• Title/Summary/Keyword: Interest Prediction

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Prediction of Microshrinkage Porosity in Thin Al-alloy Permanent Mold Castings

  • Lee, Zin-Hyoung
    • Journal of Korea Foundry Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.44-53
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    • 1991
  • The proper feeding conditions for thin Al-Alloy (AA336, JIS AC8A) castings in permanent mold were investigated to eliminate microshrinkage porosity. 5mm-thick plates (200mm long, 60mm wide) were cast with increasing padding taper from 0 to 5% under different conditions : (1) constant mold temperature of $350^{\circ}C$, (2) continuous production with uniform mold thickness (10mm), (3) continuous production with a negative taper of 2.5% in mold thickness (thickness decreasing in direction to riser). The test casting were machined off to the midplane and the shrinkage porosity was examined visually. The critical padding taper which can just eliminate the shrinkage porosity was determined for each condition, i.e. : (1) 4.5% at the constant mold temperature, (2) 3.5% for continuous production with the uniform mold thickness (3) 1.5% for continuous production with the taper in mold thickness. A computer simulation by a finite difference analysis program was applied to the test casting. The liquid fraction gradient (LFG) and the temperature gradient divided by the square root of the cooling rate (G /SR) were calculated at the end of solidification and compared with the shrinkage porosity area in the castings. For the case of constant mold temperature, LFG is a better parameter to predict shrinkage porosity than G /SR and its critical value is around 11%/cm. But for the case of continuous production, neither LFG nor G /SR could be a reliable parameter. The experimental results about the critical padding taper are of practical interest for designing permanent molds and castings. The computer simulation results stimulate further research to be directed on the prediction of centerline microshrinkage porosity in continuous production.

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NUMERICAL METHODS FOR OPEN WATER PERFORMANCE PREDICTION OF HORIZONTAL AXIS TIDAL STREAM ENERGY CONVERSION TURBINE (조류발전용 수평축터빈의 단독성능 평가를 위한 수치 해석법)

  • Lee, J.H.;Kim, D.J.;Rhee, S.H.;Kim, M.C.;Hyun, B.S.;Nam, J.H.
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2010
  • Recently, due to high oil prices and environmental pollution issues, interest of alternative energy development increases and the related research is widely conducted. Among those research activities the tidal stream power generation utilizes the tidal flow as its mechanical power resource and less depends on the environmental condition for installation and operation than other renewable energy resources. Therefore the amount of power generated is quite consistent and straightforward to predict. However, research on the tidal stream energy conversion turbine is rarely found. In the present study, two numerical methods were developed and compared for the open water Momentum Theory, which is widely used for wind turbines, was adopted. The moving reference frame method for Computational Fluid Dynamis solver were also used. Hybrid meshing was used for the complex geometry of turbines. The analysis results using each method were compared to figure out a better method for the performance prediction.

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FE analyses and prediction of bursting forces in post-tensioned anchorage zone

  • Kim, Joung Rae;Kwak, Hyo-Gyoung
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2018
  • To improve the design equation for the evaluation of the bursting force in the post-tensioned anchorage zone, this paper presents the analyses and design of the post-tensioned (PT) anchorage zone on the basis of three dimensional (3D) finite element (FE) analyses. The structural behavior was investigated through linear elastic finite element analyses upon consideration of the change in design parameters such as the bearing plate size, the eccentricity, and the tendon inclination. Moreover, consideration of the duct hole, which causes an increase of the bursting stress with a change in its distribution along the anchorage zone as well, is emphasized. Since that an exact prediction of the bursting force is the primary interest in design practice, additional parametric analyses are carried out to evaluate the relative contribution of all design parameters in determining the bursting force, and a comparison with the design guidelines mentioned in AASHTO-LRFD has been provided. Finally, an improved design guideline that takes into account the influence by the duct hole is suggested.

A Study on the Simulator and Trouble Prediction Monitoring Methodology of the Automotive Air Conditioner (자동차 공조기의 시뮬레이터 및 고장예측 모니터링 기술에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Il-Moon;Kwak, Hyo-Yean
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1568-1575
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    • 2013
  • There has been an increasing interest in the market of vehicle maintenance and repair equipments to decrease air pollution. However, most of the existing air conditioning system equipment in Korea have poor performance as well as non-protection against air pollution. The purpose of this paper is to develop the monitoring technology of recovering and recharging refrigerant for air conditioning system, and also to develop its related diagnostic system. This technology and system can supply the exact amount of refrigerant from the charger to the air conditioning system by precisely diagnosing and monitoring their statuses. This technology can also control recovering and recharging of refrigerant exactly by altering the recovering pressures of refrigerant according to circumstance temperatures.

A Study on Mulwang Reservoir Water Quality Improvement Effect Using Watershed-Reservoir Integrated Prediction (유역-호소 통합수질예측 기법을 이용한 물왕저수지 수질개선효과 분석)

  • Oh, Heesang;Rhee, Han-Pil
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.3
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2017
  • Since living environment has improved, waterfront space using and clear water demand have increased. Ministry of Environment (ME) designated polluted reservoir (worse than 4th grade) as a priority management reservoir to improve water quality (better than 3rd grade) accordingly. Minstry of Agriculture, Food and Rural Affairs (MAFRA) aims reservoir water quality 4th not 3rd grade. And water quality of agricultural reservoirs was not a great interest. For this reason, there are very few water quality monitoring data. However after designating as a priority management reservoir, reservoir manager should start water quality and flow monitoring of reservoirs and inflow streams. This process makes it possible setting complex model to accurate prediction of reservoir water quality and volume. Mulwang reservoir designated as a priority management reservoir in September 2014. In this study, BASINS/WinHSPF and EFDC-WASP were used to predict effect of water quality improvement countermeasures in Mulwang reservoir. To improve water quality of Mulwang reservoir, Siheung-si and Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRCC) established water quality improvement countermeasures. However result of simulation adapting these countermeasures cannot achieve 3rd grade. So 4 additional scenarios were adapted and the result satisfied 3rd grade. This study could help to establish water quality improvement countermeasure by using complex modeling.

Prediction on Flow Stress Curves and Microstructure of 304 Stainless Steel (304 스테인리스강이 고온 유동응력곡선과 미세 조직의 예측)

  • 한형기;유연철;김성일
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.72-79
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    • 2000
  • Dynamic recrystallization (DRX), which may occur during hot deformation, is important for the microsturctural evolution of 304 stainless steel. Especially, the current interest in modelling hot rolling demands quantitative relationships among the thermomechanical process variables, such as strain, temperature, strain rate, and etc. Thus, this paper individually presents the relationships for flow stress and volume fraction of DRX as a function of processing variables using torsion tests. The hot torsion tests of 304 stainless steel were performed at the temperature range of 900~110$0^{\circ}C$ and the strain rate range of 5x10-2~5s-1 to study the high temperature softening behavior. For the exact prediction of flow stress, the equation was divided into two regions, the work hardening (WH) and dynamic recovery (DRV) region and the DRX region. Especially, The flow stress of DRX region could be expressed by using the volume fraction of DRX (XDRX). Since XDRX was consisted of the critical strain($\varepsilon$c) for initiation of dynamic recrystallization (DRX) and the strain for maximum softening rate ($\varepsilon$*), that were related with the evolution of microstructure. The calculated results predicted the flow stress and the microstructure of the alloy at any deformation conditions well.

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Trends in Dynamic Crime Prediction Technologies based on Intelligent CCTV (지능형 CCTV 기반 동적 범죄예측 기술 동향)

  • Park, Sangwook;Oh, Seon Ho;Park, Su Wan;Lim, Kyung Soo;Choi, Bum Suk;Park, So Hee;Ghyme, Sang Won;Han, Seung Wan;Han, Jong-Wook;Kim, Geonwoo
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2020
  • Predicting where and when a crime may occur in an area of interest is one of many strategies of predictive policing. Multidimensional analysis, including CCTV, can overcome the limitations of hotspot prediction, especially of violent crimes. In order to identify the precursors of a crime, it is necessary to analyze dynamic data such as attributes and activities of people, social information, environmental information, traffic flows, and weather. These parameters can be recognized by CCTV. In addition, it provides accurate analysis of the circumstances of a crime in a dynamic situation, calculates the risk, and predicts the probability of a crime occurring in the near future. Additionally, it provides ways to gather historical criminal datasets, including sensitive personal information.

Direct displacement-based design accuracy prediction for single-column RC bridge bents

  • Tecchio, Giovanni;Dona, Marco;Modena, Claudio
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.455-480
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    • 2015
  • In the last decade, displacement-based (DB) methods have become established design procedures for reinforced concrete (RC) structures. They use strain and displacement measures as seismic performance control parameters. As for other simplified seismic design methods, it is of great interest to prove if they are usually conservative in respect to more refined, nonlinear, time history analyses, and can estimate design parameters with acceptable accuracy. In this paper, the current Direct Displacement-Based Design (DDBD) procedure is evaluated for designing simple single degree of freedom (SDOF) systems with specific reference to simply supported RC bridge piers. Using different formulations proposed in literature for the equivalent viscous damping and spectrum reduction factor, a parametric study is carried out on a comprehensive set of SDOF systems, and an average error chart of the method is derived allowing prediction of the expected error for an ample range of design cases. Following the chart, it can be observed that, for the design of actual RC bridge piers, underestimation errors of the DDBD method are very low, while the overestimation range of the simplified displacement-based procedure is strongly dependent on design ductility.

Election Prediction on Basis of Sentimental Analysis in 3rd World Countries

  • Bilal, Hafiz Syed Muhammad;Razzaq, Muhammad Asif;Lee, Sungyoung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2014.11a
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    • pp.928-931
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    • 2014
  • The detection of human behavior from social media revolutionized health, business, criminal and political prediction. Significance of it, in incentive transformation of public opinion had already proven for developed countries in improving democratic process of elections. In $3^{rd}$ World countries, voters poll votes for personal interests being unaware of party manifesto or national interest. These issues can be addressed by social media, resulting as ongoing process of improvement for presently adopted electoral procedures. On the optimistic side, people of such countries applied social media to garner support and campaign for political parties in General Elections. Political leaders, parties, and people empowered themselves with social media, in disseminating party's agenda and advocacy of party's ideology on social media without much campaigning cost. To study effectiveness of social media inferred from individual's political behavior, large scale analysis, sentiment detection & tweet classification was done in order to classify, predict and forecast election results. The experimental results depicts that social media content can be used as an effective indicator for capturing political behaviors of different parties positive, negative and neutral behavior of the party followers as well as party campaign impact can be predicted from the analysis.

Study on the Performance Prediction Simulation of the Heat Pump System using Solar and Geothermal Heat Source (태양열 및 지열 이용 히트펌프 시스템의 성능예측 시뮬레이션에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Yu-Jin;Gao, Xin-Yan
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2014
  • Recently, the use of renewable energy has been attracted due to the interest in energy-saving and the reduction of CO2 emission. In order to reduce the energy consumption of the cooling and the heating in the field of the architectural engineering, heat pump systems using renewable energy have been developed and used in various applications. In many researches, integrated heat pump systems are suggested which use solar and geothermal heat as the heat source for cooling and heating. However, it is still difficult to predict the performance of the systems, because the characteristic of heat exchange in each system is complicated and various. In this system, the performance prediction simulation of the heat pump was developed using a dynamic simulation model. This paper describes the summary of the suggested systems and the result of the simulation. The average temperature of the heat source, heating loads and COP were calculated with the cases of different local conditions, different system composition and different operation time by TRNSYS 17.