study between Stock Price Prediction Models Using Sentiment Analysis and Machine Learning Based on SNS and News Articles (SNS와 뉴스기사의 감성분석과 기계학습을 이용한 주가예측 모형 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Dongyoung;Park, Jeawon;Choi, Jaehyun
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.221-233
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    • 2014
  • Because people's interest of the stock market has been increased with the development of economy, a lot of studies have been going to predict fluctuation of stock prices. Latterly many studies have been made using scientific and technological method among the various forecasting method, and also data using for study are becoming diverse. So, in this paper we propose stock prices prediction models using sentiment analysis and machine learning based on news articles and SNS data to improve the accuracy of prediction of stock prices. Stock prices prediction models that we propose are generated through the four-step process that contain data collection, sentiment dictionary construction, sentiment analysis, and machine learning. The data have been collected to target newspapers related to economy in the case of news article and to target twitter in the case of SNS data. Sentiment dictionary was built using news articles among the collected data, and we utilize it to process sentiment analysis. In machine learning phase, we generate prediction models using various techniques of classification and the data that was made through sentiment analysis. After generating prediction models, we conducted 10-fold cross-validation to measure the performance of they. The experimental result showed that accuracy is over 80% in a number of ways and F1 score is closer to 0.8. The result can be seen as significantly enhanced result compared with conventional researches utilizing opinion mining or data mining techniques.

The Effect of the Reduction in the Interest Rate Due to COVID-19 on the Transaction Prices and the Rental Prices of the House

  • KIM, Ju-Hwan;LEE, Sang-Ho
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study uses 'Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model' to predict the impact of a sharp drop in the base rate due to COVID-19 at the present time when government policies for stabilizing house prices are in progress. The purpose of this study is to predict implications for the direction of the government's house policy by predicting changes in house transaction prices and house rental prices after a sharp cut in the base rate. Research design, data, and methodology: The ARIMA intervention model can build a model without additional information with just one time series. Therefore, it is a time-series analysis method frequently used for short-term prediction. After the subprime mortgage, which had shocked since the global financial crisis in April 2007, the bank's interest rate in 2020 is set at a time point close to zero at 0.75%. After that, the model was estimated using the interest rate fluctuations for the Bank of Korea base interest rate, the house transaction price index, and the house rental price index as event variables. Results: In predicting the change in house transaction price due to interest rate intervention, the house transaction price index due to the fall in interest rates was predicted to change after 3 months. As a result, it was 102.47 in April 2020, 102.87 in May 2020, and 103.21 in June 2020. It was expected to rise in the short term. In forecasting the change in house rental price due to interest rate intervention, the house rental price index due to the drop in interest rate was predicted to change after 3 months. As a result, it was 97.76 in April 2020, 97.85 in May 2020, and 97.97 in June 2020. It was expected to rise in the short term. Conclusions: If low interest rates continue to stimulate the contracted economy caused by COVID-19, it seems that there is ample room for house transaction and rental prices to rise amid low growth. Therefore, In order to stabilize the house price due to the low interest rate situation, it is considered that additional measures are needed to suppress speculative demand.