• Title/Summary/Keyword: Instability prediction

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Effects of Acoustic Boundary Conditions on Combustion Instabilities in a Gas Turbine Combustor (음향 경계 조건이 가스터빈 연소기에서의 연소불안정에 미치는 영향)

  • Lim, Jaeyoung;Kim, Deasik;Kim, Seong-Ku;Cha, Dong Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2015
  • This study predicts the basic characteristics of combustion instabilities in a gas turbine lean premixed combustor using ASCI3D code which is a FEM(Finite Element Method)-based Helmholtz solver. The prediction results show the good agreement with the measured data in modeling the overall combustion instability features, however, the code is found to overpredict the unstable conditions. As one of the efforts to improve the model accuracy, the effects of acoustic boundary conditions on the instability growth rate are analyzed. As a result, it is shown that the acoustic reflection coefficient has a great impact on the instability and the prediction accuracy can be enhanced by defining the precise acoustic conditions.

Effect of Particle Size Distribution on the Sensitivity of Combustion Instability for Solid Rocket Motors (입자 크기 분포도를 고려한 고체로켓 모터의 연소 불안정 민감도 예측)

  • Joo, Seongmin;Kim, Junseong;Moon, Heejang;Ohm, Wonsuk;Lee, Dohyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2015
  • Prediction of combustion instability within a solid-propellant rocket motor has been conducted with the classical acoustic analysis. The effect of particle size distribution on the instability has been analyzed by comparing the log-normal distribution to the fixed mono-sized particle followed by a survey of motor length scale effect between the baseline model and small scale model. Particle damping effect was more efficient for the small scale motor which has a relatively high unstable mode frequencies. It was also revealed that the prediction results by considering the particle size distribution show an overall attenuation of fluctuating pressure amplitude with respect to the mono-sized case.

Performance Evaluation of a Feature-Importance-based Feature Selection Method for Time Series Prediction

  • Hyun, Ahn
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.82-89
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    • 2023
  • Various machine-learning models may yield high predictive power for massive time series for time series prediction. However, these models are prone to instability in terms of computational cost because of the high dimensionality of the feature space and nonoptimized hyperparameter settings. Considering the potential risk that model training with a high-dimensional feature set can be time-consuming, we evaluate a feature-importance-based feature selection method to derive a tradeoff between predictive power and computational cost for time series prediction. We used two machine learning techniques for performance evaluation to generate prediction models from a retail sales dataset. First, we ranked the features using impurity- and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) -based feature importance measures in the prediction models. Then, the recursive feature elimination method was applied to eliminate unimportant features sequentially. Consequently, we obtained a subset of features that could lead to reduced model training time while preserving acceptable model performance.

Prediction of Forming Limit Diagram Using Plastic Instability Condition Considered Strain Rate. (변형율 속도를 고려한 소성불안정 조건을 이용한 성형한계선도의 예측)

  • 한규택;강대민;김진욱;백남주
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.58-65
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    • 1990
  • The purpose of this study is to consider the effects of strain rate on the stress-strain behavior of sheet metal at instability. The results and conclusions obtained as follows : 1. As the strain rate increases, the fracture pressure increases and the polar height at fracture decreases. 2. The effect of strain rate on forming limit diagram produces a general lowering of the diagram with increasing strain rate but changes according to materials and strain paths. 3. The forming limit diagram predicted by swift instability theory is comparatively inconsistent with the experimental result at high strain rates, because there is inevitable gap between them.

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Combustion Stability Analysis using Feedback Transfer Function (피드백 전달함수를 이용한 연소 안정성 해석)

  • Kim, Jina;Yoon, Myunggon;Kim, Daesik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Combustion
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 2016
  • In this paper we propose a new approach for an analysis and a prediction of combustion instability of lean premixed gas turbines. Our approach is based on the Nyquist stability criterion in control theory and a transfer function representation of a one-dimensional (1D) thermoacoustic system. A key advantage of the proposed approach is that one can systematically characterize the effects of various parameters of a combustor system on combustion instability. Our analysis method was applied to a real combustion system and the analysis results were consistent with experimental data.

Studies on the Predictability of Heavy Rainfall Using Prognostic Variables in Numerical Model (모델 예측변수들을 이용한 집중호우 예측 가능성에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Min;Jee, Joon-Beom;Min, Jae-sik;Lee, Yong-Hee;Chung, Jun-Seok;You, Cheol-Hwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.495-508
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    • 2016
  • In order to determine the prediction possibility of heavy rainfall, a variety of analyses was conducted by using three-dimensional data obtained from Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System (KLAPS) re-analysis data. Strong moisture convergence occurring around the time of the heavy rainfall is consistent with the results of previous studies on such continuous production. Heavy rainfall occurred in the cloud system with a thick convective clouds. The moisture convergence, temperature and potential temperature advection showed increase into the heavy rainfall occurrence area. The distribution of integrated liquid water content tended to decrease as rainfall increased and was characterized by accelerated convective instability along with increased buoyant energy. In addition, changes were noted in the various characteristics of instability indices such as K-index (KI), Showalter Stability Index (SSI), and lifted index (LI). The meteorological variables used in the analysis showed clear increases or decreases according to the changes in rainfall amount. These rapid changes as well as the meteorological variables changes are attributed to the surrounding and meteorological conditions. Thus, we verified that heavy rainfall can be predicted according to such increase, decrease, or changes. This study focused on quantitative values and change characteristics of diagnostic variables calculated by using numerical models rather than by focusing on synoptic analysis at the time of the heavy rainfall occurrence, thereby utilizing them as prognostic variables in the study of the predictability of heavy rainfall. These results can contribute to the identification of production and development mechanisms of heavy rainfall and can be used in applied research for prediction of such precipitation. In the analysis of various case studies of heavy rainfall in the future, our study result can be utilized to show the development of the prediction of severe weather.

Study on the Wrinkling Prediction in Sheet Metal Stamping Processes (박판 스탬핑 공정의 주름발생 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 황보원;금영탁
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 2001
  • A wrinkling is the instability phenomenon influenced by material properties, shape geometry, forming conditions, stress state, etc. The wrinkling is considered as a critical defect in appearance of product. Many wrinkling prediction methods using thickness strain distribution and farming analysis have been proposed. The wrinkling, however, is not easily predicted precisely by these methods. In this study, the region in the biaxial plane stress state is modeled with a rectangular plate introducing the effective dimension, and critical stress values for the wrinkling are calculated. Prediction index for the wrinkling is then evaluated by normalizing the actual stress with respect to the critical stress. In order to show the validity and efficiency of the method proposed, the wrinkling prediction for a squared sheet in the uniaxial tensile stress and auto-body front finder panel is performed.

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Study on Prediction of Surface Roughness in Hard Turning by Cutting Force (절삭력에 의한 하드터닝의 표면조도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 이강재;양민양;하재용;이창호
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.06a
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    • pp.1768-1771
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    • 2003
  • Hard turning replaces grinding for finishing process with expectations of higher productivity and demanded surface quality. Especially for the surface roughness as surface quality demanded in finishing process of hard turning, know-how of machining characteristics of hardened materials by cutting force analysis should be accumulated in company with achievement of precision of elements and high stiffness design technology in hard turning. Considering chip formation mechanism of hardened materials, adequate cutting conditions are selected for machining experiments and cutting forces are measured according to cutting conditions. Increase of cutting forces especially thrust force and increase of dynamic instability could occur in hard turning. Analysis of dynamic characteristics of the cutting forces is executed to investigate relation between dynamic instability and surface roughness in hard turning. Investigation on effects of relative motion of machining system generated by vibration due to dynamic instability shows that ultimate surface roughness could be predicted considering relative motion of machining system with geometrical surface roughness.

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Erosive burning and combustion instability of the solid rocket motor with large initial burning surface area (큰 초기 연소면적을 가지는 고체 모타의 침식 연소 및 연소 불안정)

  • Jin, Jungkun;Cha, Hong-seok;Lee, Dohyung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.1115-1121
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    • 2017
  • In order to obtain high thrust at the beginning of the flight, the solid rocket motor with large initial burning surface area was designed and tested. From the static firing test, lower initial thrust was obtained compared with the expected thrust based on the internal ballistic prediction due to the negative erosive burning effect which reduced the burning rate estimated by APN Law. In addition, the radial mode combustion instability was observed with 8 fins grain configuration. This instability was removed after the odd number of fins were used.

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The Diagnostic Usefulness of Stress Radiography in Chronic Lateral Ankle Instability (만성 발목 관절 외측 불안정성의 진단에서 스트레스 방사선검사의 유용성)

  • Kim, Yong-Min;Cho, Byung-Ki;Kim, Dong-Soo;Choi, Eui-Sung;Shon, Hyun-Chul;Park, Kyoung-Jin;Kim, Dong-Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Orthopaedic Sports Medicine
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2011
  • Purpose: This study was performed to evaluate the diagnostic usefulness of ankle stress radiograph for evaluation of chronic lateral ankle instability. Materials and Methods: Among patients undergoing the modified-Brostrom procedure, 42 cases with complete rupture of the anterior talofibular ligament were enrolled in this study. Sixty Korean adults (120 cases) were recruited as the control group. Radiologic measurement of talar tilt and anterior talar translation was performed through stress radiographs using Telos device. We obtained the normal range of Korean adults, and used as a standard value for judgment of mechanical instability. We analyzed the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative prediction value of ankle stress radiograph. Results: On ankle stress radiograph, normal range of talar tilt angle and anterior talar translation was below $8.3^{\circ}$, below 7.6mm. Talar tilt angle on varus stress radiograph showed 57% of sensitivity, 97% of specificity, 89% of positive and 86% of negative prediction value. Anterior talar translation on anterior drawer stress radiograph showed 69% of sensitivity, 97% of specificity, 91% of positive and 90% of negative prediction value. Conclusion: Ankle stress radiograph had a good specificity, positive and negative prediction value for the evaluation of mechanical instability. However it underestimated the mechanical instability of ankle joint. It must be remembered that normal stress radiograph does not exclude ankle instability.

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