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An Integrated Approach Using Change-Point Detection and Artificial neural Networks for Interest Rates Forecasting

  • Oh, Kyong-Joo;Ingoo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.235-241
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    • 2000
  • This article suggests integrated neural network models for the interest rate forecasting using change point detection. The basic concept of proposed model is to obtain intervals divided by change point, to identify them as change-point groups, and to involve them in interest rate forecasting. the proposed models consist of three stages. The first stage is to detect successive change points in interest rate dataset. The second stage is to forecast change-point group with data mining classifiers. The final stage is to forecast the desired output with BPN. Based on this structure, we propose three integrated neural network models in terms of data mining classifier: (1) multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA)-supported neural network model, (2) case based reasoning (CBR)-supported neural network model and (3) backpropagation neural networks (BPN)-supported neural network model. Subsequently, we compare these models with a neural networks (BPN)-supported neural network model. Subsequently, we compare these models with a neural network model alone and, in addition, determine which of three classifiers (MDA, CBR and BPN) can perform better. This article is then to examine the predictability of integrated neural network models for interest rate forecasting using change-point detection.

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A Study for the Evaluation of the Educational Outcome of Applied Integrated Curriculum in a Nursing College (일 간호대학 통합교육과정의 교육성과 평가)

  • Yoon, Jin;Cha, Young-Nam;Jang, Hyo-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing Administration
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.387-395
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the educational outcome of applied integrated curriculum in a nursing college. In order to evaluate the educational outcome students' ability was surveyed for the four main elements of the curriculum. Four main elements were ability in application of nursing process, communication skill, critical thinking disposition, and competence in nursing profession. Method: The subjects were 97 nursing students who had been educated by the integrated curriculum for 4 years. Data were collected using self-report questionnaire on Dec. 6, 2006, and analyzed by using ANOVA, t-test, and pearson correlation coefficient. Result: The mean score of ability in application of nursing process was 3.78/5.00, communication skill was 3.98/5.00, critical thinking disposition was 3.73/5.00, and competence in nursing profession was 4.04/5.00. There was a significant correlation between four main elements of the curriculum. There was a significant difference in students' level of ability according to subjects' evaluation to the curriculum. Conclusion: The study results suggested that review and supplementation of the integrated curriculum. And further study on the educational outcome in order to upgrade the curriculum are needed.

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A Novel Zero-Crossing Compensation Scheme for Fixed Off-Time Controlled High Power Factor AC-DC LED Drivers

  • Chang, Changyuan;Sun, Hailong;Zhu, Wenwen;Chen, Yao;Wang, Chenhao
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.1661-1668
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    • 2016
  • A fixed off-time controlled high power factor ac-dc LED driver is proposed in this paper, which employs a novel zero-crossing-compensation (ZCC) circuit based on a fixed off-time controlled scheme. Due to the parasitic parameters of the system, the practical waveforms have a dead region. By detecting the zero-crossing boundary, the proposed ZCC circuit compensates the control signal VCOMP within the dead region, and is invalid above this region. With further optimization of the parameters KR and Kτ of the ZCC circuit, the dead zone can be eliminated and lower THD is achieved. Finally, the chip is implemented in HHNEC 0.5μm 5V/40V HVCMOS process, and a prototype circuit, delivering 7~12W of power to several 3-W LED loads, is tested under AC input voltage ranging from 85V to 265V. The test results indicate that the average total harmonic distortion (THD) of the entire system is approximately 10%, with a minimum of 5.5%, and that the power factor is above 0.955, with a maximum of 0.999.

Design Considerations for Low Voltage Claw Pole Type Integrated Starter Generator (ISG) Systems

  • Lee, Geun-Ho;Choi, Geo-Seung;Choi, Woong-Chul
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.527-532
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    • 2011
  • Due to the need for improved fuel consumption and the trend towards increasing the electrical content in automobiles, integrated starter generator (ISG) systems are being considered by the automotive industry. In this paper, in order to change the conventional generator of a vehicle, a belt driven integrated starter generator is considered. The overall ISG system, the design considerations for the claw pole type AC electric machine and a low voltage very high current power stage implementation are discussed. Test data on the low voltage claw pole type machine is presented, and a large current voltage source DC/AC inverter suitable for low voltage integrated starter generator operation is also presented. A metal based PCB (Printed Circuit Board) power unit to attach the 4-parallel MOS-FETs is used to achieve extremely high current capability. Furthermore, issues related to the torque assistance during vehicle acceleration and the generation/regeneration characteristics are discussed. A prototype with the capability of up to 1000 A and 27 V is designed and built to validate the kilo-amp inverter.

An Entity-centric Integrated Search System Using URI (URI를 이용한 개체 중심적 통합 검색 시스템)

  • Jung, Han-Min;Lee, Mi-Kyoung;Sung, Won-Kyung
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.35 no.7
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    • pp.405-416
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    • 2008
  • To overcome the limitation of keyword-based integrated search, this study shows entity-centric integrated search method using URI scheme. Our system generates entity pages in ways of analyzing user's keyword and instances matched with it, selecting optimal entity type, and calling unit services simultaneously. Topic information extracted from articles is propagated to persons, institutions, and locations by reasoning for providing topic-centric information. With comparative experiments based on search results and usability tests, we proved that this approach is superior to keyword-based integrated search served by CiteSeer and Google Scholar.

A Study of Integrated SCADA System for Wind Farm to Support Interoperability (이기종간의 상호운용을 지원하는 풍력발전 통합 SCADA 시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Gon;Moon, Chae-Joo;Joo, Yeong-Tae;Park, Tae-Sik;Chang, Young-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.70-76
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    • 2013
  • Recently industrial control systems have been required to ensure intelligent, high tech automation, interconnection and interoperability demands. Therefore, there is a need to redefine the structure concepts of SCADA system for wind power. Also, at this time, the integrated management system is required for the distributed development of wind farms where are needed often interoperability features and exchange information between different wind farms, wind turbines or SCADA systems. In this paper, an integrated structural concepts for SCADA system are defined. Based on this definition of an integrated SCADA system, the basic designs are analyzed on physical layer, system layer and application layer which are corresponded to wind turbine controller, the SCADA server and the SCADA client, and implement HMI. Between the implementation SCADA server and the client, their normal functions were verified at the small scale wind energy test facilities.

A Study on the Technology Development and Application Plan for making an Integrated Digital Map of an Electronical Navigational Chart and a Digital Terrain Map (육.해도 통합수치도 제작 기술 개발과 응용 방안+)

  • 이기철;정희균;박창호;서상현;김정희
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.347-356
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    • 1999
  • This study is to develop the technology and the ways of the practical use of the integrated digital map of and Electronical Navigational Chart(ENC) and Digital Terrain Map(DTM) for the effective and scientific based conservation, development and management. In this study, as preliminary studies to make eventual integrated maps, the concept of coastal areas are defined and the characteristics of digital maps developed by Korean Geography Institute and National Marine Investigation Institute are carefully analyzed. A test coastal map was developed based on the integrated digital map, a high resolution satellite image and Global Positioning System. Results from the edge matching analysis of coastal lines shows 8 meters difference in maximum. The problems, causes and solutions for the edge matched differences are described. Furthermore, the practical value of utilization, future use and various field of application are described based on the integrated digital map data base of coast area.

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Development and Evaluation of Integrated Management Program for Hemodialysis Patients (혈액투석 환자를 위한 통합적 관리 프로그램의 개발 및 효과)

  • Kim, Bora;Yoo, Hana
    • Journal of Home Health Care Nursing
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.66-76
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aimed to develop and evaluate an integrated management program to enhance self-efficacy, compliance with sick-role behaviors, symptom management, and biomarker indication in hemodialysis patients. Methods: The integrated management program was developed through a systematic review of literature, analysis of relevant online data, and expert validation. It comprised 480 min of video-based education delivered eight times over four weeks, supplemented by weekly phone consultations and text message support from a nurse. To evaluate the program's effectiveness, it was administered to 44 patients with hemodialysis in a single group in a pre-post test experimental study. Changes in self-efficacy, sick-role behavior compliance, dialysis symptom index, and biomarkers were assessed. Results: The program yielded statistically significant improvements in self-efficacy (t=-7.13, p<.001), sick-role behavioral compliance (t=-7.35, p<.001), dialysis symptom index (t=4.32, p<.001), and blood urea nitrogen levels (t=2.55, p=.014) among the participants. Conclusion: The integrated management program is an effective intervention for improving hemodialysis patients' self-efficacy, compliance with sick-role behaviors, and experience of symptoms. Additionally, it is considered an intervention with high clinical applicability and efficiency through video reproducibility.

Hybrid vibro-acoustic model reduction for model updating in nuclear power plant pipeline with undetermined boundary conditions

  • Hyeonah Shin;Seungin Oh;Yongbeom Cho;Jinyoung Kil;Byunyoung Chung;Jinwon Shin;Jin-Gyun Kim
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.9
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    • pp.3491-3500
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    • 2024
  • In this work, the hybrid vibro-acoustic model reduction technique that is a physical-modal combined formulation is proposed to accelerate the finite element model updating process of the vibro-acoustic pipeline system. Particularly, the new formulation could provide an effective way of the model updating by preserving the physical DOFs for the direct calibration of the undetermined boundary conditions. The sensitivity based vibro-acoustic model updating is first conducted, and then the undetermined spring constant at the displacement boundary condition is then directly and effectively calibrated by using the proposed hybrid model reduction formulation. The proposed method is implemented in the real nuclear facility to evaluate its performance. In addition, an experimental implementation test using the inverse force identification process is also conducted to demonstrate the reliability of the generated vibro-acoustic FE model through the proposed method.

Study on the Multilevel Effects of Integrated Crisis Intervention Model for the Prevention of Elderly Suicide: Focusing on Suicidal Ideation and Depression (노인자살예방을 위한 통합적 위기개입모델 다층효과 연구: 자살생각·우울을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Eun Joo;Yook, Sung Pil
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.173-200
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    • 2017
  • This study is designed to verify the actual effect on the prevention of the elderly suicide of the integrated crisis intervention service which has been widely provided across all local communities in Gyeonggi-province focusing on the integrated crisis intervention model developed for the prevention of elderly suicide. The integrated crisis intervention model for the local communities and its manual were developed for the prevention of elderly suicide by integrating the crisis intervention theory which contains local community's integrated system approach and the stress vulnerability theory. For the analysis of the effect, the geriatric depression and suicidal ideation scale was adopted and the data was collected as follows; The data was collected from 258 people in the first preliminary test. Then, it was collected from the secondary test of 184 people after the integrated crisis intervention service was performed for 6 months. The third collection of data was made from 124 people after 2 or 3 years later using the backward tracing method. As for the analysis, the researcher used the R Statistics computing to conduct the test equating, and the vertical scaling between measuring points. Then, the researcher conducted descriptive statistics analysis and univariate analysis of variance, and performed multi-level modeling analysis using Bayesian estimation. As a result of the study, it was found out that the integrated crisis intervention model which has been developed for the elderly suicide prevention has a statistically significant effect on the reduction of elderly suicide in terms of elderly depression and suicide ideation in the follow-up measurement after the implementation of crisis intervention rather than in the first preliminary scores. The integrated crisis intervention model for the prevention of elderly suicide was found to be effective to the extent of 0.56 for the reduction of depression and 0.39 for the reduction of suicidal ideation. However, it was found out in the backward tracing test conducted 2-3 years after the first crisis intervention that the improved values returned to its original state, thus showing that the effect of the intervention is not maintained for long. Multilevel analysis was conducted to find out the factors such as the service type(professional counseling, medication, peer counseling), characteristics of the client (sex, age), the characteristics of the counselor(age, career, major) and the interaction between the characteristics of the counselor and intervention which affect depression and suicidal ideation. It was found that only medication can significantly reduce suicidal ideation and that if the counselor's major is counseling, it significantly further reduces suicidal ideation by interacting with professional counseling. Furthermore, as the characteristics of the suicide prevention experts are found to regulate the intervention effect on elderly suicide prevention in applying integrated crisis intervention model, the primary consideration should be given to the counseling ability of these experts.